Palantir: Not A Clear Alpha Play Anymore (Archive)

Earlier alpha captured; now reduced visibility, fading catalysts, and fair valuations justify holding.

Palantir: Not A Clear Alpha Play Anymore (Archive)

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.

Elevator Pitch

  • My earlier bullish thesis on Palantir has generated alpha but now I struggle to find a clear bullish thesis:
  • A fall in RPO numbers increases top-line risk as revenue visibility is reduced.
  • The S&P 500 inclusion catalyst is likely priced in as Palantir now meets all the criteria for inclusion into the index.
  • H2 FY23 net insider selling activity has picked up in H2 FY23, signaling caution for the bulls.
  • Valuations do not offer a sufficient discount as Palantir is trading marginally at a premium to its longer term 1-yr fwd P/E multiple.

Read the full article here.

Disclosures and Disclaimers

Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.