Amazon: Why You Shouldn't Miss Out On Buying The Post-Earnings Dip (Archive)
Buying Amazon’s post-earnings dip to capture long-term margin and growth tailwinds.
This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.
Elevator Pitch
- Amazon's Q4 FY24 results met expectations, but weak Q1 FY25 guidance led to a 4% stock dip in after-hours trading. I think this is an opportunity to buy the dip.
- Amazon's focus on reducing per-unit costs in its retail commerce business and lower freight shipping costs can boost margins.
- AMZN's focus on chip design to reduce reliance on NVIDIA's GPUs and save costs via in-sourcing can lead to long term 50% EBIT margins for AWS.
- Despite trading at an 18% premium to comps, Amazon's margin levers, scale and growth prospects justify the valuation.
- High capex investments in FY25 may pressure FCF margins in FY25; this is a key risk to tolerate to some extent but also monitor for excessive degradation.
Read the full article here.
Disclosures and Disclaimers
Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See full Disclaimer.
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