Nvidia: Why Its Lead Over Competitors May Be As Short As One Year (Archive)

Nvidia’s rosy fundamentals face rising competitive pressure and slowing bullish momentum.

Nvidia: Why Its Lead Over Competitors May Be As Short As One Year (Archive)

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.

Elevator Pitch

  • Nvidia's leading revenue indicators are very robust, as evidenced by strong revenue growth in one of its major suppliers, a large uptick in remaining performance obligations, and encouraging revenue visibility.
  • But competitive threats are intensifying as major cloud service providers may be gaining bargaining power and looking for cheaper alternatives such as Google's TPUs.
  • NVDA trades at a 10% discount to its sector median 1-year forward P/E and its valuation multiple has remained flat to slightly lower despite rising earnings expectations. This is encouraging.
  • The bullish momentum on the NVDA/SPX500 charts is slowing down, which increases the risks of a deeper correction.

Read the full article here.

Disclosures and Disclaimers

Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.