Portfolio Performance - May'26

Portfolio context is detailed in the About page.

Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 30 Apr'26 time period.

Summary

Monthly performance dashboard

Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics

• Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.89/1.11, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate.
• Daily/weekly Sortino: 1.12/2.00, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate.
• Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of 8.3%/7.5% vs SPY AUD benchmark.

Value addition measures are high.

Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size

• Average of 133 tickers bet on over 22 months.
• Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners.

Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.

Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable

• Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets.
• Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions.
• Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of 1.5-2.5x.
• Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM.

The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.

Performance vs SPY AUD

Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD

These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.

• Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark
• >7% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark in daily and weekly timeframes
• High upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD.

Active Stock Pick Selection Analytics

• Overall win rate averages are in the low 40%, but average win is almost 2x average loss, leading to a profit factor of 1.4-1.6.

More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile

• Mostly sustained outperformance, but I lagged the sharp market rebound in May'26.

• Lagging the May'26 rebound has reduced active return gains to nearly 0. Now the portfolio has merely matched market returns.

• But from a risk-adjusted performance perspective, the annualized alpha based on daily return series is still very good at around 8%. It has consistently tracked above 4%.

• The rebound in my portfolio in May'26 was not as complete as what the SPY AUD did.

• Active return drawdowns has climbed up to >10.00%.

Takeaway

These are strong risk‑adjusted results for a diversified, long‑only equity strategy by typical institutional benchmarks.