Nvidia: Getting Clues On Outlook From Its Key Customers (Archive)
Tracking hyperscaler capex, Blackwell delays, valuation and Pelosi flows for Nvidia.
This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.
Elevator Pitch
- Hyperscalers are major customers of Nvidia Corporation. A deceleration in hyperscaler capex spending is expected in 2025, which can temper NVDA's revenue growth expectations.
- Blackwell shipment forecasts have started to be revised downward due to delays driven by issues of overheating again. Some customers are postponing their orders for later versions of the product.
- On the bright side, NVDA stock has become less expensive, trading at a 17% discount to its 5-yr median levels on a 1-yr fwd P/E basis.
- I am still a keen buyer of NVDA, and I am waiting for a retest of monthly support on NVDA vs. S&P 500 to add to my positions.
- Nancy Pelosi has a terrific investment track record, which makes her portfolio moves worthwhile to track. Over the last couple of months, she has been unloading NVDA shares.
Read the full article here.
Disclosures and Disclaimers
Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.
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