Lumentum: A Clear Winner Of Data Center Networking Speed Upgrades (Archive)

Lumentum is set to win from high-speed data center EML upgrades.

Lumentum: A Clear Winner Of Data Center Networking Speed Upgrades (Archive)
Photo by Compare Fibre / Unsplash

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.

Elevator Pitch

  • Lumentum Holdings Inc. is well-positioned to benefit from industry-wide upgrades to higher data transmission speeds, driving robust EML demand.
  • The optical devices market remains tight through at least 2028, supporting 15-20% ASP increases and gross margin expansion for LITE.
  • LITE is at a critical inflection point toward positive free cash flow, with >30% FCF margins expected by FY28 mitigating higher interest rate risks.
  • LITE trades at a 1-year forward P/E multiple of 49.5x, representing a narrow 3% discount to the optical peer group median. This suggests relatively fair valuation.
  • The LITE technical charts are clearly bullish, and pullbacks are healthy corrections providing opportunities to buy more.

Read the full article here.

Spreadsheet Model