# Hunting Alphas > 5-minute stock pitches and unusually granular performance reporting for a global equity portfolio Public Ghost content for AI and LLM tooling. This file includes a bounded export of public pages first, then recent public posts. Append `.md` to any post or page URL to get the content in Markdown (for example, `/example-post.md`). ## Pages ### Join the Hunt for Alphas URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/join/ Last updated: 2026-08-03T03:59:10.000Z ## Why Hunting Alphas Is Different ### 1\. Institutional Breadth & Scalability - Global equity universe of >9,000 tickers across Developed and Emerging markets. - Hunting for alphas in areas where the largest institutional pools of capital reside (stocks with MCAP > 500M). - Portfolio capacity is scalable to more than USD 100M AUM. ### 2\. High-Frequency 'Fat Pitch' Alphas - Hunting only for the easy, 'fat-pitch' alphas. - Crisp 5-Minute Pitches that isolate the core fundamental and technical drivers of the ticker over a short to medium term horizon (multiple weeks to quarters). - More ground covered, more easy, 'fat pitches' shared. ### 3\. Unusually Detailed, Transparent Performance Reporting - Highly granular portfolio performance reporting that surpasses the transparency of most buyside funds. - Repeatable alpha-generation skill across >1,000 independent bets. View the full track record [here](https://www.huntingalphas.com/tag/performance). This shows some select highlights: ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-21.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-22.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-23.png) ## Track the Footprints - Tracker Tier - **Limited 5-Minute Pitches Access:** Only Elevator Pitch access to 5-Minute Pitches published on this site. Expect 10-20 Pitches every month. - **Archive Pitches Access:** Full access to archive of Elevator Pitches and a portion of complete 5-Minute Pitches. - **High-Level Portfolio Positioning Access:** Weekly visibility into high-level portfolio exposures (individual names hidden). - **Unusually Detailed Performance Analytics:** Granular factor attribution, risk-adjusted return profiles, drawdown analysis, liquidity impact demonstrating scalability and more. ****Track the footprints of alphas in the market and receive a small gift:** [Join Tracker Tier (Free) ](#/portal/signup/free) The Tracker tier helps you monitor the footprints of global alpha opportunities. ## Hunt in Real Time - Hunter Tier - **Full 5-Minute Pitches Access:** Full access to all 5-Minute Stock Pitches published on this site. Expect 10-20 Pitches every month. - **Archive Pitches Access:** Full access to archive of Elevator Pitches and a portion of complete 5-Minute Pitches. - **Models Access:** Full access to all stock-specific spreadsheets that track quarterly financials, KPIs, alternative data points, valuations, consensus, guidance and more. - **Full Portfolio Positioning Access:** Weekly visibility into the full portfolio composition and weights (individual names shown). - **Unusually Detailed Performance Analytics:** Granular factor attribution, risk-adjusted return profiles, drawdown analysis, liquidity impact demonstrating scalability and more. - **Direct Access and Community Engagement:** Comments and direct Q&A engagement on all posts. ****Hunt the alphas in the market in real-time and receive a small gift:** [Join Monthly Hunter - $49/month ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/#/portal/signup/69912b0bddc56a0008697b48/monthly) The yearly Hunter Tier plan pricing is equivalent to getting 2 months of the year for free compared to the monthly plan: ****Hunt the alphas in the market in real-time and receive a small gift:** [Join Yearly Hunter - $490/year (save 17%) ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/#/portal/signup/69912b0bddc56a0008697b48/yearly) ### About Hunting Alphas URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/ Last updated: 2026-06-13T07:08:14.000Z ## What Is Hunting Alphas? Hunting Alphas is founded by Vish, who previously worked in the Investment Team at USD 6B AUM buyside firm, covering the Technology, Industrials, Metals & Mining sectors across Developed and Emerging Markets, with a strong bottom-up fundamentals focus. Hunting Alphas is a tactical research boutique delivering high-frequency 5-Minute Stock Pitches on our best alpha-generating ideas from a >9,000 universe of global stocks, backed by unusually detailed portfolio performance analytics and portfolio disclosures. There are already hundreds of stock pitches published on Seeking Alpha under the '[Hunting Alphas](https://seekingalpha.com/author/hunting-alpha?ref=huntingalphas.com)' name, garnering thousands of readers as followers. ## Why Hunting Alphas? There's a lot of accessible investment research out there for both institutional and retail investors. But it's hard to know which content is more likely to help generate alpha and outperformance. **The problem:** Poor signal-to-noise and high time cost, particularly for the very lengthy deep-dives. Few analysts share a transparent track record to demonstrate their skill in identifying the alpha opportunities in the market and make a case for why they are worth reading. **The solution:** Hunting Alphas delivers 5-minute actionable stock pitches,focused on our portfolio holdings and watchlist, backed by real skin-in-the-game: - Live, real-money track record (USD 1.4M AUM) from Jul'24 onwards. - High annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark. - Broad-based returns across various factor exposures, low portfolio drawdown and a strategy that is scalable to >USD 100M AUM. [Click here for Portfolio Performance reports](https://www.huntingalphas.com/tag/performance) ## Portfolio Context - Live, real-money, long-only, zero-leverage portfolio (USD 1.4M AUM), investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs (no leverage, inverse exposures, ETNs, or derivatives) in mostly Developed and some Emerging markets), primarily via a Self Managed Superannuation Fund ([SMSF](https://www.ato.gov.au/individuals-and-families/super-for-individuals-and-families/self-managed-super-funds-smsf?ref=huntingalphas.com)). - Portfolio's base currency is in AUD. Benchmark is SPY AUD (S&P500 priced in AUD). This is the benchmark as it is our opportunity cost of capital (if we were no good as investors, we would follow [Uncle Warren](https://www.diyinvestor.net/7-reasons-why-warren-buffett-thinks-you-should-be-an-index-investor/?ref=huntingalphas.com) and [Jack Bogle](https://www.etmoney.com/learn/personal-finance/what-is-the-bogle-index-fund-strategy/?ref=huntingalphas.com)'s advice to invest in the S&P500 via a low-cost index fund). - Capital is managed via an IBKR Advisor structure, primarily via a Self-Managed Superannuation Fund ([SMSF](https://www.ato.gov.au/individuals-and-families/super-for-individuals-and-families/self-managed-super-funds-smsf?ref=huntingalphas.com)). - Portfolio constructed using a dynamic [core-satellite](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/08/core-satellite-investing.asp?ref=huntingalphas.com) approach. The core is a passive market index (usually VOO) when we have a risk-on stance or cash (typically USD, AUD, EUR or GBP cash based on our forex market view) when we have a risk-off stance. The satellite positions represent our active selection picks. - Portfolio weight to the core allocation is dynamic; it depends on the number and conviction of active satellite ideas. Alpha is generated primarily via the satellite picks, but also via risk-off vs risk-on core position maneuvering. ## Portfolio Process & Characteristics ### Investable Universe & Selectivity - Investable universe: >9,000 global stocks & ETFs (MCAP > USD 500M + minimum liquidity thresholds appropriate for portfolio AUM). - 10–15% of investable universe enter watchlist on sustained multi-quarter momentum and acceleration. - Portfolio entry is highly selective: typically 0.4% of the >9,000 ticker universe. ### Portfolio Construction & Management - Portfolio selection and sizing decisions are based on our overall judgement and relative ranking of the fundamental business drivers, valuations and technical momentum. - Dynamic core-satellite: Core = index or cash (risk-on/risk-off); alpha generation primarily from active satellite positions. - Position exit or trim proceeds default to core allocation. - Typical active satellite positions holding period: multiple weeks to quarters. ### Source of Investment Edge - Astute judgement of a few, core drivers of a stock. ### Ideal Environments - Improving or broadening market breadth and major market leadership transitions due to a higher number of active satellite pick opportunities. ### Key Risks - Narrow index leadership (but we have still [performed well](https://www.huntingalphas.com/tag/performance) despite Mag-7-driven index runs). - Core risk-on/risk-off timing is more susceptible to timing error. ## Research Process - Building and maintaining spreadsheets showing historical data on the financials, key metric disclosures, guidance and surprise trends vs consensus estimates, consensus revisions, time-series values of historical valuation multiples, key coincident or leading indicators of performance, short interests, transaction multiples for prior M&A and more. - Keeping tabs on relevant industry news and reports plus other people's coverage of the stock. - Very rarely build DCFs and project financials into the future as that is not a reliable source of edge for us. Instead, we assess how a company has delivered and my broad outlook on the 5 key drivers of a DCF valuation + going concern check: 1. Revenues 2. Costs and margins 3. Cash flow conversion 4. Capex and investments 5. Interest rates (which affect the discount rate/opportunity cost of capital) 6. Funding sources and fundraising prospects - In some cases, especially for companies trading at very high near-term multiples, we do a reverse DCF to make sense of the implied growth CAGR implications. - Technical analysis of momentum, especially relative to the S&P500, taking into account currency strength is a core aspect of entry and exit position timing. ## 5-Minute Stock Pitch Format, Models, Posting and Access Protocol - Only a brief overview of the company; no long origin stories and historical narratives unless relevant to the future stock view. We do repeat lengthy background context that is easily available on the internet. - An elevator pitch thesis that takes less than 30 seconds to read. - An evidence-based view of each elevator-pitch thesis point. - A takeaway section with a judgement of the fundamental, valuation and technical perspectives, as well as the overall view and our positioning. - In all 5-Minute pitches published directly on this site, there will also be a spreadsheet model, accessible only for Hunter Tier members. - To showcase our previous work and track record, we have included an [archive](https://www.huntingalphas.com/tag/archive/) of [hundreds of 5-Minute Pitches](https://seekingalpha.com/author/hunting-alphas/analysis?ref=huntingalphas.com) that we have published on Seeking Alpha. Almost all of these pitches are behind Seeking Alpha's paywall. - Every month, we will make 5 of the pitches published on Seeking Alpha available to read fully via an official gift link. Look for the 'Full Access' tag for both of these categories. [Click here to read the 5-Minute Pitches](https://www.huntingalphas.com/tag/pitches) ## Target Audience - The 5-Minute pitches are very accessible to even beginning investors as the ideas are communicated with simple language, with industry-specific jargon explained. But note that general investing and accounting jargon will be used. - The Portfolio Performance posts have a lot of analysis types that only serious investors, institutional allocators or anyone well-versed in the CFA or academic finance may be familiar with. But this should not discourage anyone without that background; simply learn what you do not understand with AI tools. ## Usage of AI Tools ### Where we use AI - We use AI for retrieval of information from reliable-source document inputs. - We use custom AI deep research reports for getting a broad overview of a business or industry. - We query AI to demystify industry jargon and always refer to the cited sources for the answers to avoid hallucination risks. ### Where we do NOT use AI - We never use AI to generate any part of the 5-Minute pitch; everything is written by us in our own words. - We never use AI for processing and analyzing data in spreadsheets. - We never use AI to summarize or write comments and emails. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) ### Contact URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/contact/ Last updated: 2026-06-13T07:10:47.000Z Email us at [vish@huntingalphas.com](mailto:vish@huntingalphas.com) or [swarna@huntingalphas.com](mailto:swarna@huntingalphas.com). For billing and membership help, email [billing@huntingalphas.com](mailto:billing@huntingalphas.com). For other support, email [support@huntingalphas.com](mailto:support@huntingalphas.com). ### Disclaimer URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/ Last updated: 2026-02-25T17:00:52.000Z **Disclaimer** Hunting Alphas publishes investment ideas, 5-Minute Stock Pitches, and portfolio commentary. It is not licensed or otherwise regulated by any regulatory authority. It is not licensed or regulated to carry on business in providing any financial advisory service or research analyst service. This published content is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing on this website nor any content published by Hunting Alphas is intended to be investment, financial, tax or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. This content is impersonal and should not be considered a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific individual, nor should it be viewed as a solicitation or offer for any advisory service. Investors should conduct their own independent research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. The views and opinions in all published content are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. Any market data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any historical trend or outlook will be repeated in the future. Investing involves risk and loss of principal is possible. Hunting Alphas and the author have no business relationship with, and never receive compensation from, any company discussed or mentioned. The author, the author’s affiliates, and clients may currently have long or short positions in the securities of certain of the companies mentioned herein or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities). To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions. Performance numbers shown reflect actual portfolio results presented on this website. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Individual results will differ materially based on timing, position sizing, transaction costs, taxes and execution. Neither the author nor any of its affiliates accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein. In addition, nothing presented herein shall constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any security. ### Privacy Policy URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/privacy/ Last updated: 2026-02-25T16:58:23.000Z Hunting Alphas respects your privacy. This policy explains how we collect, use, disclose and protect your information when you visit huntingalphas.com, sign up for newsletters, or purchase a subscription. **Information Collected** - Personal: email address, name (optional), billing details (handled securely by Ghost/Stripe) - Usage: pages viewed, session duration, device/browser info, IP address - Cookies and similar technologies for site functionality and basic analytics **How We Use It** - Deliver content and manage subscriptions - Send newsletters (Footprint Tracker’s Brief, Alpha Hunter’s Brief) - Improve site performance and user experience - Comply with legal obligations **Sharing** We do not sell personal data. Information is shared only with: - Service providers (Ghost, payment processors, email platforms) under confidentiality agreements - As required by law **Data Security** Reasonable measures are in place. No system is completely secure. **Your Rights** Access, correct or delete your data by contacting [support@huntingalphas.com](mailto:support@huntingalphas.com). Manage subscriptions directly in your account. **Children** Site not intended for users under 18\. We do not knowingly collect data from children. **Cookies** Essential cookies required for login and subscriptions. Analytics cookies may track usage (opt-out via browser settings). **Changes** This policy may be updated. Continued use constitutes acceptance. ### Terms and Conditions URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/terms/ Last updated: 2026-02-25T14:11:42.000Z **Acceptance** By accessing or using Hunting Alphas you agree to these Terms. If you do not agree, do not use the site. **Content Use** All 5-Minute Pitches, portfolio positioning, performance reports and other material are for personal, non-commercial educational use only. No copying, republication, distribution or commercial exploitation without written permission. All intellectual property belongs to Hunting Alphas. **Subscriptions** - Hunter tier grants access to live content and full archive - Billing and payments processed by Ghost/Stripe - Cancel anytime via account dashboard. No refunds for partial billing periods unless required by law - Early OG Hunter offers subject to their specific terms **User Conduct** You agree not to: scrape content, share login details, attempt unauthorised access, or misuse the site. **Disclaimers** Content is educational only. See [full Disclaimer](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/) for investment, financial and tax advice details. Use at your own risk. **Limitation of Liability** To the maximum extent permitted by law, Hunting Alphas and its operators are not liable for any direct, indirect or consequential loss arising from site use or content. **Termination** We may suspend or terminate access at any time for violations. **Modifications** Terms may be updated. Continued use after changes constitutes acceptance. **Contact** [support@huntingalphas.com](mailto:support@huntingalphas.com) ## Posts ### 28 Aug'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/28-aug26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-08-31T13:38:16.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-63.png) - Most of the Oceania exposure is in AUD cash. ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-64.png) - Most of the Australia exposure is AUD cash ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-65.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Micron: Don't Get Shaken Out (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-dont-get-shaken-out-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-08-25T04:44:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - The DRAM memory market is expected to remain tighter for longer vs. the NAND market. This benefits Micron's 76% DRAM-focused portfolio. - Faster-than-expected HBM market growth, tight market conditions, and Micron's high share in this segment are major growth catalysts. - DRAM market tightness is expected through 2027 and beyond, with HBM TAM projected to surpass $100B in 2027, accelerating revenue growth. - Valuations are stable with Micron trading near its longer-term median EV/EBITDA multiple despite recent price volatility. - Technical analysis shows a healthy long-term uptrend with strong momentum patterns on multi-month charts. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4939498?gt=062e09cc127f3cd1&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-61.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 21 Aug'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/21-aug26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-08-24T03:15:14.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-53.png) - Most of the Oceania exposure is in AUD cash. ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-54.png) - Most of the Australia exposure is AUD cash ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-55.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Dynex Capital: This 15.4% Yield Still Has Room To Run (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dynex-capital-this-15-4-yield-still-has-room-to-run-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-23T10:16:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rising bond yields are increasing flows into fixed-income instruments, and agency MBS is an outperforming category. - Dynex benefits from a constructive agency MBS carry backdrop as portfolio yields remain stable while funding costs have eased. - Higher-coupon agency MBS exposure raises prepayment and reinvestment risk, although current rate expectations reduce the likelihood of broad refinancing. - Rising rates could pressure Dynex book value, with sensitivity dependent on yield-curve moves, mortgage spreads, and hedge performance. - DX trades at a 1.03x P/B, slightly below peer averages, offering reasonable valuation relative to agency RMBS and CMBS mREITs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4939340-dynex-capital-this-15-4-percent-yield-still-has-room-to-run?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-52.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Lumen's AI Narrative Meets Its Hard Revenue Reality (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lumens-ai-narrative-meets-its-hard-revenue-reality-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-08-21T03:48:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - LUMN’s Strategic segment is growing, but larger declines in Business Legacy and Mass Markets continue to pressure consolidated revenue. - Alkira expands LUMN’s cloud-networking opportunity, but the acquisition consumes liquidity, adds leverage pressure, and has immaterial near-term revenue contribution. - The Alkira acquisition expands TAM but appears expensive at 15.1x EV/revenue, drains 25% of liquidity, and offers immaterial near-term revenue. - LUMN trades below peer EV/EBITDA multiples, but its valuation requires roughly an 11% 5-yr EBITDA CAGR. This seems challenging given current declining EBITDA trends. - LUMN’s technical setup remains balanced, with bullish momentum offset by resistance near a significant price level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4938908?gt=3ecbf6ab2a6dcd7f&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-51.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Enbridge: A $41 Billion Growth Backlog Meets A Mainline Volume Threat (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/enbridge-a-41-billion-growth-backlog-meets-a-mainline-volume-threat-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-08-20T18:07:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Enbridge’s CAD 41 billion secured growth backlog supports a 5% long-term CAGR in adjusted EBITDA, DCF per share, and EPS, with 2027 a major commissioning year. - The Mainline System contributes roughly one-third of Enbridge EBITDA, making emerging competing egress pipelines a material medium-term throughput risk. - Debt to EBITDA is 5.1x, above Enbridge’s 4.5x to 5.0x target, while interest expense consumes roughly 27% of adjusted EBITDA. This is a risk to monitor amid rising rates. - ENB trades at 13.0x 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA, above peers and its historical median, while technicals indicate a range-bound share price near support. - I rank CAD denominated preferreds above USD denominated preferreds to simplify against FX risks, whilst preferring securities with a rate reset. I think the preferreds are more insulated than the common stock against some operational business risks. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4938441?gt=9532ae8a15dae786&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-50.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Kraken Robotics: Undervalued Marine Tech, Beneficiary Of Rising Defense Budgets And A Strategic Acquisition (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/kraken-robotics-undervalued-marine-tech-beneficiary-of-rising-defense-budgets-and-a-strategic-acquisition-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-20T10:07:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Kraken Robotics benefits from rising global defense budgets that drive multi-year demand for autonomous underwater systems and sonar suites. - The Covelya acquisition expands Kraken's product portfolio and customer base at a reasonable valuation despite near-term dilution and margin compression. - A planned move from TSX Venture to the senior TSX exchange should unlock new institutional demand and improve liquidity. - Forward valuation multiples look attractive relative to peers and imply a revenue growth path that appears achievable given current order momentum. - Technical analysis shows a healthy uptrend with a bull flag pattern forming around key monthly support. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4937671-maxlinear-an-elephant-size-risk-hidden-in-the-small-footnotes?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-49.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### MaxLinear: An Elephant Size Risk Hidden In The Small Footnotes (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/maxlinear-an-elephant-size-risk-hidden-in-the-small-footnotes-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-18T16:18:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - MaxLinear shows strong growth from rapid adoption of its Keystone 800G platform and rising data center demand. - Gross margins are expanding as the Infrastructure segment now exceeds 50% of revenue with higher-margin products. - The company is securing foundry capacity with more prepayments. But that cash flow conversion is more than offset by the sharp rise in inventory purchase commitments, which lead revenues. - A $160 million damages claim from Silicon Motion creates material litigation risk given only $65 million in liquidity. - The stock trades at a 36.4x 1-yr FWD earnings multiple near peer median levels. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4937671-maxlinear-an-elephant-size-risk-hidden-in-the-small-footnotes?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-48.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 14 Aug'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/14-aug26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-08-17T03:36:42.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-39.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-40.png) - Most of the Australia exposure is AUD cash ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-41.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Accenture Is Showing Signs Of Desperation To Salvage Q4 Execution (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/accenture-is-showing-signs-of-desperation-to-salvage-q4-execution-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-17T04:12:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - IT spending is shifting toward servers, storage, and memory, pressuring ACN’s consulting business, which contributes nearly 50% of revenue and over 50% of bookings. - ACN’s bookings trend has been weak and given news on enterprises' IT spend reprioritizations in June, the tepid demand environment is likely to continue. - Carrying unused leave into FY27 may support Q4 execution, but it merely shifts employee absences and delivery-capacity risk into Q1 FY27. - ACN trades at 12.3x 1-yr fwd PE versus IT Service peers’ 13.6x median, but the implied growth ask is below the current run-rate. - ACN stock is being defended by the bulls at a major support, but bearish momentum is still strong. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4937136-accenture-is-showing-signs-of-desperation-to-salvage-q4-execution?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-47.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Sky Harbour: Do The Return On CapEx Math Before You Buy (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sky-harbour-do-the-return-on-capex-math-before-you-buy-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-08-17T04:13:45.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Sky Harbour Group Corporation benefits from strong U.S. business aviation demand and constrained hangar supply at airports. - Occupancy and occupied square footage are rising quickly, driving rapid SKYH growth in lease and fuel revenue. - CapEx per campus is high, and implied gross profit yields on incremental CapEx look unappealing. - Funding the 50-campus plan likely requires heavy debt and a large equity raise with material dilution. - SKYH stock trades at a premium 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue multiple versus REIT-like peers, and the charts' breakout status is not confirmed. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4936888?gt=9e3029c2331da393&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-38.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Marvell: Don't Get Shaken Out Of The Sharp Sell-Off (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/marvell-dont-get-shaken-out-of-the-sharp-sell-off-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-08-12T03:45:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Marvell benefits from exponential AI data center growth and leadership in 1.6T optical networking chips. - Custom chip programs, including Microsoft Maia 300 and CXL memory expansion, are driving new revenue streams. - Severe optical device supply tightness is supporting a 10-20% pricing hike through CY27, but the risk is that the impact on gross margins is probably priced in. - Valuation multiple contraction has reduced the implied growth ask, although MRVL stock is still at a 13% to peers on 1-yr fwd PEs. - Despite a sharp correction, MRVL's technical uptrend is still intact. Don't get shaken out of normal volatility in this high-beta stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4934982?gt=c42f846352983255&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-37.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Dorchester Minerals: Cheap Royalty Play Despite Oil Price Headwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dorchester-minerals-cheap-royalty-play-despite-oil-price-headwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-11T12:31:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is an O&G royalty play that gets most of its revenues from oil-linked sales. - Falling oil prices due to rising inventories and demand losses are a headwind. - The Williston Basin acquisition diversifies royalty streams and lifts near-term sales, though long-term organic growth is limited. - DMLP trades at a 39% discount to its long-term P/FCF median, making its valuations attractive. - Monthly technicals show bullish momentum after a rebound from key support, with consolidation pointing to further upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4934291-dorchester-minerals-cheap-royalty-play-despite-oil-price-headwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-36.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Solid Power: Revenue Collapse Ahead But It's Cheap Enough To Hold (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/solid-power-revenue-collapse-ahead-but-its-cheap-enough-to-hold-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-11T03:07:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Solid Power faces a sharp revenue decline as milestone payments from SK On end and no new contracts are confirmed. - Commercialization timelines keep slipping, with electrolyte scale-up repeatedly delayed beyond original targets. - The stock is highly sensitive to interest rate hikes given its loss-making, long-duration growth profile. - The stock is highly sensitive to interest rate hikes given its loss-making, long-duration growth profile. - Technical analysis suggests SLDP is at a critical support level, offering potential for a bounce. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4934044-solid-power-revenue-collapse-ahead-but-its-cheap-enough-to-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-35.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 7 Aug'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/7-aug26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-08-10T09:10:17.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-27.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-28.png) - Most of the Australia exposure is AUD cash ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-29.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Infleqtion: My New Favorite Quantum Stock (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/infleqtion-my-new-favorite-quantum-stock-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-09T14:34:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Infleqtion uses neutral-atom quantum hardware that scales more cheaply than rivals needing deep-freeze cooling. - Close US government ties and Executive Order 14413 creates a visible near-term pipeline for quantum sensors, given the company's track record of prior deal wins associated with this technology application. - Management raised FY26 revenue guidance to at least $40 million, reflecting stronger deal momentum. I expect them to raise again in the upcoming Q2 earnings. - The company holds $444M in liquidity and has a $100M letter of intent for a further equity injection from the Department of Commerce. So the balance sheet is solid. - Valuation sits below peer medians on a 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue basis but remains speculative. The technical charts point bullish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4933891-infleqtion-my-new-favorite-quantum-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-26.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Starwood Property: Why I'm Buying This Mortgage REIT After Q2 Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/starwood-property-why-im-buying-this-mortgage-reit-after-q2-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-08T02:52:19.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Starwood Property Trust, Inc. is rapidly deploying capital into improving real estate markets but likely not at overall double-digit returns. - STWD expects to reallocate $900M from underperforming assets, catalyzing earnings growth as non-accruals decline and U.S. office vacancies stabilize. - The balance sheet is robust, with most debt shielded from mark-to-market and margin call provisions, reducing vulnerability to market volatility. - STWD trades at a premium to peers but remains below its historical median valuation on a standalone basis. - Technical indicators suggest STWD stock is near a monthly support level and may be due for a bullish bounce. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4933371-starwood-property-why-im-buying-this-mortgage-reit-after-q2-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-25.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Celestica's $3B Raise: Investors Don't Like Dilution And EPS Headwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celesticas-3b-raise-investors-dont-like-dilution-and-eps-headwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-06T15:57:49.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica Inc. is experiencing strong AI infrastructure-driven demand, prompting a 32% FY26 guidance upgrade and robust multi-year revenue growth expectations. - A $3B equity raise will fund capex and working capital but introduces immediate dilution (up to 9.7%) and extends return timelines, creating an EPS headwind. - Despite rising inventory days, CLS is improving cash flow conversion through increased supplier payables, with OCF/EBITDA nearing 80%. - CLS trades at sector-average 1-yr fwd P/E but at a PEG discount, supporting a slightly bullish valuation view. - Technicals suggest a neutral, consolidating market state amidst a broader bull market structure. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4931838-celestica-3b-raise-investors-dont-like-dilution-and-eps-headwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-24.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Portfolio Performance - Jul'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-jul26/ Last updated: 2026-08-03T03:57:12.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 30 Apr'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-10.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-11.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-12.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.69/0.95, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 0.88/1.67, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of 6.2%/6.2% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - Average of 137 tickers bet on over 25 months. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of 1.6x based on daily returns. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* ## Performance vs SPY AUD ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-13.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - \~6% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark in daily and weekly timeframes - High upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD. ## Active Stock Pick Selection Analytics ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-20.png) - Overall win rate averages are in the low 40%, but average win is almost 1.9x average loss, leading to a profit factor of 1.4-1.5. ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-15.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-16.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-17.png) - From a risk-adjusted performance perspective, the annualized alpha based on daily return series is decent at around 6%. It has consistently tracked above 4%. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-18.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-19.png) --- ## Takeaway These are strong risk‑adjusted results for a diversified, long‑only equity strategy by typical institutional benchmarks. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### 31 Jul'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/31-jul26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-08-03T03:01:32.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-1.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-2.png) - Most of the Australia exposure is AUD cash ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image-4.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Aeluma: Brilliant Tech But Challenging Valuation Math Fraught With Execution Hurdles (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/aeluma-brilliant-tech-but-challenging-valuation-math-fraught-with-execution-hurdles-archive/ Last updated: 2026-08-06T15:58:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Aeluma offers InGaAs photonic laser chips on large silicon wafers, targeting high-growth sectors but facing commercialization hurdles. - ALMU's technology could benefit from InP substrate shortages, yet customer qualification cycles remain lengthy and unpredictable. - Despite $37.78 million in liquidity and a capital-light model, ALMU's revenue guidance has been cut, and meaningful scale remains unproven. - Valuation remains demanding as the stock trades at a high 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue multiple and requires aggressive growth to justify current prices. - Technicals show a wide monthly range with high volatility but no clear directional bias. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4928847-aeluma-brilliant-tech-but-challenging-valuation-math-fraught-with-execution-hurdles?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/08/image.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Sivers Semiconductors: Overhyped With Poor Fundamentals (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sivers-semiconductors-overhyped-with-poor-fundamentals-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-31T10:44:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Sivers Semiconductors' revenue has remained volatile and directionless, with recent delays tied to U.S. government shutdowns and defense-budget approvals. - SIVE has sufficient liquidity in its balance sheet to last more than 5 years at its current rate of FCF burn. - SIVE's debt comes with high-interest rates up to 12%. This reflects the risk that the debt capital markets are seeing in the company. - SIVE is expanding manufacturing capacity against an uncontracted opportunity pipeline, while its revenue has repeatedly missed consensus expectations. - SIVE trades at a steep 26.9x forward EV/revenue, driven purely by unsustainable multiple expansion. The charts resemble a 2020-2021 boom-bust pattern. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4928533-sivers-semiconductors-overhyped-with-poor-fundamentals?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-67.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 24 Jul'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/24-jul26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-07-26T16:48:46.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-59.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-60.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-61.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### SoFi Technologies Q2 Preview: Product Expansions, Weak Consumer Macros And A Tough Growth Ask (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sofi-technologies-q2-preview-product-expansions-weak-consumer-macros-and-a-tough-growth-ask-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-26T02:33:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - SoFi is aggressively seeking to diversify its lending focused revenue stream with new product expansions via an AI investment platform, stablecoins, financial planning and investment products. - Q1 debit spending rebounded, particularly in travel and dining, but tax refunds appear to have driven the increase. Meanwhile, consumer sentiment remains very weak at multi-decadal lows. - Investors should focus on Q2 revenue guidance, as SoFi has regularly beaten reported-revenue estimates while guidance has been less compelling. - SoFi’s valuation implies nearly 41% 5-yr earnings CAGR growth, above the 35% consensus forecast. - Technicals are mixed: bearish momentum persists, but the stock is holding a key resistance-turned-support level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4925596-sofi-technologies-q2-preview-product-expansions-weak-consumer-macros-and-a-tough-growth-ask?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-58.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### VICI Properties: 6.8% Yield, Casino Buyouts, And A 30-40% Valuation Discount (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/vici-properties-6-8-yield-casino-buyouts-and-a-30-40-valuation-discount-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-25T03:33:26.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - VICI Properties offers a high, well-covered dividend and strong cash flows, making it attractive for income-focused investors. - The Caesars buyout could trigger property divestitures and new sale-leasebacks, reducing VICI’s tenant concentration risk. - VICI’s 6.84 percent forward dividend yield is well covered by AFFO with a 1.36 times coverage ratio. - Most of VICI’s debt is fixed rate with long maturities, limiting exposure to expected interest rate increases. - VICI trades at a 30% to 40% discount to sector AFFO and FFO multiples and sits at a major technical support. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4925462-vici-properties-6-8-percent-yield-casino-buyouts-and-a-30-40-percent-valuation-discount?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-57.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Alphabet: AI Brain Drain, Gemini Positioning, Ads Business Trends URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alphabet-ai-brain-drain-gemini-positioning-ads-business-trends/ Last updated: 2026-07-24T01:55:28.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. Loss of key AI talent coincides with Gemini lagging behind competitors on performance 2. But a new custom server chip can lead to greater efficiencies and a cheaper model, allowing it to gain share 3. Google Cloud is seeing accelerated growth but deteriorating FCF margins are a risk monitorable 4. Google's ad budget share is declining, but there are some green shoots with Youtube ads performance 5. GOOGL stock has gotten a bit cheaper 6. We can expect a bounce from a resistance-turned-support level _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Coinbase: Why I'm Flipping To Buy Before Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/coinbase-why-im-flipping-to-buy-before-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-24T01:15:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Coinbase’s rising take rate reflects new derivatives and prediction-market revenue, while record loan balances and tokenization deployments point to growing institutional platform adoption. - AI adoption is raising engineering output while sharply reducing AI costs, supporting a leaner expense base and $500M of cost savings. - A CLARITY Act passage before Congress’s August recess could reduce regulatory uncertainty and accelerate institutional crypto activity on Coinbase’s platform. - COIN trades at a substantial premium to its historical valuation and peers, but buyers continue defending monthly range support. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4924650-coinbase-why-im-flipping-to-buy-before-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-47.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### POET Technologies: The Bear Case Is Getting Riskier At These Levels (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/poet-technologies-the-bear-case-is-getting-riskier-at-these-levels-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-23T05:56:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - POET’s design win funnel could translate to over $100 million in annual recurring revenue, but the company has yet to prove commercial scale. - Management plans a 10x capacity increase by late FY27, but this would far exceed the current contracted visibility of \~$60M. - Volume shipments are expected in H2 FY26, making year-end results a key test of whether R&D can convert into scalable revenue. - POET shares trade at a P/B of 2.85x, near trough levels and about 68% below the long-term median of 8.98x. - POET stock has fallen into a major demand zone at a former resistance turned support level, increasing the odds of a short-term bullish bounce. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4924388-poet-technologies-bear-case-is-getting-riskier-at-these-levels-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-46.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### AMD: Open-Source AI Is The Catalyst, But Valuation Says Pause (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-open-source-ai-is-the-catalyst-but-valuation-says-pause-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-07-23T05:57:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - AMD is well positioned to benefit as open-source AI workloads gain share, leveraging its ROCm software stack across major developer frameworks. - The MEXT acquisition should help AMD offset memory cost inflation and support gross margins in the mid-50s percent range over the next few years. - AMD’s server CPU business stands to gain from agentic AI workload growth, even as Nvidia’s Vera CPU intensifies competition in this market. - Despite strong fundamentals, AMD trades at a steep 56.1x fwd PE, which is more than double the median of its semiconductor comps. - Technical momentum is fading, justifying a cautious stance near term. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4923713?gt=896a2edc2ed7a6ce&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-45.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Nvidia's Next Growth Engine: A CPU Built For AI Agents (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidias-next-growth-engine-a-cpu-built-for-ai-agents-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-07-21T07:30:42.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia Corporation aims to disrupt the x86 CPU market with Vera, a core design optimized for agentic AI workloads that targets around 20 billion dollars of FY27 sales. - NVDA is managing surging DRAM and NAND costs through architectural tradeoffs, long term memory supply deals, and higher rack pricing to defend mid 70s gross margins. - Rising B200 GPU lease rates and doubled black market Blackwell prices in China signal strong frontier AI demand and support Nvidia’s pricing power. - NVDA trades at a 1-yr fwd P/E of 20.3x, roughly 24% below the broad semiconductor comp median multiples. Consensus estimates vs. implied ask rates suggests an achievable earnings growth track. - Monthly total return charts show NVDA stuck in a range with a failed breakout, supporting a neutral near-term technical view despite attractive fundamentals. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4923493?gt=4803ca46754f91df&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-44.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Credo: Tracking The Critical Revenue Pivot From Copper To Optical Networking (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-tracking-the-critical-revenue-pivot-from-copper-to-optical-networking-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-07-21T07:28:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo Technology is positioned to benefit from neocloud compute capacity infrastructure expansions, with hyperscalers driving significant upward revisions in consensus revenue estimates. - The market for optical devices is projected to remain very tight through to late 2027\. This makes a case for gross profit margin expansions via favorable pricing. - Tracking CRDO's revenue mix transition from copper AEC connections to high-speed 1.6T optics is critical, as I view this as the driving narrative for the stock. - CRDO trades at a 23% discount to its optical sector peers on a 1-yr fwd PE basis, representing an attractive relative valuation. - Technical analysis indicates the stock is printing a potential failed breakout, suggesting price action is more likely to remain bound within its monthly trading range. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4923487?gt=7c62113f1a7dd7d4&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-43.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 17 Jul'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/17-jul26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-07-20T03:20:02.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-34.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-35.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-36.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### AST SpaceMobile Is Far Too Risky To Invest In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ast-spacemobile-is-far-too-risky-to-invest-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-20T04:25:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - AST SpaceMobile relies on a product-heavy revenue mix that introduces high lumpiness and unpredictability, undermining long-term confidence in steady subscription-based service income. - The company faces accelerating cash burn with a trailing twelve-month free cash flow deficit of $1.3 billion, leaving just over two years of funding runway. - High valuation metrics require an aggressive ten-year revenue growth rate to justify current prices, creating immense execution risk for investors if targets are missed. - Launch delays involving heavy-lift orbital vehicles threaten to postpone commercial revenue conversion and can trigger sudden, sharp downward movements in the stock price. - Technical analysis shows a strong breakdown from a weekly distribution range, though shorting remains highly dangerous due to short interest levels exceeding twenty percent Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4923308-ast-spacemobile-is-far-too-risky-to-invest-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-42.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### PayPal: M&A Bids Don't Change The Weak Growth Profile (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-m-a-bids-dont-change-the-weak-growth-profile-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-18T05:13:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - PayPal Holdings, Inc. faces stagnant organic growth as active account numbers remain flat and average payment value per transaction barely tracks ahead of inflation. - Upward momentum in US retail sales figures presents a potential high-frequency indicator for positive transaction volume surprises in the coming quarters. - If Stripe's bid for PayPal goes through, investors buying in now can make a quick 6%. But the odds of the deal happening are reducing. - PYPL stock is trading at a narrower historical discount relative to its peers while near-term consensus earnings expectations have undergone downward revisions. - Technical chart analysis indicates balanced forces between buyers and sellers on the weekly timeframe, pointing toward a period of sideways price consolidation. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4923148-paypal-m-and-a-bids-dont-change-the-weak-growth-profile?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-33.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Ares Capital: Trouble In The Software And Consumer Services Pipeline (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-trouble-in-the-software-and-consumer-services-pipeline-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-16T10:04:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ares Capital faces potential portfolio health deterioration due to its high investment backlog concentration in the software and consumer services sectors ahead of its Q2 earnings release. - Shifting enterprise IT budgets toward AI hardware and cybersecurity is cannibalizing standard software spending, threatening to trigger downward valuation repricing for software-exposed business development companies. - Historically weak consumer sentiment metrics present a steep fundamental headwind for the portion of the company's investment pipeline allocated directly toward consumer services businesses. - Core portfolio health metrics, including the weighted average portfolio grade and net asset value per share, show downward trends across consecutive quarters. - Valuation assessments present mixed signals as the stock trades at a premium 1-yr FWD P/E multiple relative to peers but maintains a historical P/B discount. The charts show a range-bound outlook. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4922222-ares-capital-trouble-in-the-software-and-consumer-services-pipeline?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-32.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Sandisk: How It Wins From The AI Inference Trend (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sandisk-how-it-wins-from-the-ai-inference-trend-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-07-14T06:13:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - More complex, agentic AI inference models require large data repositories, which shift memory demands up the hierarchy from DRAM to high-performance NAND storage solutions. - To alleviate capacity bottlenecks, the company is developing high-bandwidth flash memory with sample delivery expected in late 2026 and a full rollout planned for 2027. - Market tightness in the NAND sector is projected to persist through CY27, driven by multi-year structural upcycles and substantial multi-burner price hikes. - The Kioxia-Sandisk alliance is expanding NAND production capacity faster than other memory giants. - High valuation risks exist as the stock trades at a 1-year forward EV/EBITDA premium of 63% over peers. But the stock's technicals point bullish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4921608?gt=19636c00baf5dee0&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-31.