Oxford Lane Capital: Why I Think This Is A Yield Trap (Archive)
Highlighting unsustainable payouts from negative cash flows and premium-valued, underwater investments.
This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.
Elevator Pitch
- Oxford Lane Capital has outperformed the S&P 500 by +1.94% since my last 'Sell' view on this closed-ended fund in February 2024. But I am retaining my stance.
- Distributions continue to be funded by capital raises instead of operational cash flow. I don't see how this is sustainable long term.
- Oxford Lane Capital investments' fair value is below cost, which means the sale of investments would also lead to a loss. This does not help recoup negative operating cash flows.
- The company's net asset value has been falling to stagnant due to these headwinds. Still, OXLC is trading at an 8.8% premium to NAV, making buys less appealing.
- Relative to the S&P 500, my technicals read shows scope for OXLC to underperform, as the ratio prices are currently rejecting off a key monthly resistance level.
Read the full article here.
Disclosures and Disclaimers
Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.
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