Rigetti Computing: Not Even Worth A Speculative Bet (Archive)

Rigetti’s quantum hopes look fragile amid weak revenues, tight cash, and frothy valuations.

Rigetti Computing: Not Even Worth A Speculative Bet (Archive)

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.

Elevator Pitch

  • Rigetti has underwhelming revenue execution heavily reliant on government funding for quantum funding projects. However, I think the company is unlikely to benefit even if this materializes.
  • The balance sheet funding resources are rather limited, and I would not be surprised if the company announces another raise soon in next week's earnings call.
  • Rigetti's working capital profile is worsening, and I expect receivable days to increase further over the next couple of quarters as the company adds more government customers.
  • There is limited fundamental rationale to justify its outrageously high valuations in an already bubble-like sector. This may be why we have seen a lot of insiders selling the stock.
  • RGTI vs. SPX500 still shows some bullish strength holding up, and the stock seems to be a crowded short. These are the sole two reasons why I have a 'Neutral/Hold' stance despite everything else looking bearish.

Read the full article here.

Disclosures and Disclaimers

Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.