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Why Nebius Is Perfectly Positioned For The Open-Source AI Shift (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-nebius-is-perfectly-positioned-for-the-open-source-ai-shift-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-13T11:38:51.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nebius plans a 65MW infrastructure expansion across three UK sites by FY27, which is projected to generate $546 million in incremental revenue. - Enterprise demand for cheaper open-source AI models benefits Nebius due to its optimized cloud stack and highly competitive compute pricing compared to major legacy hyperscalers. - Soaring Nvidia B200 GPU rental prices combined with short-duration contracts provide a significant tailwind that could expand the company's gross margins above 80%. - NBIS stock trades at a premium 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue multiple of 10.6x, requiring an aggressive 44.4% 8-yr revenue CAGR to justify its current valuation. - Technical analysis indicates a sustained long-term monthly uptrend, with recent price pullbacks offering healthy entry points before the broader upward trajectory resumes. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4921516-nebius-perfectly-positioned-for-open-source-ai-shift?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-30.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 10 Jul'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/10-jul26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-07-13T05:32:07.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-21.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-22.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-23.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Lumentum: A Clear Winner Of Data Center Networking Speed Upgrades (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lumentum-a-clear-winner-of-data-center-networking-speed-upgrades-archive/ Last updated: 2026-07-11T05:24:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lumentum Holdings Inc. is well-positioned to benefit from industry-wide upgrades to higher data transmission speeds, driving robust EML demand. - The optical devices market remains tight through at least 2028, supporting 15-20% ASP increases and gross margin expansion for LITE. - LITE is at a critical inflection point toward positive free cash flow, with >30% FCF margins expected by FY28 mitigating higher interest rate risks. - LITE trades at a 1-year forward P/E multiple of 49.5x, representing a narrow 3% discount to the optical peer group median. This suggests relatively fair valuation. - The LITE technical charts are clearly bullish, and pullbacks are healthy corrections providing opportunities to buy more. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4921250-lumentum-a-clear-winner-of-data-center-networking-speed-upgrades?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-20.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Micron: This Memory Cycle Is Only Getting Stronger (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-this-memory-cycle-is-only-getting-stronger-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-07-09T17:07:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron benefits from structural tailwinds as tight DRAM and NAND market conditions are expected to persist until at least post-2028 due to surging AI inference workloads. - Long-term strategic customer agreements now cover 20% of DRAM and 33% of NAND volume, stabilizing pricing and driving projected gross margins above 60% by 2030. - Emerging Chinese competitors are expanding market share but remain technologically lagged by 2 to 5 years and pose minimal threat as their supply is contained domestically. - MU stock needs a 22.6% 10-year EBITDA CAGR to justify its current market price. With a 177% CAGR for the annual EBITDA growth rate through FY28, growth is on track to meet expectations. - Technical analysis confirms a robust long-term monthly uptrend, establishing clear support levels where equity pullbacks present high-probability buying opportunities for investors. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4920867?gt=43ddc07aeef8a08a&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-19.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Portfolio Performance - Jun'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-jun26/ Last updated: 2026-07-09T04:08:08.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 30 Apr'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-9.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-10.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-8.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.88/1.11, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 1.10/1.97, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of 8.2%/8.0% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - Average of 137 tickers bet on over 24 months. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of almost 2x based on daily returns. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* ## Performance vs SPY AUD ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-11.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - 87% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark in daily and weekly timeframes - High upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD. ## Active Stock Pick Selection Analytics ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-18.png) - Overall win rate averages are in the low 40%, but average win is almost 2x average loss, leading to a profit factor of 1.4-1.6. ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-13.png) - Mostly sustained outperformance ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-14.png) - Lagging the market rebound in 2026 has reduced active return gains ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-15.png) - But from a risk-adjusted performance perspective, the annualized alpha based on daily return series is still very good at around 8%. It has consistently tracked above 4%. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-16.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-17.png) - Active return drawdowns has climbed up to >10.00%. --- ## Takeaway These are strong risk‑adjusted results for a diversified, long‑only equity strategy by typical institutional benchmarks. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### 6 Jul'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/6-jul26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-07-06T00:44:55.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-1.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/07/image-2.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Amazon: Fantastic Outlook In AWS And E-Commerce Vs. Potential Overvaluation (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-fantastic-outlook-in-aws-and-e-commerce-vs-potential-overvaluation-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-30T17:58:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Amazon.com, Inc. is experiencing strong fundamental momentum as AWS revenue growth accelerates and robust leading indicators point to double-digit e-commerce expansion in upcoming quarters. - Heavy investments in custom chips like Trainium generate significant revenue while positioning AWS to achieve superior capex efficiency and structurally higher EBIT margins. - Leading indicators for AMZN's e-commerce business point to a strong double-digit growth print, driven by accelerating U.S. Retail Sales and a commanding 47% U.S. e-commerce market share. - Rapidly rising global freight shipping costs are a risk to monitor, as they can drive up unit fulfillment expenses and pressure near-term commerce margins. - AMZN stock trades at a steep 64% 1-yr P/E premium relative to peers, creating notable overvaluation risk as technical resistance indicates that sellers are actively fighting the stock's breakout attempt. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4918895-amazon-fantastic-outlook-in-aws-and-e-commerce-vs-potential-overvaluation?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-75.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Rocket Lab And The Long Path To Profitability (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rocket-lab-and-the-long-path-to-profitability-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-06-30T08:05:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rocket Lab faces delayed profitability due to negative incremental margins driven by vertical integration initiatives and high early unit costs for Neutron. - Rate hike probabilities have increased over the upcoming quarter, posing a significant multiple compression headwind for RKLB, exacerbated by its very negative FCF profile. - RKLB needs a 30% 15-year revenue CAGR to justify its current valuations and earn a mere market-level return. Hardly any companies have grown at this rate for so long. - RKLB's charts show that the stock is still in an uptrend, but the sellers currently have the initiative as they post bearish engulf candles. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-73.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4918472?gt=1d775c29e173f575&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 26 Jun'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/26-jun26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-06-29T05:52:46.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-64.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-65.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-66.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Palantir: Scaling This Business Takes More Labor Than The Market Realizes (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-scaling-this-business-takes-more-labor-than-the-market-realizes-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-06-29T05:27:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir rapidly expands its client base through short-term AIP bootcamps, reducing traditional enterprise sales cycles from an entire year down to just a few days. - Meaningful account scaling requires labor-intensive custom configuration by forward-deployed engineers, which acts as an operational bottleneck that can slow down scalability. I fear the market may not tolerate this. - The stock trades at a demanding valuation that requires an exceptional 12-year earnings growth CAGR of 25%. Only 3 companies have grown at this rate on a similar scale. - Technical analysis shows a prominent bearish engulfing pattern on the monthly chart, shifting near-term momentum to sellers while the primary long-term uptrend remains intact. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4918327?gt=027592b2d4baa31b&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-63.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Apple: The Post-Price Hikes Selloff Is An Overreaction (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-the-post-price-hikes-selloff-is-an-overreaction-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-29T05:27:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Apple Inc. is strategically testing consumer price elasticity by implementing price hikes on its non-core products while temporarily shielding its core iPhone segment from immediate increases. - Historical data for the iPhone 16 and 17 series reveals accelerating adoption rates for premium Pro Max models, indicating that Apple consumers are increasingly less price-sensitive. - Rising iCloud+ subscriptions driven by upgraded Apple Intelligence features can accelerate services revenue growth toward a 20% YoY trajectory. - AAPL trades at a premium to its historic valuation average but remains at a historically low relative premium compared to peers, signaling a fair current valuation. - Monthly technical charts show the long-term uptrend remains intact with bulls in control, though short-term sellers are beginning to challenge the bulls. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4918022-apple-the-post-price-hikes-selloff-is-an-overreaction?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-62.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Microsoft Is Paying Too Much In Capex To Drive Revenue Growth (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-is-paying-too-much-in-capex-to-drive-revenue-growth-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-06-26T15:39:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Microsoft Corporation's data center capacity expansion to 10GW by FY26 is projected to accelerate Cloud revenue growth by 12.4% to 21.3%, aided by the Anthropic Azure AI Foundry deal. - Average revenue per user for Office 365 can surprise to the upside, as Copilot adoption drives a transition toward consumption-based and usage-based compute pricing models. - Aggressive capital expenditure projected to reach $190B by the end of CY26 carries an estimated negative ROI of -9.3%, signaling that Microsoft is overpaying for revenue growth. - Accelerated depreciation and amortization costs from massive AI infrastructure outlays threaten to create a 500bps headwind to EBIT margins over the next couple of years. - Despite trading at a slight 1-year forward P/E discount to peers and historical averages, a classic head-and-shoulders technical pattern on the monthly chart points to impending stock downside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4917877?gt=8e7e7ebb14a5bec9&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-61.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Decoding Celestica: How Custom AI Hardware Is The Most Important Catalyst (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/decoding-celestica-how-custom-ai-hardware-is-the-most-important-catalyst-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-26T15:36:12.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica stands to win from Alphabet's $85B capital raise to fund AI capex because it is a key manufacturing partner for Google's tensor processing units (TPUs). - Strategic involvement in the Jalapeño project positions Celestica to benefit from multi-year deployments of next-generation custom AI accelerator chips designed by OpenAI and Broadcom through 2029. - I expect insourced custom silicon development to be the next major trend. This is a structural tailwind for Celestica via both revenue growth and margin expansion. - CLS stock trades in line with its comps set but has flattish stock drivers in terms of its valuation multiple and earnings expectations. - Technical analysis reveals a robust long-term uptrend and healthy momentum, suggesting the stock remains well-positioned for potential gains as the custom hardware development cycle matures. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4917746-decoding-celestica-how-custom-ai-hardware-is-the-most-important-catalyst?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-60.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### SpaceX: Is The Starlink TAM Overstated? A Critical Valuation Review (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/spacex-is-the-starlink-tam-overstated-a-critical-valuation-review-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-25T07:38:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - SpaceX claims a massive total addressable market for Starlink, but this figure likely overstates potential revenue by ignoring competitive disadvantages in high-density urban areas. - The company's decision to fund the expensive acquisition of Cursor with stock suggests management may believe shares are fully valued. - High cash burn rates and a significant debt load create financial pressure, leaving the company with a limited runway until further financing is required. - To justify its valuation, SPCX requires an unprecedented revenue growth rate of 39% CAGR over the next decade. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4917594-spacex-is-the-starlink-tam-overstated-a-critical-valuation-review?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-59.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 19 Jun'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/19-jun26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-06-22T01:32:56.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-49.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-50.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-51.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Marvell: Set To Win From Hyperscalers' Custom Chip Programs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/marvell-set-to-win-from-hyperscalers-custom-chip-programs-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-24T04:03:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Marvell is positioned for multi-year high revenue growth as hyperscalers expand custom chip programs and rely on MRVL's networking and advanced packaging IP. - Custom chip revenue already contributes about $1.6B in TTM revenues. This is expected to grow to over $10B over the next 3 years. - With \~45% YoY revenue growth and operating expenses growing in the mid-teens YoY range, there is a case for margin expansion. I expect almost 400bps over the next 2 years. - MRVL trades at a premium to semiconductor peers, but consensus estimates imply a \~39% 6-yr fwd earnings CAGR that can support the high valuation, albeit with a low margin of safety. - Technicals show a strong multi-year uptrend with a recent breakout from a re-accumulation base, suggesting the stock’s positive momentum is likely to persist. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4915288-marvell-set-to-win-from-hyperscalers-custom-chip-programs?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-58.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Astronics: On The Cusp Of A Production And Upgradation Upcycle (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/astronics-on-the-cusp-of-a-production-and-upgradation-upcycle-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-06-24T02:00:19.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Astronics benefits from record backlog, rising bookings, and a broad aircraft production and retrofit upcycle across Boeing, Airbus, and global airlines. - Growth in in-flight entertainment and connectivity and premium seat motion systems is accelerating, supported by shorter technology cycles and Astronics’ strong market position with airlines and OEM partners. - Higher production volumes should drive operating leverage, supporting a path toward high-teens adjusted EBIT margins as the mix improves toward higher-margin Aerospace systems. - Management and key insiders have materially increased their Astronics shareholdings, signaling confidence in the stock's bullish outlook. - Astronics trades near peer median 1-yr fwd P/E despite rising earnings expectations, while technicals show a breakout within a broader uptrend. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4915066?gt=a7811b8ef5ae985e&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-57.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Nova: Riding A Trillion‑Dollar Fab Capex Wave URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nova-riding-a-trillion-dollar-fab-capex-wave/ Last updated: 2026-06-13T16:33:19.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. A massive capital expenditure upcycle is underway in wafer fabrication equipment 2. Nova is positioned at the highest intensity points of this upcycle 3. Nova is gaining market share from competitors 4. NVMI may look undervalued vs peers but is pricey relative to its required growth rate 5. The charts signal a readiness to resume the uptrend _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 12 Jun'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/12-jun26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-06-13T06:26:40.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-37.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-38.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-39.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Novo Nordisk: Wegovy Pill Is Encouraging But Still Not Enough To Make Me Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/novo-nordisk-wegovy-pill-is-encouraging-but-still-not-enough-to-make-me-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-13T06:06:02.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Wegovy pill’s fast US uptake expands Novo Nordisk’s obesity market and slows down the pace of profit degrowth. - CagriSema’s late 2026 US regulatory decision is a key R&D catalyst, despite weaker commercial positioning versus Eli Lilly's corresponding drug. - Rising net working capital days due to lower payable days is leading to a deterioration in cash flow conversion. This is a key risk to watch. - NVO trades below typical peers' 1-yr fwd PE multiples, but earnings growth expectations remain soft, limiting upside conviction. - The charts show NVO holding major support with fading selling pressure, yet no clear bullish engulf signal. This implies likely consolidation ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4914615-novo-nordisk-wegovy-pill-is-encouraging-but-still-not-enough-to-make-me-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-36.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### AMD: The Market Is Still Underpricing Its AI CPU Super Cycle (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-the-market-is-still-underpricing-its-ai-cpu-super-cycle-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-06-12T14:44:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - The server CPU business is accelerating, with TAM now expected to grow over 35% annually to more than $120B by 2030. - AMD’s server CPU revenue is guided to grow more than 70% YoY in Q2 FY26, supported by higher ASPs and market share gains versus Intel. - Demand for AMD’s MI450 GPUs and Helios rack scale systems already exceeds initial 2027 plans, led by large multi-gigawatt deployments by Meta and OpenAI. - Consumer PC competition from Nvidia and higher memory costs pose a headwind to AMD’s client and gaming shipment volumes and margins. - AMD trades at a rich premium vs its comps, but consensus earnings forecasts suggests that it can outgrow the required 37% 7-yr earnings CAGR it needs to match market returns. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4914422?gt=f068f7f3772a31fb&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-35.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Nvidia Looks Undervalued, But That Doesn't Make Me More Bullish (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-looks-undervalued-but-that-doesnt-make-me-more-bullish-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-11T02:42:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia Corporation trades at a 1-yr fwd P/E below its history and peers. Its implied growth ask rate is also undemanding. - Revenue growth near 85% could persist as Nvidia expands into CPUs. And Foxconn supplier data indicates strong AI demand ahead. - Falling GPU rental prices and entry into low-margin consumer PCs could pressure Nvidia’s currently high gross margins. - Growing adoption of custom AI chips by hyperscalers like Amazon and Google can threaten Nvidia’s long-term pricing power and data center share. - NVDA's chart shows a failed breakout and a return to a wide trading range, suggesting choppy, sideways price action despite strong fundamentals. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4913877-nvidia-looks-undervalued-but-that-doesnt-make-me-more-bullish?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-34.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Adobe: I'm Not Expecting Much In Q2 And Beyond (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/adobe-im-not-expecting-much-in-q2-and-beyond-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-10T04:52:45.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - AI-driven cannibalization is weakening Adobe Inc.'s legacy products, particularly Adobe Stock, while freemium offerings create near-term ARR headwinds. - ADBE's gross margins should stay broadly stable, as easing data center and GPU costs are offset by rising competitive pricing pressure from Figma and Canva. - ADBE stock trades at a large 1-year forward P/E discount to software peers, but the implied 6-year earnings growth ask rate exceeds its current normalized profit growth track. - Technicals show ADBE stock in a downtrend with weak bullish defense near 220, suggesting likely sideways price action ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4913417-adobe-im-not-expecting-much-in-q2-and-beyond?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-33.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Oracle: Risks To Watch For In Q4 And Beyond (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/oracle-risks-to-watch-for-in-q4-and-beyond-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-08T15:46:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Oracle Corporation’s record $553B RPOs (backlog) are heavily concentrated in OpenAI, with a large portion scheduled to convert into revenue only after several years. - OpenAI’s funding needs, projected heavy cash burn, and missed internal targets create uncertainty for Oracle’s backlog-to-revenue conversion. - ORCL’s aggressive AI capex plan boosts growth but pressures free cash flow and may generate returns below long‑run equity market expectations after inclusion of costs. - Revenue should accelerate in the next two quarters on AI and multicloud demand, but Oracle’s history of minimal guidance and results surprise suggests this is mostly priced in. - ORCL stock trades at a sizable 1-yr FWD P/E premium to AI infrastructure and software peers. The common shares seem to have better prospects than the 6.5% yielding preferred share class. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4912878-oracle-risks-to-watch-for-in-q4-and-beyond?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-32.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 5 Jun'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/5-jun26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-06-07T17:22:31.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-24.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-25.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-26.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Credo: Optics Ramp, Margin Upside And Bullish Charts Point To More Upside (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-optics-ramp-margin-upside-and-bullish-charts-point-to-more-upside-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-06T14:47:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo is rapidly ramping its optics portfolio, with management guiding to more than $600M of optics revenue in FY27. - Next generation 1.6T data center networks depend on 3nm chips, and 3nm capacity constraints could cap Credo’s longer term revenue upside. - The DustPhotonics acquisition brings photonic integrated circuits in-house and reduces per module laser count by 75 percent, supporting structurally higher gross margins. - Credo’s gross margin outlook remains strong, with management guiding to around 68 percent near term. I expect further improvement to 70%+ as the optics business scales up. - Even after its run, CRDO's implied multi-year earnings growth expectations still look achievable relative to its margin expansion and revenue growth potential. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4912573-credo-optics-ramp-margin-upside-and-bullish-charts-point-to-more-upside?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-23.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Portfolio Performance - May'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-may26/ Last updated: 2026-06-06T06:36:10.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 30 Apr'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-13.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-14.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-15.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.89/1.11, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 1.12/2.00, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of 8.3%/7.5% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - Average of 133 tickers bet on over 22 months. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of 1.5-2.5x. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* ## Performance vs SPY AUD ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-16.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>7% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark in daily and weekly timeframes - High upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD. ## Active Stock Pick Selection Analytics ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-22.png) - Overall win rate averages are in the low 40%, but average win is almost 2x average loss, leading to a profit factor of 1.4-1.6. ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-17.png) - Mostly sustained outperformance, but I lagged the sharp market rebound in May'26. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-18.png) - Lagging the May'26 rebound has reduced active return gains to nearly 0\. Now the portfolio has merely matched market returns. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-19.png) - But from a risk-adjusted performance perspective, the annualized alpha based on daily return series is still very good at around 8%. It has consistently tracked above 4%. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-20.png) - The rebound in my portfolio in May'26 was not as complete as what the SPY AUD did. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-21.png) - Active return drawdowns has climbed up to >10.00%. --- ## Takeaway These are strong risk‑adjusted results for a diversified, long‑only equity strategy by typical institutional benchmarks. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alphabet Is Managing AI Capex Well And Seems Highly Underrated (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alphabet-is-managing-ai-capex-well-and-seems-highly-underrated-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-05T11:41:27.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Alphabet is ramping AI infrastructure capex, temporarily compressing free cash flow while positioning for long-term leadership in AI compute. - The equity-funded $85B capital raise reflects a preference to avoid higher future debt costs and to share AI project risk with shareholders. - Alphabet is losing some ad share, and YouTube RoAS is weakening as it faces some regulatory headwinds. So this is a risk to watch. - Overall profit growth still far exceeds the implied 15% 7-yr earnings CAGR the market is pricing in, suggesting undervaluation of its shares. - There is no reason to not follow the strong technical uptrend. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4912261-alphabet-managing-ai-capex-well-and-seems-highly-underrated?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-12.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Broadcom Q2: Undervalued After The Post-Earnings Selloff (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-q2-undervalued-after-the-post-earnings-selloff-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-04T09:52:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Hyperscalers' AI capex ROI looks only roughly in line with equity market return expectations. This may prompt greater scrutiny of AI spend from here on. - Tighter scrutiny of AI budgets may pressure Broadcom's pace of growth, but rising demand for custom AI accelerators and networking should partially offset slower generic accelerator spending. - A mix shift toward lower-margin AI hardware is pressuring Broadcom's gross margins and weakening its working capital profile. - Broadcom trades at a notable discount to semiconductor peers on forward P/E despite historically commanding a premium multiple. - AVGO's long-term uptrend remains intact, but the recent post-earnings selloff has paused bullish momentum near a key resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4911847-broadcom-q2-undervalued-after-the-post-earnings-selloff?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-11.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 29 May'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/29-may26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-06-01T11:15:45.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image.png) - A balanced portfolio across major geographies ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-1.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/06/image-2.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Palo Alto Networks: Why It's Worth Buying Before June 2 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palo-alto-networks-why-its-worth-buying-before-june-2-archive/ Last updated: 2026-06-01T08:46:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palo Alto Networks' Q3 FY26 results are likely to beat expectations, driven by strong demand for its unified security platform and positive channel checks from major cybersecurity integrators. - Accelerating adoption of network security and security operation modules, along with higher remaining performance obligations, points to sustained high-growth and potential upside to revenue and RPO guidance. - PANW is positioned to benefit from rising enterprise cybersecurity budgets, with broad next-generation security coverage and new identity offerings like Idira supporting platformization and cross‑sell. - The stock trades at a rich 1-year FWD P/E multiple, and the stock needs a 5-year 47% earnings CAGR to justify its price. This results in an overvaluation risk. - After a two‑year consolidation, PANW has broken out technically, signaling a possible resumption of its longer‑term uptrend despite the demanding valuation backdrop. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4910293-palo-alto-networks-why-its-worth-buying-before-2-june?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### ServiceNow: It Still Looks Too Expensive (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/servicenow-it-still-looks-too-expensive-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-30T04:15:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - ServiceNow’s long-term $30B subscription revenue goal depends on sustained execution and AI adoption. But recent revenue beats have moderated, reducing confidence in bold long-term growth targets. - The $7.75B Armis acquisition looks expensive VS. SaaS peers and creates near-term margin and free cash flow headwinds. - ServiceNow took on $4B of new debt to fund Armis. This will increase interest costs and hit free cash flow margins. - Stock-based compensation intensity is expected to remain flat instead of declining, limiting operating leverage and potentially favoring employees over shareholders. - A reverse DCF suggests ServiceNow needs about 31% FIVE-year earnings CAGR, which appears demanding VS. current mid-teens YoY PAT growth and low-20s consensus EPS growth expectations for the next 2-3 years. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4910180-servicenow-it-still-looks-too-expensive?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Dell: A Detailed Look At Its Q1 Results (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dell-a-detailed-look-at-its-q1-results-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-05-29T17:35:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Dell Technologies Inc. raised full-year AI server revenue guidance to $60B with a $51.3B backlog, as pipeline remains multiples of backlog after converting $24.4B into orders. - Memory price stabilization should relieve gross margin pressure from the recent 17-18% trough, with recovery toward 20% expected within a couple of quarters. - Dell maintained 16.5% PC shipment market share in Q1 2026 while growing Client Solutions Group revenue, benefiting from ongoing enterprise refresh cycles. - Net working capital deterioration from rising receivables and falling unearned revenue poses a risk to TTM FCF margins currently near 4-year peaks. - Current DELL stock valuation requires only a 16.9% 6-year earnings CAGR to achieve market returns, which appears achievable given recent profit growth acceleration. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4910089?gt=a4eb4c38fabc1ab2&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### I Was Dead Wrong On CrowdStrike And AI But Now I'm Buying In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/i-was-dead-wrong-on-crowdstrike-and-ai-but-now-im-buying-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-29T17:35:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - CrowdStrike benefits from AI agents exposing vulnerabilities while its Falcon platform still handles mission-critical, always-on security governance that current autonomous agents are not suited to replace. - New AI-driven products like Falcon OverWatch and Next-Gen SIEM should lift multi-module adoption, cross-sell, pricing power, and net retention over the next several quarters. - Stock-based compensation remains above 20% of revenue, but the CEO’s performance share units tied to S&P 500 outperformance support long-term alignment with shareholders. - CRWD needs about 35% EPS CAGR over 7 years, above current consensus EPS growth rates. This makes valuation a key risk despite strong fundamentals. - Technicals show an ongoing uptrend with a recent bullish engulfing month breaking resistance, which could indicate further upside in the share price. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4910026-i-was-dead-wrong-on-crowdstrike-and-ai-but-now-im-buying-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Energy Transfer: The Drivers Behind Above-Average Growth This Year (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-the-drivers-behind-above-average-growth-this-year-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-29T17:28:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Energy Transfer benefits from significant intrastate gas volume additions, largely driven by long-term data center contracts that should materially lift segment EBITDA over the next few quarters. - NGL transportation and exports are set for above-average volume growth in 2026, supported by new capacity and record export volumes at their Nederland terminal. - Higher-for-longer interest rates are a key risk, given net debt around 4.5x EBITDA and interest expense already consuming over a third of EBIT. - ET trades at a discount to midstream peers but at a premium to its own historical EV/EBITDA, creating mixed signals on valuation. - The technical charts trend is positive, but the company is testing key monthly resistance, making this a higher-risk point for new entries. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4909940-energy-transfer-drivers-behind-above-average-growth-this-year?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Nebius: Riding Powerful Demand Volume And Pricing Tailwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nebius-riding-powerful-demand-volume-and-pricing-tailwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-29T17:24:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nebius benefits from sold-out AI compute capacity and rising GPU rental prices, creating a powerful revenue tailwind supported by strong customer demand signals. - Management has raised 2026 capex to expand data centers and GPUs, with signed hyperscaler commitments supporting near-term revenue realization and limiting execution risk. - NBIS faces a funding gap for its ambitious capex plans, but large, marquee customer contracts and Nvidia's financial backing should support access to debt and equity financing. - The company trades at a premium 1-yr fwd EV/revenue multiple that has compressed vs. peers, with stock gains now primarily driven by upgraded revenue expectations rather than multiple expansion. - The healthy momentum on the charts also paints a bullish outlook for NBIS. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4909875-nebius-riding-powerful-demand-volume-and-pricing-tailwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Lumentum: Purchase Obligations Are Exploding And Here's Why That Matters (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lumentum-purchase-obligations-are-exploding-and-heres-why-that-matters-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-28T17:10:11.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lumentum Holding’s purchase obligations have surged, signaling strong demand visibility and likely revenue acceleration as OCS systems and CPO laser backlog convert to sales in H2 2026 and FY27. - Tight supply and sold-out demand in EMLs and lasers are worsening, supporting Lumentum’s pricing power and a credible case for gross margin expansion over the next several quarters. - Earlier, I had missed the financial impact of a $2B investment from Nvidia. This has significantly strengthened Lumentum’s liquidity, reducing my risk concerns of large short-term convertible debt obligations. - LITE's valuation premium versus optical semiconductor peers has normalized, while earnings expectations are rising, indicating a healthier fundamental basis for the current share price. - Technicals suggest the uptrend in LITE stock may slow or stall near term. So there is a risk that the stock may lag behind initially. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4909230-lumentum-purchase-obligations-are-exploding-and-heres-why-that-matters?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Sandisk Can Keep On Rising Even If NAND Prices Cool (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sandisk-can-keep-on-rising-even-if-nand-prices-cool-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-05-28T17:05:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Sandisk's data center storage revenue is surging on AI-fueled demand, with repeated upside surprises versus Wall Street expectations. - Sandisk is extending its JV with Kioxia Holdings, securing DRAM supply, and boosting fab output through R&D efficiency, keeping capex intensity low while expanding free cash flow margins. - A newly authorized 6 billion dollar share buyback, alongside rising buyback spending, signals management’s confidence in Sandisk's prospects ahead. - NAND spot prices have paused rising, and Chinese competitors are expanding capacity, presenting a risk of the memory upcycle ending sooner. But Sandisk can thrive on volume growth alone. - SNDK's EV/EBITDA premium to peers is now below its historical median levels, while earnings growth is driving most of the stock’s gains—a good foundation for long-term upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4909058?gt=0e8a92e8885ca25e&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### POET Technologies: I Don't Know When, But This Party Won't End Well (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/poet-technologies-i-dont-know-when-but-this-party-wont-end-well-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-27T07:23:23.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - POET Technologies Inc.’s valuation has run far ahead of fundamental reality, which has minimal revenues. POET stock is pricing in far more than even the most optimistic recognition of $500M revenue potential. - The Lumilens startup behind the $500M potential contract has a history of missing fundraising targets and may have had a significant valuation haircut. - Industry voices question whether POET’s optical interposer solves a real problem versus existing pluggable transceiver solutions, casting doubt on long-term product-market fit. - Large equity raises have created a sizeable liquidity cushion and a decadal funding runway track. But this safety net has come at the cost of heavy shareholder dilution. - Strong technical momentum and a sustained breakout above key resistance now create meaningful sentiment-driven upside risk for POET stock that conflicts with the weak fundamental picture. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4908944-poet-technologies-i-dont-know-when-but-this-party-wont-end-well?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Ares Capital: Too Many Risks Brewing (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-too-many-risks-brewing-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-26T16:31:40.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ares Capital faces a weak M&A backdrop with sharply lower reported net commitments, but I see early signs of improvement as higher volatility subsides as geopolitical uncertainty potentially eases out. - ARCC’s higher floating rate debt mix, combined with a risk of higher for longer rates, threatens to push funding costs above 5% and further compress yield spreads. - A recent 1.8% NAV decline, mostly from mark to market pressure, highlights ARCC’s exposure to a broader private credit downturn despite still-healthy portfolio credit grades. - ARCC trades at a noticeable premium to BDC peers on 1-yr fwd PEs and near its long term average P/B, leaving limited valuation-driven upside. - ARCC’s share price remains stuck in a broad trading range with neutralized recent momentum and no clear technical trend either higher or lower. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4908824-ares-capital-too-many-risks-brewing?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 22 May'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/22-may26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-05-25T13:32:08.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-100.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-101.png) - Country-wide diversification has increased a lot. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-103.png) - Technology exposure has increased meaningfully again. Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### How To Get The Best Slice Of Annaly Capital (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/how-to-get-the-best-slice-of-annaly-capital-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-26T16:32:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. I also publish full 5-Minute Pitches on this site. This will be behind a paywall, accessible to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Annaly Capital faces potential NAV erosion from rising rates and term spread compression but currently trades near its historical valuation premium versus peers. - Lower hedge ratios have increased NLY’s interest rate sensitivity, worsening the outlook if policy rates rise or stay elevated. - Ongoing equity issuance dilutes shareholders but is partly offset by redeployment into higher‑yielding assets instead of lower‑yield agency MBS. - Term spread compression threatens NLY’s net interest spread and dividend capacity, making the preferred shares relatively more appealing to income‑focused investors. - Among NLY securities, the fixed‑rate Series J preferred stands out by offering an 8.875% coupon and potential price upside if long‑term rates decline. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4908380?gt=7de9cadd9c91a198&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Duos Technologies: An Under-The-Radar Microcap Staging A Promising Pivot Into AI URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/duo-technologies-an-under-the-radar-microcap-staging-a-promising-pivot-into-ai/ Last updated: 2026-05-26T00:56:37.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. DUOT is transitioning away its loss-making legacy rail inspection business into data centers and GPUs 2. A large GPUaaS contract can lead to a step jump in revenues at high margins 3. IRRs on edge data centers are also attractive 4. Funding and execution are the major risk monitorables 5. Implied growth ask is well below company's projections 6. A powerful breakout with increased volume signals a continued run ahead _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Newmont May Be Facing Lower Gold Prices And Higher Costs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/newmont-may-be-facing-lower-gold-prices-and-higher-costs-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-24T02:45:57.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Higher-for-longer interest rates are likely to pressure gold prices and Newmont Corproation's (NEM) s realized pricing over coming quarters. - Rising oil prices and Ghana’s new royalty regime are expected to keep Newmont’s AISC above roughly 1,700 dollars per ounce in 2026. - Newmont trades near 8.3x 1-yr fwd P/CFPS, representing a small discount to its historical median and broadly in line with precious metals peers. - Valuation appears only modestly attractive given the combination of softer gold price expectations and structurally higher cost pressures. - Newmont’s share price remains locked in a wide weekly range, making a strong near-term directional call on the stock difficult. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4906358-newmont-may-be-facing-lower-gold-prices-and-higher-costs?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### SoFi: Lackluster Fundamentals And Tough Valuations Vs Oversold Stock (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sofi-lackluster-fundamentals-and-tough-valuations-vs-oversold-stock-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-24T02:28:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - SoFi’s loan originations are growing rapidly, but higher-for-longer rates and new student loan rules threaten the sustainability of refinancing-led growth. - SoFi’s liability-sensitive balance sheet means rising or sticky rates can compress net interest margins as funding costs reset faster than loan yields. - The current share price embeds an implied 5-year earnings CAGR around 42%, far above SoFi’s recent sub-20% profit growth. - Bearish momentum remains on the chart, but price is approaching a key monthly demand zone where selling pressure appears to be slowing. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4906004-sofi-lackluster-fundamentals-and-tough-valuations-vs-oversold-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 15 May'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/15-may26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-05-17T18:15:35.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-73.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-74.png) ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-75.png) - Technology exposure has reduced meaningfully. Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Harmonic Drive Systems: Early Signs of Demand Revival and Margin Expansion URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/harmonic-drive-systems-early-signs-of-demand-revival-and-margin-expansion/ Last updated: 2026-05-17T08:30:32.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. Strong order bookings signal a demand recovery 2. Higher utilizations can lead to margin expansion 3. There is some overvaluation and hype risk in the valuations 4. The charts show a classic consolidation and bullish breakout _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Rocket Lab: The Stock Is More Expensive Now, But I've Still Decided To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rocket-lab-the-stock-is-more-expensive-now-but-ive-still-decided-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-17T04:38:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Neutron is securing large multi-year launch bookings before its official debut, pushing Rocket Lab's total backlog to $2.2 billion. - New neutron and electron contracts are priced at average selling prices, indicating pricing power and supporting stable or possibly higher gross margins. - The Motiv Space Systems acquisition at $60 million values the target at a steep premium to similar aerospace manufacturers, increasing the risk of overpaying. - RKLB's implied 15-year revenue CAGR requirement has risen to 33% from 29% earlier this year, meaning the stock now embeds more aggressive expectations and is more expensive. - The company recently broke out from a 3-month consolidation base, creating a clean bullish technical setup following prior accumulation. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4903598-rocket-lab-the-stock-is-more-expensive-now-but-ive-still-decided-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 8 May'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/8-may26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-05-11T01:23:54.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-45.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-46.png) - I am pleased to see the portfolio well-diversified across multiple geographies. I don't particularly aim for this outcome; it is a consequence of what I find most compelling in my 9,000+ ticker global equities universe. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-47.png) - The portfolio exposure is weighted toward AI and related energy buildouts. Sections below disclose individual holdings and more detailed country, sector and industry splits. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Dell: The Stock Is Pricey But I'm Still Dipping Into The Buys (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dell-the-stock-is-pricey-but-im-still-dipping-into-the-buys-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-10T16:07:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Dell is positioned to capture accelerating AI server demand as agentic AI workloads scale, supported by a growing AI server revenue base and a large opportunity pipeline. - Rising memory prices and low‑margin AI servers are likely to compress Dell’s gross margins by 200-300 basis points despite its purchasing scale and pricing actions. - Dell can gain AI server market share through superior supply chain reliability, SMCI’s regulatory overhang, and customer incentives to consolidate onto its 17G PowerEdge servers. - Dell trades at a rich valuation premium to peers and must deliver very strong multi‑year earnings growth to justify its current price, leaving little room for execution missteps. - Dell shares have broken out from a multi‑year base on long‑term charts with strong bullish momentum, suggesting further upside as the AI infrastructure cycle plays out. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4902182-dell-the-stock-is-pricey-but-im-still-dipping-into-the-buys?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Broadcom: 4 Reasons To Load Up On The Buys (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-4-reasons-to-load-up-on-the-buys-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-09T12:19:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Broadcom has line of sight to over $100B in 2027 AI chip revenue from custom XPUs, implying roughly 123% two-year growth from a $24.5B base. - Broadcom expects full AI rack deployments to maintain or grow, not dilute, its semiconductor gross margins, with Q2 FY26 margin guidance at 77% despite rapid AI scale-up. - Supply chain bottlenecks at TSMC and in components like lasers and PCBs could delay AI revenue realization, and recent FY26 revenue estimates have already edged lower. - AVGO now trades at about a 5% discount to peers on 1-yr fwd PEs despite historically carrying a valuation premium. And earnings expectations have risen, whilst valuation multiples have contracted. - Technicals show a low-volatility squeeze and breakout on AVGO’s weekly chart, with strong momentum suggesting further upside in the near term. