Charles Schwab: Mr. Market Says Actions Speak Louder Than Words (Archive)

Waiting for Schwab to prove cheaper funding before renewed alpha potential.

Charles Schwab: Mr. Market Says Actions Speak Louder Than Words (Archive)

This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.

Elevator Pitch

  • My last bullish stance in Charles Schwab did not work out; -5.39% alpha vs. S&P 500). But my 'Sell' view in Jan. 2024 made +6.45% alpha, leading to +1.06% alpha overall.
  • Now, due to more discounted valuations, I am revising my stance to a Neutral/Hold.
  • Management's flagged 2024 to be a 'transitional year' in the latest earnings call. That doesn't inspire prospects of outperformance when the market is going full speed ahead.
  • SCHW has been forced to rely on more expensive funding sources to replenish the reduced funding pool of clients' transactional cash balances.
  • A sustained reduction in the supplemental funding sources is a key trigger for the stock, and I believe the stock will remain range-bound vs. the S&P 500 until this happens.

Read the full article here.

Disclosures and Disclaimers

Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.