Rigetti Computing: Here's What Needs To Happen For Its Valuation To Make Sense (Archive)

Balancing speculative quantum hype against fragile fundamentals and dilution-driven valuation math.

Rigetti Computing: Here's What Needs To Happen For Its Valuation To Make Sense (Archive)

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.

Elevator Pitch

  • Unlike some other quantum computing stocks that are at least showing meaningful revenue growth, even if via M&A, Rigetti Computing's revenue scale up is still a far way away.
  • Rigetti's CEO and other leading technology company CEOs are all warning us that the quantum computing future may be another 2 decades away. We are too early right now.
  • The good news for hopeful bulls is that the company is well-funded to sustain another 5-6 years of cash burn. This is also a point of risk for eager bears.
  • RGTI stock valuations make the most sense if we look at it from a P/B perspective. The market is expecting its equity value to grow 6x, which is not unreasonable.
  • The stock's momentum is in a compelling uptrend with strong price and volume support. But in the absence of meaningful revenue scale up visibility, it seems too risky to buy.

Read the full article here.

Disclosures and Disclaimers

Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.