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4901919-broadcom-4-reasons-to-load-up-on-the-buys?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Micron: I Finally Get It - The Market Still Underestimates The AI Memory Supercycle (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-i-finally-get-it-the-market-still-underestimates-the-ai-memory-supercycle-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:54:56.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron Technology, Inc. faces a worsening DRAM and NAND capacity crunch, with sufficiency ratios turning more negative and supporting sharp price increases and revenue growth in both segments. - Multi-year strategic customer agreements with prepayments reduce net working capital needs and drive structurally higher operating cash flow margins for Micron. - Gross margins are guided to climb to 81% in the May 2026 quarter, with further upside as memory shortages intensify into the second half of this year. - MU stock’s rally is driven mainly by surging EBITDA expectations rather than multiple expansion, suggesting a fundamentally driven, earnings-led upcycle rather than a hype-driven move. - MU valuation embeds an implied 10-year EBITDA CAGR near 26%, which looks demanding unless the current AI-driven memory supercycle extends well beyond the consensus 2027 peak. And industry research suggests that is likely. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4900740?gt=b4e496d3972324fe&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### TSMC: Early Signs Of Formidable Foundry Competition (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-early-signs-of-formidable-foundry-competition-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:55:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - TSM's growth is powered majorly by the high-performance computing segment, which is growing very well as demand for silicon chips rises in tandem with demand for AI compute. - I expect \~32% YoY revenue growth in FY2026, above management's guidance, due to their excellent track record in outperforming expectations. - Gross margins face temporary but meaningful pressure from the 2nm ramp and overseas fabs, with a potential peak headwind of up to about 700 basis points. - Large customers like Apple are exploring Intel and Samsung. And Elon Musk's Terafab is also working with Intel’s foundry. This raises longer-term competitive risks for TSMC's foundry market share. - TSM trades at a sizable 1-yr fwd PE discount to foundry and semiconductor peers, near trough relative levels despite its superior growth and profitability profile. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4899836-tsmc-stock-early-signs-of-formidable-foundry-competition-downgrade-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Meta: I'm Nervous About The Fundamentals But Reasonable Valuations Make It A Hold (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/meta-im-nervous-about-the-fundamentals-but-reasonable-valuations-make-it-a-hold-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:55:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Meta delivered strong Q1 ad impression and pricing growth, but high-frequency alt data suggests its ad performance is slipping versus peers year-to-date. - Return on ad spend and ad conversion indices show Meta trailing the median of major advertising platforms, especially through April 2026 after Q1 FY26 books closed. - Meta sharply raised FY26 capex guidance to fund AI and data center infrastructure, but the path to tangible monetization returns appears less clear than for Alphabet and Amazon. - Higher capex and finance lease payments may pressure Meta’s free cash flow margins over the next few years. - Meta trades at a 18.6x 1-yr fwd PE, below its historical median multiple and at a reduced premium to social media and advertising peers, suggesting valuation is broadly reasonable. The stock is range-bound. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4899516-meta-im-nervous-about-the-fundamentals-but-reasonable-valuations-make-it-a-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Palantir: A Golden Opportunity To Accumulate More Shares (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-a-golden-opportunity-to-accumulate-more-shares-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:56:02.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir’s Q1 FY26 results confirm strong US commercial and government momentum, with rising revenue per customer and AIP adoption driving robust growth across the franchise. - Management raised FY26 revenue guidance to 71 percent, but slower TTM acceleration and fewer mega deals suggest growth may normalize from exceptionally strong recent levels. - Palantir’s valuation premium is compressing as earnings estimates rise, with a 98x 1-yr fwd PE still demanding but increasingly supported by improving profitability and execution. - Higher‑for‑longer interest rates delays any multiple re‑rating catalyst due to discount rate movements. - Technicals show PLTR consolidating within an ongoing uptrend, creating a constructive window to accumulate shares while the market waits for the next breakout. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4898360-palantir-stock-golden-opportunity-to-accumulate-more-shares?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Celestica: Hyperscaler Capex May Cool, But Revenue Momentum Still Looks Explosive (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-hyperscaler-capex-may-cool-but-revenue-momentum-still-looks-explosive-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:56:19.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica’s hyperscaler-driven CCS growth is accelerating, supported by 1.6T networking wins and AI/ML compute ramps, with management guiding very strong enterprise growth into 2027. - Massive multiyear capacity expansion, including about $1 billion in capex this year and at least $1.5 billion next year, supports long-term demand visibility but pressures near-term free cash flow margins. - Net downward revisions to hyperscaler capex estimates over the next 4 quarters may limit upside to Celestica’s revenue catalysts if customers' spending fails to rise much above current expectations. - Celestica’s valuation premium versus peers is shrinking as consensus EPS estimates rise, leaving the stock trading at a still-elevated but more acceptable forward earnings multiple. - Celestica’s share price shows a triangle base breakout and successful retest, indicating a technically bullish setup that aligns with the company’s strong fundamental and valuation backdrop. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4898306-celestica-hyperscaler-capex-may-cool-but-revenue-momentum-still-looks-explosive?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### Microsoft: Reasons To Be Concerned About Capex ROI (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-reasons-to-be-concerned-about-capex-roi-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:56:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Microsoft Corporation is riding strong enterprise AI adoption, with Azure growth and rising Office 365 ARPU supporting a structurally higher revenue mix from the cloud. - Heavy AI infrastructure investment is driving multi‑quarter cloud gross margin compression, with management guiding Microsoft Cloud gross margin to roughly 64% next quarter. - Capex is expected to balloon to $190B in 2026, including roughly $25B from higher GPU, CPU, and memory prices, heightening capex ROI concerns. - Compared with hyperscaler peers, Microsoft’s aggressive capex has not translated into superior revenue or margin trends, raising questions about the efficiency of its AI spending. - MSFT stock trades near its long‑term relative valuation norms versus large‑cap peers, with a 1-yr fwd P/E close to the long-term median vs. peers, suggesting the stock is close to fair value. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4898065?gt=193ad2157eda45c7&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 1 May'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/1-may26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-05-03T19:02:23.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-34.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-35.png) - I am pleased to see the portfolio well-diversified across multiple geographies. I don't particularly aim for this outcome; it is a consequence of what I find most compelling in my 9,000+ ticker global equities universe. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-36.png) - The portfolio exposure is weighted toward AI and related energy buildouts. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Portfolio Performance - Apr'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-apr26/ Last updated: 2026-05-03T17:45:45.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 30 Apr'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-22.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-23.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-24.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.78/1.10, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 0.96/1.99, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of 7.2%/7.7% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - Average of 133 tickers bet on over 22 months. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of 1.5-2.5x. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* ## Performance vs SPY AUD ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-33.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>5% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark in daily and weekly timeframes - High upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD. ## Active Stock Pick Selection Analytics ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-31.png) - Overall win rate averages are in the low 40%, but average win is almost 2x average loss, leading to a profit factor of 1.4-1.6. ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-25.png) - Sustained outperformance ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-26.png) - Positive active return accumulation vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-27.png) - High-single digit annualized alpha ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-28.png) - Much lower max drawdown profile vs benchmark ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/05/image-32.png) - Lag vs SPY AUD benchmark has been contained to <1000bps usually --- ## Takeaway These are strong performance metrics by any institutional standard. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Keyence Corporation Will Be A Big Winner In The IoT and Robotics Boom URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/keyence-corporation-will-be-a-big-winner-in-the-iot-and-robotics-boom/ Last updated: 2026-05-02T11:41:26.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. A global resurgence in industrial activity is a powerful catalyst for revenue growth 2. Price hikes can lead to gross margin expansion 3. Relative valuations seem fair but the dissection of the stock's movements is favorable 4. The stock looks ready to rise after bouncing from a multi-quarter support level _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Sandisk's NAND Supercycle: Why I'm Calling For A Strong Buy Before Q3 Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sandisks-nand-supercycle-why-im-calling-for-a-strong-buy-before-q3-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:56:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Sandisk benefits from a severe NAND shortage and AI-driven demand, which is pushing NAND prices higher and supporting strong revenue and margin growth. - We can expect sharply higher gross margins in Q3 FY26 due to NAND contract price hikes. - New multi-year long-term agreements with prepayments can improve revenue visibility while lowering net working capital intensity, thus enhancing cash flow conversion. - Sandisk trades at a notable 1-year forward EV/EBITDA premium to memory peers, but broad earnings upgrades suggest the market is rightly rewarding its superior growth outlook. - Sandisk shares are in a strong uptrend with shallow pullbacks, recently breaking out from a tight consolidation range with no clear signs of selling pressure. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4894553-sandisks-nand-supercycle-why-im-calling-for-a-strong-buy-before-q3-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 24 Apr'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/24-apr26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-04-26T18:16:48.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-143.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-144.png) - I am pleased to see the portfolio well-diversified across multiple geographies. I don't particularly aim for this outcome; it is a consequence of what I find most compelling in my 9,000+ ticker global equities universe. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-145.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Siemens Energy: Sold Out Demand And Pricing Hikes URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/siemens-energy-sold-out-demand-and-pricing-hikes/ Last updated: 2026-04-26T17:35:33.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. Supercycles in AI data center spend and global grid modernization are a powerful growth driver 2. Supply constraints give Siemens Energy pricing leverage 3. Valuation risk is acceptable due to rising earnings growth expectations 4. The stock is breaking out above resistance _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Nebius Q1 Preview: The Market Is Saying This Is An Outlier Among Outliers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nebius-q1-preview-the-market-is-saying-this-is-an-outlier-among-outliers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:57:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nebius Group N.V. is pursuing multi-billion-dollar AI infrastructure mega deals, including a new up to $27B Meta contract, while targeting a 6.4x ARR jump to $8B in FY26. - A severe GPU shortage and strong demand have doubled year-long contracts and driven a 50% QoQ ASP increase, supporting Nebius’s pricing power across both new and older GPUs. - To fund an estimated $18B FY26 capex toward 3GW capacity, NBIS has about $10B liquidity, leaving a roughly $7.2B funding gap that investors must monitor. - Nebius must deliver about 45% 8-year revenue CAGR to support the current valuation, while consensus implies an even steeper path, making execution risk and revenue beats critical. - NBIS shares appear to be breaking out above key monthly resistance on a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting potential upside if the technical breakout holds. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4894156-nebius-q1-preview-market-saying-this-an-outlier-among-outliers?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Amazon Q1 Preview: Watch The Capex And EBIT Margins Print (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-q1-preview-watch-the-capex-and-ebit-margins-print-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:57:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Amazon.com, Inc.’s 2026 capex ramp near 200 billion is broad-based, backed by customer commitments, and consistent with its long-term market-leadership investment playbook, so I see it as strategically positive. - AWS is ceding some cloud market share to Azure and Google Cloud, but absolute revenue growth and remaining performance obligations still point to a strong multi‑year demand pipeline. - AMZN’s custom Trainium chips target superior price‑performance, with strong customer adoption, which can structurally lift AWS EBIT margins by several hundred basis points over time. - A rich 1-yr fwd AMZN P/E valuation versus peers introduces downside risk if execution disappoints or growth normalizes faster than expected. - AMZN’s chart shows a bullish engulfing breakout from prior resistance, following a Wyckoff‑spring‑like shakeout, suggesting potential for further total‑return upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4893974-amazon-q1-preview-watch-the-capex-and-ebit-margins-print?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Lumentum: A Hidden Liquidity Risk Buried In The Footnotes (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lumentum-a-hidden-liquidity-risk-buried-in-the-footnotes-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:57:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lumentum is positioned to benefit from growing optical infrastructure adoption between AI clusters and within high-power-density data centers. - A faster product mix shift toward 200G EML laser chips supports stronger margins as 1.6T optical transceivers ramp in AI data centers. - Early conversion rights on multiple convertible note series force Lumentum to classify about $3.18B as short-term debt, heightening liquidity risk. - Lumentum’s liquidity of roughly $1.2B and high net debt to EBITDA mean large, simultaneous early conversions could pressure its balance sheet. - Lumentum trades at a sizable 1-yr fwd PE premium to its comps, and its uptrend momentum is fading, raising the risk of a deeper pullback. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4893667-lumentum-a-hidden-liquidity-risk-buried-in-the-footnotes?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### AMD: Why I'm Going From Very Bearish To Confidently Bullish (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-why-im-going-from-very-bearish-to-confidently-bullish-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:58:17.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - AMD is locking in multi-billion, multi-year AI infrastructure deals, with Meta’s 6GW deployment alone likely to more than double AMD’s current data center revenue over about five years. - AMD’s MI355X GPU delivers a roughly 3x generational jump in performance and offers a credible, lower-cost alternative for large-scale AI inference clusters. - Agentic AI is driving a CPU capacity arms race, pushing lead times out to months and enabling AMD to implement double-digit price hikes that should materially lift gross margins. - Despite these tailwinds, AMD trades at a sizable 1-yr fwd P/E premium to semiconductor peers and Nvidia, leaving investors exposed to valuation risk if growth expectations reset. - AMD’s share price has broken through major resistance with a powerful bullish engulfing candle within an established uptrend, signaling strong momentum and room for further upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4893395-amd-why-im-going-from-very-bearish-to-confidently-bullish?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Nvidia: Trading At A Rare Discount Just As Its Next AI Supercycle Kicks Off (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-trading-at-a-rare-discount-just-as-its-next-ai-supercycle-kicks-off-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:58:30.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia Corporation benefits from a severe GPU shortage, which supports strong pricing power, clearer demand visibility, and confidence to accelerate its annual data center product release cycle. - Foxconn’s March 2026 revenue spike, attributed to new product launches, suggests Nvidia’s next-generation Vera Rubin platform ramp is progressing well and may be on schedule. - Chinese AI chipmakers like Huawei and Alibaba have captured 41% of China’s AI accelerator market and are chipping away at Nvidia’s dominant share. - NVDA's 1-yr fwd P/E of 24x trades at a 23% discount to semiconductor peers and near the SPY's PE multiple of 21.6x, presenting an attractive buy opportunity. - NVDA stock is rallying hard after bouncing from a key support level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4893005?gt=ecfc6f0970c77cce&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Hercules Capital: Big Commitments, Big Premium And Big Software Risk (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/hercules-capital-big-commitments-big-premium-and-big-software-risk-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:58:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Hercules Capital shows record new debt and equity commitments, supporting continued portfolio growth and higher net interest margin dollars. - Rising odds of Fed rate cuts create a net income headwind, but Hercules has reduced its portfolio’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. - Hercules has about 35% portfolio exposure to software, which faces potential AI disruption and could pressure NAV and credit quality. - Hercules trades at a trough-level discount to BDC peers on a 1-yr fwd PE basis while simultaneously commanding a roughly 29% premium to NAV. - Hercules shares are trapped in a wide monthly trading range, with strong support and resistance keeping prices largely range-bound for now. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4892993-hercules-capital-big-commitments-big-premium-and-big-software-risk?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Novo Nordisk: Is The GLP‑1 Golden Age Already Behind It? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/novo-nordisk-is-the-glp-1-golden-age-already-behind-it-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:58:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Novo Nordisk is losing GLP-1 and diabetes market share in key regions as Eli Lilly's Zepbound and Mounjaro gain U.S. leadership. - NVO's latest GLP-1 drug delivered weaker weight loss than Eli Lilly's, clouding the outlook for the company's next wave of obesity drugs. - Competition and drug pricing regulations are driving negative margin surprises. I expect these headwinds to persist. - Semaglutide patents are expiring in several large ex-US markets, enabling cheap generics that could cannibalize Ozempic and Wegovy over time and pressure gross margins further. - Despite trading at a large discount to its historical and sector PEs, Novo Nordisk's weak technicals and deteriorating fundamentals argue against a near-term rebound. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4892731-novo-nordisk-is-the-glp1-golden-age-already-behind-it?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### POET Technologies Has Consistently Chased Hype With Minimal Sales To Show For It (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/poet-technologies-has-consistently-chased-hype-with-minimal-sales-to-show-for-it-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:59:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - POET Technologies has repeatedly pivoted from solar to GaAs, LIDAR, 5G, and now AI photonics, yet has only negligible revenues and no meaningful commercialization record. - Despite persistent cash burn and serial equity raises, POET trades well above both book value and net cash, implying a highly speculative valuation with little fundamental support. - POET’s PFIC status for 2025 creates complex, potentially punitive U.S. tax reporting for investors, even as management plans a U.S. redomicile to eliminate PFIC risk from 2026 onward. - The company’s large cash balance gives years of runway at current cash burn rates, but history suggests continued dilution risk if commercialization again disappoints. - POET shares are trapped in a broad weekly trading range, with strong upside momentum facing a key resistance zone that could lead to choppy, sideways price action. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4892432?gt=b27881714ca3490c&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### SCHD: A Decent Buy But Not To Beat The Market (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/schd-a-decent-buy-but-not-to-beat-the-market-archive/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:59:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - SCHD has slightly outperformed the S&P 500 recently, but its sector and industry tilts are less favorable than the broad market index. - Weak consumer sentiment and a large energy overweight create macro headwinds for SCHD’s consumer and upstream oil and gas exposures. - Tight GPU availability supports semiconductors, yet SCHD is underweight key chip and hardware industries that benefit in such environments. - Sugar market surpluses and improving manufacturing PMIs support SCHD’s overweights to beverages and industrials, providing medium‑term margin and growth tailwinds. - SCHD trades at a modest valuation discount to SPY and a larger discount to QQQ while remaining in a clear technical uptrend with resilient recent performance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4892143-schd-a-decent-buy-but-not-to-beat-the-market?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-131.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Credo: The Market Hasn't Fully Priced In The DustPhotonics Deal's Implications (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-the-market-hasnt-fully-priced-in-the-dustphotonics-deals-implications-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-05-08T05:59:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo’s DustPhotonics acquisition should lift optics revenue to over $500M in FY27 and support revenue growth above 75% year-over-year. - Bringing silicon photonics PICs in-house enables a more integrated ZF optics stack and can improve long-term gross margins toward 70%. - The implied 4.4x–6.9x EV/revenue transaction multiple for the deal is attractive, given the comps of recent semiconductor and optics M&A transactions and valuation benchmarks. - Credo’s balance sheet remains strong after the $750M upfront cash payment, with an estimated $454M net cash position supporting future strategic flexibility. - Despite a sharp recent rally, CRDO still trades below the peer median 1-year forward P/E, although the stock’s approach to resistance may cause a short-term pause. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4891929?gt=763446f7b29c9d18&ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-130.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### ServiceNow Q1 Preview: The Earnings Growth It Needs Is Too High To Justify A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/servicenow-q1-preview-the-earnings-growth-it-needs-is-too-high-to-justify-a-buy/ Last updated: 2026-05-12T04:29:11.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - ServiceNow faces AI-driven disruption risks but is adapting with hybrid pricing and strong AI product adoption. - Key indicators such as remaining performance obligations indicate a healthy mid-20s% growth outlook, supported by the rapid uptake of Now Assist packs. - Despite trading at a historical discount, a reverse-DCF-style analysis reveals a challenging implied 30% 5-year earnings CAGR needed to justify its current market price. - Technicals show NOW stock at a major long-term support after a sharp selloff, suggesting downside may be limited but bearish momentum may cap near-term upside potential. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4891873-servicenow-q1-preview-earnings-growth-it-needs-too-high-to-justify-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-129.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers only._ ### 17 Apr'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/17-apr26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-04-19T17:24:15.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-119.png) ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-120.png) - I am pleased to see the portfolio well-diversified across multiple geographies. I don't particularly aim for this outcome; it is a consequence of what I find most compelling in my 9,000+ ticker global equities universe. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-121.png) Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### STMicroelectronics: AWS Photonics Deal Meets Auto‑Industrial Rebound URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/stmicroelectronics-aws-photonics-deal-meets-auto-industrial-rebound/ Last updated: 2026-04-18T11:54:25.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. A multi-billion-dollar deal with AWS is a big revenue catalyst 2. STMPA is ready for a cyclical rebound in the automotive and industrial markets 3. STMPA is trading at a small premium to its comps 4. Bulls are advancing with conviction _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Blue Owl Capital: The Math On What's A Fair Downside URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/blue-owl-capital-the-math-on-whats-a-fair-downside-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-04-17T15:48:39.000Z ## Elevator Pitch Blue Owl Capital (OWL) is a very interesting situation because from a historical financials print perspective, nothing seems wrong. But the market has been strongly reacting to expectations of future weakness. Here's how I'm making sense of it: - Blue Owl shows strong historical AUM, fee revenue, and margin growth, but the stock is selling off on concerns about future portfolio losses and private credit valuations. - Large redemption requests at OCIC and OTIC have cracked confidence in Blue Owl’s “permanent capital” narrative, even though quarterly redemption caps limit near-term AUM and NAV erosion. - Activist low-ball tenders and elevated short interest highlight a very bearish sentiment, yet management's suggestion to reject the offer and the risk of a short squeeze increase chances of upside. - Regulatory scrutiny and Treasury attention on private credit risks may raise costs and slow growth, adding another overhang for Blue Owl and its peers in the near term. - Blue Owl now trades at a much steeper discount to alternative-asset peers, and bottom-up math suggests the recent selloff is larger than implied by realistic fee and AUM hits. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-87.png) _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### AppLovin: Some KPIs Could Be Better, But A Low Valuation Makes It A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/applovin-some-kpis-could-be-better-but-a-low-valuation-makes-it-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-16T10:44:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Channel checks suggest AppLovin may gain 3 to 5 points of ad budget share over the next 6 to 12 months if planned reallocations materialize. - APP’s current 1.3 percent ad conversion rate is low versus management’s blended 5 percent target, so revenue acceleration depends on clear improvement in ad performance metrics. - APP’s ad conversion rate is trending better versus peers, but return on ad spend still lags other ad platforms. - Technicals indicate APP is holding a major former resistance that has flipped into support on the monthly chart, with weakening downside momentum and scope for an upward move. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4890612-applovin-some-kpis-could-be-better-but-a-low-valuation-makes-it-a-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-86.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 10 Apr'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/10-apr26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-04-12T18:14:19.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-76.png) - The portfolio is well diversified across major regions. ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-77.png) - I am finding a lot more opportunities across different parts of the world. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-78.png) - The sectoral exposure is a lot more risk-on now. - But I will have to be careful this coming Monday as I expect some volatility after no peace deal so far and related updates between the US and Iran. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Kioxia Holdings: AI NAND Supercycle, JV Upgrade And A Breakout Chart Sets Up Big Upside URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/kioxia-holdings-ai-nand-supercycle-jv-upgrade-and-a-breakout-chart-sets-up-big-upside/ Last updated: 2026-04-12T17:28:51.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. NAND prices are expected to continue increasing 2. The JV extension with SanDisk can help improve the revenue profile 3. There is an opportunity for Kioxia to gain market share 4. Securing long term DRAM access can reduce gross margin volatility 5. Kioxia Holdings valuations seem fair to attractive 6. The charts show a classic breakout from a horizontal bull flag _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Microsoft: Azure Is Booming, But OpenAI And Copilot Are Quietly Capping The Upside (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-azure-is-booming-but-openai-and-copilot-are-quietly-capping-the-upside-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-16T13:33:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - OpenAI’s market share erosion and oligopolistic gen-AI model market dynamics could pressure Microsoft’s large equity stake and weaken bullish valuation narratives around ChatGPT. - Azure benefits from booming AI-driven cloud infrastructure demand, but internal compute allocation and capacity constraints are suppressing reported revenue growth by about 200–300 basis points. - Copilot adoption remains in the low single digits of Office 365 seats, below expectations, limiting near-term AI monetization upside. Watch for how enterprise-focused bundles and product initiatives can change this. - Microsoft’s valuation looks close to fair, with its 1-yr fwd P/E near peers’ median and roughly in line with its own long-term average multiple. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4890043-microsoft-azure-is-booming-but-openai-and-copilot-are-quietly-capping-the-upside?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-61.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Barrick Mining: IPO Spinoff Dream Hits Royalty Shocker And Margin Squeeze (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/barrick-mining-ipo-spinoff-dream-hits-royalty-shocker-and-margin-squeeze-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-11T12:24:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Partner disputes with Newmont over Nevada Gold Mines and a Fourmile royalty to Teck threaten Barrick’s planned IPO timing and value realization. - Loulo-Gounkoto’s restart in Mali is expected to roughly offset production lost from Hemlo and Tongon asset sales by FY26. - Rising all-in sustaining costs, driven by higher Mali taxes, royalties, and tariffs, are likely to pressure Barrick’s free cash flow margins. - Barrick now trades at a smaller discount to peers than its historical norm, making the relative valuation perspective less attractive. - Technical and sentiment indicators show balanced bull and bear forces, pointing to a higher probability of sideways trading around current support. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4889767-barrick-mining-ipo-spinoff-dream-hits-royalty-shocker-and-margin-squeeze?ref=huntingalphas.com). ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-60.png) ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Celestica: Mr. Market Gives Us A Perfect Opportunity To Load Up (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-mr-market-gives-us-a-perfect-opportunity-to-load-up-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-04-10T03:27:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica Inc. is positioned for sustained growth, driven by hyperscaler demand and major AI capex from key customers like Alphabet. - The CCS segment and fast growing HPS business support higher structural margins driven by richer product mix. - High customer concentration remains a key risk, with three large customers contributing most of Celestica’s revenue. - Celestica’s valuation premium versus peers has narrowed, as recent share price weakness is mainly from multiple compression rather than weaker fundamentals. - CLS technicals show an A+ bull flag continuation pattern that aligns with the positive fundamental and margin outlook. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-59.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4889627?gt=f3fbd7a3f8f20c57&ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Ares Capital: I'm Not Bearish Anymore But Still Have Concerns (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-im-not-bearish-anymore-but-still-have-concerns-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-09T15:16:13.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ares Capital’s strong recent deal flow and diversified commitments position it for potential net investment income growth from currently stagnant levels. - Nearly a quarter of Ares Capital’s $29.5B portfolio is in software, and its backlog and pipeline suggest this software exposure could rise further. - Growing software exposure increases Ares Capital’s vulnerability to AI-driven disruption, especially if agents compress pricing power for traditional software business models. - Ares Capital trades at a sizable 1-yr fwd PE to BDC peers that is well above its long-term median relative valuation. - Ares Capital sits on major monthly technical support with some signs of stabilization, but convincing buyer strength has not yet emerged. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-58.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4889490-ares-capital-im-not-bearish-anymore-but-still-have-concerns?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Credo: Fantastic Growth Drivers Ahead Make This A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-fantastic-growth-drivers-ahead-make-this-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-09T03:03:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo benefits from hyperscalers prioritizing copper-based AECs for short-reach AI data center links, driving roughly 3x year-over-year revenue growth. - ZeroFlap Optics will extend CRDO's reach beyond AECs, targeting any in-data-center optical length with much higher reliability and lower power, supported by rising purchase commitments and an accelerated production ramp. - Recent quarters show smaller beats versus revenue and gross margin guidance, raising the risk that strong fundamentals are already largely priced into the stock. - CRDO stock's valuation has flipped from a large premium to peers to a roughly 36 percent discount on a 1-year forward PE basis, even as earnings expectations continue to rise. - Technicals show the company is holding a major monthly support area, but a clear bullish candle is still missing, so buyers have not yet definitively taken control of the tape. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-57.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4889192-credo-fantastic-growth-drivers-ahead-make-this-a-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Sempra: A Safe Utility Way To Ride The Data Center Power Boom URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/sempra-a-safe-utility-way-to-ride-the-data-center-power-boom/ Last updated: 2026-04-05T17:57:57.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. SRE is poised for healthy growth of its rate base 2. Sale of non-core assets can fund growth capex and de-risk the business 3. SRE is at a slightly higher valuation multiple than usual 4. The bullish momentum is very healthy _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 3 Apr'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/3-apr26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-04-05T12:00:50.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-24.png) - The portfolio has true global equity exposure, with most of it in North America. ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-25.png) - I am finding the most opportunities in some defensive segments of the US market and Japan. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-26.png) - Defensive sectors such as Utilities and Consumer Staples (Non-Cyclicals) make up the largest exposures. I cut my Energy exposure too soon as I got shaken out by the headlines. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Portfolio Performance - Mar'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-mar26/ Last updated: 2026-04-04T14:10:48.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 31 Mar'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-1.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-2.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.73/1.00, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 0.90/1.79, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of 7%/8% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - Almost 1,300 tickers bet on over 21 months. - Return contributions are broad-based across market caps, sectors and industries. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of 1.5-2.5x. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* ## Performance vs SPY AUD, Developed 5 Factor + Developed Momentum Factors ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-4.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>5% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>1.5x upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD. ### Portfolio vs [Developed 5 Factor](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data%5FLibrary/f-f%5F5developed.html?ref=huntingalphas.com) \+ [Developed Momentum](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data%5FLibrary/f-f%5F5developed.html?ref=huntingalphas.com) Factor Regressions ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-10.png) - Positive but not statistically significant (p-val > 0.1) alpha for now. - Low-beta strategy (statistical significance across daily and weekly regressions) - Negative coefficient tilt to all Developed 5 Factor + Developed Momentum Factors (statistical significance for Profitability factor across all regressions, Size and Momentum factor in daily and weekly regressions, Value and Investment factor in daily regressions) - Combination of negative coefficient tilt to Fama French Developed 5 Factors + Developed Momentum factors and low-beta makes for a rare factor exposure style ## Contribution to Return (CTR) Analytics ### Overview ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-16.png) - Most of the CTR comes from active satellite picks, not core index exposure positions - A huge, almost 1,300 sample size of ticker bets increases robustness of the strategy's performance stats ### CTR, Return and Average Weight Distributions ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-12.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-13.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-14.png) - Histograms show that return contributions have a clear positive skew and is comprised of the aggregate of many small bets rather than a small number of outsized winners. ### Sector and Industry CTR Drivers ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-18.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-19.png) - CTRs of [satellite picks](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/) are broad-based across sectors and industries ### Analysis of scalability; MCAP and Market Impact CTRs ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-11.png) - Minimal return contributions from smallcaps, microcaps and nanocaps. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-23.png) - Under conservative average daily traded value (ADV) assumptions, 91% of return contributions are scalable to USD 100M AUM. ### Top Contributors and Detractors ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-15.png) - Top contributors are meaningfully larger than top detractors, showing positive return skew. - Grey-highlighted names are core index positions. - Peach-highlighted names are FX movements. - Blue-highlighted name represents a rare, high conviction satellite position. - Pink-highlighted name is a rare mistake of investing in a highly illiquid stock. ## Active Stock Pick Selection Analytics ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-22.png) - Overall win rate averages are in the low 40%, but average win is almost 2x average loss, leading to a profit factor of 1.4-1.6. - Mar'26 was the worst month so far in terms of win rate and the 2nd worst in terms of profit factor. ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-5.png) - Sustained outperformance ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-6.png) - Positive active return accumulation vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-7.png) - High-single digit annualized alpha ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-8.png) - Much lower drawdown profile vs benchmark ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-9.png) - Lag vs SPY AUD benchmark has been contained to <1000bps --- ## Takeaway These are strong performance metrics by any institutional standard. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Exxon Mobil: Boosted By Powerful Pricing And Volume Tailwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/exxon-mobil-boosted-by-powerful-pricing-and-volume-tailwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-04T18:36:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Exxon Mobil Corporation’s earnings are driven mainly by its upstream oil and gas segment, which contributes roughly two-thirds of overall segmental earnings. - Escalating Iran conflict and chokepoint risks at the Strait of Hormuz and potentially the Bab el‑Mandeb support higher oil prices, benefiting XOM's realized upstream pricing. - Permian Basin and Guyana assets are set to drive rapid, low-cost production growth over the next 5 years, leading to powerful volume tailwinds. - Despite trading at a sizable EV/EBITDA premium to peers, XOM’s powerful uptrend and lack of clear selling pressure make for a convincing bullish case. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-33.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4887226-exxon-mobil-boosted-by-powerful-pricing-and-volume-tailwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Meta: A Deeper Look At Its Capex Burdens (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/meta-a-deeper-look-at-its-capex-burdens-archive/ Last updated: 2026-04-04T18:37:19.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Global youth social media bans and addiction lawsuits threaten Meta’s long-term user growth and engagement, especially among future high-frequency users. - New US power policy and Meta’s Entergy and Indiana deals could add about $11.3 billion of self-funded infrastructure, lifting capex by roughly 9% without direct revenue offset. - Market flows are rotating out of Mag 7 and social media, and Meta is among the weakest YTD performers amid negative factor and sentiment trends. - Meta trades at a discount to its historical valuation with only a modest premium to peers, which does not fully compensate for mounting regulatory, legal, and capex headwinds. - Technicals show strong bearish momentum, with a rollover from resistance and room to fall before hitting major monthly support. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/04/image-32.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4887006-meta-deeper-look-at-its-capex-burdens?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 27 Mar'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/27-mar26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-03-29T18:25:34.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-153.png) - The portfolio has true global equity exposure, with most of it in North America. ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-154.png) - I am finding the most opportunities in some segments of the US market despite overall market indices weaknesses. - Almost half of the exposure comes from a very diversified set of countries. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-155.png) - In the current environment of global energy shocks and energy commodity price rises, I am seeing the most opportunity in energy-related stocks. - The other exposures are weighted more toward defensives, hard assets and financials. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### CrowdStrike And The AI Agents Cyber Threat (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/crowdstrike-and-the-ai-agents-cyber-threat-archive/ Last updated: 2026-03-30T03:48:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Falcon Flex is driving strong net new ARR and deeper multi‑module adoption, supporting CrowdStrike’s current growth and highlighting a powerful bundled value proposition for enterprises. - Rapidly improving autonomous AI agents from OpenAI and Anthropic increase long‑term competitive risk for CrowdStrike, especially as customers extend sales cycles and evaluate more proof‑of‑concept alternatives. - CrowdStrike’s change to lengthen sales commission amortization will boost reported operating income, but it does not improve underlying economics. - CrowdStrike trades at a historically high 1-yr fwd P/E premium to cybersecurity and software peers, signaling relative overvaluation. - CrowdStrike’s share price has broken a key technical support level and turned it into resistance, increasing the probability of further downside as it moves toward the next major support zone. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-161.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4886913-crowdstrike-and-ai-agents-cyber-threat?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Otsuka Holdings: New FDA‑Backed Kidney Drug Could Ignite a Multi‑Year Rally URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/otsuka-holdings-new-fda-backed-kidney-drug-could-ignite-a-multi-year-rally/ Last updated: 2026-03-28T07:55:04.000Z ## Elevator Pitch 1. Accelerated FDA approvals and priority reviews bodes well for revenue growth ahead 2. Upgraded sales expectations for key drug bets can counter patent expirations 3. Otsuka Holdings' valuations look acceptable 4. A confirmed breakout signals clear skies ahead _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Micron Says Go Big Or Go Home As It Ramps Up Capex Far More Than Peers (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-says-go-big-or-go-home-as-it-ramps-up-capex-far-more-than-peers-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-03-30T05:10:12.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron is benefiting from acute DRAM and NAND shortages, driving a demand and pricing bonanza supported by multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements that enhance revenue visibility and reduce volatility. - Record gross margins guided above 80 percent reflect higher prices, a favorable mix, and lower costs, but may normalize as we may be near peak margins. - Micron’s FY26 and FY27 capex plans, including Tongluo and new U.S. fabs, imply an unusually aggressive greenfield expansion that raises long-term overcapacity risk versus memory peers. - Despite strong earnings growth expectations, Micron trades at a discounted forward EV/EBITDA multiple versus its historical median, creating a compelling but cycle-sensitive valuation setup. - Technicals show Micron in a strong uptrend but currently range-bound, suggesting investors may hold existing positions while waiting for a clearer breakout before adding exposure. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-131.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4885704?gt=0d5a4fb6007cef6d&ref=huntingalphas.com). (This link is not behind Seeking Alpha's paywall). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Palantir: This Selloff Is A Gift (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-this-selloff-is-a-gift/ Last updated: 2026-03-30T05:10:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir’s Maven AI just became a Pentagon program of record, securing long-term, budgeted government contracts and embedding its platform deeper into US defense. - Hiring momentum at Palantir and key partners, including many engineering and recruiting roles, signals robust demand and likely acceleration in revenue growth. - Palantir’s ontology-based data platform enables highly scalable AI deployments, driving very high incremental normalized profit margins and supporting a path to structurally higher profitability. - Despite a still-demanding earnings growth “ask,” Palantir’s valuation premium versus software peers has compressed even as earnings expectations rise. - Technicals show PLTR in a broad uptrend, with bulls defending support after a pullback, suggesting the recent selloff may be a buying opportunity. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-130.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4885473?gt=2cd7e81b59a40b90&ref=huntingalphas.com). (This link is not behind Seeking Alpha's paywall). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Dell: Why It's Not A Buy Despite A $43 Billion AI Backlog (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dell-why-its-not-a-buy-despite-a-43-billion-ai-backlog-archive-full-access/ Last updated: 2026-03-30T05:10:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Dell’s AI server business is seeing explosive demand, with a $43 billion backlog and rapidly growing remaining performance obligations. - AI revenue could reach $50 billion in FY27, driving strong Infrastructure Solutions Group growth, while Client Solutions faces muted growth from a shrinking PC market. - Dell is offsetting surging memory costs through rapid repricing, protecting gross margins so far with limited demand destruction. - Dell maintains roughly 16% global PC shipment share, balancing AI growth with cyclical pressure in its traditional PC segment. - Dell’s valuation near a 12.3x forward PE and rising earnings expectations suggest a fundamentally stronger business at a fair multiple. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-129.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4884898?gt=59ab57ac67b887bc&ref=huntingalphas.com). (This link is not behind Seeking Alpha's paywall). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### A Canadian Natural Gas Giant Winning From Global LNG Disruptions URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/a-canadian-natural-gas-giant-winning-from-global-lng-disruptions/ Last updated: 2026-03-23T09:59:40.000Z This 5-Minute Pitch is only available for the Hunter tier for the first 90 days. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 20 Mar'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/20-mar26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:23:13.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-110.png) - The portfolio has most of its exposure to North America via USD cash holdings ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-111.png) - USD cash holdings dominate the United States exposures. Some AUD cash holdings explain the Australian exposure. The other country exposures are from active satellite equity positions. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-112.png) - The cash levels have reduced from [89% last week](https://www.huntingalphas.com/13-mar26-portfolio/). - Most of the equity ideas are in the energy sector as I aim to take advantage of global energy shocks. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Nvidia's Customers Are Quietly Building Alternatives (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-customers-building-alternatives/ Last updated: 2026-03-30T05:10:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia’s largest cloud customers are accelerating in-house chip efforts, increasing long-term substitution risk despite today’s exceptional AI demand visibility. - Automotive revenue growth is already slowing as OEMs explore cheaper Chinese alternatives, hinting at how pricing pressure could eventually migrate to Nvidia’s core segments. - Management now sees a one trillion dollar Blackwell and Rubin demand pipeline, reinforcing expectations for unusually strong revenue growth over the next several years. - Street estimates for Nvidia’s revenue and earnings have been revised sharply higher, yet the stock trades at a modest valuation discount versus its historical premium to peers. - Technicals show a bearish engulfing pattern on the weekly chart, implying roughly 5 percent near-term downside before the next potential consolidation zone. