Petrobras: Expanding Production At Attractive Breakeven Economics (Archive)

Petrobras is ramping low-cost upstream production, positioning for volume-driven upside despite flat oil prices.

Petrobras: Expanding Production At Attractive Breakeven Economics (Archive)

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.

Elevator Pitch

  • Petrobras is due to increase upstream production at attractive low-cost economics.
  • The 2025 outlook for oil prices shows little scope for pricing-related upside. So volume growth is likely to be the key fundamental driver for the year ahead.
  • Valuations are at an attractive 27% discount vs. peers from a 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA perspective.
  • The PBR vs. SPX500 monthly charts show a bullish outlook emerging from support levels.
  • A reversal in falling EBITDA expectations would prompt me to add size to buy positions.

Read the full article here.

Disclosures and Disclaimers

Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.