Blue Owl Capital: The Math On What's A Fair Downside
Math suggests OWL’s >40% selloff overshoots realistic AUM and fee headwinds.
5-Minute Pitches
5-Minute Stock Pitches. Expect 10–20 pitches focused on core stock drivers every month.
AppLovin: Some KPIs Could Be Better, But A Low Valuation Makes It A Buy (Archive)
Undervalued AppLovin with improving ad KPIs and supportive technicals offers asymmetric upside.
Kioxia Holdings: AI NAND Supercycle, JV Upgrade And A Breakout Chart Sets Up Big Upside
Scope for pricing upside, market share gains, higher value revenues and lower gross margin volatility.
Microsoft: Azure Is Booming, But OpenAI And Copilot Are Quietly Capping The Upside (Archive)
Azure’s AI boom is offset by OpenAI risks, constrained capacity, and weak Copilot monetization.
Barrick Mining: IPO Spinoff Dream Hits Royalty Shocker And Margin Squeeze (Archive)
IPO upside dulled by disputes, hidden royalties, rising costs, and richer valuation.
Celestica: Mr. Market Gives Us A Perfect Opportunity To Load Up (Archive, Full Access)
Celestica offers a chance to ride accelerating AI demand at a sentiment-driven discount.
Ares Capital: I'm Not Bearish Anymore But Still Have Concerns (Archive)
Strong deal flow, AI‑exposed software book, rich relative valuation keep me Neutral/Hold on ARCC.