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-113.png) Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4884811?gt=7c2fe9be56334160&ref=huntingalphas.com). (This link is not behind Seeking Alpha's paywall). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### An AI Packaging Play Via A Discounted Israeli Holdco URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/an-ai-packaging-play-via-a-discounted-israeli-holdco/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:10:59.000Z This 5-Minute Pitch is only available for the Hunter tier for the first 90 days. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### An Aussie Thermal Coal Producer Quietly Benefiting From Global Energy Shocks URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/an-aussie-thermal-coal-producer-quietly-benefiting-from-global-energy-shocks/ Last updated: 2026-03-24T02:45:21.000Z This 5-Minute Pitch is only available for the Hunter tier for the first 90 days. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 13 Mar'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/13-mar26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:23:29.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-78.png) - The portfolio has most of its exposure to North America via USD cash holdings ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-79.png) - USD cash holdings dominate the exposures, but there is some China and HK-related exposure. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-80.png) - Satellite exposures are majorly in the consumer cyclicals, technology, financials and education sectors Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 6 Mar'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/6-mar26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:23:35.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-68.png) - The portfolio has most of its exposure to Oceania via AUD cash holdings ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-69.png) - AUD cash holdings dominate the exposures ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-70.png) - Besides the cash holdings, there is some idiosyncratic exposure to Israeli financials and a [Chinese AI technology player](https://www.huntingalphas.com/chinas-quiet-ai-infrastructure-play-riding-railways-power-grids-and-airports/). Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Pfizer: Obesity Hype And Vaccine Policy Shocks (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizer-obesity-hype-and-vaccine-policy-shocks-archive/ Last updated: 2026-03-30T05:10:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha. It is shared here to showcase my work and track record. 5-Minute Pitches published only this site will not be disseminated anywhere else and will remain behind a paywall, accessible only to Hunter Tier members.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pfizer's obesity drug pipeline is lagging leaders and faces safety concerns, increasing the risk that revenue targets from acquisitions, like Metsera, will be missed. - Recent U.S. childhood vaccine schedule cuts, especially narrowing RSV recommendations, create a modest revenue headwind for the company's vaccine portfolio via Abrysvo. - PFE is ramping up pivotal trials in obesity and oncology, but rising R&D intensity is pressuring earnings and driving downward revisions to normalized EPS estimates. - Despite trading at a steep forward P/E discount to pharmaceutical peers, flat earnings expectations and valuation drivers leave limited clear catalysts for Pfizer's share price. - After a short-lived relative rally vs. the S&P 500, PFE's price is stalling at resistance, and technicals suggest renewed underperformance risk. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/Pfizer---Obesity-Hype-And-Vaccine-Policy-Shocks-Infographic.png) Elevator Pitch Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4878771-pfizer-obesity-hype-and-vaccine-policy-shocks?ref=huntingalphas.com). ## Spreadsheet Model _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### China’s AI Infrastructure Play Riding Railways, Power Grids and Airports URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/chinas-quiet-ai-infrastructure-play-riding-railways-power-grids-and-airports/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:11:17.000Z This 5-Minute Pitch is only available for the Hunter tier for the first 90 days. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### 27 Feb'26 Portfolio And Early March Changes URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/27-feb26-portfolio-and-early-march-changes/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:23:43.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-32.png) - The regional exposure remains focused on Asia as of Feb'26 end. ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-33.png) - Japan continues to make up the majority of the portfolio as of Feb'26 end. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-34.png) - The overall sectoral exposure majorly represents the particular slice of the broader Japanese market I have bought into as of Feb'26 end. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Portfolio Performance - Feb'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-feb26/ Last updated: 2026-03-01T18:48:21.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 27 Feb'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-8.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-9.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-10.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 0.99/1.26, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 1.23/2.54, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of >9% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - Almost 1,200 tickers bet on over 20 months. - Return contributions are broad-based across market caps, sectors and industries. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of almost 3x. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* --- ## Performance vs SPY AUD, Developed 5 Factor + Developed Momentum Factors ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-11.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>9% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>2x upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex (asymmetric) return profile vs SPY AUD. ### Portfolio vs [Developed 5 Factor](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data%5FLibrary/f-f%5F5developed.html?ref=huntingalphas.com) \+ [Developed Momentum](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data%5FLibrary/f-f%5F5developed.html?ref=huntingalphas.com) Factor Regressions ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-12.png) - Positive but not statistically significant (p-val > 0.1) alpha for now. - Low-beta strategy (statistical significance across daily and weekly regressions) - Negative coefficient tilt to all Developed 5 Factor + Developed Momentum Factors (statistical significance for Profitability factor across all regressions and Momentum factor in daily and weekly regressions) - Combination of negative-profitability, anti-momentum and low-beta factors makes for a rare factor exposure style --- ## Contribution to Return (CTR) Analytics ### Overview ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-13.png) - Most of the CTR comes from active satellite picks, not core index exposure positions - A huge, almost 1,200 sample size of ticker bets increases robustness of the strategy's performance stats ### CTR, Return and Average Weight Distributions ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-14.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-15.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-16.png) - Histograms show that return contributions have a clear positive skew and is comprised of the aggregate of many small bets rather than a small number of outsized winners. ### Sector and Industry CTR Drivers ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-17.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-18.png) - CTRs of [satellite picks](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/) are broad-based across sectors and industries ### Analysis of scalability; MCAP and Market Impact CTRs ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-19.png) - Minimal return contributions from smallcaps, microcaps and nanocaps. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-22.png) - Under conservative average daily traded value (ADV) assumptions, almost 80% of return contributions are scalable to USD 100M AUM. ### Top Contributors and Detractors ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-24.png) - Top contributors are meaningfully larger than top detractors, showing positive return skew. - Grey-highlighted names are core index positions. - Peach-highlighted names are FX movements. - Blue-highlighted name represents a rare, high conviction satellite position. - Pink-highlighted name is a rare mistake of investing in a highly illiquid stock. --- ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-27.png) - Sustained outperformance, smoother, more consistent equity curve rise ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-28.png) - Positive active return accumulation vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-29.png) - High-single digit annualized alpha ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-30.png) - Much lower drawdown profile vs benchmark ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-31.png) - Lag vs SPY AUD benchmark has been contained to <1000bps --- ## Takeaway These are strong performance metrics by any institutional standard. [Join the Hunt for Alphas ](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### 20 Feb'26 Portfolio URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/20-feb26-portfolio/ Last updated: 2026-03-22T16:23:54.000Z ## Broad exposures ### Regional Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-25.png) Until recently, North America comprised of the majority of the portfolio exposure. But that has recently changed dramatically to Asia at the start of Feb'26: ### Country Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-26.png) A significant chunk of the [dynamic core](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/) part of the portfolio is in Japan. I am just following the [money flows](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-19/japanese-equity-market-sees-biggest-foreign-inflow-since-2014?ref=huntingalphas.com). The fundamental bullish drivers are corporate governance reforms unlocking shareholder value, a weak yen and fiscal stimulus helping Japanese exporters, rising domestic demand, low valuations. The Japanese PM Takaichi's landslide election victory [reduces political friction](https://www.liontrust.com/insights/blogs/2026/02/takaichis-victory-reshapes-japans-investment-outlook?ref=huntingalphas.com) for its growth-focused policies, which I believe gives more runway for the Japan trade. That said, direct exposure to the weak Japanese yen is unfavorable. But I have controlled my exposure via security selection. This is explained in more detail below. ### Overall Sector Splits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-24.png) The overall sectoral exposure majorly represents the particular slice of the broader Japanese market I have bought into. Sections below disclose individual holdings, [satellite vs core splits](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about/), and yen risk management. Available only for the Hunter tier. _This post is for subscribers on the Hunter (Paid) tier only._ ### Portfolio Performance - Jan'26 URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/portfolio-performance-jan26/ Last updated: 2026-03-01T18:36:26.000Z *Portfolio context is detailed in the* [*About*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/about) *page.* *Performance metrics here are for the 1 Jul'24 to 31 Jan'26 time period.* ## Summary ### Monthly performance dashboard ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-17.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-23.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/CumPerfMonthly-Jan-26.png) ### Strong risk-adjusted performance metrics - Daily/weekly Sharpe: 1.16/1.51, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly Sortino: 1.45/3.02, assuming 0% risk-free or hurdle rate. - Daily/weekly annualized alpha: of >11% vs SPY AUD benchmark. *Value addition measures are high.* ### Results are based on a very large, diverse sample size - \>1,000 tickers bet on over 19 months. - Return contributions are broad-based across market caps, sectors and industries. - Aggregate returns profile is made up of many contributions of small positions rather than a reliance on a few concentrated winners. *Diverse sources of returns reduces dependency on favorable market regimes.* ### Minimal catastrophic tail risk and scalable - Long-only, zero leverage strategy investing in global stocks and related traditional ETFs without any inverse, ETN or other derivative exposures in mostly Developed markets. - Positive skew in both overall portfolio and ticker-level return, contribution to return distributions. - Low max drawdowns, low beta, upside to downside capture ratio of almost 3x. - Market impact analysis suggests this portfolio is largely scalable to >USD 100M AUM. *The strategy is suitable to manage a large amount of capital in order to grow wealth over a long period of time with dramatically reduced volatility along the way.* --- ## Performance vs SPY AUD, Developed 5 Factor + Developed Momentum Factors ### Portfolio (AUD) vs SPY AUD ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-7.png) *These metrics are computed using an annualized AUD risk-free/hurdle rate of 0%, which is an industry standard for comparability purposes.* - Much lower max drawdowns vs SPY AUD benchmark - \>11% annualized alpha vs SPY AUD benchmark - \~3x upside-to-downside capture, indicating a highly convex return profile vs SPY AUD. ### Portfolio vs [Developed 5 Factor](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data%5FLibrary/f-f%5F5developed.html?ref=huntingalphas.com) \+ [Developed Momentum](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data%5FLibrary/f-f%5F5developed.html?ref=huntingalphas.com) Factor Regressions ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-7.png) - Positive but not statistically significant (p-val > 0.1) alpha for now. - Low-beta strategy (statistical significance across all timeframes) - Negative coefficient tilt to all Developed 5 Factor + Developed Momentum Factors (statistical significance for Profitability, Investment, Momentum factors in daily and weekly regressions) - Combination of negative-profitability, high-investment, anti-momentum and low-beta factors makes for a rare factor exposure style --- ## Contribution to Return (CTR) Analytics ### Overview ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-9.png) - Most of the CTR comes from active picks, not benchmark exposure trades - A huge, almost 1,100 sample size of ticker bets increases robustness of the strategy's performance stats ### CTR, Return and Average Weight Distributions ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/CTRD-Jan-26-1.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/Returns-Distribution-excluding-FX-1.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/AvgW-D-Jan-26.png) - Histograms show that return contributions have a clear positive skew and is comprised of the aggregate of many small bets rather than a small number of outsized winners. ### Sector and Industry CTR Drivers ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/CTR-Sector-Jan-26.png) ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/CTR-Industry-Jan-26.png) - CTRs of active satellite picks are broad-based across sectors and industries ### Analysis of scalability; MCAP and Market Impact CTRs ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-11.png) - Minimal return contributions from smallcaps, microcaps and nanocaps. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-21.png) - Under conservative average daily traded value (ADV) assumptions, most return contributions are scalable to USD 100M AUM. ### Top Contributors and Detractors ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/image-10.png) - Top contributors are meaningfully larger than top detractors, showing positive return skew. - Grey-highlighted names are core index positions (beta exposure rather than alpha drivers). - Peach-highlighted names are FX movements. - Blue-highlighted name represents a rare, high conviction satellite position. - Pink-highlighted name is a rare mistake of investing in a highly illiquid stock. --- ## More Details on Portfolio Performance Profile ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/PvsB-CumRet-Jan-26.png) - Sustained outperformance, smoother, more consistent equity curve rise ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/AlphaD-Jan-26-1.png) - Sustained annualized alpha in the double-digits ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/PvsB-DD-Jan-26-1.png) - Much lower drawdown profile vs benchmark ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/02/ActRetDDs-Jan-26.png) - Lag vs SPY AUD benchmark has been contained to <1000bps --- ## Takeaway These are strong performance metrics by any institutional standard. [Join the Hunt for Alphas](https://www.huntingalphas.com/join) #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### AMD: Why I'm Slapping A Strong Sell On This Market Darling (Archive, Full Access) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-why-im-slapping-a-strong-sell-on-this-market-darling-archive/ Last updated: 2026-03-05T18:02:40.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.’s core revenue growth excluding a one-time China boost is stable to decelerating, despite headline results suggesting a stronger acceleration. - AMD management guides for minimal China contribution ahead, warning investors not to assume further upside from this highly uncertain market. - Gross margins face pressure in H2 FY26 as AMD ramps MI450 and Helios, with yields and ramp costs likely delaying long-term margin targets. - AMD’s valuation screens rich versus peers and its own history, with the stock trading at a higher-than-usual forward P/E premium. - Data center growth could surprise positively, but AMD’s ambitious 60% CAGR goal hinges on successful execution and broader adoption of new product launches. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/51/53/51536a0e-598d-4a2b-84c8-fde2ea3bb5a0/content/images/2026/03/image-67.png) Elevator Pitch Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4866020?gt=ce84c0f4c24a6354&ref=huntingalphas.com). (This link is not behind Seeking Alpha's paywall). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal Just Posted Its Worst Quarter Yet, But Now It May Be At Rock Bottom (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-just-posted-its-worst-quarter-yet-but-now-it-may-be-at-rock-bottom-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:07:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PayPal just delivered another weak quarter, with branded checkout once again dragging down growth and missing consensus expectations. - Management plans heavier growth investments that will pressure 2026 transaction margin dollars, after previously failing to translate similar spending into stronger fundamentals. - The incoming CEO, Enrique Lores, has a mediocre track record at HP in delivering outsized shareholder value. So his appointment does not yet inspire confidence in a PayPal turnaround. - PayPal now trades at a steep discount vs. its payments peers on forward earnings, near multi-year trough valuation levels. - The post-earnings 20% sell-off on very high volume resembles a capitulation move that often coincides with long-term bottoms in a stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4865689-paypal-just-posted-its-worst-quarter-yet-but-now-it-may-be-at-rock-bottom-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir Is Challenging The Enterprise Software And IT Services Industries (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-is-challenging-the-enterprise-software-and-it-services-industries-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:06:44.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir Technologies is delivering exceptional, margin-accretive growth as AIP and Foundry displace traditional enterprise software and IT services. Large guidance beats suggest that the market is not yet recognizing the potential. - Q4 FY 2025 revenue growth accelerated to 70% year over year, with remaining performance obligations jumping to 2.48 billion dollars as a strong leading indicator of further growth. - Palantir’s normalized EBIT margin is already 41 percent, with very high incremental margins suggesting significant additional operating leverage ahead. - Despite a lower one-year forward P/E multiple of 112 times, Palantir’s valuation still implies roughly 30 percent annual earnings growth for 12 years, which leaves very little room for execution. - The conflict between perfect execution and demanding valuations is reflected in the technical view, which points to market-level performance ahead for Palantir stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4865627-palantir-is-challenging-the-enterprise-software-and-it-services-industries?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML's AI Supercycle Orders Just Doubled Street Expectations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asmls-ai-supercycle-orders-just-doubled-street-expectations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:05:44.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - ASML Holding N.V. delivered €13.2bn in Q4 orders, almost double expectations, as advanced logic and DRAM demand accelerated net bookings growth. - EUV adoption in DRAM and the ramp of the NXE:3800E tool are increasing ASML’s lithography intensity exposure across both logic and memory. - Higher EUV mix, improving gross margins, and strong free cash flow support ASML’s plan for a €12bn buyback through 2028. - Despite a rich forward PE, ASML’s historical premium to semiconductor equipment peers remains compressed, even as bookings and earnings expectations rise. - ASML’s share price is in a powerful uptrend versus the S&P 500, with no clear signs of distribution or bearish technical signals yet. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4865036-asml-ai-supercycle-orders-just-doubled-street-expectations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### LyondellBasell: I'm Turning Bearish Again After Q4 Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lyondellbasell-im-turning-bearish-again-after-q4-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:04:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. continues to face weak demand and higher costs in its core olefins and polyolefins segments, with margins deeply depressed versus historical averages. - A falling oil-to-gas ratio and rising natural gas prices are expected to pressure LyondellBasell’s margins further over 2026 and 2027. - LYB stock now trades at a forward P/E premium to sector peers, reversing its usual discount as valuation multiples rise while earnings expectations fall. - Technical analysis suggests LyondellBasell’s recent rebound has stalled at key resistance, increasing the risk of renewed downside in the share price. - Free cash flow coverage of the dividend remains fragile, and management’s February board review of capital allocation and capex cuts will be crucial for future dividend policy. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4864920-lyondellbasell-im-turning-bearish-again-after-q4-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Apple: Booming iPhone 17 Vs. Soaring Memory Costs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-booming-iphone-17-vs-soaring-memory-costs-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:03:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Apple Inc.’s iPhone 17 launch is driving renewed iPhone revenue growth, led by strong Pro Max adoption and market share gains in China through record upgraders and new ecosystem entrants. - Rising memory costs are set to pressure Apple’s product gross margins from Q2 FY26 onward, although premium Pro model mix may soften the impact. - AAPL trades near fair value, with a 1-year forward P/E above its long-term average but at a smaller premium to peers than in recent years. - AAPL’s relative performance versus the S&P 500 has been range-bound since 2022, with technicals showing no clear directional bias. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4864578-apple-booming-iphone-17-vs-soaring-memory-costs-rating-downgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why I'm Betting Big On Meta This Year (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-im-betting-big-on-meta-this-year-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:02:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Meta Platforms, Inc.’s Q4 FY25 results show clear signs of AI-driven revenue acceleration, with stronger guidance for Q1 FY26 supported by rising ad impressions, healthy pricing, and higher monetization per user. - The planned 2026 capex surge, largely to fund Meta Superintelligence Labs and custom MTIA chips, appears more justified now, given clearer links to monetization and potential compute cost savings. - Productivity metrics like EBIT per employee have rebounded strongly, but management’s FY26 commentary implies EBIT growth may lag revenue growth, suggesting likely EBIT margin compression. - Meta’s current forward P/E multiple sits slightly below its historical average, while its valuation premium versus social media peers remains in line with history, indicating the stock does not appear richly priced. - Technicals show META stock reacting bullishly from monthly support versus the S&P 500, reinforcing the fundamentally driven case for continued upside in the stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4864481-why-im-betting-big-on-meta-this-year?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft Q2: Non‑Obvious Risks Hiding Behind The AI Boom (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-q2-non-obvious-risks-hiding-behind-the-ai-boom-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:01:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - A large share of Microsoft Corporation’s commercial RPO is concentrated in OpenAI, which can be a risk given that customer's cash-burning, unprofitable, capital-infusion reliant status. - AI infrastructure spending is shifting Microsoft’s business mix toward lower-margin hardware, driving sustained declines in Microsoft Cloud and consolidated gross margins. - MSFT's heavy capex on short-lived GPUs and CPUs, combined with long depreciation lives, may understate future capex needs and pressure already declining free cash flow margins. - Copilot adoption is accelerating, with rapid growth in paid seats and usage, and rising Office 365 ARPU suggests improving monetization from AI-powered features. - MSFT stock’s valuation trades at a wider-than-usual discount to software peers, while its relative chart versus the S&P 500 has pulled back toward a key monthly support zone. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4863873-microsoft-q2-nonobvious-risks-hiding-behind-the-ai-boom?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: Why A Turnaround Still Seems Unlikely (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-why-a-turnaround-still-seems-unlikely-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T20:00:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Intel Corporation’s revenue growth looks muted into H1 FY26 as supply constraints, depleted buffer inventory, and delayed server wafers cap near-term upside despite healthy end demand. - INTC’s foundry pivot still lacks a major external customer, and any Apple-related upside would likely not drive meaningful revenue for at least two more years. - Intel continues to lose share in data center compute and CPUs, missing the GPU-driven AI wave while AMD strengthens its competitive position. - Gross margins face multiple headwinds, including negative operating leverage and dilutive Panther Lake 18A ramp, with little concrete evidence yet of progress toward management’s 40 percent target. - INTC stock's valuation discount versus peers has narrowed as the stock re-rated mainly on multiple expansion rather than improved EBITDA growth expectations, limiting the margin of safety. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4863431-intel-why-a-turnaround-still-seems-unlikely?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### This Is How You Value Tesla (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/this-is-how-you-value-tesla-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:58:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Tesla, Inc. is making promising progress on scaling robotaxis, with unsupervised rides beginning in Austin and further rollout updates likely to dominate the upcoming earnings call. - Favorable revenue mix shifts toward robotaxis and FSD subscriptions could structurally expand Tesla’s gross margins from sub-20% toward 40-50% over the long term. - A reverse DCF and segment-level earnings build suggest Tesla’s current valuation embeds roughly 24% earnings CAGR over 15 years. - Granular 2040 earnings estimates for robotaxis, humanoid robots, and legacy auto+energy add up to about $159 billion of potential annual earnings, which is slightly above what the market is implying. - Technical analysis of TSLA versus the S&P 500 shows a pattern of higher lows and a potential breakout setup, indicating a constructive near- to medium-term risk-reward profile. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4862328-this-is-how-you-value-tesla?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Reddit Needs To Grow Like Meta While Facing Tougher Challenges (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/reddit-needs-to-grow-like-meta-while-facing-tougher-challenges-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:57:57.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Youth social media restrictions and growing awareness of addiction risks threaten Reddit’s daily active users, content generation, and ultimately advertiser value over time. - RDDT’s heavy reliance on Google search and AI chatbots for traffic creates vulnerability as AI overviews increasingly answer user queries without clicks to underlying Reddit threads. - Advertising revenue growth has been very strong and is tracking ahead of prior expectations, but management already guides to deceleration as these traffic headwinds begin to bite. - RDDT’s valuation embeds a high 10-year earnings growth ask rate of nearly 30% CAGR, effectively pricing it like another Meta despite facing tougher regulatory and traffic cannibalization challenges. - The technical charts look bearish for RDDT vs. SPX500, suggesting underperformance ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4862317-reddit-needs-to-grow-like-meta-while-facing-tougher-challenges?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia: H200 China Roadblock And Soaring Memory Costs Threaten The Bull Case (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-h200-china-roadblock-and-soaring-memory-costs-threaten-the-bull-case-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:56:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia Corporation faces extended China demand uncertainty, rising memory costs and execution risks in Vera Rubin, which together offset the appeal of NVDA stock's cheaper relative valuation and range‑bound technicals. - China's halt of H200 GPU imports after U.S. export clearance may prolong a roughly 10–15% revenue gap versus Nvidia’s China contribution before the export restrictions. - Rapid DRAM and NAND price hikes, combined with more storage‑intensive next‑gen platforms, raise component costs and may threaten Nvidia’s mid‑70s% gross margins. - Vera Rubin offers huge gains in job completion time, throughput and inference cost, but the all‑new chip stack creates elevated execution risks around volume ramps, yields and commercialization timelines. - Despite these headwinds, NVDA stock now trades at an unusually large discount to sector forward P/E multiples. However, its relative performance versus the S&P 500 remains stuck in a broad trading range. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4861958-nvidia-h200-china-roadblock-and-soaring-memory-costs-threaten-the-bull-case?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Barrick Mining: Don't Miss This Gold Mine Expansion And IPO Re‑Rating Story (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/barrick-mining-dont-miss-this-gold-mine-expansion-and-ipo-re-rating-story-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:55:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Barrick Mining is emerging stronger after resolving its Mali dispute, restoring a mid-teens share of attributable production and removing a major overhang on cash flow and jurisdiction risk. - The high-grade Fourmile discovery in Nevada could add roughly 20% to Barrick Mining’s annual gold output towards the end of this decade or early next decade once fully developed. - B stock trades at a discount to peers, partly due to riskier jurisdictions, and an IPO spinoff of Nevada, Fourmile and Pueblo Viejo assets could help unlock a higher multiple. - Technical trends show Barrick Mining in a clear relative uptrend versus the S&P500, with no current signs of seller pressure, supporting a positive stance while the trend persists. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4860158-barrick-mining-dont-miss-this-gold-mine-expansion-ipo-rerating-story?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML: An Indirect But Very Real Beneficiary Of The AI Memory Supercycle (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asml-an-indirect-but-very-real-beneficiary-of-the-ai-memory-supercycle-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:54:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - ASML’s DRAM memory supercycle should drive a strong rebound in bookings and book-to-bill, as leading DRAM makers add substantial greenfield capacity that requires more complex lithography. - High-NA EUV is progressing from R&D into commercial ramp, with Intel and other customers preparing for 14A and advanced nodes, supporting a recovery in system sales from late FY26 onwards. - Increasing High-NA EUV volumes should help ASML progress toward its FY30 gross margin target, as scale reduces High-NA dilutive effects and lifts the overall margin mix. - ASML’s valuation premium versus major semiconductor equipment peers is near historical trough levels, while technicals show a decisive bullish breakout versus the S&P 500. - China contributed a high share of ASML revenue recently, but management expects significantly lower China demand in 2026 even as total FY26 sales remain at or above FY25. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4858966-asml-an-indirect-but-very-real-beneficiary-of-the-ai-memory-supercycle?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Advanced Micro Devices: AI Breakout Or Just Hype Around MI450 And Helios? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/advanced-micro-devices-ai-breakout-or-just-hype-around-mi450-and-helios-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:53:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Advanced Micro Devices’ data center AI revenue is set for strong growth, driven by MI400-series GPUs, with MI450 and the Helios rack-scale system ramping from H2 FY26. - Management is prioritizing market share and gross profit dollars over near-term gross margin improvement. We may not see meaningful margin expansion for 1-2 years. - Moving up the value chain with the Helios rack-scale AI system adds operational complexity and execution risk. But the company is well-poised to handle it with its ZT Systems acquisition. - Valuation is not compelling—AMD trades at a 30% premium to peers, but rising earnings expectations offset this. - On multi-month relative charts, Advanced Micro Devices versus the S&P500 appears to be in a broad consolidation, suggesting a range-bound rather than strongly trending market state. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857997-advanced-micro-devices-ai-breakout-or-just-hype-around-mi450-and-helios?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway Faces Turbulence In 2026 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-faces-turbulence-in-2026-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:52:26.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - GEICO’s margins are under pressure as bodily injury claims rise 11–13% and customer acquisition costs increase, suggesting profitability headwinds despite decent written premium growth. - Berkshire Hathaway’s growing cash and fixed income pile, now about a third of total assets, becomes a headwind as a likely 50 bps Fed cut reduces interest income. - BRK.B’s valuation near its long-term price-to-book median, even after updating for recent equity moves, indicates shares are reasonably priced rather than a clear bargain. - The absence of share repurchases for five consecutive quarters implies management does not view the current share price as materially below intrinsic value. - GEICO’s abrupt CEO departure adds further uncertainty to GEICO’s business. We should acknowledge that the risk of further leadership turnover is elevated this year. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857818-berkshire-hathaway-faces-turbulence-in-2026?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal's Branded Checkout Is Bleeding Market Share While Management Blames 'Macro' (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypals-branded-checkout-is-bleeding-market-share-while-management-blames-macro-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:51:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PayPal faces sustained headwinds in branded checkout volumes per active account, as competition from Apple Pay, Google Pay, and Shop Pay takes share in faster, lower-friction online checkouts. - Management attributes much of the weakness to weak consumer and retail 'macro', but retail sales data in PayPal’s key markets look reasonably healthy, suggesting competition may be the real reason. - PayPal now trades at a smaller forward P/E discount to payments peers than historically, as earnings expectations improve, leaving valuation neither clearly cheap nor obviously stretched versus its sectoral peers. - Technical trends remain bearish, with PYPL underperforming the S&P 500 on a total return basis and showing no clear signs of support or buyer strength on relative price charts. - Agentic commerce and AI shopping partnerships with Perplexity, Google, and OpenAI offer long-term upside optionality, but monetization details, adoption scale, and unit economics remain unproven while near-term investments pressure margins. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857713-paypals-branded-checkout-is-bleeding-market-share-while-management-blames-macro?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Applied Digital: Why A $1.5 Billion NOI Dream May Enrich Lenders More Than Shareholders (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/applied-digital-why-a-1-5-billion-noi-dream-may-enrich-lenders-more-than-shareholders-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:50:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My reverse DCF on APLD implies a very high 15-year EBITDA growth ask, but current CoreWeave and hyperscaler leases suggest the company can realistically reach the required $1.5 billion run rate. - Applied Digital still needs roughly 1.0–1.2 GW of capacity ultimately built and leased, versus just 100 MW constructed and 600 MW already under long-term contracts, leaving a large physical build-out ahead. - The company faces a \~$8.2 billion funding gap versus its roughly $3.7 billion liquidity level now, implying further heavy use of debt and preferred equity, with double-digit all-in capital costs. - The debt and preferred equity financiers are enabling APLD's growth vision but also taking a sizable share of project economics away from common minority equity shareholders. - Near-term, the key swing factor for APLD’s equity story is execution on construction timelines and incremental lease signings at Polaris Forge 1 and 2 that de-risk the long runway to the targeted EBITDA scale. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857580-applied-digital-stock-why-1-5-billion-noi-may-enrich-lenders-more-than-shareholders-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alexandria Real Estate: Deep Value Or A Value Trap After A 45% Dividend Cut? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alexandria-real-estate-deep-value-or-a-value-trap-after-a-45-dividend-cut-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:49:02.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Alexandria Real Estate (ARE), a leading life science REIT, now faces a severe industry supply-demand imbalance that is driving rising vacancies, falling occupancy, and negative cash rental spreads. - Known FY26 lease expirations will create a roughly 4% annual rental revenue headwind that is likely to persist for most of the year. - To salvage occupancy, ARE is more than doubling property-enhancing capex intensity to about 29.5% of NOI, significantly raising the cost to secure and retain tenants. - The 45% dividend cut and planned $2.9 billion of asset sales are largely aimed at funding this elevated capex while stabilizing leverage and maintaining balance sheet flexibility. - Despite ARE’s deep valuation discount versus peers, declining AFFO expectations and execution risk around asset sales could justify the current multiple and constrain upside potential. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857420-alexandria-real-estate-deep-value-or-value-trap-after-45-percent-dividend-cut?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### AppLovin May Be Facing Diminishing Marginal Returns (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/applovin-may-be-facing-diminishing-marginal-returns-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:45:12.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AppLovin’s Axon Ads Manager shows rapid early adoption, but recent media buyer data points to possible share loss to competing ad platforms, creating mixed signals on this new growth engine. - Revenue growth heavily benefits from model enhancements. But I expect diminishing marginal returns with each optimization iteration to lead to an unexpected growth deceleration risk. - Management now guides for sustaining already high EBITDA margins rather than expanding them further. This refutes my earlier view that margins had more runway to continuously expand. - AppLovin trades at a notably higher forward P/E than its advertising peers, with the current premium exceeding its own historical valuation spread; a sign of relative overvaluation risk. - The APP vs. SPX500 relative chart remains locked in a wide trading range, indicating no clear medium-term directional bias over the broader market index. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857087-applovin-may-be-facing-diminishing-marginal-returns?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC Is Relentlessly Getting Stronger, And The Market Is Mispricing It (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-is-relentlessly-getting-stronger-and-the-market-is-mispricing-it-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:43:40.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - TSM is rapidly gaining foundry market share and now has a credible path to high 40s, or even 50%, 5‑year revenue CAGR, helped by Nvidia's incremental H200 demand for China shipments. - TSM's 2026 price hikes and better‑than‑expected 2nm yields support a plausible new gross margin plateau above 60% from Q4 FY25 onward. - TSM is accelerating its second Arizona fab, with 3nm production now targeted for 2027 instead of 2028, pulling forward advanced‑node US revenue. - However, potential Taiwanese export restrictions could restrict leading‑edge node deployment overseas, slowing the revenue ramp from TSM's faster US fab build‑out. - My valuation estimate leads me to 50-85% upside. I think the market is clearly mispricing TSM stock. The technicals also show an ideal buy setup. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4857005-tsmc-relentlessly-getting-stronger-market-mispricing-it?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Credo: Hold On To This Winner But Don't Buy More Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-hold-on-to-this-winner-but-dont-buy-more-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:42:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Hyper growth in Credo’s AEC products is driving major revenue beats and accelerating guidance as these cables become the de facto standard for inter-rack data center connectivity. - Purchase commitments and hyperscaler ramp suggest further near-term revenue acceleration. - Micro LED-based active LED cables from the Hyperlume deal could be a major new product category, yet meaningful financial impact is only likely from fiscal 2028 onward. - Gross margins are expected to normalize toward 63–65 percent, while opex growth tied to R&D and Hyperlume integration may compress EBIT margins by several hundred basis points. - Customer concentration in Amazon and downward revisions to its data center capex represent a tangible revenue risk despite Credo’s structurally improved business and more attractive valuation multiples. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856963-credo-hold-on-to-this-winner-but-dont-buy-more-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### This Is How You Value Palantir (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/this-is-how-you-value-palantir-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:41:13.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir Technologies Inc.'s AIP adoption is driving accelerating growth across commercial and government customers, with early signs of higher average revenue per customer and stronger top‑20 account monetization. - AI FDE agents dramatically compress deployment timelines, allowing PLTR to scale solutions faster and unlock meaningful operating leverage and EBIT margin expansion. - A reverse DCF says PLTR must deliver 33% earnings CAGR for 12 years just to earn market‑level returns. - PLTR’s current execution, including triple‑digit normalized earnings growth and consistent guidance beats, indicates this demanding growth hurdle may still be achievable. - A more dovish interest rate outlook and a still‑intact technical uptrend support PLTR stock, although its recent relative outperformance may pause in a consolidation phase. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856886-this-is-how-you-value-palantir?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Rocket Lab: The Market Is Saying This Is An Outlier Among Outliers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rocket-lab-the-market-is-saying-this-is-an-outlier-among-outliers-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:38:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - At 48x forward revenue, I believe Rocket Lab must compound revenue near 30% annually for 15 years, a feat matched only by a few rare mega‑cap outliers from a similar starting scale. - RKLB has secured a record close to a billion-dollar deal for designing and building satellites. This nearly doubles backlog and boosts multiyear revenue visibility. - Neutron's launch delay into Q1 FY26 pushes out a key growth and margin catalyst, making it tougher to sustain the extreme long‑term revenue compounding implied by today’s valuation. - The new mega deal win may drag the gross margins profile below 30% before eventually stabilizing in the low‑to‑mid 30% range. - Despite the powerful recent rally, RKLB remains stuck in a wide weekly range vs. the S&P 500, with price rejecting a key resistance level instead of breaking out. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856813-rocket-lab-the-market-is-saying-this-is-an-outlier-amongst-outliers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### LyondellBasell: 12% Divvy Yield But It Is At Risk Of Getting Cut (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lyondellbasell-12-divvy-yield-but-it-is-at-risk-of-getting-cut-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:35:57.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - LyondellBasell faces a more structural than cyclical downturn as Chinese capacity additions and below-cost operations for non-economic reasons prolong oversupply in key petrochemical markets, pressuring revenues for several years. - A declining oil-to-gas price ratio is eroding LyondellBasell’s feedstock cost advantage, and the outlook for oil and gas prices suggests further gross margin pressure ahead. - LyondellBasell’s free cash flow has turned insufficient to fully cover dividends, and limited liquidity runway raises the likelihood of a dividend reduction to protect its credit profile. - LyondellBasell trades around sector median forward valuation multiples despite typically warranting a discount, while earnings expectations are trending lower, making the stock look relatively expensive today. - Technicals show the prior underperformance trend versus the S&P 500 has stalled and downside momentum has weakened, increasing the odds of more sideways price action and performance in line with the market index. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856733-lyondellbasell-12-percent-divvy-yield-but-it-is-at-risk-of-getting-cut?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CoreWeave: An Extraordinary 12-Year Server Useful Life Assumption (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/coreweave-an-extraordinary-12-year-server-useful-life-assumption-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:34:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - CoreWeave has a massive, fast-growing $55.6 billion backlog providing over four years of revenue visibility, but realizing this depends on timely infrastructure buildout and execution. - Execution is faltering as data center construction delays have already forced revenue guidance cuts and may continue to undermine management timelines. - FY26 capex is expected to be well over double FY25 levels, creating a funding gap that likely requires additional equity or debt, raising dilution and leverage risks. - I find CoreWeave's 12-year server useful life assumption versus 6 years for peers very hard to believe. If I'm right, this understates future maintenance and replacement capex needs. - CRWV now trades at a discount to data center peers, offering some valuation upside risk, but technical trends and fundamental concerns currently outweigh the bullish reasons. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856643-coreweave-stock-extraordinary-12-year-server-useful-life-assumption?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital's High Yield Looks Safe But The Stock May Still Underperform In 2026 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capitals-high-yield-looks-safe-but-the-stock-may-still-underperform-in-2026-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:33:02.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ares Capital’s investment yield spread is likely to compress further as falling rates drag asset yields faster than funding costs, putting additional pressure on net investment income margins in 2026. - Dividend coverage metrics can deteriorate as core EPS coverage hovers near 1x, but a large taxable income spillover pool meaningfully reduces the risk of a dividend cut in 2026. - Macro M&A volumes remain weak, yet ARCC’s rising net commitments and management commentary on middle-market deal flow suggest emerging cycle strength that can support absolute NII growth despite margin pressure. - ARCC’s forward valuation premium versus BDC peers screens meaningfully above its historical norm, indicating that the stock still looks relatively expensive on forward earnings multiples. - ARCC’s relative chart versus the S&P 500 remains in a wide multi-year range with downside momentum inertia, pointing to continued underperformance until lower technical support is reached. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856542-ares-capital-high-yield-looks-safe-but-the-stock-may-still-underperform-in-2026?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Newmont: Average On The Cost Curve, But Above Average Upside Potential (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/newmont-average-on-the-cost-curve-but-above-average-upside-potential-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:31:40.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ahafo North is starting commercial production, adding around 5% low-cost gold volume versus Newmont’s current run-rate and supporting margin expansion and free cash flow growth. - Ongoing SG&A and project cost reductions from workforce restructuring and organizational simplification should further improve NEMt’s margins and cash flow conversion. - Majority control of Nevada Gold Mines could unlock additional operational cost efficiencies on an already key 19.4% gold production and sales contributor for NEM. - NEM trades close to fair value on 1-year forward P/CFPS, but rising earnings expectations and a correction in the multiple create an attractive setup. - Technical charts suggest NEM can continue outperforming the S&P 500 until a major resistance level is reached. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856424-newmont-average-on-the-cost-curve-but-above-average-upside-potential?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: I've 3xed My Investment But I'm Still Buying More (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-ive-3xed-my-investment-but-im-still-buying-more-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:29:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica’s leading position in Ethernet switches and custom HPS platforms is driving guidance upgrades, with management expecting around 40% annual CCS growth through 2026 and visibility into at least 2027. - CLS plans to nearly double capex intensity to 2.0%–2.5% of revenue in FY26, funded by operating cash flow, to expand manufacturing capacity for strong demand expected through FY28. - Higher‑margin HPS revenues are growing faster than the rest of the business, supporting steady CCS and overall EBIT margin expansion, with upside remaining as HPS mix continues to increase. - Wall St has recently revised capex expectations downward for key hyperscaler customers like Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet, creating a risk if actual data center capex disappoints from these customers. - CLS trades at a rich forward earnings multiple versus peers, but a recent valuation correction alongside broad-based upward EPS revisions and constructive technical consolidation keeps me bullish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856337-celestica-ive-3xed-my-investment-but-im-still-buying-more?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: Lake Charles Shock, EBITDA Miss And A Bearish Rollover Into 2026 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-lake-charles-shock-ebitda-miss-and-a-bearish-rollover-into-2026-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:28:14.