Why I Wouldn't Buy Berkshire Hathaway's Portfolio (Archive)
Berkshire's concentrated, slow-growing asset mix makes it a poor bet versus the S&P 500.
This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.
Elevator Pitch
- Since my last 'Sell' rating reflecting my view of Berkshire's underperformance vs the S&P 500, Berkshire has underperformed the S&P 500 by 6.49%.
- I am downgrading my rating to a 'Strong Sell' as I am more confident of further underperformance ahead.
- Despite trading at the same valuation as the S&P 500, I believe most of Berkshire Hathaway's business has an underwhelming earnings growth past and future outlook relative to the S&P500.
- Berkshire is also priced the same as the S&P500, but with a worse growth expectation, indicating what I believe is a mispricing and overvaluation of Berkshire's stock.
- The technicals also paint a bearish outlook, suggesting Berkshire would lag the SPY for multiple quarters and years ahead.
Read the full article here.
Disclosures and Disclaimers
Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.
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