I Very Rarely Short, But I Am Making An Exception For Navitas Semiconductor (Archive)
Speculative NVIDIA-fueled surge masks weak execution, cash burn, frothy valuation, and insider selling.
This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.
Elevator Pitch
- Navitas' 380% rally following the NVIDIA collaboration news is speculative, with no clear near-term commercial impact on revenues. The collaboration is also non-exclusive to Navitas.
- The company suffers from poor revenue execution and increasing competitive intensity that exposes lack of competitive moat. Its business model is also shaky with high customer concentration and churn.
- Navitas is burning cash rapidly and has limited funding runway. The insiders have been dumping stock after the explosive price rise that places NVTS in very frothy valuation territory.
- The relative technicals vs. SPX500 also show signs of the bulls halting at a monthly resistance level.
- I conclude that NVTS is a compelling short opportunity. Key risks to watch out for would be a short squeeze if short interest gets too high and decent conversion of customer pipeline into real, tangible orders.
Read the full article here.
Disclosures and Disclaimers
Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.
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