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Energy Transfer is giving up on a high-ROI Lake Charles LNG expansion, removing a major growth catalyst and signaling a retreat from LNG export ambitions. - ET’s flat EBITDA and a miss versus its FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance despite the WTG Midstream acquisition and higher capex exposes weak organic growth. - Rising NGL, midstream, and crude oil volumes yet declining distributable cash flow indicate worsening cash flow conversion. - ET trades at a discounted EV/EBITDA multiple versus its history and midstream peers, creating valuation-driven upside risk despite deteriorating fundamentals. - Long-term technical charts show a confirmed bearish rollover for ET versus the S&P 500, supporting expectations of continued underperformance into 2026. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856329-energy-transfer-lake-charles-shock-ebitda-miss-and-a-bearish-rollover-into-2026?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nebius Group: Sold Out On AI Demand, But With A 1‑Year Capex Headache (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nebius-group-sold-out-on-ai-demand-but-with-a-1-year-capex-headache-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:27:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nebius is seeing red hot demand for data center capacity with mega deals signed, but much of the growth from these contracts appears already priced into current expectations. - Long lead times and power capacity bottlenecks push the full revenue benefit of recent Microsoft and Meta deals into FY27, increasing payoff timing risk for investors. - NBIS is sharply accelerating capex and using multiple financing sources, including potential equity issuance, which could meaningfully dilute existing shareholders while funding its aggressive expansion plans. - NBIS now trades at a lower revenue multiple premium to peers and below its own historical median, while revenue expectations have risen significantly, making the valuation setup more attractive. - Technical signals on NBIS vs. S&P500 show a balanced bull‑bear battle, supporting an outlook for NBIS shares to track the broader market going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856208-nebius-group-sold-out-on-ai-demand-but-with-a-1year-capex-headache?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pfizer: Adjusted EPS Masks How Bad 2026 Really Looks (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizer-adjusted-eps-masks-how-bad-2026-really-looks-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:25:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pfizer faces another year of revenue decline in 2026, as Covid and loss-of-exclusivity headwinds weigh on top line growth, despite management's guidance and cost-cutting efforts. - Recurring unusual charges, averaging over 10 percent of revenue, risk offsetting Pfizer's planned 5.7 billion dollars of net savings, making true unadjusted EPS meaningfully weaker than guided adjusted EPS. - Growing vaccine skepticism, shifting U.S. childhood vaccine policy, and ongoing Covid-19 safety probes threaten volumes and litigation risk for key vaccines, like Prevnar and Abrysvo. - Despite trading at about an 8.5x 1-yr fwd PE at a historically deep discount to peers, flat to deteriorating earnings expectations limit the case for a valuation-driven bullish stance. - Pfizer's relative chart vs. the S&P 500 has rejected resistance, with bearish weekly signals, suggesting continued underperformance until lower technical support levels are reached. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856079-pfizer-adjusted-eps-masks-how-bad-2026-really-looks?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Lumentum Holdings' Momentum Is Enticing, But There Are Too Many Reasons To Stay Away (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lumentum-holdings-momentum-is-enticing-but-there-are-too-many-reasons-to-stay-away-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:23:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lumentum benefits from AI-driven demand for special laser chips (InP EMLs), with capacity essentially sold out through 2026 and largely booked through 2027, supporting strong near-term revenue visibility. - However, alternative solutions using continuous wave lasers with silicon photonics offer lower-cost substitutes for InP EMLs, potentially pressuring Lumentum’s long-term market position. - Lumentum's reliance on just two customers for 43% of revenue creates significant business model risk, particularly if hyperscaler data center capex trends weaken. - Valuation risk is pronounced, with LITE trading at a 60.8x forward P/E, a 46% premium to peers, driven mainly by multiple expansion. - Lumentum's share price view, however, shows strong bullish momentum, versus the S&P 500, and the technical trend currently supports continued relative outperformance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4856024-lumentum-holdings-momentum-enticing-but-there-are-too-many-reasons-to-stay-away?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Agnico Eagle Mines: One Of My Top Picks For 2026 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/agnico-eagle-mines-one-of-my-top-picks-for-2026-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:21:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AEM offers leveraged upside to gold in 2026 as the Fed shifts to a more accommodative stance and balance sheet policy becomes increasingly supportive of non-yielding assets like gold. - Structural central bank buying and early-stage gold ETF restocking suggest a multi‑year positive demand backdrop, providing a favorable macro tailwind for gold prices and AEM. - AEM is increasing growth capex into five major Canadian and Mexican projects that are expected to lift production by about 20% over the next 5–8 years. - AEM sits in the second decile of the global AISC cost curve at roughly $1300 per ounce, providing low-cost, unhedged operating leverage to higher gold prices. - AEM currently trades at a trough-like 1‑year forward P/CFPS multiple in line with peers, despite its historically large premium for low-risk jurisdictions and a still-strong, consolidating relative uptrend versus the S&P 500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4855858-agnico-eagle-mines-one-of-my-top-picks-for-2026?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Coinbase: Sell As The Fundamentals And Charts Both Roll Over (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/coinbase-sell-as-the-fundamentals-and-charts-both-roll-over-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:18:52.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Coinbase faces revenue headwinds as lower interest rates threaten to slow growth in stablecoin interest income, which currently contributes nearly 20% of overall revenue. - Operating expenses in sales, R&D, and G&A are rising due to acquisitions and headcount growth, creating potential margin pressure into 2026 as management frames 2025 as an investment year. - Coinbase trades at a lower premium vs. sector peers and vs. own history, but flat earnings expectations limit how much this valuation discount can support the stock. - COIN has failed multiple times at a key technical resistance level vs. the S&P 500, and recent price action suggests growing risk of downside and underperformance ahead. - A more accommodative regulatory environment globally remains an upside risk that could expand Coinbase’s market opportunities. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4855644-coinbase-sell-as-the-fundamentals-and-charts-both-roll-over?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### BigBear.ai's AI SaaS Pivot: Why The Numbers Don't Support The Hype (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/bigbear-ais-ai-saas-pivot-why-the-numbers-dont-support-the-hype-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:17:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Revenues have stagnated over four years due to lower defense volumes, while gross margins and EBIT margins deteriorate as idle labor costs increase. - The Ask Sage acquisition at a 10x EV/Revenue multiple represents potential overpayment, 25% above typical cybersecurity SaaS sector benchmarks of 8x. - Firm fixed price revenues, the key indicator of SaaS transition progress, show a broad declining trend despite a recent QoQ jump from accounting adjustments. - BBAI trades at a 13.49x forward EV/revenue multiple, 329% above its historical median, while forward revenue estimates continue to decline, indicating overhyped valuations. - BBAI versus SPX500 has failed to clear major monthly resistance on relative ratio charts, suggesting downside toward the next support level is likely. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4854869-bigbearais-ai-saas-pivot-why-the-numbers-dont-support-the-hype?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron: Stellar Results, But Here's Why It's A Hold And Not A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-stellar-results-but-heres-why-its-a-hold-and-not-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:16:11.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron Technology, Inc.’s AI-driven memory boom faces hard supply ceilings, with HBM fully booked through 2026 and displacing standard DRAM, which caps incremental revenue upside despite strong demand. - Major fab and advanced packaging expansions in Idaho and Singapore will add substantial MU capacity only in 2027–2028, potentially coinciding with a memory supercycle peak and increasing cycle timing risk. - Gross margins are inflecting higher on richer DRAM and HBM mix and strong pricing and are likely to remain elevated before potentially compressing later in the decade if the cycle. - MU stock trades at a significantly higher P/B multiple than key memory peers, implying a stretched valuation premium compared with its own historical relationship to the group. - The MU versus S&P 500 relative chart remains range-bound without a decisive breakout, supporting an expectation of broadly in-line performance and justifying a Market Perform or Hold rating. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4854747-micron-stellar-results-but-heres-why-its-a-hold-and-not-a-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Broadcom: Buy Now To Ride The Shift From Compute To Networking (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-buy-now-to-ride-the-shift-from-compute-to-networking-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:14:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As the constraint in AI data centers shifts from compute to networking capacity and performance, Broadcom finds itself ideally positioned to capitalize on AI networking constraints. - The company is winning multi-billion-dollar deals worth of new business from big AI industry names. I expect growth acceleration in organic revenues to \~35% YoY in FY26. - Customer concentration risk remains a key monitorable, as 40-50% of revenues come from a few hyperscalers. - AVGO stock is richly valued at a 62.9% valuation premium to semiconductor peers, but it is encouraging to see this backed by rising earnings expectations. - A bullish technical chart on AVGO vs. SPX500 supports the case for continued upside and outperformance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4851945-broadcom-buy-now-to-ride-the-shift-from-compute-to-networking?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Hewlett Packard: A New Margins-Boosting Revenue Driver For FY26 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/hewlett-packard-a-new-margins-boosting-revenue-driver-for-fy26-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:13:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Juniper can help HPE unlock a new revenue engine in Networking, as the unification of sales teams can help unlock cross-selling and up-selling opportunities. - As the Networking business has a higher margin profile, the favorable revenue mix shift toward that segment is a profitability driver for the overall company. - HPE trades at a fair 32% discount to peers, which I believe makes its valuation acceptable. - The HPE vs. SPX500 technicals suggest continued outperformance, as the ratio prices are reacting favorably off a key support level. - HPE's backlog and order flow are robust and high in quality due to a good proportion of sovereign customers. However, timely revenue conversion remains a key risk to monitor, as customer delays have led to revenue misses. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4851042-hewlett-packard-new-margins-boosting-revenue-driver-for-fy26?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia: Why Its Lead Over Competitors May Be As Short As One Year (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-why-its-lead-over-competitors-may-be-as-short-as-one-year-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:12:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia's leading revenue indicators are very robust, as evidenced by strong revenue growth in one of its major suppliers, a large uptick in remaining performance obligations, and encouraging revenue visibility. - But competitive threats are intensifying as major cloud service providers may be gaining bargaining power and looking for cheaper alternatives such as Google's TPUs. - NVDA trades at a 10% discount to its sector median 1-year forward P/E and its valuation multiple has remained flat to slightly lower despite rising earnings expectations. This is encouraging. - The bullish momentum on the NVDA/SPX500 charts is slowing down, which increases the risks of a deeper correction. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4850113-nvidia-why-its-lead-over-competitors-may-be-as-short-as-one-year?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why Lumen's Impressive Rally May Be Running Out Of Steam (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-lumens-impressive-rally-may-be-running-out-of-steam-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:11:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lumen Technologies is executing a turnaround, pivoting from legacy telecom to data center network infrastructure for hyperscalers via long-term PCF deals. - LUMN has secured over $10 billion in PCF contracts, but revenue growth from these deals is not expected until late FY28, while legacy business declines persist. - Leverage remains a key risk, with net debt/EBITDA at 7.6x; planned divestitures may reduce this, but EBITDA interest coverage ratios may remain under pressure. - LUMN trades at a rich EV/EBITDA multiple, and the stock's recent rally is driven by multiple expansion despite declining EBITDA expectations, which is indicative of hype. - The bullish advances on LUMN vs SPX500 are seeing a pause at a key monthly resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4849778-why-lumen-impressive-rally-may-be-running-out-of-steam?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Realty Income: My Top Pick For Income Investors (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/realty-income-my-top-pick-for-income-investors-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:10:30.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Realty Income's portfolio expansion in Europe is expected to continue, utilizing lower borrowing costs in the region, which would lead to higher investment yield spreads. - Upcoming interest rate cuts are also likely to spur investment activity and catalyze a 1-year fwd P/AFFO multiple expansion in O stock, which is already trading at a discount. - The technical charts are looking more bullish, especially when we look at O vs. the S&P Dividend Aristocrat Index. - Tenant credit risk is a key risk to watch. The good news is the portfolio is well-diversified. I expect no major rent write-offs at this stage. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4833050-realty-income-my-top-pick-for-income-investors?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Navitas: Fundamentals Are Bearish But You Can't Fight Animal Spirits (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/navitas-fundamentals-are-bearish-but-you-cant-fight-animal-spirits-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:09:14.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Navitas's bullish narrative hinges on hopes of becoming a key Nvidia supplier, but no commercial contracts are confirmed and revenue impact is years away. - Near-term revenue outlook for NVTS is weak, with high China exposure, a sub- industry downturn, and major execution risk from a critical foundry supplier transition. - The company is also unprofitable and burning cash every quarter. But it has enough funding to last at least 3 years at this rate. - Valuation is at extreme levels at an 85.5x 1-yr forward revenue multiple. The valuation multiple is exploding up whilst earnings expectations are declining—a clear sign of hype. - I am still bearish on the stock fundamentally. But from a positioning perspective, I have to account for the strongly bullish technical price and volume action. So I take the middle ground in my stance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4832542-navitas-fundamentals-are-bearish-but-you-cant-fight-animal-spirits?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: Risks You Should Not Ignore Before The Q3 Release (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-risks-you-should-not-ignore-before-the-q3-release-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:07:56.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The market is pricing in a certainty of rate cuts 6 months out. This is not good for ARCC as it can shrink its investment less interest cost spreads further. - Elevated interest receivables is another risk to monitor carefully. It may signal trouble brewing in the portfolio and undermine the quality of the net investment income earnings. - ARCC is trading at a higher-than-usual premium vs the broader BDC sector on a 1-yr fwd PE basis. This introduces risks of relative overvaluation. - ARCC vs. SP500 is making its way down toward the bottom of a big range on the 4-monthly ratio charts. - M&A data suggests a low deal activity environment, but the upside risk here is that more recent management commentary suggests a recovery. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4831186-ares-capital-risks-you-should-not-ignore-before-the-q3-release?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla Q3 Preview: What To Focus On And What To Overlook (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-q3-preview-what-to-focus-on-and-what-to-overlook-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:06:35.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I missed the forest for the trees when I had a bearish view on Tesla. I assessed the robotaxi business in a very myopic way. - The reality as I see it now is that TSLA's robotaxi rollout is on track, with public launches and regulatory approvals. - Short-term regulatory and competitive hiccups in the robotaxi business are rather immaterial so long as TSLA progresses toward the end goal of unlocking this trillion-dollar opportunity. - The Q3 print may have automotive margin pressure, which is likely to continue into Q4 as EV credits fall off. But again, don't focus too much on the automotive business. - TSLA stock's valuations make sense if we look at the value potential in robotaxis and humanoid robots. The technicals also align bullish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4831184-tesla-q3-preview-what-to-focus-on-and-what-to-overlook?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Did Pfizer Overpay For Yet Another Acquisition? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/did-pfizer-overpay-for-yet-another-acquisition-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:05:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - After Pfizer failed to crack the obesity management drug market organically, I feared that it might resort to an overpriced M&A. - As expected, PFE is entering the obesity drug market via an acquisition. But I am pleasantly surprised to see that the valuation it paid for this M&A is rather reasonable. - To avoid tariff hits, Pfizer is trying to stay on the good side of the United States. But this is coming at the cost of FCF and margin hits. - PFE stock looks undervalued vs. pharmaceutical peers. But a weak earnings growth outlook may justify its relatively discounted valuations. - Technical analysis shows seller momentum slowing, but no convincing buyer activity yet to signal a trend reversal. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4830970-did-pfizer-overpay-for-yet-another-acquisition?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Credo: I Sold This Way Too Soon (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-i-sold-this-way-too-soon-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:04:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is well-positioned for aggressive growth, driven by greater compute densities in data center configurations and its superior networking products like the active electrical cable. - CRDO's management demonstrates strong execution and a clear focus on scaling revenues whilst staying in their connectivity niche, leveraging their core SerDes technology and a systems-level approach to product innovation. - CRDO stock is trading at a lower than typical premium vs its comps. And the stock's appreciation is driven mostly by earnings growth expectations rather than multiple expansion. - The overall trend on CRDO vs. SPX500 is clearly bullish but the alpha generation may pause here for a while as the ratio prices undergo a correction. - Credo's concentrated customer base makes its revenue profile riskier and more volatile, especially as consensus estimates for its top customers' capex have seen downward revisions for the next 4 quarters. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4830713-credo-i-sold-this-way-too-soon?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC: Unprecedented Growth Outlook For A Company Of This Scale (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-unprecedented-growth-outlook-for-a-company-of-this-scale-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:02:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited is a big company with $119 billion in annual revenues. Management has guided for 45% revenue CAGR over the next 5 years. This is unheard of at this scale. - Making the outlook even more rosy is the fact that margins in TSMC's next-generation N2 node are expected to be structurally higher than that of the N3 node. - TSM stock is trading at a mere 22.6x 1-yr fwd P/E below even that of the S&P 500, which is at 22.8x. Looks like a major mispricing to me. - The geopolitical and tariff-related risks are mitigated somewhat as TSMC is clearly leaning and de-risking toward the side of the U.S. and the world. - TSM's stock chart vs. the broader S&P 500 market index is clearly bullish. Why fight the trend? There is no reason to do so. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4830443-tsmc-unprecedented-growth-outlook-for-a-company-of-this-scale?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Advanced Micro Devices: What You Need To Know About The Deal With OpenAI (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/advanced-micro-devices-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-deal-with-openai-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T19:01:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AMD's deal with OpenAI can add up to $192 billion in value. But the stock has risen up only $44 billion, suggesting that there may be more upside yet. - The latest GPU generation ramp-up is going well, as AMD is shipping its MI350 GPUs in volume ahead of schedule and has secured big customers for its MI450 chips. - AMD is prioritizing market share growth of its GPUs at the expense of margins. A key risk is that this tradeoff may have a more lasting effect on lower margins. - AMD typically trades right at the median valuation vs. its semiconductor comps. But now, it is at a 49% premium, suggesting potential relative overvaluation. - The ratio charts of AMD vs. SPX500 look like they have broken out of a key monthly resistance. But there is no confirmation yet, so I am hesitant to buy right now. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4830362-advanced-micro-devices-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-deal-with-openai?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### LyondellBasell: 5 Reasons To Brace For More Pain (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lyondellbasell-5-reasons-to-brace-for-more-pain-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:59:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite the benefit of a lower natural gas prices outlook, prospects remain weak as the industry downcycle is expected to lead to worse pricing pressures later this year. - Cash commitments associated with the divestment of unprofitable European business assets can offset some annual cost savings. - Amid weak cash flows, management is prioritizing dividends over growth, delaying key growth projects that can boost EBITDA and return profiles. - LYB stock has gone down, but the stock is still overvalued vs. peers with a deteriorating fundamentals outlook. The sellers continue to print lower lows with momentum and increased conviction. - On the plus side, LYB may be a bit insulated from US-China tariff volatility as it has low Chinese revenue exposure and alternative supply sources to de-risk from China. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4829871-lyondellbasell-5-reasons-to-brace-for-more-pain?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Why I Think It Can Still Go Up 9x (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-why-i-think-it-can-still-go-up-9x-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:55:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The big risk to Palantir stock is that the ask rate for growth is high at 50% CAGR over the next 5 years. - I think Palantir can meet this high growth rate requirement, thus growing into its high valuations, enabled by its forward deployed engineers model to drive rapid customer growth. - Comparisons to traditional software players selling general solutions is arguably flawed. PLTR's tailored solutions command significantly higher revenue per customer than other software peers, which is a big competitive advantage. - I still see multibagger potential in PLTR stock. - Slowing bullish momentum may be signaling a pause in the broader uptrend. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4829866-palantir-why-i-think-it-can-still-go-up-9x?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Rigetti Computing: Here's What Needs To Happen For Its Valuation To Make Sense (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rigetti-computing-heres-what-needs-to-happen-for-its-valuation-to-make-sense-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:54:36.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Unlike some other quantum computing stocks that are at least showing meaningful revenue growth, even if via M&A, Rigetti Computing's revenue scale up is still a far way away. - Rigetti's CEO and other leading technology company CEOs are all warning us that the quantum computing future may be another 2 decades away. We are too early right now. - The good news for hopeful bulls is that the company is well-funded to sustain another 5-6 years of cash burn. This is also a point of risk for eager bears. - RGTI stock valuations make the most sense if we look at it from a P/B perspective. The market is expecting its equity value to grow 6x, which is not unreasonable. - The stock's momentum is in a compelling uptrend with strong price and volume support. But in the absence of meaningful revenue scale up visibility, it seems too risky to buy. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4829720-rigetti-computing-heres-what-needs-to-happen-for-its-valuation-to-make-sense?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: I Got This Wrong But Here's Why I'm Still Not Buying Yet (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-i-got-this-wrong-but-heres-why-im-still-not-buying-yet-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:52:55.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Intel is deemed too important for U.S. national security, as the U.S. government wants to secure supply chain stability for semiconductors. - Intel has received $18.1 billion in funding from the U.S. government, Nvidia, and SoftBank. But this still falls short of Intel's $40 billion capital needs to pursue its foundry ambitions. - INTC trades at a 35% valuation discount to peers, which may be enticing for bulls. - The relative technicals vs. the SPX500 also suggest a genuine bottom has been printed. And the charts look like outperformance may continue. - But I believe Intel's problems can't just be solved with more money. It still needs to deliver better on the execution front. And here, it is faltering with continued delays, particularly on the foundry business side. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4827663-intel-i-got-this-wrong-but-heres-why-im-still-not-buying-yet?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### IonQ: Turning Bullish After A Disastrous Bear Call (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ionq-turning-bullish-after-a-disastrous-bear-call-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:51:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - IonQ is relying on a lot of M&A to generate revenue growth. But that's okay because the acquisition seems reasonably priced and the new CFO seems adept at M&A. - Despite 30% higher costs expected, IonQ's balance sheet is in a very healthy position, as it has ample liquidity that gives it funding runway for more than 5 years. - Some bearish arguments by outspoken bears that express skepticism about the future of quantum computing as a whole seem unconvincing, given strong institutional backing by mega tech companies. - IonQ is cheaper than other quantum niche stocks. The relative technicals on IONQ, versus SPX500 are also clearly bullish. - IONQ is highly sensitive to interest rates, but the current dovish macro environment is favorable. Overall, I have bought a small, risk-aware position with FOMO-driven upside expectations. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4826780-ionq-turning-bullish-after-a-disastrous-bear-call?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### UnitedHealth: This Rally Is Lacking Substance; Sell Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/unitedhealth-this-rally-is-lacking-substance-sell-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:49:42.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rising medical cost ratios are expected to worsen in 2026, and recent regulations limit pricing gains, pressuring gross margins. - Delayed data on superinvestors' buys is not a sufficient reason for becoming bullish on UNH, especially as there is no major bullish improvement on the fundamentals. - Broadening scope of DoJ probes into the pharmacy benefit management business adds another risk wildcard. - Recent bullish activity by superinvestors is seen as unreliable, with delayed 13F data and no meaningful upgrades in Wall Street EPS estimates for UNH. - Valuation analysis shows UNH is overvalued relative to peers, as the recent rally is purely driven by hype-driven multiple expansion. The relative technicals are at a resistance level too. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4824344-unitedhealth-this-rally-is-lacking-substance-sell-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia: Top 5 Reasons To Keep Buying (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-top-5-reasons-to-keep-buying-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:47:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia Corporation's rapid innovation cycle, led by Blackwell and upcoming Rubin platforms, positions it to capture mega-growth themes in AI, industrial, and agentic markets. - Leading revenue indicators from Foxconn's (a key supplier for Nvidia) monthly revenue trends, data on Nvidia's quarterly growth cadence, and commentary points to a strong Q3 ahead. - Gross margin recovery to the mid-70s% is expected by the end of FY 2026\. However, I acknowledge that this may be priced in the stock. - NVDA looks like an ideal GARP stock, as its earnings growth expectations continue to remain very robust, yet its valuation multiple has contracted and fallen below sector medians. - China market risks due to geopolitical hurdles and grey market competition persist, but this is becoming less impactful as revenue exposure to China declines to single digits. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4823406-nvidia-top-5-reasons-to-keep-buying?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla: 5 Reasons To Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-5-reasons-to-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:45:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit can further pressure delivery volumes or hit margins; Tesla needs to cut prices by \~19% to neutralize the impact of lower affordability. - Robotaxi market penetration timelines seem overhyped; going from sub-3% to 50% US market coverage in 5 months is a pipe dream. - There is a risk that affordable EVs may cannibalize Model Y sales. - TSLA stock is becoming more expensive without any corresponding upgrade in expectations of key fundamental drivers such as earnings growth. - The longer-term TSLA vs. SPX 500 chart suggests greater odds of downside and hence underperformance ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4812043-tesla-stock-5-reasons-to-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Soundhound AI: Growth Is Great, But Here's Why It Doesn't Deserve A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/soundhound-ai-growth-is-great-but-heres-why-it-doesnt-deserve-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:44:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SoundHound AI's revenue growth is impressive, with potential for upside surprises in FY25 as the management may be low-balling guidance. - Stock-based compensation remains high despite multiplier revenue growth, raising concerns about minority shareholder interests taking a backseat over the company's employees. - Management is targeting adjusted EBITDA profitability by the end of the year, but I don't believe this as the company has a track record of missing on EBITDA expectations. - In any case, when they say adjusted EBITDA profitability, we should really interpret it as -55% EBITDA margins. The company is also burning lots of cash, which is another risk. - Valuation is stretched at a significant premium to peers, and the technicals vs. SPX 500 show no clear direction. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4811968-soundhound-ai-stock-q2-great-growth-but-heres-why-stretched-valuation-hold-for-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Apple: Is The $100 Billion Deal Really A Smart Move? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-is-the-100-billion-deal-really-a-smart-move-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:43:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Apple Inc. stands to save $107 billion in costs with its new $100 billion investment commitment in the US. The risk is that it may have to spend even more. - Apple has a couple of years of strong product launch catalysts, with the thin iPhone 17 Air launching this year and a foldable iPhone and AI-powered glasses launching next year. - Broad-based growth in Apple's services ecosystem is accretive to gross margins. - Valuations are near relative fair value, and AAPL vs. S&P 500 technicals show a bullish setup from a major monthly support level. - While long-term risks exist from the disruption of screenless AI-powered devices, I trust management's ability to navigate these challenges well. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4811390-apple-is-the-100-billion-deal-really-a-smart-move?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel's CEO Is Overwhelmed With Problems On All Fronts (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intels-ceo-is-overwhelmed-with-problems-on-all-fronts-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:41:45.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Intel faces mounting challenges: weak organic PC demand, terribly poor growth in its data center and AI segment, and a foundry business whose future may be at risk. - The CEO's limited and valuable bandwidth is also being wasted in parrying political pressures to resign due to alleged ties with China. - INTC stock seems to be on the verge of a breakdown following a year of trading in a redistribution range. - INTC stock valuations are discounted vs. its comps, but I think the market is not properly reflecting the magnitude of the challenges the company is facing. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4811058-intels-ceo-is-overwhelmed-with-problems-on-all-fronts?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Reddit: The Future Of Consumer-Led Marketing (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/reddit-the-future-of-consumer-led-marketing-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:40:12.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Reddit is well positioned for strong advertising revenue growth, leveraging authentic user content, and rising daily active users to attract advertisers with high click-through conversions. - A rebound in US consumer sentiment, with its high correlation with ad performance, supports a bullish outlook for Reddit's US ad revenues. - It is nice to see management guide for some small operating margin improvements, although that is not the key driver of the stock going forward. - There is some high valuation risk in RDDT stock, but impressive earnings growth upgrades make the risk acceptable, especially given a valuation multiple compression after Q2 FY25 results. - RDDT is in a healthy uptrend versus the S&P 500, with room for continued outperformance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4808102-reddit-future-of-consumer-led-marketing?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Top 3 Reasons To Buy Before Q2 Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-top-3-reasons-to-buy-before-q2-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:36:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - A key coincident indicator tells us that Palantir Technologies Inc.'s ecosystem is rapidly growing., highlighted by key partner growth and a major $10B U.S. Army deal boosting long-term government revenue prospects. - The up to $10 billion over 10 years deal with the US Army can provide a massive structural lift to U.S. Government growth CAGRs. - I think Palantir tends to low-ball on guidance and outperform Wall St. expectations. So I expect another strong performance in Q2 FY25 with beats all around. - Despite sky-high valuations, I see technical and fundamental momentum. But note that any earnings disappointment can trigger a sharp selloff in PLTR stock, as the margin for error is low. - I'm adding to my position ahead of earnings and will cut this added position if results disappoint. But I am not planning on selling my larger, longer term position in PLTR stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4807708-palantir-top-3-reasons-to-buy-before-q2-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: 4 Reasons To Keep Buying More (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-4-reasons-to-keep-buying-more-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:35:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica Inc. delivered a blowout Q2 FY 2025, with a higher-than-usual revenue beat-and-raise. Management's FY 2025 outlook seems conservative, and capex trends by hyperscalers can fuel a continued growth bonanza well into FY 2026. - Celestica's Enterprise sub-segment, which until now has been a drag on revenues, is expected to see a growth inflection over the next few quarters. - The higher margin hardware platform solutions business continues to outgrow other segments, driving structural margin expansion every quarter. There are no signs of this stopping just yet. - The monthly technical charts show a powerful bullish trend with zero signs of bearish presence. - Valuation risk is rising as CLS stock gets more expensive, but this is a risk worth taking given impressive operating momentum and the backing of fundamentals in the price surges due to upward revisions on normalized EPS estimates. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4807045-celestica-4-reasons-to-keep-buying-more?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### UnitedHealth: Why This Healthcare Giant May Keep Sinking For The Rest Of The Year (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/unitedhealth-why-this-healthcare-giant-may-keep-sinking-for-the-rest-of-the-year-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:34:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My bearish thesis on UnitedHealth Group Incorporated is playing out, with margins and earnings deteriorating as expected after Q2 FY25 results. The onus is on management to prove this is the bottom. - Management's disappointing FY25 revenue guidance adds to challenges, making a turnaround story unlikely in the near term. - Valuations may appear reasonable and even low depending on how you look at it, but I believe eroding earnings fundamentals make this a "no-go" for buys. - The charts also show a strongly bearish UNH trend. And why fight the trend? Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4805741-unitedhealth-why-this-healthcare-giant-may-keep-sinking-for-the-rest-of-the-year?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft: Why I Think It Is Poised To Beat Wall St.'s Margin Estimates (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-why-i-think-it-is-poised-to-beat-wall-st-s-margin-estimates-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:33:11.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Management and industry commentary are very gung-ho on Copilot adoption. I recognize this key growth driver but also have 1 cause for concern. - I believe Wall St. analysts are grossly underestimating the margin expansion benefits that could arise from Microsoft's job cuts. - MSFT's valuations remain reasonable near sector medians, and it is good to see it being supported by robust earnings growth. - The relative technicals indicate a strong uptrend with space to go until the monthly resistance level is hit, leading to a continued outperformance outlook versus the S&P 500. - A key emerging risk is the impact of AI on lowering enterprise software switching costs. This could erode Microsoft's competitive moat. Hopefully, management is quizzed on this in the upcoming earnings call. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4805498-microsoft-why-i-think-it-is-poised-to-beat-wall-sts-margin-estimates?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Amazon Q2 Preview: Can Prime Day Hype And AI-Fueled AWS Drive A Big Earnings Beat? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-q2-preview-can-prime-day-hype-and-ai-fueled-aws-drive-a-big-earnings-beat-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:26:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Amazon.com, Inc. is attractively valued, but I rate it Market Perform/Hold due to mixed signals in fundamentals and technicals ahead of Q2 earnings. - Commerce growth is decelerating and I expect some volume gains to be offset by falling average selling prices. We should not trust the bullish headlines on Amazon Prime Day's performance. - AWS margin improvements (likely from AI-driven headcount efficiencies) are a positive, but capex upgrades may lead to FCF margin erosion risk. We must seek clarity on proof of ROI. - Technical analysis shows no clear directional bias vs. the S&P 500, so I prefer to wait for more clarity before turning bullish again. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4805122-amazon-q2-preview-can-prime-day-hype-and-ai-fueled-aws-drive-a-big-earnings-beat?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alphabet Q2: AI Search & Cloud Doing Great, But Be Wary Of ROI On Big Capex Spends (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alphabet-q2-ai-search-cloud-doing-great-but-be-wary-of-roi-on-big-capex-spends-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:23:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Alphabet's Q2 FY25 results reinforce my bullish stance, driven by AI-led growth in Search that is leading to strong user engagement and importantly, higher ad conversions. - Google Cloud is showing signs of accelerated growth, evidenced by a surge in high-value deals and a robust backlog, supporting future revenue expansion. - GOOGL stock remains undervalued versus peers and its own historical multiples. - The relative technical charts in GOOGL vs SPX500 give me further confidence of continued outperformance and hence alpha generation potential ahead. - Increased capex guidance comes at the cost of FCF margin dilution in the near-term. We need to be demanding proof of ROI via accelerated revenue growth in every call and interview with management. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4803854-alphabet-q2-ai-search-and-cloud-doing-great-but-be-wary-of-roi-on-big-capex-spends?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC: Hot AI Demand Meets Capacity Crunch And Margin Erosion - Time To Take Profits? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-hot-ai-demand-meets-capacity-crunch-and-margin-erosion-time-to-take-profits-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:21:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My high-conviction bullish view on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited aka TSMC has reaped great rewards. But after Q2 FY25 results, I am not as enthusiastic now. - TSMC is seeing red-hot demand driven by high-performance computing needs, but due to capacity constraints, we can't expect commensurate growth. - Usually, high demand and limited capacity leads to margin improvements via higher pricing. But not in this case as overseas fabs and a strong FX headwind may offset pricing gains. - TSM stock appears slightly overvalued versus peers, trading at a lower-than-usual discount, which tempers its relative attractiveness. - TSM stock vs. the S&P500 is at a key resistance level and seeing slowing buyer momentum. I think it is prudent to take some profits off the table here. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4803598-tsmc-hot-ai-demand-meets-capacity-crunch-and-margin-erosion-time-to-take-profits?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Range Resources Q2 Recap: 2 Negatives Outweigh 1 Positive (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/range-resources-q2-recap-2-negatives-outweigh-1-positive-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:20:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - A recent 16% downgrade in natural gas price forecasts, due to higher expected storage levels before the 2025-26 winter is a major headwind for Range Resources. - Over the last 10 years, seasonality analysis shows us that RRC stock has a rather poor win rate and negative return expectations in Jul-Aug, and for most of H2. - On the plus side, the 3-year production outlook points to a brewing growth inflection point. - RRC stock's valuations are also undemanding, and I recognize that this can be a source of upside risk. - However, to offset the point above, the technicals on the relative RRC, versus SPX500 charts look weak and warn of further downside ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4803338-range-resources-q2-recap-2-negatives-outweigh-1-positive?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel Q2 Preview: Why I Expect More Pain, Offsetting All Gains (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-q2-preview-why-i-expect-more-pain-offsetting-all-gains-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:18:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Intel is losing market share at an accelerated pace in its core markets of servers and CPUs. The company is growing at a woefully slow pace, versus competitors. - Management is focused on cost-cutting, margin improvement, and reduction of cash burn. These are small positives, but not enough to offset its poor revenue performance. - Valuation is elevated relative to historical norms, which is unwarranted, given deteriorating earnings fundamentals. - INTC, versus SPX500 technical charts, look like they may face seller pressure again. - I maintain my bearish view and Underperform/Sell rating on INTC ahead of Q2 FY25 earnings. We need to wait of meaningful revenue growth acceleration before even considering turnaround buys. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4803266-intel-q2-preview-expect-more-pain-offsetting-all-gains?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron: I Missed The Boat, And It Seems Too Far To Catch Up (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-i-missed-the-boat-and-it-seems-too-far-to-catch-up-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:17:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron is on track to generate almost 100% YoY growth in HBM revenues and continued high growth in FY26\. The company is raising its bets here via further capex. - Favorable mix-shift effects can drive gross margin expansion. - Inventory efficiency has been improving, supporting expectations for double-digit free cash flow margins in the upcoming quarters. - I like these positive fundamentals, but I do not like MU's premium, higher-than-usual valuation vs. competitors. Also, the technicals vs. SPX500 point to balanced bullish and bearish forces. - Customer concentration (likely NVIDIA) is a growth asset for now but remains a key thing to monitor as it may become a risk liability as well. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4803103-micron-i-missed-the-boat-and-it-seems-too-far-to-catch-up?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: The Distribution Looks Safe For Now - But Here's What Worries Me (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-the-distribution-looks-safe-for-now-but-heres-what-worries-me-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:16:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I maintain my contrarian underperform/sell rating on Energy Transfer and its preferred shares, despite widespread bullish sentiment. - Weak macroeconomic indicators are reason enough to retain a bearish view on the company. But there are some new concerns as well. - Higher-for-longer interest rates and large capex funding needs increase leverage risks, especially if ET can't secure more equity partners for its Lake Charles Project. - Distributions appear safe for now, but the numbers show that the margin of safety is eroding gradually. - ET's valuations are near long-term fair value, but the relative technicals vs. SPX500 look more bearish now, warning of underperformance in the quarters ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4802917-energy-transfer-the-dividend-looks-safe-for-nowbut-heres-what-worries-me?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML Bulls Beware: The Data Points To Prolonged Weakness Ahead (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asml-bulls-beware-the-data-points-to-prolonged-weakness-ahead-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:15:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - ASML Holding N.V.'s latest results suggest the risk of flat growth in 2026 despite strong AI sector headlines. I think the bullish views may be missing important warning signs. - Demand for new machines is falling while used equipment sales rise, hinting at deeper industry trouble just as inventories pile up in semiconductor companies. - I expect the unfavorable used vs. new unit mix trends to persist, and this can put further pressure on management's already downgraded gross margin outlook. - ASML stock is trading at a premium to its longer term median levels, and I doubt this is justified given the risks of zero-growth in FY26. - Favorable U.S. - EU tariff policy developments are a source of upside risk. But I suspect that ASML's customers may wait for a longer period of trade stability before committing hundreds of millions of dollars into ASML's machines. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4801890-asml-bulls-beware-the-data-points-to-prolonged-weakness-ahead?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why Nvidia Still Outshines AMD (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-nvidia-still-outshines-amd-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:13:36.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. and Nvidia Corporation are well-positioned to ride an upgraded growth outlook in the AI inference market. Nvidia because it is the market leader, and AMD due to its focus. - AMD's MI350 GPUs have on-par performance and are more cost-effective than Nvidia's Blackwell. So AMD has a golden opportunity to take share, but the onus is on it to prove itself. - US approval for Chinese shipments can boost both AMD and NVDA's data center revenues. - NVDA is trading at a lower valuation multiple than AMD, which makes the former more attractive, especially given its market leadership right-to-win. - We should not ignore how the overall uptrend in NVDA vs. AMD relative technicals is still very much intact. I think it's unwise to fight the trend. Hence, I prefer NVDA stock to AMD. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4801648-why-nvidia-still-outshines-amd?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alphabet: The AI Comeback, Waymo Acceleration, And Browser Battles (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alphabet-the-ai-comeback-waymo-acceleration-and-browser-battles-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:11:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I'm turning bullish on Alphabet, as it is regaining AI leadership with Gemini 2.5 Pro, and crowd-sourced predictions suggest that it will be the leading AI model in 2025. - Waymo is rapidly expanding, gaining rideshare market share from Uber and Lyft, and is poised for aggressive expansion in more U.S. cities. - Alphabet trades at an attractive deeper-than-usual discount to peers, with improving earnings expectations. - GOOGL/SPX500 relative technicals suggest the buyers are defending key support levels and preparing to make moves to the upside. - Google Chrome faces rising competition from AI-native browsers such as Perplexity's Comet with OpenAI and others expected to enter the browser space as well. This can pressure Google's ad revenue growth. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4801428-google-the-ai-comeback-waymo-acceleration-and-browser-battles?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Is CrowdStrike Running Out Of Upside? Reassessing Growth And Margin Risks (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/is-crowdstrike-running-out-of-upside-reassessing-growth-and-margin-risks-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:09:57.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - CrowdStrike's growth remains strong, but recent revenue guidance and consensus downgrades suggest that market expectations may have become overly optimistic. - My margin expansion thesis is going the other way as the company sees rising headcount, higher opex, and worsening SBC margins, leading to deteriorating EBIT margins. - Valuation is stretched, with CRWD trading at a 135% premium to peers, leaving little margin of safety at current levels. - Buyer momentum is fading on the relative charts of CRWD vs. the S&P 500\. I think we are more likely to see the stock perform in line with the market going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4800850-crowdstrike-running-out-of-upside-reassessing-growth-margin-risks?