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# PayPal Q1 Preview: I Expect A Result Beat But Guidance Miss (Archive)
- URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-q1-preview-i-expect-a-result-beat-but-guidance-miss-archive-copy/
- Published: 2025-04-28T13:40:00.000Z
- Updated: 2026-02-28T16:37:45.000Z
- Description: Turning tactically neutral as Q1 beats loom but recession risks cloud PayPal’s guidance.
- Author: Vish (Hunting Alphas)
- Tags: 5-Minute Pitches, #noindex, Archive, #sa-origin, PYPL, Financials

*This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.*

## Elevator Pitch

- Retail sales growth data in PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s key markets (U.S., UK, and Germany) suggests a top-line revenue beat scenario for the upcoming Q1 FY25 earnings release.
- There are risks of guidance misses for Q2 and beyond due to a potential recession and weakening consumer sentiment. Some analysts have started to downgrade their estimates for FY25.
- Updates on PayPal's one platform integration and new branded checkout experience rollout across global markets are key focus points in the Q1 earnings call.
- PYPL stock is relatively undervalued vs. peers on a 1-yr fwd P/E basis, as it is trading at a lower-than-usual discount.
- PYPL vs. S&P 500 technicals are near a monthly support, but bearish momentum is still strong. I expect some more consolidation to digest that bearish pressure away before meaningful upside.

Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778755-paypal-q1-preview-i-expect-a-result-beat-but-guidance-miss?ref=huntingalphas.com).

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