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Is Palantir Really Overpriced? Breaking Down The Risk And Reward Equation (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/is-palantir-really-overpriced-breaking-down-the-risk-and-reward-equation-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:08:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - With its unique ontology capabilities, Palantir Technologies Inc. is uniquely positioned to benefit from accelerating AI capabilities in order to help organizations be autonomous. - NATO defense spending upgrades present strong tailwinds for the company's International Government revenue and customer expansion. - My longstanding view that "Palantir can be as big as Microsoft" is not a pipe dream; recent comments from company insiders show how progress is being made toward this reality. - The PLTR vs. SPX500 charts show that supports are holding and the buyers are marching up. - Despite my conviction in Palantir’s ability to grow into its high valuation, the current near-peak premium valuation vs. peers leaves virtually zero margin for error. Hence, I feel compelled to rate PLTR stock a Market Perform/Hold for now. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4800712-is-palantir-really-overpriced-breaking-down-the-risk-and-reward-equation?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Is The Premium Valuation Justified As Growth Expectations Cool? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-is-the-premium-valuation-justified-as-growth-expectations-cool-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:06:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SMCI's growth outlook remains robust, driven by a strong backlog and the next generation of Blackwell products. The problem is much of this seems already priced in the stock. - Gross margin pressures from inventory write-downs and tariff uncertainties are likely to persist for another 1-2 quarters. - Valuation is stretched versus peers, with a significant premium coupled with falling earnings expectations. This indicates limited alpha potential and potential overvaluation. - Although SMCI vs SPX 500 is holding above a key monthly support, the move up is not as aggressive as I had expected. - Another risk factor to monitor is the deteriorating net working capital intensity of the company due to rising receivable days and falling payable days, indicating a potentially weaker bargaining position. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4800269-super-micro-computer-is-the-premium-valuation-justified-as-growth-expectations-cool?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: New Networking Wins Keep The Revenue Engine Revving (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-new-networking-wins-keep-the-revenue-engine-revving-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:05:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica's CCS segment is rapidly gaining share among hyperscalers, driven by next-gen product launches and strong positioning in AI/ML networking. - Valuation risk is rising, with CLS trading at a 63% premium to comps, mostly due to multiple expansion rather than earnings growth. - The trend on the CLS vs SPX500 technical charts remains firmly bullish, with no signs of seller pressure. - Wall St is downgrading capex estimates of Celestica's key customers, which is another risk indicator to watch for in terms of growth slowdown beyond 1 years' time. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4799912-celestica-new-networking-wins-keep-the-revenue-engine-revving?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Beyond Blackwell: The Hidden Catalysts Powering Nvidia's Next Leg Up (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/beyond-blackwell-the-hidden-catalysts-powering-nvidias-next-leg-up-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:03:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - New growth drivers for Nvidia Corporation like sovereign AI, industrial AI, and humanoid robots seem underappreciated sources of continued revenue growth acceleration. - Nvidia is adapting to export restrictions affecting China sales in the background, whilst lowering investor expectations in their commentary. This sets them up to deliver a positive beat on revenues. - Management expects mid-70s gross margins in 2-3 quarters time as Blackwell chips ramp up production. But the Street is not yet baking this in, presenting scope for a positive surprise. - Surprisingly, NVDA trades at a relative discount to peers, and technicals suggest a likely breakout above resistance, making the stock attractive for buyers. - Some major hyperscaler customers are trying to in-source, which can put gross margin and revenue risks to Nvidia. But so far, their efforts are not a cause for concern, as NVDA remains the outrightly superior source of AI GPUs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4798875-beyond-blackwell-the-hidden-catalysts-powering-nvidia-next-leg-up?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Axon Ad Engine Roars And Short Seller Noise Fades But I'm Still Not Buying AppLovin Yet (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/axon-ad-engine-roars-and-short-seller-noise-fades-but-im-still-not-buying-applovin-yet-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:02:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AppLovin's AI-driven ad platform has strong long-term growth drivers, with management guiding for a minimum of high-teens annual revenue growth. - An outcome-focused revenue model positions APP well to consistently keep increasing gross margins. And there are powerful operating leverage benefits to drive EBIT margin expansion to 70% in 3 years. - I really don't like how management is divesting their apps/gaming business at throwaway valuations. This decision seems hurried, which could signal risk of poor moves in future M&As. - The market is calling bluff on the short seller attacks as management has dismissed the shorts' allegations and hired a top lawyer to defend the firm. - APP is trading at a lower than usual premium vs its competition, which I think suggests undervaluation especially given its superior growth rate in revenues and earnings. But the relative technicals vs SPX500 suggest no sustained upside breakout just yet. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4798421-axon-ad-engine-roars-and-short-seller-noise-fades-but-im-still-not-buying-applovin-yet?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Peak Tesla? Market Share Erosion, Robotaxi Safety Issues And Overstretched Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/peak-tesla-market-share-erosion-robotaxi-safety-issues-and-overstretched-valuations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T18:00:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Tesla is losing market share in the US, China, and Europe, with declining sales and increased competition eroding its first-mover advantage. - Robotaxi and FSD initiatives face regulatory scrutiny amid safety concerns, raising doubts about near-term scalability and public trust. - TSLA stock trades at peak valuations despite deteriorating earnings fundamentals, signalling overvaluation, especially considering the weak operational momentum. - TSLA vs SPX500 charts also point bearish based on an inability to clear a monthly resistance level after multiple attempts. - The Indian market has great potential... on paper. Practically, there are many idiosyncratic challenges that put the odds of a successful market penetration against Tesla. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4797666-tesla-stock-peak-market-share-erosion-robotaxi-safety-issues-overstretched-valuations-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### LyondellBasell: I See No Turnaround Here, Sell Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/lyondellbasell-i-see-no-turnaround-here-sell-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:59:02.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - LyondellBasell has a big problem: it's free cash flow margin and return metrics are deteriorating. - Higher natural gas prices and other input cost pressures are likely to weigh down on margins across the board. - The most profitable business segment of technology licensing is facing revenue headwinds. - LYB stock seems overvalued, and value investors should be wary of the earnings expectations deteriorating sharply. There are also no signs of buyer strength on the LYB vs SPX 500 charts. - I think LYB is taking the right steps to exit unprofitable businesses and control costs. This can lead to a 430bps margin improvement in a year's time. But I believe it may not be enough for a turnaround in the stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4796723-lyondellbasell-stock-see-no-turnaround-here-sell-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Coinbase: Get In Now To Ride The Megatrend Of Stablecoin Adoption (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/coinbase-get-in-now-to-ride-the-megatrend-of-stablecoin-adoption-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:57:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The GENIUS Stablecoins Act could drive a 8x surge in USDC market cap, positioning Coinbase for outsized growth in its stablecoins revenue stream. - Coinbase’s Deribit acquisition is attractively valued and expands TAM into the much larger crypto derivatives market, boosting transaction volumes and profitability. - Declining stock-based compensation and the business model's strong operating leverage set the stage for significant margin expansion as the business scales. - COIN trades at reasonable valuations versus its comps and its historical valuation band. - I strongly believe COIN vs SPX500 is on the cusp of a big breakout to the upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4796357-coinbase-get-in-now-to-ride-the-megatrend-of-stablecoin-adoption?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### UnitedHealth: Margins Are Under Pressure From All Sides (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/unitedhealth-margins-are-under-pressure-from-all-sides-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:54:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I am bearish on UnitedHealth due to broad-based gross margin pressures, especially from higher-than-expected insurance utilizations and Medicare Advantage funding shortfalls. - Lower-than-usual relative valuations vs peers may be justified given the sharply falling earnings expectations and almost unanimous consensus EPS downgrades. - UNH vs SPX 500 is in a strong bearish trend and there are no signs of buyers in the ratio charts. - While good opex management has led to EBIT margins holding up so far, I suspect margin pressures in Optum Health and Optum Rx (pharmacy) segments may lead to cracks here. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4796355-unitedhealth-margins-are-under-pressure-from-all-sides?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### I Very Rarely Short, But I Am Making An Exception For Navitas Semiconductor (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/i-very-rarely-short-but-i-am-making-an-exception-for-navitas-semiconductor-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:51:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Navitas' 380% rally following the NVIDIA collaboration news is speculative, with no clear near-term commercial impact on revenues. The collaboration is also non-exclusive to Navitas. - The company suffers from poor revenue execution and increasing competitive intensity that exposes lack of competitive moat. Its business model is also shaky with high customer concentration and churn. - Navitas is burning cash rapidly and has limited funding runway. The insiders have been dumping stock after the explosive price rise that places NVTS in very frothy valuation territory. - The relative technicals vs. SPX500 also show signs of the bulls halting at a monthly resistance level. - I conclude that NVTS is a compelling short opportunity. Key risks to watch out for would be a short squeeze if short interest gets too high and decent conversion of customer pipeline into real, tangible orders. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4796102-i-very-rarely-short-but-i-am-making-an-exception-for-navitas-semiconductor?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer Is Likely To Lag The Market (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-is-likely-to-lag-the-market-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:51:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Weak manufacturing PMIs data and a falling Leading Economic Index warn of an economic slowdown, which can curb volume growth for Energy Transfer. - I believe ethane export restrictions to China are unlikely to materially impact Energy Transfer. - My estimates reveal that the Lake Charles LNG export project has attractive economics with an almost 20% ROI profile. This is an upside risk to monitor. - ET stock's valuation seems to be close to fair value, both vs peers and vs. its longer-term history. - Technically, vs the SPX500, ET bulls are losing steam and starting to fail at a key resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4795888-energy-transfer-stock-likely-to-lag-the-market-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PDI: A Decent Income Investment (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pdi-a-decent-income-investment-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:48:36.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund has outperformed the S&P 500 in a risk-off environment, but my outlook is now more constructive for equities, making me less bullish on PDI's outperformance prospects. - But PDI has favorable tailwinds in non-agency residential MBS, as low housing inventories offset low affordability, leading to higher prices and demand for mortgage credit. - PDI also has meaningful exposure to high-yield credit. And this market is seeing higher yields without higher credit risk, at near all-time-low default rates. - The fund's 12% premium to NAV is acceptable, particularly for income-focused investors desiring the juicy 14.15% fwd divvy yield. - PDI vs SPX500 technicals show a balance of bullish and bearish forces, which is why on balance I am deciding on a 'Neutral/Hold' rating overall. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4795571-pdi-cef-decent-income-investment-less-bullish-outperformance-prospects?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### QQQI: Beware Of Buying This Opaque ETF With A Short Performance Record (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/qqqi-beware-of-buying-this-opaque-etf-with-a-short-performance-record-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:46:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - QQQI is a relatively new covered call ETF that has been gaining in popularity this year. - QQQI currently has limited active exposure vs QQQ. Its performance is lagging the QQQ but without providing much downside protection either. After-tax, QQQI would fare even worse vs QQQ. - QQQI's option writing decisions relies on an opaque, rules-based model. We don't know anything about how well it does in a full market cycle due to a limited performance history. - Technical analysis suggests QQQI is likely to underperform both SPY and QQQ, with weak or absent bullish momentum. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4795427-qqqi-beware-of-buying-this-opaque-etf-with-a-short-performance-record?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nebius Is Pursuing A 'Growth At All Costs' Strategy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nebius-is-pursuing-a-growth-at-all-costs-strategy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:45:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nebius Group is executing ahead of expectations, showing strong ARR growth and momentum in global expansion. - Nebius' new Chief Revenue Officer Marc Boroditsky has a terrific track record in scaling tech companies such as Cloudflare and Twilio. - In its ambitious growth pursuits, the company is bleeding cash at an accelerated rate. But it is well-funded and has valuable non-core assets to rely upon, reducing equity dilution risk. - NBIS's valuation is close to fair value vs hyperscaler peers, and the stock vs SPX 500 has strong bullish momentum. But it is rejecting off a monthly resistance, making buys riskier. - A key catalyst to monitor is the Jersey hyperscale data center launch, which can lead to customer wins and meaningful stock price appreciation. Whether the launch can happen on time (Aug'25) is a key catalyst monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4795287-nebius-stock-pursuing-a-growth-at-all-costs-strategy-reiterate-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### My Pecking Order For Eagle Point Credit Securities (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/my-pecking-order-for-eagle-point-credit-securities-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:43:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Eagle Point Credit continues to focus on CLO equity investments, which I think is a good move as the market begins to move past tariff uncertainties. - Effective yield and spread metrics have been declining but recent management commentary suggests rapidly improving conditions. - Eagle Point Credit's portfolio quality is strong, outpacing the broader CLO market on key credit metrics. Management is confident about default risk resilience as well. - ECC trades near fair value, and technicals vs the S&P500 suggest seller momentum is slowing. A pickup in a deal activity and capital deployment slowdown after Apr is a monitorable. - My pecking order for Eagle Point Credit securities is the fixed-maturity preferreds, followed by the notes, the convertible perpetual preferred and finally the equity share class. Within these hierarchies, I would prioritize the higher-yielding options. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4795098-my-pecking-order-for-eagle-point-credit-securities?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### How Does SCHD Fare Vs. The SPY And Other Yield Plays? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/how-does-schd-fare-vs-the-spy-and-other-yield-plays-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:42:02.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SCHD has large net overweights to the Energy (especially upstream O&G), Industrials, and Consumer Staples sectors vs the S&P500. - SCHD's industrials overweight may not be favorable given contracting US Manufacturing PMI data. - I don't like how SCHD has zero exposure to some of the SPY's Top 10 Magnificent 7 stocks I am bullish on; NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Amazon. - SCHD's valuations are low and undemanding, and hence are a source of upside risk. But to contest this point, technical analysis of SCHD vs. SPX500 says the underperformance downtrend remains. - So overall, I prefer the S&P500 over SCHD. And for yield-focused investors, I think there are higher-yielding alternatives such as Enbridge, Petrobras, and British American Tobacco; all of these beat SCHD's 3.87% dividend yield. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4794741-how-does-schd-fare-vs-the-spy-and-other-yield-plays?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Credo: Time To Take Profits After A 100% Return (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-time-to-take-profits-after-a-100-return-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:40:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo is growing impressively at >150% YoY, and its FY26 revenue outlook is strong at >80% YoY. This is driven by strong customer adoption of its products. - Although Credo is at all-time high gross margins as of the latest quarter, I expect it to moderate and stabilize at around 65% levels; the higher end of the target range. - Credo's cash flow conversion is improving via lower receivables enabled by successful product ramps. - Given the higher growth momentum and prospects now, CRDO seems attractively valued vs. both its historical valuation range and its comps. But CRDO vs. SPX500 technicals have paused at a key resistance level. - Credo has a 61% top customer concentration with Amazon. This makes Amazon's capex spending a key risk monitorable that could be either a positive or negative catalyst. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4794127-credo-time-to-take-profits-after-100-percent-return?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### AMD: Bolt-On M&A Enhances Capabilities At Attractive Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-bolt-on-m-a-enhances-capabilities-at-attractive-valuations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:37:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AMD's growth outlook is robust and driving meaningful market share gains. This is driven primarily by strong new products adoption by customers. - AMD is gaining market share in both CPUs and servers vs. its rival, Intel. - The higher prices of new products and a cyclical demand upturn in the higher-margin Embedded business are gross margin improvement drivers for H2 FY25 and beyond. - I posit that AMD's recent M&A activity, including ZT Systems and AI startups, enhances capabilities at attractive valuations and isn't aggressive, contrary to some bearish views. - AMD stock valuations are near fair value, and the relative technicals don't give a clear bullish signal yet. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4793665-amd-bolt-on-m-and-a-enhances-capabilities-at-attractive-valuations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway Today Won't Make You Rich, But It Will Keep You Rich (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-today-wont-make-you-rich-but-it-will-keep-you-rich-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:36:30.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - With record high cash levels, the stakes are higher than ever but we don't know much about the upcoming CEO Greg Abel's investing skills. - The insurance business led by Ajit Jain is a gem for Berkshire. I expect it to continue outperforming its peers by a large margin. - The outlook for Berkshire's non-operating subsidiaries in Manufacturing, Services and Railroad Freight is uninspiring. Only Berkshire Energy has some positive growth catalysts ahead driven by higher electric utility capex spends. - Berkshire stock's valuations are at a premium. BRK may be due for a mean reversion move down vs the S&P500. - In the new era, Berkshire may be eyeing needle-moving investments in insurance and banks and other quality franchises in international markets. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4793378-berkshire-hathaway-today-wont-make-you-rich-but-it-will-keep-you-rich?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Step Aside AI Models, The Next Big Thing Is AI Agents (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-step-aside-ai-models-the-next-big-thing-is-ai-agents-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:35:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir is experiencing accelerating growth driven by enterprise adoption of AI agents, confirming breakout business performance across key metrics. - Palantir's leading global service partner is seeing 100% QoQ growth and hiring rapidly, which further validates Palantir's expanding ecosystem and business momentum. - Operating leverage is expected to drive continued margin expansion for Palantir, even as the company invests heavily in talent and product development. - PLTR's valuation premium vs comps may be due for some mean-reversion. - I am not buying the stock here as PLTR vs SPX500 is at a key technical resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4793179-palantir-step-aside-ai-models-the-next-big-thing-is-ai-agents?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Broadcom: What To Watch For In The Q2 Earnings Release (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-what-to-watch-for-in-the-q2-earnings-release-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:31:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Broadcom Inc. benefits from the removal of the AI Diffusion Rule; a key risk I had flagged in my last article on the stock. - Custom ASIC growth, especially from Alphabet/Google, and strong chip market trends can drive Q2 revenue beats vs consensus. I expect \~25% YoY growth. - Despite positive fundamentals, Broadcom trades at peak levels of a 34% premium to peers, which introduces some high valuation risks to the buy case. - AVGO has bullish momentum vs. the S&P 500, but I am hesitant to buy as the ratio prices are near monthly resistance. - In the upcoming earnings call, it would be good for Broadcom to confirm its revenue exposure to Apple and comment on AVGO's implications of tariffs imposed on Apple. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4792038-broadcom-what-to-watch-for-in-the-q2-earnings-release?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: Overvalued Vs. Other BDCs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-overvalued-vs-other-bdcs-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:29:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Weaker US M&A activity and declining net investment commitments signal subdued investment portfolio growth ahead. - Investment yield spreads have been shrinking, but the latest management commentary and a lower-than-expected exposure to tariff-sensitive sectors are tailwinds going forward. - ARCC trades at a 21% premium to BDC peers, far above its historical 5% average. So I think ARCC is relatively overvalued and at risk of a mean reversion correction. - The monthly technical charts suggest that ARCC is unlikely to outperform the S&P 500. - Ares Capital has been focusing on investments with smaller companies, and this is an upside risk for yields. But we should also watch for signs of deterioration in portfolio credit quality; so far, there is none. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4791973-ares-capital-overvalued-vs-other-bdcs?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### I'm Buying CrowdStrike Before Earnings As The Market Is Underestimating The Growth Story (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/im-buying-crowdstrike-before-earnings-as-the-market-is-underestimating-the-growth-story-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:27:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Multiple channel checks point to higher-than-expected demand that consensus estimates don't seem to be pricing in. So I expect a revenue result and guidance beat in Q1 results. - A 5% cut in headcounts can provide a 380bps margin tailwind., but stock-based compensation remains a key risk. - CRWD is not cheap and there is some valuation risk. However, I am wary of avoiding a stock purely due to high valuations when the growth and margin momentum are accelerating. - CRWD vs. SPX500 is breaking out to the upside on the monthly technical charts. - A key risk monitorable is whether the margin benefits would be eaten up by stock-based compensation; a perennial concern I've had on CrowdStrike. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4791427-im-buying-crowdstrike-before-earnings-as-the-market-is-underestimating-the-growth-story-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Costco: Q3 Results Point To Growth Acceleration Ahead (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/costco-q3-results-point-to-growth-acceleration-ahead-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:25:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lower agricultural commodity prices outlooks can help Costco strengthen its market position, pass savings to customers, and gradually expand margins. - Investments in new warehouses can drive higher traffic overall and accelerate revenue growth despite initial cannibalization of existing warehouses. - Costco’s valuation premium vs. comps is justified as its superior business model has delivered vastly superior shareholder returns. Encouragingly, the current COST premium vs. comps is slightly below historical averages. - COST's technicals vs. SPX500 look good, as the ratio prices are bouncing off a key support level in a strong way. - Tariffs remain a risk that can put pressure on margins, but import data and commodity price trends suggest limited impact so far. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4791386-costco-q3-results-point-to-growth-acceleration-ahead?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Dell: It's Not Too Late To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dell-its-not-too-late-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:23:14.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I added Dell to my portfolio early last month and have already enjoyed a >50% return. Q1 results tell me there's probably more to come. - Dell is set for a meaningful growth acceleration, driven by a large AI server backlog and pipeline, which has led to a strong Q2 FY26 revenue guidance beat. - The company is well positioned to gain PC market share amid the Windows 11 refresh, due to its industry-leading position in AI PC offerings. - While gross margins took a hit, upcoming AI PC launches and the PC refresh cycle should drive sequential improvement. - There is some valuation risk as DELL stock is trading at a higher than usual premium vs. peers. But I think this is worth accepting given the promising FY26 growth outlook ahead and a bottoming of gross margins. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4791204-dell-its-not-too-late-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal: I Was Optimistic On A Turnaround Narrative... But The Numbers Say Not Yet (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-i-was-optimistic-on-a-turnaround-narrative-but-the-numbers-say-not-yet-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:20:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PayPal's price-to-value strategy with Braintree is helping drive modest transaction margin growth. - But many other key metrics such as payment volumes, TPVs, and active accounts growth are all posting disappointing figures. - PYPL's valuation discount to peers is narrower than usual, which, I believe, is unjustified given weak fundamental performance. - The PYPL vs SPX500 charts look like they are ready to go lower. - Strong retail sales data in PayPal's key markets is a source of upside risk. But fresh tariff threats may curb the benefits of PYPL here too. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4790259-paypal-i-was-optimistic-on-a-turnaround-narrative-but-the-numbers-say-not-yet?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Apple: Quantifying The Impact Of 25% Tariffs On Gross Margins (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-quantifying-the-impact-of-25-tariffs-on-gross-margins-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:19:40.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Trump's proposed 25% tariffs on Apple products made outside the US could erode gross margins by up to 490bps, invalidating my earlier margin expansion thesis. - iPhone 16 Plus adoption rates are underperforming vs prior series, and iPhone revenue growth remains stagnant, with recent iPhone sales this year missing consensus expectations. - AAPL stock is at relative fair value vs its comps so there's not much margin of safety for buys. - The AAPL vs S&P500 charts show no bullish signals yet; it still has some small downside potential as it moves toward a monthly support level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4790177-apple-quantifying-the-impact-of-25-percent-tariffs-on-gross-margins?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Meta: Early Warning Signs Of Excessive Capex Spends Like In 2022 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/meta-early-warning-signs-of-excessive-capex-spends-like-in-2022-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:18:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Meta's revenue growth is decelerating and there are ad spend headwinds in the EU and APAC that can impact performance in upcoming quarters. - I am surprised to see Meta still spending aggressively on data center capex not just this year but likely next year too. I am concerned about FCF margin erosion. - The numbers show that capex investments thus far have not yet translated to better monetization. And it may not happen soon either as new AI model launches are getting delayed. - META stock has become even more expensive and there is minimal margin of safety for buys. META vs SPX500 charts also show diminishing bullish strength. - I have some concerns about whether we are seeing the start of uber-aggressive capex spends without sufficient ROI; a repeat of its Metaverse blunder in 2022. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4790161-meta-early-warning-signs-of-excessive-capex-spending?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft: A Trifecta Of Growth, Margin Expansion And Improving Cash Flow Conversion (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-a-trifecta-of-growth-margin-expansion-and-improving-cash-flow-conversion-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:17:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I'm upgrading Microsoft to 'Buy' as commercial growth, margin expansion, and improved cash flow conversion drive a rare trifecta of catalysts. - Enterprise demand for cloud and AI is accelerating, fueling robust bookings and long-term contract growth. - Operating efficiencies driven by Copilot Studio features should offset gross margin pressures, supporting structurally higher EBIT margins. - Capex intensity is expected to reduce as the company is largely done with its long-term data center assets build-outs. But this may not be priced in the stock yet. - There is some valuation risk, but I think this is worth accepting given the improving fundamentals and bullish technical outlook on the MSFT vs SPX500 charts. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4790015-microsoft-stock-trifecta-of-growth-margin-expansion-improving-cash-flow-conversion?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: There Are Many Reasons To Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-there-are-many-reasons-to-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:16:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - It is good that management seems more forthright about the business' prospects. Unfortunately, this warns of a weak revenue outlook ahead. - Despite improved cost controls and non-core asset divestments, Intel faces higher-than-expected costs that lead to a worse-than-expected margin outlook ahead. - Intel's foundry struggles to secure committed volume from customers and is losing the speed-to-market edge it had vs. TSMC. - Valuation remains stretched versus historical averages, while technicals and deteriorating fundamentals suggest further underperformance against the S&P 500. - In a turnaround, management's bandwidth needs to be laser-focused on the most troubled aspects of the business. So a recent senior management-level attrition does not help matters. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4789628-intel-there-are-many-reasons-to-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia Q1 Preview: Market Is Grossly Underestimating Its Potential (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-q1-preview-market-is-grossly-underestimating-its-potential-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:15:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Foxconn's (a major supplier of Nvidia Corporation hardware) robust AI server demand is a good sign for NVDA's future revenue prospects. - Although there are mixed signals from hyperscalers' consensus capex revisions, we should pay heed to Nvidia's CEO's cries from the rooftops about the immense AI factory and AI agents opportunity. - Management is bullish on gross margin expansion due to production efficiencies, but my expectations here are muted due to higher costs for TSMC's chips. - Nvidia's valuations are compelling, given the growth prospects ahead. The relative technicals vs. the S&P 500 also give us a buy signal. - I expect broadly in line results on revenues and earnings for the upcoming Q1 FY26 earnings release. Yet, I am very bullish as I think the company is on the cusp of expanding its customer base to a much broader set of enterprise customers beyond the existing hyperscalers. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4789445-nvidia-q1-preview-market-is-grossly-underestimating-its-potential-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: Continue Walking The Bull Trail (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-continue-walking-the-bull-trail-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:13:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica's robust growth is fueled by surging demand for hardware platform solutions, especially networking switches for hyperscalers. - Recent US-China tariff reductions are a major positive catalyst, likely paving the way for future guidance upgrades, as management had earlier assumed no changes to tariff policies. - Valuations are at a premium vs peers, but the risk here has eased slightly, as CLS stock today is at a lower premium vs peers than it was months ago. - Technical analysis signals further upside potential versus the S&P 500. - Downward consensus capex revisions for hyperscalers is a key risk, but let's not forget that absolute capex growth is still increasing and Celestica is gaining market share. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4788670-celestica-stock-continue-walking-the-bull-trail?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML: Why I'm Reissuing My Sell Rating (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asml-why-im-reissuing-my-sell-rating-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:12:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - ASML's book-to-bill metrics indicate slower demand. And tariffs pose additional challenges to revenues and gross margins via higher input costs. - Slower product upgrade cycles due to oversupply conditions with Chinese semi-players are likely to pressure gross margins further in H2 FY25. - ASML stock valuation multiples are a little higher than the longer-term median levels. - ASML technicals look weak relative to the S&P500, as the buyers' attempt up has lacked strength and momentum. - I expect China to release more news about its EUV developments. Whilst this is a longer-term risk to ASML's virtual monopoly position in EUVs, de-rating of ASML stock would be premature as China is still years behind ASML. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4788522-asml-why-im-reissuing-my-sell-rating?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alphabet: Things Aren't Looking Good, But At Least It's Cheap (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alphabet-things-arent-looking-good-but-at-least-its-cheap-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:11:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My highly contrarian 'Sell' view on Alphabet has played out as expected. But now, although I still see many challenges ahead, I am upgrading my view to a 'Neutral/Hold'. - Alphabet is losing share in the digital advertising market. And it faces further headwinds as de minimis exemptions increase costs for customers. - Alphabet's profitability remains resilient, but some margin improvements stem from lower wage hikes, which could hurt long-term talent acquisition. - The longer term technical charts on GOOG vs SPX 500 show ominous signs, especially as unfavorable antitrust rulings loom over as a risk. - The only saving grace that prevents me from continuing to rate the stock a 'Sell' is the fact that the valuations are rather low and undemanding based on multiple measures. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4788295-alphabet-things-arent-looking-good-but-at-least-its-cheap?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### The Bears Might Be Right On Tesla, But Wrong On TSLA Stock (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/the-bears-might-be-right-on-tesla-but-wrong-on-tsla-stock-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:10:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Tesla faces persistent demand challenges that are worsened by brand issues. This is leading to almost unanimous revenue downgrades. - Margin worries are likely to get worse as tariffs weigh down on both the auto and energy businesses. This has forced TSLA to prioritize profits over customers' affordability. - Valuations remain frothy, with a 161x forward P/E multiple, despite deteriorating fundamentals and almost unanimous normalized EPS estimate cuts as well. - The upcoming robotaxi launch in Austin gives some hope for the bulls, but recent safety concerns could delay the timelines, leading to another disappointment. - I think the bears are right on Tesla company fundamentals. But a bearish view on the stock may be premature, as a lot of the estimate downgrades suggest the bad news is priced in. The TSLA vs. SPX500 charts also lack a clear directional bias either way. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4788093-the-bears-might-be-right-on-tesla-company-but-wrong-on-tsla-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC: Bizarrely Undervalued (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-bizarrely-undervalued-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:09:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - TSMC is poised to gain market share from Samsung, with potential collaborations with US chip giants further strengthening its position. - Despite gross margin pressures, TSMC's profitability has exceeded expectations, leading me to upgrade my long-term gross margin outlook to 57%-59%. - Reduced geopolitical risks and attractive valuations suggest potential for multiple expansion, making a compelling case for undervaluation of TSM stock. - The TSM vs. SPX500 technical charts show an ideal buy setup. - Consensus estimates seem to be implying earnings downgrades. Whilst this is a risk, I think it is more likely that the market may be mispricing this stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4787106-tsmc-bizarrely-undervalued?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Applied Digital: 5 Reasons For Why It Is Time To Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/applied-digital-5-reasons-for-why-it-is-time-to-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:07:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As a small stock in the high-growth business of data centers, Applied Digital is supposed to be growing fast. But it is posting a lackluster performance on revenues and margins. - I think management's plan to separate the Cloud Services business may be a questionable move that may exacerbate growth challenges. - APLD's customer concentration metrics are getting much riskier, and there are indications that it may have lost at least 1 customer in the last quarter. - The stock trades at a high premium valuation, which is hard to justify given weak fundamentals and bearish technicals vs SPX500. - Potential upside exists if APLD secures a hyperscale customer for its Ellendale data center, but this is starting to appear less and less likely to occur. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4786938-applied-digital-5-reasons-for-why-it-is-time-to-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron May Be At A Cyclical Peak (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-may-be-at-a-cyclical-peak-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:06:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite a superior high bandwidth memory product, Micron may still lag its peers in commercial success due to slower product upgrade timelines. - Micron is poised to benefit from increased DRAM demand from new iPhone models. - Despite a slight P/B multiple correction, Micron's stock still trades at a higher than usual premium vs competitors, reducing the margin of safety for buys. - MU vs SPX 500 shows bulls defending a monthly support level. So there are fewer reasons to be bearish as well. - It may be best to wait for a cyclical turn in the NAND Flash market, especially given Micron's weaker market positioning vs competitors. Micron is not heavily impacted by tariffs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4785878-micron-stock-may-be-at-cyclical-peak-upgrade-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Power Solutions: My Buy Thesis Has Gone For A Toss (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/power-solutions-my-buy-thesis-has-gone-for-a-toss-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:04:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Power Solutions International's revenue growth is strong, driven by strong demand from its Data Center Products in the Power Systems segment. - My earlier margin expansion thesis is not playing out, despite a favorable revenue mix shift, and tariffs can put further pressure here. - Broad economy capex indicators and shrinking remaining performance obligations may indicate a reduced pace of growth ahead. - Despite trading at a discount compared to peers, PSIX's valuation is slightly higher than usual vs its comps. - Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 show a pause at a major multi-quarter resistance area. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4785535-power-solutions-my-buy-thesis-has-gone-for-a-toss?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir Q1 Preview: Expecting Another Beat And Raise Quarter (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-q1-preview-expecting-another-beat-and-raise-quarter-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:03:44.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir Technologies Inc. continues to defy bearish expectations even when other tech stocks have been selling off. I am still bullish ahead of Q1 FY25 earnings. - I think concerns about budget cuts and spending slowdowns are overblown as deal flow seems to still be robust. - A key Palantir partner organization is aggressively hiring more recruiters. I view this as a clear signal that Palantir's ecosystem is still growing rapidly. - Palantir has top-tier talent, better than even trillion dollar tech companies such as Google and Meta. I view this as a sign that PLTR can reach a similar scale. - I expect a beat and raise in the Q1 quarter for PLTR as it progresses toward the longer-term potential of being 10x bigger, rivaling Microsoft's scale. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4780449-palantir-q1-preview-expecting-another-beat-and-raise-quarter?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Why You Should Buy Before The Full Q3 Earnings Release (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-why-you-should-buy-before-the-full-q3-earnings-release-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:02:35.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SMCI's preliminary Q3 FY25 results imply a revenue miss. But this is a timing delay, with sales expected to shift to Q4 FY25\. There are no signs of demand issues. - Lower gross margins are also likely to be a one-off due to inventory clearance and expedited delivery costs, which may actually confirm strong demand for new products. - SMCI's valuations are reasonable near typical longer-term levels vs. its comps. And let's not lose sight of the bullish technicals vs. SPX500 near a key monthly support level. - I expect a lot of the fears on structural revenue and margin issues may be abated after the full Q3 earnings release on 6 May. - Keep an eye on NVIDIA's commentary on Blackwell GPU supply availabilities, as hiccups there can flow over to SMCI. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4780345-super-micro-computer-why-you-should-buy-before-full-q3-earnings-release?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pfizer's Q1 Update May Mark A Bottom In The Stock (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizers-q1-update-may-mark-a-bottom-in-the-stock-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:01:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pfizer is facing some revenue pressures due to some higher Medicare discounts, and this has led to a small miss on revenue delivery in Q1 FY25. - Pfizer is making meaningful improvements on profitability and is on track to realize a \~12.3% margin lift from 2024 until the end of 2027 from various cost saving initiatives. - Stopping R&D of an obesity drug that had $10 billion annual revenue potential is a major setback and if PFE tries M&A instead, there is a risk of overpaying again. - PFE stock is trading at trough valuations and at a larger-than-usual discount vs peers. So I think there is some decent margin of safety. - Technical analysis vs SPX500 suggests PFE may be forming a bottom, but strong buyer signals are still absent. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4779581-pfizer-q1-earnings-update-may-mark-bottom-in-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Rigetti Computing: Not Even Worth A Speculative Bet (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rigetti-computing-not-even-worth-a-speculative-bet-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T17:00:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rigetti has underwhelming revenue execution heavily reliant on government funding for quantum funding projects. However, I think the company is unlikely to benefit even if this materializes. - The balance sheet funding resources are rather limited, and I would not be surprised if the company announces another raise soon in next week's earnings call. - Rigetti's working capital profile is worsening, and I expect receivable days to increase further over the next couple of quarters as the company adds more government customers. - There is limited fundamental rationale to justify its outrageously high valuations in an already bubble-like sector. This may be why we have seen a lot of insiders selling the stock. - RGTI vs. SPX500 still shows some bullish strength holding up, and the stock seems to be a crowded short. These are the sole two reasons why I have a 'Neutral/Hold' stance despite everything else looking bearish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4779304-rigetti-computing-not-even-worth-a-speculative-bet?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Meta Q1 Preview: Antitrust Issues Make This A Risky Buy At Current Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/meta-q1-preview-antitrust-issues-make-this-a-risky-buy-at-current-valuations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:48:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Meta is well-positioned to outperform peers in a slowing ads market, with limited exposure to riskier segments and a strong growth track record vs peers. - I think with each deadline extension for a TikTok ban, the likelihood of Meta enjoying a \~2% step jump up to its TTM revenue base from reduced competition gets slimmer. - Ongoing antitrust trials can force Meta to sell Instagram and WhatsApp, reducing Meta's competitive standing and ads pricing power. We may be at the cusp of major disruptions. - To continue being a buyer of META stock, I would demand a meaningful discount valuation. But currently, the stock seems relatively overvalued vs its comps. - META vs SPX500 chart technicals point bullish but without favorable valuations, I think this is insufficient to justify a 'Buy' ahead of the Q1 FY25 earnings. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4779044-meta-q1-preview-antitrust-issues-make-this-a-risky-buy-at-current-valuations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### D-Wave Quantum: Finally Some Signs Of Tangible Progress (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/d-wave-quantum-finally-some-signs-of-tangible-progress-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:42:17.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ahead of Q1 FY25, QBTS has early signs of commercialization via a sharp uptick in backlog, R&D progress, and more real-world application to high-impact use cases across various industries. - D-Wave Quantum's balance sheet strength has also improved, as recent equity raises and improved cash flow conversion have resulted in longer funding runway estimates. - The Company is trading at a relatively fair value but is still prohibitively expensive on an absolute basis to justify buys. Large pension fund shareholders cutting their stake is a cautionary sign. - QBTS vs. SPX500 relative technicals suggest continued range-bound price action ahead. - Despite improved fundamentals and lower valuations, D-Wave Quantum's short interest levels are higher now vs. Jan'25, and getting close to crowded short levels. This increases upside risk via a short squeeze. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778976-d-wave-quantum-finally-some-signs-of-tangible-progress?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Costco: Answers To Your Questions About Tariffs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/costco-answers-to-your-questions-about-tariffs-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:42:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - From a tariff exposure perspective, Costco's high food consumables revenues mix, strong domestic plus internationally diversified supply chains lead to a rather limited exposure to tariffs. - Costco's warehouse club business model and scale benefits provide it with unique advantages to engage in tactical decisions with suppliers to negotiate for lower costs, reducing the impact of tariffs. - I expect Costco to absorb much of the initial tariff costs, impacting profitability in the short to medium term. But it is likely to gain market share vs other retailers. - COST stock valuations are at a high premium to its comps. But this is arguably well-deserved and not out of the ordinary. On the technical charts, bullish momentum is slowing. - There is a lot of narrative noise on the impact of tariffs. I am paying less attention to all the talk and instead looking at import container volume data to gauge the real-time impact of tariffs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778965-costco-stock-answers-to-your-questions-about-tariffs?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Canadian Natural Resources: Upside Potential Is Limited (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/canadian-natural-resources-upside-potential-is-limited-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:39:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - CNQ faces overall commodity price headwinds as a bearish crude oil outlook outweighs mildly bullish conditions for natural gas. - CNQ is expected to consume some of the tariff costs, which can offset the benefits of more efficient operations. Longer term, production volumes may come under some pressure as well. - Valuations are in a Goldilocks zone; neither too expensive nor too cheap. - Relative technicals show a bearish swing countered by a bullish engulfing. So on balance, I expect more sideways price action ahead, leading to performance in line with the overall market. - With its large reserves, CNQ has a good opportunity to expand and diversify into alternative export markets. That would be a medium-longer-term source of upside in the stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778845-canadian-natural-resources-stock-upside-potential-limited?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal Q1 Preview: I Expect A Result Beat But Guidance Miss (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-q1-preview-i-expect-a-result-beat-but-guidance-miss-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:37:45.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Retail sales growth data in PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s key markets (U.S., UK, and Germany) suggests a top-line revenue beat scenario for the upcoming Q1 FY25 earnings release. - There are risks of guidance misses for Q2 and beyond due to a potential recession and weakening consumer sentiment. Some analysts have started to downgrade their estimates for FY25. - Updates on PayPal's one platform integration and new branded checkout experience rollout across global markets are key focus points in the Q1 earnings call. - PYPL stock is relatively undervalued vs. peers on a 1-yr fwd P/E basis, as it is trading at a lower-than-usual discount. - PYPL vs. S&P 500 technicals are near a monthly support, but bearish momentum is still strong. I expect some more consolidation to digest that bearish pressure away before meaningful upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778755-paypal-q1-preview-i-expect-a-result-beat-but-guidance-miss?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital Q1 Preview: Beware Of Warning Signs In Credit Markets (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-q1-preview-beware-of-warning-signs-in-credit-markets-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:36:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - There are warning signs in the private credit. Ares Capital faces risks due to high exposure to vulnerable sectors like healthcare and software, rising interest receivables. - Refinancing challenges in a higher-for-longer rates environment and mixed recession signals further exacerbate concerns. - In the upcoming Q1 FY25 earnings report, portfolio quality metrics and commentary on default risks, as well as implications in a recession, are key monitorables. - On a 1-yr fwd P/E basis, ARCC appears relatively overvalued compared to peers, trading at a higher than usual premium vs. the overall BDC's sector median valuations. - Relative technical analysis suggests a sideways to downward bias vs the S&P 500, and more of a bearish outlook vs the BIZD BDC Income ETF, implying underperformance ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778665-ares-capital-q1-preview-beware-of-warning-signs-in-credit-markets?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Hewlett Packard: Why It's Too Unstable To Buy Right Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/hewlett-packard-why-its-too-unstable-to-buy-right-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:34:44.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Hewlett Packard Enterprise's AI revenues are facing demand and supply side headwinds but are expected to accelerate in H2 FY25, driven by demand driven from NVIDIA's Blackwell GPU products. - HPE is facing pricing-related margin pressures in its servers business and broad-based headwinds from tariffs. This is expected to weigh down on profit margins for at least another quarter. - The much-anticipated acquisition of Juniper may still go through, but there is a case for de-rating due to delays and uncertainty. - HPE stock valuations are near-term fair value but facing lower earnings growth expectations. Despite a bullish reaction from support levels, a consolidation phase is more likely before further upside. - Shareholder activism from Elliot Investment Management is an upside risk monitorable. I think the activist fund will try to improve cash flow conversion via better inventory management, among other things. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4778633-hewlett-packard-stock-too-unstable-to-buy-right-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Broadcom: Reasons To Think Twice About Buying Here (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-reasons-to-think-twice-about-buying-here-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:33:30.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Broadcom's revenue growth is accelerating, driven by AI demand from hyperscalers, VMWare Cloud Foundation adoption and in the medium term, a shift to SaaS-based revenue streams. - My earlier margin expansion thesis on AVGO has played out. But incrementally, I see muted margins ahead as R&D investments may lead to a temporary hit on profitability. - AVGO stock valuations have gotten more pricey vs. peers, reducing the margin of safety for buys. - Relative technical analysis vs the S&P 500 says it may be better to wait for lower prices before we think of buys on the stock. - A higher degree of recent insider sales may be a flag for potential downside risks in the stock, perhaps due to fears of regulations that curb AI technology exports. Note that AVGO has meaningful revenue exposure to the APAC region. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776908-broadcom-reasons-to-think-twice-about-buying-here?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Crowdstrike Is Growing Well But Investors Can't Benefit From It (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/crowdstrike-is-growing-well-but-investors-cant-benefit-from-it-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:31:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Crowdstrike's growth outlook is very healthy, driven by strong customer adoption of its Falcon Platform. But the growth expectations may be priced into the stock. - Despite 25% YoY revenue growth at a $4 billion annual revenues run-rate, GAAP-EBIT margins remain flat and are unlikely to expand in FY26. - CRWD's 121% valuation premium over peers leaves little margin of safety and EPS downgrades pose additional risks. - CRWD vs SPX500 relative technicals may be poised for a breakout but it is near a key resistance so new highs may not be sustained. - Crowdstrike has very high stock-based compensation per employee. And there are signs that the value created in the top-line may not be flowing down fully to non-employee shareholders. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776766-crowdstrike-is-growing-well-but-investors-cant-benefit-from-it?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Credo: An Easter Gift From Mr. Market (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-an-easter-gift-from-mr-market-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:30:30.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Credo's revenue growth is accelerating due to strong product adoption by hyperscalers, and a shift from AI training to inference workloads is another growth catalyst. - The company is well-positioned for margin expansion through scale-driven operating leverage effects. I estimate another 500-600bps of EBIT margin improvement potential over the next few quarters. - Valuations have moderated sharply and are now more attractive, especially since the company has simultaneously improved revenue and earnings growth expectations. This makes it a gift from Mr Market. - CRDO vs SPX 500 technicals also skew to the upside as the ratio prices are resting at a major support level. - I am monitoring purchase obligations and key customers' capex expectations for downside risks. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776703-credo-an-easter-gift-from-mr-market?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### GigaCloud Technology: Quantifying The Impact Of China Tariffs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/gigacloud-technology-quantifying-the-impact-of-china-tariffs-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:29:19.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My bearish view on GigaCloud Technology has played out well, with the stock falling nearly 50%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500. - The impact of U.S. tariffs on GCT's Chinese imports is larger than management anticipated, exacerbating the company's already challenging environment. - Lower freight costs may provide margin relief from Q2 FY 2025 onwards, and valuations are attractive, leading to a 'Neutral/Hold' rating upgrade. - GCT vs. SPX500 relative technicals are near a major monthly support level, making incremental bearish views risky to adopt. - A key upside risk catalyst is the successful turnaround of the acquired Noble House business to profitable growth; so far, management is executing well here. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776673-gigacloud-technology-quantifying-the-impact-of-china-tariffs?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Medical Properties Trust: The Case For A Turnaround (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/medical-properties-trust-the-case-for-a-turnaround-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:21:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Portfolio rent coverage metrics are improving and may continue to do so, aided by Medicaid budget cuts which may lead to more funding for acute care hospitals, benefiting MPW's portfolio. - MPW is rebuilding via new hospital tenant additions that have good financial standing. This can lead to a recovery in revenues along with improved cash conversion that is already happening. - MPW stock's valuations are attractively placed at a deep discount, both vs its comps and vs its own historical trading multiples. - Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 suggest a reversal in the works, but the current levels carry some risk for buys. - High fixed debt proportions are a headwind risk in a higher-for-longer rates environment, particularly given MPW's high leverage levels. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776584-medical-properties-trust-the-case-for-a-turnaround?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Block: Don't Buy Yet, Wait For Confident Commentary In Q1 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/block-dont-buy-yet-wait-for-confident-commentary-in-q1-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:19:52.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Block's Cash App performance has been underwhelming, but new features like borrowing and BNPL offer growth potential. - The merchant-facing Square business is growing well, but tariffs present risks to gross payment volumes particularly in the food beverage retail industries. - Tariffs also pose risks to management's FY25 gross profits growth guidance. - Valuations are near relative fair value vs peers, but I lean a bit more cautious due to declining earnings expectations and borderline bearish technical signals. - US Retail Sales data suggests limited positive surprises for Block's Q1 FY25, but potential upside in Q2 FY25 so far. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776392-block-dont-buy-yet-wait-for-confident-commentary-q1?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Brookfield Asset Management: I Know It Looks Bullish But It's Not A Buy Right Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/brookfield-asset-management-i-know-it-looks-bullish-but-its-not-a-buy-right-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:18:30.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - BAM's portfolio quality is improving with higher margins, a growing proportion of long-dated fee-bearing capital and a healthy fundraising flows environment. - The Credit business is expected to be the key growth driver going ahead, benefiting from the Fed's higher-for-longer stance on interest rates. - BAM is relatively insulated from tariffs due to its focus on domestic, service-oriented, and inflation-indexed businesses. - BAM stock valuations are close to fair value vs other asset management company peers. - The Relative technical charts vs SPX500 point toward resistances amid an overall bullish trend, suggesting that now may not be the best time to buy. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776221-brookfield-asset-management-stock-looks-bullish-but-not-a-buy-right-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Solid Power: Here's What To Do Now If You Missed Selling Earlier (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/solid-power-heres-what-to-do-now-if-you-missed-selling-earlier-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:17:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Commercialization of Solid Power's solid-state batteries may still be a decade away, and the lack of positive news development catalysts so far in FY25 may be indicative of slow progress. - Quarterly cash burn has come in better than expectations as the company suddenly decided to cut back on project spends in Q4 FY24 – a puzzling move. - Solid Power may have limited direct headwinds from tariffs, but indirectly, I expect a slowdown in activity as auto OEMs face budget constraints. - SLDP is trading at deep value valuations, but liquidity levels are dwindling down. Relative technicals make it risky to continue having a bearish view. - Overall, I have a neutral view on SLDP. Short interest levels would be something to track to gauge the upside risks from a short squeeze. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4776159-solid-power-stock-deep-value-valuations-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Why Its Portfolio Is Relatively Insulated Vs. Tariffs (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/morgan-stanley-direct-lending-why-its-portfolio-is-relatively-insulated-vs-tariffs-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:15:42.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Morgan Stanley Direct Lending's investment yields and net investment income margin pressures continue, and I do not think they are likely to reverse the trend soon. - MSDL's existing investments portfolio has limited exposure to tariff-sensitive sectors. But an intensifying trade war is increasing the chances of a global recession that may curb new investment activity. - On the plus side, the chances of a rate cut have increased, and this can lower debt costs and help increase deal activity. - MSDL is trading at a higher-than-usual premium to peers, and I think this reduces the margin of safety for buys. - On the MSDL vs SPX500 charts, a strong monthly bullish momentum is offset by proximity to a key monthly resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4773667-morgan-stanley-direct-lending-why-its-portfolio-is-relatively-insulated-vs-tariffs?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Eagle Point Credit: Why I'm Buying The Notes And Preferreds But Avoiding The Common Stock (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/eagle-point-credit-why-im-buying-the-notes-and-preferreds-but-avoiding-the-common-stock-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:14:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - ECC is seeing a shift towards a more aggressive portfolio, which increases risk for common equity shareholders in various ways. - Firstly, ECC has meaningful exposure to borrowers in consumer-sensitive sectors that are at the highest risk of rising default rates. - Secondly, spread compression continues to pressure net investment incomes (NIIs). - But on the bright side, the valuations are rather undemanding and the relative technicals vs SPX500 point toward a balanced fight between the bulls and the bears. - I think ECC's cash flow is robust enough to not hurt the claims of its debt security and preferred shareholders. And the yield in these instruments is attractive in a risk-off environment. So I rate these securities a 'Buy', but the common stock a 'Neutral/Hold'. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4773319-eagle-point-credit-buying-notes-and-preferreds-but-avoiding-common-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Enbridge: Get In Now To Enjoy A Multi-Year Bull Run (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/enbridge-get-in-now-to-enjoy-a-multi-year-bull-run-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:12:26.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My earlier EBITDA growth acceleration thesis is playing out nicely, and there are many long term demand-side tailwinds that Enbridge is poised well to benefit from. - US tariffs on Canadian imports may impact O&G prices but are unlikely to reduce crude oil volumes transported, insulating Enbridge's operations. - Enbridge is reaping the rewards of a good US Gas Utilities M&A deal via an EBITDA increase in its Gas Distribution and Storage Portfolio. - Valuations are reasonable as the stock is trading at a lower-than-usual-premium vs peers. Longer-term technicals indicate a multi-year or even decadal bull run ahead. - EBITDA growth expectations may be priced in, but net upward revisions in projections for FY25 mitigate this concern. Rating: Strong Buy. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4773155-enbridge-get-in-now-to-enjoy-a-multi-year-bull-run?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Dell: Buy Now To Ride Its Growth And Margin Tailwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dell-buy-now-to-ride-its-growth-and-margin-tailwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:11:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Dell Technologies has strong growth tailwinds due to new products and untapped enterprise market in AI servers. There is also a PC refresh cycle coming into play later this year. - Dell has a strong and growing market share position in servers and storage markets. A revenue mix shift toward these segments offsets its market share struggles in the PC business. - The revenue mix shift paves the way for overall EBIT margin expansion going ahead. - DELL stock is now trading at an attractive discount vs. peers, and the relative technicals vs S&P 500 are bullish. - A key risk to watch for is Dell's worsening working capital profile and eroding operating cash flow margins. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4772906-dell-buy-now-to-ride-its-growth-and-margin-tailwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### IonQ Is Trading At Dangerous, Speculation Level Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ionq-is-trading-at-dangerous-speculation-level-valuations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:09:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - IonQ's revenue guidance is significantly below expectations, and management's cessation of bookings disclosures reduces top-line visibility, raising concerns for GARP-oriented investors. - Despite worsening FCF burn due to increased SG&A expenses, IonQ has a solid liquidity runway of over 5 years, bolstered by recent funding. - The acquisition of ID Quantique to enhance IonQ's quantum networking IP portfolio makes sense. And I think it is occurring at a reasonable valuation. - IonQ trades at a 42% discount to peers, but I think a 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue multiple of 57x is still high. The technicals suggest further downside as well vs S&P500. - IONQ stock may be a crowded bearish trade. So a short squeeze risk is something I am watching out for by tracking the short interest. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4772671-ionq-stock-trading-at-dangerous-speculation-level-valuations-downgrade-sell-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Rocket Lab: Do You Like To Buy Expensive, Overvalued Things? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rocket-lab-do-you-like-to-buy-expensive-overvalued-things-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:08:35.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rocket Lab's backlog has been flat for 5 quarters and Q1 FY25 missed revenue guidance. But there are positive catalysts ahead due to recent deal wins and satellite launches. - The acquisition of laser optics communications company Mynaric AG is a smart move for vertical integration, bought at a rather reasonable price. - RKLB is trading at a significant premium compared to peers, making it expensive even when comparing its EV/Backlog multiples with comps' 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue multiples. - My RKLB vs SPX500 chart outlook suggests sideways price action ahead. - The Neutron rocket launch in H2 FY25 is a key upside risk to monitor that can lead to a step jump in many financial metrics. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4772528-rocket-lab-do-you-like-expensive-overvalued-things?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Petrobras: My Top Bet For Positive Returns In A Market-Wide Correction (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/petrobras-my-top-bet-for-positive-returns-in-a-market-wide-correction-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:07:11.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PBR stock has been a great stalwart in my portfolio as it has generated a positive return in this challenging corrective environment. - Trump tariff threats are tightening forces on global oil markets, which is beneficial for PBR stock. - Petrobras' 2025 vision has catalyzed upward revisions in production expectations for the next 4 years, providing a nice volume tailwind at attractive economics. - Valuations are still at an attractive discount vs. global peers. And the relative technicals vs the S&P500 look very bullish. - A global recession is a key downside risk monitorable as it can lead to lower oil demand and hence prices, providing a headwind for PBR stock. However, the data on global recession probabilities does not raise any reasons for concern yet. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4772053-petrobras-my-top-bet-for-positive-returns-in-a-market-wide-correction?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Allot: Too Overhyped To Make Buys Worthwhile (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/allot-too-overhyped-to-make-buys-worthwhile-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:06:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Allot's overall revenue growth acceleration is yet to materialize, and unfavorable mix shifts are slowing EBIT margin improvement. - There is no direct evidence that Sandvine's bankruptcy has benefited Allot, and I don't think commentary gives any confidence that this may happen either. - Valuations appear expensive given flat revenue expectations, but the Verizon deal presents an upside risk for SECaaS revenue over the next year. - Relative technical analysis shows a balanced fight between buyers and sellers on ALLT vs. SPX500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4771278-allot-too-overhyped-to-make-buys-worthwhile?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why Zeta's Weak Revenue Guidance Should Worry You (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-zetas-weak-revenue-guidance-should-worry-you-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:03:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Zeta's revenue outlook is pressured with guidance misses and declining remaining performance obligations. I am skeptical about whether management's bullish RFP and pipeline growth commentary can materialize. - The company's transition to profitability is decelerating, partly due to increased sales personnel costs. I think it remains to be seen whether these investments would indeed accelerate revenue growth. - Valuations have corrected sharply to trade at a lower-than-usual discount vs comps. Naturally, this presents some upside risk to the stock. - On the technical charts, I see ZETA printing a euphoric top. I expect it underperform the S&P500 over the next few quarters. - Zeta's short interest has increased from 11% since late Q4 FY24\. I think a short squeeze to the upside is another risk to watch out for. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4770357-why-zetas-weak-revenue-guidance-should-worry-you?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Range Resources: Don't Miss The Boat On This Natural Gas Play (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/range-resources-dont-miss-the-boat-on-this-natural-gas-play-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:02:44.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - RRC missed on production and revenue results in Q4 FY24, but EBITDA performance looks good as operations are becoming more efficient and funding efficient expansion over the next 2 years. - A colder-than-expected 2024-25 winter season has reduced the supply of natural gas storage, leading to a more bullish natural gas price outlook. This is a powerful tailwind for Range Resources. - Range Resources is well positioned to meet the quadrupling of natural gas demand from data centers till 2030, especially in the North East part of the United States. - Valuations are at a lower-than-usual premium vs peers. The chart is in bull flag with an imminent breakout likely. This makes now the opportune time to get in. - The downside scenario is underwhelming performance on production growth, which management already expects to dip a bit in H1 FY25. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4770202-range-resources-dont-miss-the-boat-on-this-natural-gas-play?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Realty Income: Don't Be Fooled By Discount Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/realty-income-dont-be-fooled-by-discount-valuations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:01:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Realty Income faces challenges with missed FFO expectations, retail sector pressures impacting its tenants and rising provisions. All these weigh down on operating earnings and FFO margins. - AFFO growth is likely to be muted due to a more competitive, higher-for-longer rates environment. - On the bright side, O stock is trading at a meaningful larger-than-usual discount vs its peers. - Technical analysis also shows a balanced outlook relative to the S&P 500, but I have a bearish forecast for O compared to the CBOE S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrat Index. - Given these mixed signals, I think Realty Income is a 'Neutral/Hold', which means I expect it to perform in-line with the S&P 500 on a total shareholder return basis going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4770191-realty-income-dont-be-fooled-by-discount-valuations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nebius Group: One Big Reason To Rethink The Buys (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nebius-group-one-big-reason-to-rethink-the-buys-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:00:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - ARR execution missed expectations, but management still promises explosive growth. I think we should be wary of baking in this optimism. - Pricing pressures from mega hyperscalers may squeeze Nebius out of the market. - Nebius Group's cash burn trends are deteriorating and at this run-rate, it has enough liquidity runway to last it almost 5 quarters. - Valuations are pricey, at a premium to most hyperscalers, at a 116% premium to direct competitor CoreWeave. Relative technicals vs SPX500 show a balanced buyer and seller forces. - High stock-based compensation (SBC) is a risk monitorable. It would be unfortunate if the company executes on its high-growth targets but retains high SBC levels. That would not be good for minority investors like us. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4770121-nebius-group-one-big-reason-to-rethink-the-buys?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Forget U.S. Tech Giants And Buy Alibaba Instead (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/forget-u-s-tech-giants-and-buy-alibaba-instead-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T16:00:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - China's leading economic and business conditions indicators paint a favorable macro backdrop for Alibaba's Commerce and Cloud Intelligence businesses. - Alibaba is investing significantly in AI and cloud computing, with good execution traction. This can be a long-term revenue growth driver, particularly in the Cloud Intelligence Group. - The upcoming AliExpress sale season is likely to boost AIDC revenues for the Mar'25 quarter. - BABA stock, though priced at a premium compared to Chinese ADRs, is relatively reasonably priced vs the S&P 500 and US tech stocks. Relative technicals are bullish. - Negative impact of US-China tariffs is a risk monitorable but its impact may be overstated. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4769049-forget-us-tech-giants-and-buy-alibaba-instead?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### I've Been Bearish On British American Tobacco For Years But Now I'm Changing My Mind (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ive-been-bearish-on-british-american-tobacco-for-years-but-now-im-changing-my-mind-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:56:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - BTI missed revenue estimates but is on the right track in transitioning away from combustibles at an accelerating clip. - EBIT margins have improved due to higher profitability in new categories and cost savings, with further margin levers ahead in FY25 and over the next 5 years. - Valuations are attractive, trading at a discount to peers, supported by rising earnings expectations. - BTI vs SPX500 technicals point bullish, indicating outperformance potential over the next few quarters. - Provision expenses from litigations against BTI's Canadian subsidiary is a key risk to monitor as there is no minimum liability. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4768729-ive-been-bearish-on-british-american-tobacco-for-years-but-now-im-changing-my-mind-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway: 3 Reasons To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-3-reasons-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:55:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Berkshire Hathaway's large cash mix offers an opportunity for value addition during a market downturn, especially if the dry powder is deployed well. - The insurance business is thriving, with revenues growing in the double digits and EBIT margins above 25%. The outlook is bright, driven by pricing and volume tailwinds. - Expansionary manufacturing and servicing PMIs bode well for Berkshire's wholly owned subsidiaries that make up more than half of operating EBIT. - Valuations are at a premium vs historical median levels, but it may be acceptable given the cash balance advantage and business tailwinds. Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 are bullish. - Worsening net working capital intensity due to lower benefits payable days in the insurance business is a risk monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4768081-berkshire-hathaway-3-reasons-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Why It's Still Worth Having In Your Portfolio (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-why-its-still-worth-having-in-your-portfolio-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:52:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Strong RPO (an indicator of revenue backlog) growth in recent quarters gives me confidence in SMCI's ambitious $40 billion FY26 revenue outlook. - Margin erosion concerns are starting to be reflected in stock expectations, which I view as a positive sign as some sources of bad news gets priced in. - Valuations have moderated sharply, and the stock seems attractive given the high-growth potential ahead. SMCI vs SPX500 also looks primed for an alpha-generating move. - A diminishing trend of result surprises vs consensus in recent quarter is not ideal. But the market's ask is not excessive, as it is pricing in less than management's guidance. - Elevated net working capital intensity, particularly due to low payable days from key related parties is a risk monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4767833-super-micro-computer-why-its-still-worth-having-in-your-portfolio?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### XPLR Infrastructure: Sell Now If You Haven't Already (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/xplr-infrastructure-sell-now-if-you-havent-already-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:51:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As anticipated, XPLR has changed its business model, resulting in a 0 distributions policy. The business now intends to fund growth via organic FCF generation. - The new management team seems well qualified to make prudent capital allocation decisions given their capital markets experience in the relevant energy, renewables and infrastructure sectors. - XPLR stock is rendered less attractive for yield-seeking investors, but also too early to inspire confidence for GARP investors due to an absence of an execution track record. - Valuations are discounted vs historical levels and vs peers, but perhaps justifiably so. The technical charts remain powerfully bearish. - Q4 FY24 saw a hefty impairment charge. I believe there may be risks of further impairments as the company is due to sell some assets in 2025 and 2027\. In any case, this is something to monitor. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4767089-xplr-infrastructure-sell-now-if-you-havent-already?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML: Why It's Too Early To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asml-why-its-too-early-to-buy-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:49:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Service revenue streams on the installed base seem to be ASML's incremental growth driver, whereas system sales have been falling, casting doubt on demand health. - More particularly, unit sales volume declines are concerning and reflective of sluggish demand. An increased mix of used unit sales also indicates increasing price-sensitivity among customers. - TTM net bookings have also started to tick down, leading to another signal of longer-term demand risks. Unfortunately, management intends to stop disclosing this metric in FY25. - On the other hand, valuations are at a lower than usual premium vs semiconductor equipment peers. And the relative technicals show a balanced fight between the bulls and the bears. - Gross margins are a key monitorable; Q1 FY25 guidance beat expectations, but H2 FY25 outlook is flagged to be weaker. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4766396-asml-why-its-too-early-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia: Not Yet A Buy, Here's What To Wait For (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-not-yet-a-buy-heres-what-to-wait-for-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:48:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I am bullish on Nvidia Corporation's growth prospects due to healthy RPO growth, a 3.2% growth increment from Stargate demand, and encouraging growth signals from a key supplier. - Gross margins are guided to dip almost 300bps in Q1 FY26, but I believe there are reasons to trust management's assurances that it would rebound back toward the mid-70s later. - TSMC's avoidance of hefty tariffs benefits NVDA, but rising receivable days and tariff risks remain key concerns to watch as it spell a deterioration in FCF margins. - NVDA's valuations are attractive and close to 4-yr trough lows at below 30.0x 1-yr forward P/E. - But the technical charts suggest it may be better to wait a bit longer for a buy signal near monthly support, which is still a 13% price drop away. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4766264-nvidia-not-yet-a-buy-heres-what-to-wait-for?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Enovix: A Worthy Buy For Asymmetric Upside (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/enovix-a-worthy-buy-for-asymmetric-upside-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:47:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Enovix Corporation's revenue scale up is progressing slower than expected due to guidance misses and lower-than-expected throughput in its first high-volume manufacturing line. - But Enovix is progressing well on smartphone customer engagements, scaling up manufacturing operations, and on battery product R&D milestones, with no delays; a respectable achievement. - Valuations remain optically high for this early-stage business, but I think it is difficult to assess it on traditional valuation metrics. - Relative technicals on ENVX vs. the S&P 500 are bullish, despite high volatility in the stock. - Risks to the buy thesis include faltering execution, making milestones' progress a key monitorable. I am also tracking the short interest in the stock. I think it is bullish that this has reduced since Q3 FY 2024. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4760677-enovix-worthy-buy-for-asymmetric-upside?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Devon Energy: Stay Away From This Value Trap (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/devon-energy-stay-away-from-this-value-trap-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:44:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite an upgrade, FY '25's outlook shows minimal production growth and limited capex guidance upside for FY '25\. So higher volumes are unlikely to be a source of upside for the stock. - A mixed commodities price outlook suggests a \~13% headwind impact on DVN, which, I believe, will outweigh the impact of efficiency and productivity gains. - DVN vs. S&P500 technicals show a murky outlook without a clear directional bias. - DVN stock is trading at a larger than usual discount to peers. But I think the absence of positive pricing or volume levers make it a likely value trap. - I am planning to stay away from DVN until I see a few more quarters of positive fundamentals on production growth and/or more favorable commodities pricing. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4760602-devon-energy-stay-away-from-this-value-trap?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CVS Health: One Good Quarter Is Not Enough; Retain Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/cvs-health-one-good-quarter-is-not-enough-retain-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:42:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite a recent 45% rally, I maintain a 'Sell' view on CVS due to its underwhelming execution record and rising leverage levels. - CVS' Q4 results showed a surprising EBIT margin beat, but continued margin erosion in its insurance business remains a concern. - Improved margin performance in FY25 is possible with better insurance policy terms and reduced loss-making membership counts but given a poor execution record, it is better to wait for evidence. - Transparent pricing via the CostVantage pricing model may boost volumes in the pharmacy business in FY25. - Valuations vs comps are at a lower than usual discount and technical analysis suggests a likely bull trap. Leverage levels are also climbing. All this warrants caution. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4759268-cvs-health-one-good-quarter-is-not-enough-retain-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### BIZD: Attractive Double-Digit Yields For Income Investors (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/bizd-attractive-double-digit-yields-for-income-investors-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:41:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - BIZD is a moderately concentrated BDC ETF with a double-digit yield, making it attractive for income-focused investors. - It looks like only the largest BDCs are faring well in deal activity, growing the size of their investment portfolios from which it generates net investment income. - A tightening of investment spreads is a broad-based headwind affecting the BDC sector and hence BIZD. - Basel III Endgame deregulations for banks can increase competition for BDCs, making it harder for them to find good investment opportunities. - My bottom-up valuation of BIZD shows that it is trading at a premium to 3-year historical averages. BIZD vs SPX500 technicals give an unclear directional outlook. But BIZD technicals look bullish, making it a good option for income-seeking investors. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4759112-bizd-attractive-double-digit-yields-for-income-investors?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Make Sure You Buy Before Feb 25 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-make-sure-you-buy-before-feb-25-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:39:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SMCI missed revenue estimates for the Dec'24 quarter and also revenue guidance estimates for Mar'25 and FY25\. But I am bullish due to a 65% growth outlook for FY26. - Margin erosion is a headwind and although there are positive catalysts ahead associated with new Blackwell products, I am unsure about whether those margin boosts would be permanent. - Valuations have corrected sharply closer to longer-term averages. SMCI stock trades at a \~30% premium to those averages currently, but this is justified given >60% YoY growth ahead. - Relative technicals on SMCI vs SPX500 show bullish strength ahead as the buyers react strongly off a key support level. - Management has unequivocally assured investors that they would meet the 25 Feb '25 deadline to catch up on delayed filings. There are also no changes to previously reported financials. I think this is lifting an overhang on the stock. It seems opportune to buy before 25 Feb. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4758976-super-micro-computer-make-sure-you-buy-before-feb-25?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: Buy Now Before It Signs More Deals With Data Centers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-buy-now-before-it-signs-more-deals-with-data-centers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:38:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Energy Transfer missed expectations on Q4 FY24 EBITDA. But volumes are growing well and are likely to continue doing so as expansion capex spending ramps up at attractive returns. - I estimate that ET's deal with CloudBurst Data Centers can boost TTM EBITDA by up to 4.24%. And the company is in talks with dozens of similar opportunities. - ET stock trades at a 16.1% discount to peers, with rising EBITDA expectations and bullish technicals, suggesting continued outperformance against the S&P 500. - Data center capex spending trends are a monitorable for my thesis. I am tracking the numbers and commentary of many companies that are linked to the data center growth theme. - I rate ET stock a buy and prefer the common equity over the 9.25% fixed preferred security, as that would enable for greater capture of equity-like upside with a still good 6.5% forward distribution yield. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4758906-energy-transfer-buy-stock-before-it-signs-data-centers-deals?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Realty Income: 2 Reasons That Stop Me Short Of Buying This High Yield REIT (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/realty-income-2-reasons-that-stop-me-short-of-buying-this-high-yield-reit-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:37:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Lower rates can spur deal activity, growing the investment portfolio and hence leasable square feet, AFFOs, and dividends. - Net new store growth in Realty Income's key clients can help boost rental incomes. - Realty Income's stock is trading at a discount vs peers and also seems undervalued due to falling P/B multiples despite improving fundamentals as seen in rising book values. - Seller momentum is slowing down on both O vs S&P500 and O vs the S&P500 Dividends Aristocrats Index. But there is no strong buy sign yet. - A key downside risk I am watching out for in the upcoming Q4 FY24 earnings is a rising impairment provisions mix that is pressuring AFFO margins. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4757811-realty-income-2-reasons-that-stop-me-short-of-buying-this-high-yield-reit?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pfizer: 3 Key Risks That Warrant A Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizer-3-key-risks-that-warrant-a-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T14:36:17.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pfizer's business is facing material revenue shrink issues due to many patent expirations over the next 3 years. Quarterly revenue run rate analysis suggests management may be underestimating the impact. - PFE continues to have recurring 'unusual charges.' Accounting for this, its EBIT margins are in barely profitable territory. - The Company is trading at a 32% 1-yr fwd PE discount to peers, but I think this is deserved given its revenue and profitability challenges. - Relative technicals vs. the S&P 500 look bearish, having recently made a new lower low in the ratio charts. - Blockbuster drug launches are an upside risk. But I think management's optimism here may be overestimated, as they have grossly overestimated drugs' commercialization potentials before. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4757302-pfizer-3-key-risks-that-warrant-a-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Uber's Hype Vs Reality: What Investors Need To Consider Before Buying In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ubers-hype-vs-reality-what-investors-need-to-consider-before-buying-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:08:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Uber's Q4 FY24 results were unimpressive and there are no positive beats on guidance to compensate. - Management's claims of accelerating business momentum are not supported by key numbers, indicating a disconnect between commentary and actual performance. - The CEO painted a future where Uber has a place in solving for commercially viable utilization and vehicle care problems in an autonomous vehicles world. - But in this stated utopia, I identify risks that would challenge some of the peak traffic and private vehicle usage assumptions behind Uber's route toward a trillion dollar valuation. - Uber is also trading at a premium vs peers and the relative technicals vs the S&P500 present a balanced fight between the bears and the bulls. Hence, I think the stock will perform in-line with the broader market going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4756033-ubers-hype-vs-reality-what-investors-need-to-consider-before-buying-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Amazon: Why You Shouldn't Miss Out On Buying The Post-Earnings Dip (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-why-you-shouldnt-miss-out-on-buying-the-post-earnings-dip-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:07:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Amazon's Q4 FY24 results met expectations, but weak Q1 FY25 guidance led to a 4% stock dip in after-hours trading. I think this is an opportunity to buy the dip. - Amazon's focus on reducing per-unit costs in its retail commerce business and lower freight shipping costs can boost margins. - AMZN's focus on chip design to reduce reliance on NVIDIA's GPUs and save costs via in-sourcing can lead to long term 50% EBIT margins for AWS. - Despite trading at an 18% premium to comps, Amazon's margin levers, scale and growth prospects justify the valuation. - High capex investments in FY25 may pressure FCF margins in FY25; this is a key risk to tolerate to some extent but also monitor for excessive degradation. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4755960-amazon-stock-buy-post-earnings-dip?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital's Yields Are Shrinking (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capitals-yields-are-shrinking-rating-downgrade-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:07:23.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My bullish stance on Ares Capital has outperformed the S&P 500, but I am adopting a more cautious stance after Q4 FY24 results. - Ares Capital is growing its investment book by outperforming peers in deal activity, particularly through larger disbursements to top borrowers. - Leading indicators suggest headwinds to net investment income in Q1 FY25 as yields and investment spreads shrink. - Basel III Endgame deregulations for banks are a looming risk that can increase competition for ARCC and the broader BDC sector. - ARCC's valuations seem stretched, as it is trading near the top of its historical valuation range. The bullish momentum on ARCC vs. the S&P 500 is also starting to slow down near monthly resistance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4755538-ares-capital-yields-are-shrinking-rating-downgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alphabet: 3 Reasons To Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alphabet-3-reasons-to-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:05:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Google's advertising segment faces a weak growth outlook in FY25 as it comes off an election year, with some growth tailwinds cooling down. - Despite being smaller in scale than Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud's revenue growth is slowing down to that of Azure. This raises concerns of potential market share pressures. - I expect higher depreciation expenses from capex investments to pressure EBIT margins below 30% in FY25. - Valuations are near historical fair value levels, and GOOGL vs. S&P 500 technicals show a strong rejection off monthly resistance after the Q4 earnings release. - Google is seeing good traction in AI-enhanced search features and is monetizing that at the same rate as its existing Search business. This makes it a source of upside risk to my bearish thesis. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4755448-alphabet-3-reasons-to-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### AMD: I See Risks That Keep Me On The Sidelines (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-i-see-risks-that-keep-me-on-the-sidelines-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:03:36.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s Q4 results were mostly in-line with expectations, driven by strong performance in the client computing segment as a result of market share growth fueled by Ryzen processor uptake. - The data segment has an uninspiring outlook with a flat H1 FY25 vs. H2 FY24\. The key growth catalyst is in H2 FY25 with the launch of the MI350 GPU. - I expect EBIT margins to be contained with some potential downside pressure in FY25 driven by mix-shift impacts and production ramps. - AMD's elevated receivables and inventory levels that are outgrowing overall revenues pose risks that may become more apparent in a demand downturn. - AMD stock is trading at a 15% discount to peers. The relative technicals vs. the S&P500 are in a monthly downtrend but close to major multi-quarter support levels. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4755067-amd-i-see-risks-that-keep-me-on-the-sidelines?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal: Sell Now To Avoid Growth Challenges In 2025 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-sell-now-to-avoid-growth-challenges-in-2025-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:02:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite mild positive beats in Q4 results, I have a pessimistic outlook on PayPal due to poor revenue quality via stagnant active account growth and falling transactions per active account. - I expect revenue growth challenges to persist in FY25, driven by Braintree renegotiations that would lead to further volume declines in transactions per active account. - On the positive side, the Company's credit risk metrics have improved, and the stock trades at a 27% discount to peers on a 1-yr fwd PE basis. - Overall, given the uninspiring revenue outlook and bearish technical chart setup, I rate PYPL stock a 'Sell,' expecting it to underperform the S&P 500 in the months and quarters ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4754987-paypal-earnings-sell-stock-now-avoid-growth-challenges-2025?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PDI: Buy For A Double-Digit Yield And You May Even Beat The S&P 500 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pdi-buy-for-a-double-digit-yield-and-you-may-even-beat-the-s-p-500-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T11:00:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PDI's portfolio comprised mostly of bonds and other debt securities with only modest equity exposures offers an attractive 13.7% yield. - Since its inception in 2012, PDI has matched long-term equity market returns with lower risk as measured by standard deviations. - \>5% bond yields and a S&P 500 CAPE ratio of >30x make a case for bonds and hence PDI outperformance over the next 5 years. - PDI trades at a premium to NAV, but this is typical, and I think acceptable, especially since PDI vs SPX 500 technicals look ready for a bullish turn. - Fed rate policies are a key monitorable. In particular, faster-than-expected rate cuts would dampen bond yields and make equities more attractive, posing a risk to the bull case for PDI. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4754613-palantir-everything-screams-buy-heres-why-its-still-early?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Everything Screams 'Buy' - Here's Why It's Still Early (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-everything-screams-buy-heres-why-its-still-early-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:56:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My “Buy” stance on Palantir Technologies Inc. before earnings has benefited from a stellar Q4 FY24 quarter that led to a 23% after-market surge in the stock. - Palantir delivered significant all-round beats vs. consensus estimates, proving that the market is still underestimating the company. - No matter how one cuts it, Palantir's revenue quality metrics are seeing consistent improvement and growing strongly. A 63% increase in total contract value indicates longevity of continued business expansion. - Profitability is also increasingly driven by operating leverage effects across the company, as Palantir scores excellently in the growth-margin optimization equation. - Palantir is not at overhyped valuations, as the stock is still seeing earnings growth upgrades. It has the potential to become as big as Oracle or Microsoft. Technically, PLTR vs. S&P 500 is also shooting up like a rocket. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4754613-palantir-everything-screams-buy-heres-why-its-still-early?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: 3 Reasons To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-3-reasons-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:55:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica has handily outperformed the S&P 500 since my last bullish update on the stock. After Q4 FY24 earnings, I retain my bullish views on the stock. - I think Meta's blowout capex guidance for FY25 may be a key driver of growth for Celestica's networking products for high performance compute applications business. - Impressively, Celestica is finding ways to manage inventory more efficiently even whilst servicing high and growing demand, reflecting a smooth supply chain and accurate demand forecasting. - Valuation risk is there as CLS stock trades at a \~28% premium vs peers. But CLS is in a very strong uptrend and there is no reason to fight it. - DeepSeek may shift enterprises' focus toward optimization of models, and Celestica may be well positioned to benefit. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4754460-celestica-stock-q4-earnings-three-reasons-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Brookfield Infrastructure Partners: One Of My Top Yield Plays In 2025 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/brookfield-infrastructure-partners-one-of-my-top-yield-plays-in-2025-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:53:51.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Backlog data and commentary suggests that there is further scope for the scale of data investments to increase. - A stable backlog but a deep pipeline of deals leads to growth potential of the investment book and AFFOs in the broader portfolio in FY25. - A decline in railcars traffic may spell a subdued outlook for the Transport business. - Relative technicals vs SPX500 show a balance between the bulls and the bears. Falling inflation reduces some of the relative advantages of an investment in BIP. - Valuations are near decadal lows and are discounted vs peers. I rate BIP.PR.E a 'Buy' as it has the highest current yield of 6.7%. I rate other BIP related securities a 'Neutral/Hold'. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4754513-brookfield-infrastructure-partners-one-of-my-top-yield-plays-in-2025?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Meta: It's Not Too Late; Buy Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/meta-its-not-too-late-buy-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:52:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Meta's advertising revenues are at a key growth inflection point, driven by higher pricing from superior ad targeting enabled by advanced AI models. - I believe reduced legal costs have structurally lifted EBIT margins by 600bps, enhancing profitability. - In FY25, Meta is more than doubling its capex spend. It plans to invest $65 billion into a humongous 2GW data center and other AI initiatives. Watch the FCF margins. - META's premium valuation vs peers is justified by strong earnings growth expectations and bullish technical charts versus SPX500. - I think the TikTok ban is unlikely to occur so this upside catalyst is not something to bank on. However, Meta is well-placed regardless. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4754372-meta-its-not-too-late-buy-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel Q4: There's No Good News Here, Sell Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-q4-theres-no-good-news-here-sell-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:50:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Intel Corporation has underperformed the S&P500 since my last 'Sell' update on the stock, and Q4 FY2024 results provide fresh reasons to remain bearish. - INTC delivered weak revenue guidance that has become a norm. Q1 FY2025 revenues are expected to fall 11-18% QoQ due to seasonality but also a whole litany of other reasons. - Intel's data center business' outlook is hit with the rude shock of cancellations and further delays of long-awaited product launches. - The Panther Lake CPU launch is a positive catalyst to look out for in H2 FY2025\. Also, keep on eye on the bleeding FCF trends every quarter. - INTC stock is trading near fair value on a 1-yr fwd P/E basis, and the long-term technicals remain firmly bearish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4753856-intel-q4-theres-no-good-news-here-sell-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Apple: The China Revenue Decline That No One Realizes Is Bullish (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-the-china-revenue-decline-that-no-one-realizes-is-bullish-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:49:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Apple's China revenues fell 11% YoY. But contrary to what you may think; it does not spell weak demand in that region. In fact, China demand is stronger than expected. - Product and iPhone sales have been stagnant for the past 3 years. The iPhone 16 Series launch missed estimates in the holiday season. - But with a huge and still-growing installed base of products, AAPL is enjoying steady and robust double-digit growth in service revenues at double the gross margins vs. the product business. - The stock trades at a 25% premium vs. history on a 1-yr Fwd P/E basis. But I think the bullish fundamentals make it worthwhile. Relative technicals vs. SPX are also bullish. - Insourcing in 2025 is a key catalyst for product gross margin expansion. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4753773-apple-china-revenue-decline-no-one-realize-bullish?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft: An Overlooked Metric Flashes Cash Flow Conversion Risks (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-an-overlooked-metric-flashes-cash-flow-conversion-risks-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:47:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite a lower than expected Azure growth print, the outlook indicators give reasons for optimism as there is strong visibility of Azure commitments over the longer term. - A sharp rebound in US small business optimism may accelerate sales of Office 365. - Microsoft's net working capital has been gradually increasing and leading to a worse FCF conversion. - MSFT stock's premium valuations and revenue guidance misses for Q3 FY25 discourage me from buying now, despite an intact uptrend vs the S&P 500. - Incremental capex spends are likely to be key indicators to track to inform of the medium-term revenue outlook. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4753289-microsoft-an-overlooked-metric-flashes-cash-flow-conversion-risks?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML: Why I'm Bearish Heading Into Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asml-why-im-bearish-heading-into-earnings-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:46:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My prior “Sell” view on ASML Holding N.V. has been playing out as the stock has not only underperformed the S&P 500 but fallen on a total shareholder return basis as well. - Heading into Q4 FY24 earnings, I am retaining a bearish view, as more capex expectation downgrades among key foundries suggests a weak demand outlook for ASML. - Based on historical beat vs. miss surprise data, I think ASML may surprise positively on results but disappoint in some guidance metrics. - The bear case I see in DeepSeek is that spending on compute capacity may be reduced, which could be an eventual headwind for ASML. - ASML stock's valuations are at a premium vs. other semiconductor equipment comps. Relative technicals vs. the S&P 500 are still in a bearish flow. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752587-asml-why-im-bearish-heading-into-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Oxford Lane Capital: Q3 Results Confirms My Optimism On Deal Activity (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/oxford-lane-capital-q3-results-confirms-my-optimism-on-deal-activity-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:44:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Going into OXLC's Q3 FY25 results, my analysis had suggested growth shoots in the overall deal environment. - I am glad to see that yesterday's results release is confirming my thesis, as net investments activity reached record highs and warehouse investments too saw a growth revival. - I expect these portfolio growth drivers to translate into upticks in net investment income (NII) and NAV. But I do not like how frequent dilution is depressing NII per share. - OXLC's valuations are trading at a 6% premium to NAV, which is typical. Hence, I think it is close to fair value. - OXLC's relative technicals vs. S&P500 look mixed. But comparing it vs. the largest CLO ETF JAA, OXLC looks bullish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752386-oxford-lane-capital-q3-results-confirms-my-optimism-on-deal-activity?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### NextEra Energy Partners Q4 Preview: Will There Be A Business Model Pivot? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nextera-energy-partners-q4-preview-will-there-be-a-business-model-pivot-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:41:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - NextEra Energy Partners, LP, faces growth challenges due to Trump's anti-wind policies. There may also be lingering risks of disruptions to existing projects. - NEP's track record of missing revenue and EBIT margin expectations suggests a bearish outlook for Q4 FY24 results. - The company's distributions exceed FCF generation. Accounting for available liquidity, there is an increased likelihood of a distribution cut or capital raise at any time over the next 4 quarters. - Valuation multiples have gotten cheaper, but EBITDA expectations have also been stagnant. Relative technicals vs. SPX500 are in a powerful downtrend. - A name change to XPLR Infrastructure could signal a business model pivot away from renewable energy and toward infrastructure. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752303-nextera-energy-partners-q4-preview-will-there-be-a-business-model-pivot?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### I See Demand And Margin Challenges For Tesla Ahead Of Q4 Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/i-see-demand-and-margin-challenges-for-tesla-ahead-of-q4-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:44:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ahead of Q4 earnings, I believe Tesla's lower-than-expected Q4 FY24 deliveries and market share loss in China may signal market saturation. - To combat weaker demand, I acknowledge a risk of a resumption in pricing cuts and increased advertising spends, pressuring margins. - I estimate that Trump's intended 25% tariffs on Mexico can erode Tesla's automotive gross margins by up to 6.25%. - Given the context of a challenged demand and margins outlook, TSLA stock seems expensive at 78x 3-yr fwd PEs. Relative technicals are also near monthly resistance. - Upside risks include Tesla's production ramps in Model Y Juniper, robotaxis and Optimus robots. Management's updates on timelines on these drivers are a key monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752170-demand-and-margin-challenges-for-tesla-ahead-of-q4-earnings-reiterate-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Oxford Lane Capital Q2 FY25 Preview: Expecting Vibrant Deal Activity (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/oxford-lane-capital-q2-fy25-preview-expecting-vibrant-deal-activity-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:42:55.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - 2025 faces 2 key macro scenarios. Real-time inflation data and industry forecasts suggest that the contained inflation, growth-constructive one is more likely. - In such an environment, OXLC is poised to benefit from higher deal activity in the US CLO market, which would be accretive to subsequent net investment income growth. - OXLC's valuations are at a lower than usual premium to NAV, making buys more acceptable for CLO investors. - OXLC may fare mediocre vs the S&P 500, but it looks poised to outperform the broader CLO market, as represented by the JAAA CLO ETF. - Going into Q2 FY25 earnings, I am expecting good prints and commentary on net new investment activity and hopefully management's take on potential deregulation policies and its impacts on spurring growth in the investments book of OXLC. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752131-oxford-lane-capital-q2-fy25-preview-expecting-vibrant-deal-activity?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Multiple Fresh Growth Drivers Make This A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-multiple-fresh-growth-drivers-make-this-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:41:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - 2025's outlook for AI applications software spending is positive, with a particular focus on curated data solutions that Palantir dominates. - Palantir can eventually benefit from the $500 billion investment in the Stargate Project as enterprises increase AI workload spends after the data centers get built. - A hiring spree in a key Palantir partner organization gives further confidence in an expanding ecosystem. - Valuation multiples are re-rating in light of the growth catalysts. And the stock seems undervalued, given its potential to become as big as Oracle or Microsoft. - The technicals are bullish, bouncing strongly off weekly support. A piece of a $22 billion US army contract is another opportunity up for grabs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752068-palantir-multiple-fresh-growth-drivers-make-this-a-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Allot: Promising Story Pending Proof Of Execution (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/allot-promising-story-pending-proof-of-execution-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:40:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Allot is a network security leader with a diversified telecom customer base that is transitioning to a SaaS model, enhancing revenue quality. - The growth story and potential is encouraging, and the quality of revenues is indeed improving as the company increases its mix of SaaS revenues. - Headcount cuts can pave the way for further margin expansion, but I am disappointed by the lack of gross margin expansion during the transition toward a SaaS model. - Valuations are near sector medians, and technicals show bullish momentum, but without a rollover phase, I lack confidence in the buy setups. - Execution risks include declining deferred revenues (which can be a leading indicator of SaaS revenues) and the CEO's unimpressive track record at his previous firm. Hence, I prefer to wait for proof of execution. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4751983-allot-promising-story-pending-proof-of-execution?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron: Facing A Weak Memory Market And Relatively Overvalued Vs. Peers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-facing-a-weak-memory-market-and-relatively-overvalued-vs-peers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:38:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My bearish view on Micron has been ill-timed as the stock has rallied hard since, prompting me to revisit my views. - I still expect weakness in the traditional DRAM and NAND memory markets due to slow demand from smartphones and PCs and pricing pressures driven by Chinese competition. - But Micron is well positioned as it focuses on higher-value DRAM markets so it is somewhat insulated by Chinese competition. And it is winning market share from Samsung. - MU's P/B valuations indicate relative overvaluation vs its memory market competitors. The relative charts of MU vs SPX show a cloudy outlook ahead as buyers and sellers seem balanced. - SK hynix has been getting a leg up over Micron in the HBM deployment race, but Micron is making efforts to catch up. This is a key monitorable as the HBM opportunity is a major incremental growth driver. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4751701-micron-facing-weak-memory-market-relatively-overvalued-vs-peers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Medical Properties Trust: Issues In Operating Portfolio And Debt Position May Be Priced In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/medical-properties-trust-issues-in-operating-portfolio-and-debt-position-may-be-priced-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:37:23.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Prospect's bankruptcy is not a negligible impact, as it can lead to a 10% loss in revenues for MPW. - Rent coverage analysis gives reasons for caution with other tenants in MPW's portfolio. Declining revenues in the broader tail of operators shows MPW's issues to be broad-based across the portfolio. - A large, fixed-rates debt burden is an overhang. And MPW is relying on higher cost funding in order to raise the money needed for debt principal payments. - P/B valuations are rather undemanding near multi-decadal lows. Relative technicals indicate a balance of power between the bears and the bulls. - Healthcare sector defaults are expected to still be higher than historical norms in 2025 due to high labor costs and cash flow headwinds from certain policies. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4751305-medical-properties-trust-reit-issues-in-operating-portfolio-and-debt-position-may-be-priced-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia: Getting Clues On Outlook From Its Key Customers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-getting-clues-on-outlook-from-its-key-customers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:36:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Hyperscalers are major customers of Nvidia Corporation. A deceleration in hyperscaler capex spending is expected in 2025, which can temper NVDA's revenue growth expectations. - Blackwell shipment forecasts have started to be revised downward due to delays driven by issues of overheating again. Some customers are postponing their orders for later versions of the product. - On the bright side, NVDA stock has become less expensive, trading at a 17% discount to its 5-yr median levels on a 1-yr fwd P/E basis. - I am still a keen buyer of NVDA, and I am waiting for a retest of monthly support on NVDA vs. S&P 500 to add to my positions. - Nancy Pelosi has a terrific investment track record, which makes her portfolio moves worthwhile to track. Over the last couple of months, she has been unloading NVDA shares. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4751228-nvidia-getting-clues-on-outlook-from-its-key-customers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Rocket Lab: With A Rosy Outlook Ahead, I'm Waiting For A Discount To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rocket-lab-with-a-rosy-outlook-ahead-im-waiting-for-a-discount-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T10:43:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rocket Lab's impressive backlog growth and improving revenue quality explain the stock's rising growth expectations and multiple expansion. - The Trump administration's pro-space stance is likely to lead to increased space funding, and Rocket Lab is well positioned and ready to service increased demand. - Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket presents meaningful gross profit expansion opportunities as it provides a cost-competitive alternative to SpaceX's Falcon 9 in servicing the growing demand from low-earth orbit satellite launches. - Despite a rich valuation with a 3-yr forward PE over 100x, on a EV/serviceable addressable market perspective, the stock trades more reasonably. - The technicals are bullish but offer no discount entry for the buys. I would ideally like to see a correction, perhaps from a short-term execution hiccup to initiate buy positions. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4752358-rocket-lab-with-a-rosy-outlook-ahead-im-waiting-for-a-discount-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC: Demand Outlook Offsets Likely Peak In Gross Margins (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-demand-outlook-offsets-likely-peak-in-gross-margins-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:34:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - TSMC is set to increase FY25 capex by 34%. This is a very healthy demand signal, driven by aggressive AI-related spending and augmented by the N2 process node's ramp. - TSMC may be at peak gross margins as dilution is expected from the ramp-up of additional capacity. But there are structural improvements too, driven by productivity and utilization increases. - TSMC's discount vs peers has widened a little bit from what it was a few days before the Q4 FY24 earnings release. - TSM vs SPX500 maintains a bullish structure and there are no signs of sellers despite being near a multi-quarter resistance level. - Management's abilities to improve the estimated 5-10% gross margins of overseas fabs and elevate the lower-than-company-average margin profile of its advanced packaging facilities are a key risk monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4750879-tsmc-demand-outlook-offsets-likely-peak-in-gross-margins?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PFFA: Best Among Its Preferred Share Peers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pffa-best-among-its-preferred-share-peers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:32:52.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Since my last 'Buy' update, PFFA has underperformed the S&P 500 but trounced other preferred share ETFs' performance on a total shareholder return basis. - A dovish rates environment is more favorable for equities over the preferred share class. But PFFA's leverage, active management, and fixed-to-floating preferred share mix may help it outperform its peers. - PFFA is trading close to NAV fair value and its relative technicals seem to be in a limbo state with neither a strong show by the bulls nor the bears. - Delinquency rates in PFFA's overweight real estate sector are a key risk to monitor. - With a 9% dividend yield, I think PFFA is one of the better high-yield investments for income-focused investors. But for investors aiming to beat the S&P 500, I can't see enough to justify a buy here. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4750748-pffa-best-among-its-preferred-share-peers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### JEPQ: Like The Sector Exposures, Dislike The Equity Linked Notes (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/jepq-like-the-sector-exposures-dislike-the-equity-linked-notes-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:31:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - JEPQ has more favorable sectoral exposures in a growing risk-on mood for 2025. - When rates are increasingly pointing more toward a risk-on mood, JEPQ vs SPY overweights to growth areas in technology and semiconductors are favorable. - And JEPQ's underweights to banks vs SPY help avoid NIM compression headwinds as rates fall. - Moreover, JEPQ is valued more richly than SPY and its relative technicals also indicate limited outperformance potential ahead. - I recognize that JEPQ's high dividend yields make it attractive for many income-focused investors. However, among high dividend alternatives, I prefer midstream O&G plays such as Energy Transfer and Enbridge. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4750496-jepq-like-sector-exposures-dislike-equity-linked-notes?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Range Resources: Optimism Fueled By Pricing And Volume Tailwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/range-resources-optimism-fueled-by-pricing-and-volume-tailwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:30:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - RRC is likely to enjoy a rally in natural gas prices driven by rising LNG demand and low inventory levels. - RRC is well-positioned for volume growth, supported by favorable energy policies and efficient production capabilities in the Appalachia region. - RRC typically trades at a premium vs its comps but this is arguably deserved due to a superior costs structure. And currently, its valuation premium is lower than usual levels. - Technically, RRC shows a bull flag pattern relative to the S&P500, indicating potential upside. - So far, consensus EBITDA growth expectations remain flat, which would is not as ideal. Hence, I plan to initiate a 50% position, adding the remainder after EBITDA upgrades. This may mitigate the risks of my bullish view being 'priced in'. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4750443-range-resources-optimism-fueled-by-pricing-and-volume-tailwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Credo: Revenue Guidance Beats May Be Fully Priced In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/credo-revenue-guidance-beats-may-be-fully-priced-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:28:45.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I believe the strong revenue guidance beats may be priced in after a 49% rally. Now, leading indicators of revenue growth provide more mixed signals. - Hyperscalers are key customers of Credo. And a projected slowdown in hyperscaler capex growth in 2025 may decelerate the rate of incremental contract signings for Credo. - CRDO's stock is the most expensive among its competitors on a 1-yr fwd PE basis. - The uptrend on CRDO vs SPX seems to be taking a breather. Hence, I don't expect much incremental upside and outperformance ahead. - Consistently high customer concentration, with the top customer making up more than 40% of revenues is a key risk hovering over the business model. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4750050-credo-stock-revenue-guidance-beats-may-be-fully-priced-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nebius: Strong R&D And Technology Legacy Applied To New Growth Markets (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nebius-strong-r-d-and-technology-legacy-applied-to-new-growth-markets-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:27:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nebius Group is a former Russian mega tech company (Yandex) starting over after severing all ties to Russia. - Nebius' management and R&D teams have a strong right-to-win in the data center infrastructure markets they are targeting. - Nebius' core business is expected to expand rapidly in FY25, driven by growth in customer accounts and data center capacity expansions. - 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue valuations are attractive vs peers, especially pure-play competitors. Relative technicals vs SPX500 are also bullish. - Much of the leadership team including the CEO comes from the former Russian company. But I don't have many doubts about their alignment toward minority shareholders. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4749932-nebius-strong-r-and-d-and-technology-legacy-applied-to-new-growth-markets?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Applied Digital Q2 FY25 Review: Continuous Delays In Signing Customer Is Disappointing (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/applied-digital-q2-fy25-review-continuous-delays-in-signing-customer-is-disappointing-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:26:14.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Applied Digital reported Q2 FY25 earnings after market hours yesterday. Going into this, I had a bullish view. But the lack of developments in signing a customer activates a key risk. - APLD has been unable to close a customer for its 100MW data center in Ellendale for more than a year now. This reduces my confidence in management's execution ability. - I note that Q2 FY25 EBIT profitability is skewed upward due to changes in D&A useful life assumptions. - APLD's data center capacity expansions have the confidence of funders such as Macquarie Asset Management, which has extended it $900 million in funding, with up to $4.1 billion in the pipeline. - Valuations continue to be elevated vs peers, but given execution delays, it may not be as justified to support buys. On APLD vs SPX 500, the buyers are struggling to break the key resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4749526-applied-digital-stock-q2-review-continuous-delays-signing-customer-disappointing?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Power Solutions: Great Growth And Margin Expansion Prospects (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/power-solutions-great-growth-and-margin-expansion-prospects-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:24:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - New data center projects are being announced every week, and hyperscalers are investing heavily in expanding their capacity. These data center trends are likely to boost growth in Power Systems. - Continued mix shift toward the higher-margin Power Systems segment is a lever for structural gross margin expansion. - PSIX's 1-yr fwd PE valuations are at a discount vs historical ranges, and the stock is supported by earnings growth upgrades. - PSIX vs SPX500's relative technicals also point bullish after a recent uplisting on the NASDAQ. - A key risk to the bull view is the fact that PSIX has significant connections to a Chinese entity, and this could be a risk under a Trump administration. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4749600-power-solutions-great-growth-and-margin-expansion-prospects?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Eagle Point Credit: Mixed Signals, But Net Bullish (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/eagle-point-credit-mixed-signals-but-net-bullish-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:23:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Eagle Point Credit's extended reinvestment periods and increased equity mix position it well for resilient yields in a falling rates environment. - Declining loan accumulation facilities may preview slower portfolio growth, posing a challenge for net investment income and cash flow. - ECC trades at a lower than usual premium to NAV, making the buys relatively more appealing. - Relative technicals flash bullish signs, indicating potential outperformance vs. the S&P 500. - Key risks include continued tightening of CLO debt spreads, which could impact portfolio spreads and yields negatively, and dilution, which erodes per-share cash distributions. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4749310-eagle-point-credit-mixed-signals-but-net-bullish?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC Q4 Preview: Focus On CoWoS And Gross Margin Guidance (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-q4-preview-focus-on-cowos-and-gross-margin-guidance-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:21:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited aka TSMC continues to gain market share as it beats competition such as Samsung, displacing it among its customers. - TSMC's CoWoS capacity expansion is expected to double again in 2025; commentary on plant progress would be a key focus point in Q4 FY24's earnings call. - The next couple of quarters may see further gross margin guidance beats, driven by 15-20% pricing increases in CoWoS due to fully booked-out demand. - Valuations are attractive, as TSM stock is trading at a 15.3% discount vs. peers (vs. 69% premium in Sep. '24). Technicals are also bullish as it has cleared a monthly resistance area. - The main risk is that recently going into the Q4 FY24 earnings release this week, Wall Street has upgraded estimates in revenues, EBIT, and EPS; elevating the chances of some bullish themes being already priced in the stock, and limiting incremental upside potential. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4749126-tsmc-q4-preview-focus-on-cowos-and-gross-margin-guidance?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Enbridge: Set For EBITDA Growth Acceleration (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/enbridge-set-for-ebitda-growth-acceleration-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T09:20:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Leadership changes in the US and Canada can help boost volume-led growth as the O&G sector gets more encouraged to increase production. - Enbridge's deal with Alberta's government to double O&G production can accelerate Enbridge's Liquid Pipelines EBITDA growth. - January winter seasonality is good for ENB as this month tops on both win rate and average return metrics. - ENB is trading at a lower than usual premium vs the sector, making the buys acceptable given the bullish fundamental context. - Relative technicals show increasing bullish strength vs. the S&P500, poising ENB to outperform. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4748702-enbridge-set-for-ebitda-growth-acceleration?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Gorilla Technology: Impressive Growth Vs. Poor Cash Flow Conversion (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/gorilla-technology-impressive-growth-vs-poor-cash-flow-conversion-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:48:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The revenue and profitability outlook and visibility are robust, as the company is well-poised with a large backlog and a strong pursuit of multi-million-dollar deals. - The cash flow conversion profile is heavily impaired due to high receivables, likely from major government customers. - P/E valuations are at a discount, but this is offset a bit by the distortions caused by large delays in cash flow conversion vs. revenue recognition. - Technicals are bullish but at a key resistance area. Hence, the outperformance vs. S&P 500 may be muted going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4748441-gorilla-technology-impressive-growth-vs-poor-cash-flow-conversion?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### QTUM: A Safer Bet On The Quantum Theme (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/qtum-a-safer-bet-on-the-quantum-theme-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:46:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The Defiance Quantum ETF has benefited from net fund flows as it seems to have benefited from positive news sentiment around the quantum computing theme in December 2024. - In reality, QTUM has limited specific exposure to quantum computing stocks, which is favorable to avoid hype and overvaluation risks. - The Fund is actually a broad technology and semiconductors ETF in disguise. I think it may benefit from a positive semis outlook and lower rates in 2025. - Defiance Quantum ETF is trading at a relatively small premium vs. NAV, which is not unusual. Most importantly, it is a more reasonably priced way to get some exposure to quantum stocks. - QTUM vs. SPX500 shows a strong upside breakout, marking the start of a new bull market. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4748031-qtum-a-safer-bet-on-the-quantum-theme?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Enovix Can Potentially Increase The Battery Life On Your AI-Enabled Smartphones (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/enovix-can-potentially-increase-the-battery-life-on-your-ai-enabled-smartphones-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:44:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Enovix is well positioned to meet the growing demand for high-energy density batteries in devices as AI-enabled applications drain more battery power. - The Company is on track to achieving scale production with attractive economics per production line. The company is also well-capitalized to fund the buildout of multiple production lines. - Consensus estimates may be underestimating ENVX's rapid commercial ramp potential, presenting a mispricing opportunity as valuations remain attractive despite improving fundamentals. - Technical charts signal a brewing expansion toward the upside after an accumulation phase. - Key risks include delays in product testing, qualification, and scaled production contract wins. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4748011-enovix-can-potentially-increase-the-battery-life-on-your-ai-enabled-smartphones?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Applied Digital: Building A Starter Position On This High Growth Play (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/applied-digital-building-a-starter-position-on-this-high-growth-play-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:43:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Applied Digital is transitioning from operating data centers for crypto mining customers to building and operating data centers for larger hyperscaler companies. - There is significant growth potential ahead as they are close to signing a 100MW lease deal with a hyperscaler and seeing high interest for an additional 300MW of capacity. - The \~$880 million annual revenue potential if the 400MW of capacity gets leased out is far from being priced in by consensus revenue estimates. - Revenue and EBIT delivery is starting to beat consensus expectations. Recent fund raises have bolstered the balance sheet and indicate positive investor sentiment. - Premium valuations and delays in lease signings are key risks, which is why despite bullish technicals, I am inclined to start with 20% of my intended position size, with plans of adding 20% for every 100MW of capacity lease finalized. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747880-applied-digital-stock-building-starter-position-high-growth-play?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### D-Wave Quantum Stock Is Trading Above Its Fundamental Worth, But It's Too Risky To Bet Against It (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/d-wave-quantum-stock-is-trading-above-its-fundamental-worth-but-its-too-risky-to-bet-against-it-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:41:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - D-Wave has a notorious track record of missing revenue expectations. Its revenues are also declining YoY. - The company is unprofitable and cash-burning, but has ample liquidity for 2–3 years due to a recent $175 million equity raise. - D-Wave is trading at high valuations in an overhyped sector. At a 157x 1-yr forward P/Revenues, I can't make a good argument for being bullish, especially considering weak revenue progress. - D-Wave is seeing strong technical bullish action on the monthly charts, and it is risky to go against such momentum. - I am keeping an eye on the growing short interest levels, as that may increase the chances of a final short squeeze before an eventual reversal. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747566-d-wave-quantum-stock-is-trading-above-its-fundamental-worth-but-its-too-risky-to-bet-against-it?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Petrobras: Expanding Production At Attractive Breakeven Economics (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/petrobras-expanding-production-at-attractive-breakeven-economics-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:39:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Petrobras is due to increase upstream production at attractive low-cost economics. - The 2025 outlook for oil prices shows little scope for pricing-related upside. So volume growth is likely to be the key fundamental driver for the year ahead. - Valuations are at an attractive 27% discount vs. peers from a 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA perspective. - The PBR vs. SPX500 monthly charts show a bullish outlook emerging from support levels. - A reversal in falling EBITDA expectations would prompt me to add size to buy positions. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747448-petrobras-stock-expanding-production-at-attractive-breakeven-economics?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Brookfield Infrastructure Partners: Business Outlook Looks Good, But Watch The Leverage (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/brookfield-infrastructure-partners-business-outlook-looks-good-but-watch-the-leverage-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:31:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I expect a $4 billion pipeline to result in a sequential 50% increase in capital to be commissioned and invested capital over the next 2 quarter. - The Midstream segment may turn around in 2025 as volumes may pick up under the new president's energy policies, and increased natural gas reserves. - A reduced floating rate debt exposure mix undermines BIP's funding costs to benefit from lower interest rates. Keep an eye on net debt and leverage ratios, which are also increasing. - Valuations are at a discount a little above decadal low P/AFFO multiples. Relative technicals vs. S&P 500 show a fight between strong seller momentum and a key support level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747303-brookfield-infrastructure-partners-business-outlook-looks-good-but-watch-the-leverage?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Devon Energy May Be Entering A Favorable Commodities Market In 2025 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/devon-energy-may-be-entering-a-favorable-commodities-market-in-2025-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:31:12.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - 2025's commodity price outlook looks good for Devon Energy; expectations of a slight fall in oil prices is more than offset by projections of rising natural gas and NGL prices. - Drilling activities' efficiency improvements are resulting in lower capex intensity, which bodes well for FCF return profiles. - Valuations are undemanding as DVN trades at a larger-than-usual discount vs peers on a 1-yr fwd PE basis. - DVN vs SPX500 is in an incumbent downward multi-quarter downflow, but has reached a key support level. I anticipate some sideways consolidation ahead. - The recent fall in the stock has been driven by multiples de-rating whilst earnings expectations have remained stagnant. I'd like to see an uptick in earnings upgrades to have a fundamentals boost for buys. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747231-devon-energy-stock-may-be-entering-favorable-commodities-market-2025?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Growing And Diversifying Its Portfolio (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/morgan-stanley-direct-lending-growing-and-diversifying-its-portfolio-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:24:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - MSDL's portfolio is growing and diversifying with an increase in investee companies. The outlook is also bright, with a more vibrant deal environment expected in 2025. - MSDL stands to benefit asymmetrically from falling rates, as yields are expected to remain more resilient, whereas interest costs are likely to fall in tandem with 2025's rate cuts. - MSDL's valuations are at a premium relative to its historical 1-yr fwd P/Es, the broader BDC sector and on a P/NAV basis, reducing the margin of safety for buys. - MSDL buyers are holding monthly support vs S&P500 after underperforming the broader market in H2 2024\. I anticipate a period of consolidation before more sustained moves upward. - A continued increase in MSDL's unsecured debt mix is a risk factor to monitor, as the higher cost of funding from unsecured debt may partially offset the fall in broader interest rates. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747152-morgan-stanley-direct-lending-growing-and-diversifying-its-portfolio?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### ASML: Demand Headwinds Galore (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/asml-demand-headwinds-galore-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:23:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Net downward consensus capex revisions of ASML's key customers - TSMC, Samsung and Intel - may imply a weaker demand outlook ahead as foundries are starting to become price-sensitive. - Slowdown in Chinese semiconductor equipment demand may last longer than 2025 and there are no signs of this being offset by stronger net bookings activity for ASML in other segments. - Valuations are at a 45% premium vs peers. Some of this may be justified given the company's dominant position in EUV. But the stock is also facing reduced earnings expectations. - Relative technicals vs the S&P500 indicate the start of a new bearish trend, which I expect will lead to underperformance going into 2025. - The amount and proportion of used system sale units is a key monitorable to track the significance of customers' pricing concerns. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747078-asml-demand-headwinds-galore?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Still Too Many Issues To Reckon With (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-still-too-many-issues-to-reckon-with-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:11:36.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Fundamentals deterioration and balance sheet quality are a concern as the company has net debt, negative cash flows, and is losing business from key customers such as NVIDIA. - Super Micro Computer's private capital raise is likely to occur at a discount to market price, putting further pressure on the stock. - SMCI's new auditor BDO (after the resignation of EY) has a patchy record with an audit deficiency rate of 86% in 2023, according to the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board. - Valuations are near fair value, but the reliability of such analysis is undermined when the integrity of financial statement reporting is under question. - A sideways rollover period is likely in the technical charts of SMCI vs. SPX500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747043-super-micro-computer-still-too-many-issues-to-reckon-with?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why I'm Buying Blue Owl Capital Corp. III Over Blue Owl Capital Corp. In This Merger Arbitrage Opportunity (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-im-buying-blue-owl-capital-corp-iii-over-blue-owl-capital-corp-in-this-merger-arbitrage-opportunity-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:09:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Blue Owl Capital Corporation and Blue Owl Capital Corporation III may be losing deal share as the numbers and narratives show subdued new investment activity; which is unusual given ARCC's positive developments in this regard. - A dovish rates environment can put pressure on investment yields and net investment income for the OBDC + OBDE portfolio. - OBDC is trading at near cyclical peak valuations vs peers, making buys in that less attractive. - But my merger arbitrage math says there may be a small edge in buying OBDE over OBDC. - OBDE vs SPX 500 also shows a bullish breakout after a descending triangle squeeze. Hence, I am bullish on OBDE. Relative valuations of OBDE vs OBDC is a key risk monitorable for my view. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4747033-blue-owl-capital-corp-iii-over-blue-owl-capital-merger-arbitrage-opportunity?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: Trump Administration Tailwinds May Not Be Fully Priced In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-trump-administration-tailwinds-may-not-be-fully-priced-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:07:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - A Trump administration is good for Energy Transfer's business. But the market's consensus forward EBITDA estimates look too low considering historical volumes and reserves growth in natural gas. - ET is well-positioned to replenish a higher than usual dip in natural gas storage levels. Seasonality data shows January to have the highest win rate for ET stock. - ET is trading at a small premium vs its historical valuation multiples and a lower-than usual discount vs peers. However, I think this is acceptable given the tailwinds. - ET vs SPX500 is showing an ideal bullish technical setup; a retest after a breakout from an accumulating wedge. - Legal battles with WMB is a risk that can have material financial impact for ET's EBITDA. WMB has a good track record of winning litigations against ET. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746910-energy-transfer-trump-tailwinds-may-not-be-fully-priced-in-to-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Zeta Global: Cautious Due To Unfavorable Growth Composition And Pricey M&A (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/zeta-global-cautious-due-to-unfavorable-growth-composition-and-pricey-m-a-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:04:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Growth is undoubtedly strong, but it is driven more by ARPU-mining of existing clients. New accounts growth trends are seeing a deceleration. - There is ample scope for margin expansion at the GAAP-EBIT, driven by operating leverage effects. This is evident from the 37% YoY incremental EBIT margins. - Zeta paid a consideration of 5.8x EV/Revenues for LiveIntent, significantly above the 2024 SaaS median EV/Revenue transaction multiple of 2.8x, and within the highest 4th quartile of transaction comps too. - Valuations are close to fair value levels when looking at ZETA's typical discount 13.9% vs peers as a baseline. Technically, vs SPX 500, bearish momentum fights a key support level. - Declining RPOs, which are a leading indicator of revenues, are a demand risk monitorable. There is a potential silver lining here that RPOs may increase following good conversions of an impressive 60% QoQ growth in requests for proposals. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746881-zeta-global-cautious-unfavorable-growth-composition-pricey-m-and-a?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### IonQ: This Quantum Computing Stock Has Stronger Fundamentals But Is Priced Dearly (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ionq-this-quantum-computing-stock-has-stronger-fundamentals-but-is-priced-dearly-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:01:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - IonQ has various competitive advantages that reduce risks for investors; a commercial-first philosophy, a marquee customer list and broad ecosystem support; fast progress in meeting R&D milestones. - Revenue growth is healthy, growing at 100% YoY. Deal wins are even stronger as it is winning more than $50 million deals already. - Valuations are at an 88% premium to historical median levels on a 1-yr fwd P/Revenues basis and at a discount vs other quantum computing stocks, that are arguably overvalued. - IONQ vs SPX500 technicals are bullish but is at a potential resistance level, increasing the chances of a correction. - Weak revenue guidance for Q4 FY24 was surprising. It is a risk monitorable that may indicate softer bookings and billings in the Dec'24 quarter. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746494-this-quantum-computing-stock-has-stronger-fundamentals-but-is-priced-dearly?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: A Trifecta Of Growth, Margin Expansion And Improving Cash Flow Conversion (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-a-trifecta-of-growth-margin-expansion-and-improving-cash-flow-conversion-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T07:59:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The growth outlook is strong, driven by tailwinds in the CCS segments' end markets. - The mix-shift driven EBIT margin thesis is playing out and has more runway as the higher-margin CCS is expected to continue outgrowing ATS. - Inventory reduction is improving net working capital intensity, which can lead to a higher base of FCF conversion. - Valuations are at a 18.6% premium vs peers, but I think it is tolerable given the trifecta of growth, margin expansion and improving cash flow conversion. - CLS stock is in a clear bullish uptrend. But multiple-expansion led price appreciation is a hype risk factor to monitor. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746424-celestica-stock-trifecta-growth-margin-expansion-improving-cash-flow-conversion-upgrade-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Meta: I Missed The Boat But Still Hesitant To Jump In Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/meta-i-missed-the-boat-but-still-hesitant-to-jump-in-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T07:58:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Meta has been a major miss for me as the stock has generated +187% over the past \~1.5 years. Yet, I am still hesitant to buy now. - Meta is facing a slowdown in advertising impressions amid a competitive advertising environment. These headwinds are expected to result in a challenging YoY growth stats in H1 FY25. - Meta may have to deal with a more scrutinizing FTC Chairman, who has a more hard line stance against big tech media companies and their content management decisions. - META stock valuations are at a small 8.6% discount vs historical levels. But the relative technicals suggest buyer exhaustion and downside potential ahead. - TikTok is due to get banned in the US in early Jan'25, but is making an appeal a few days before the case. This is a relevant monitorable for Meta, who stands to gain from an easier competitive ads environment if its competitor is barred from operating in the US. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746315-meta-i-missed-the-boat-but-still-hesitant-to-jump-in-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pfizer: Why I'm Staying On The Sidelines (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizer-why-im-staying-on-the-sidelines-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T07:24:13.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pfizer's organic oncology business is starting to see growth acceleration, which is a positive sign that counters my earlier expectation that Seagen would carry Pfizer's whole oncology business. - Frequent and material 'extraordinary' expenses are weighing down on margins. I expect these impacts to outweigh incremental cost-saving benefits in FY25. - Pfizer trades at a 21.7% discount to peers on a 1-yr forward P/E basis, which is a point for the bullish arguments. - The overall bearish trend on PFE vs S&P500 is still intact, although the buyers are resisting the decline for now. - Trump's appointment of RFK Jr. as the U.S. Health Secretary poses a key risk as potential vaccine policy changes can impact current and future revenue streams. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746361-pfizer-why-im-staying-on-the-sidelines?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: Bullish Due To Higher Deal Activity (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-bullish-due-to-higher-deal-activity-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T07:09:23.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Deal activity is growing both in number and average size. The backlog and pipeline numbers are also at record highs. - A higher floating rate debt mix positions ARCC well for rate cuts ahead in 2025. - Valuations are at a small premium vs BDC peers, but it may be justified given ARCC's market-leading position amid a positive deal flow environment. - On ARCC vs SPX 500, buyers are in accumulation and may be ready to launch up soon, leading to outperformance. - It is important to track the tradeoffs between deal signing volumes, investment yields and portfolio grades to evaluate ARCC execution quality. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746306-ares-capital-bullish-due-to-higher-deal-activity?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft: Backdated Azure Growth And Pricing Discounts Make The Stock Less Attractive (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-backdated-azure-growth-and-pricing-discounts-make-the-stock-less-attractive-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T07:09:36.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My bullish thesis on Microsoft hasn't played out well, with Azure growth and ARPU pricing tailwinds not meeting expectations. - Azure faces supply constraints and likely market share loss, and MSFT's custom AI chip development lags behind competitors, which can impact longer-term supply chain efficiency and higher costs. - Recent pricing discounts on Azure OpenAI API and Copilot may pressure gross margins. - 1-yr fwd PE valuations are near peak levels, trading at a 64% discount vs longer-term averages. I think this is too high for comfort for buys on the stock. - Relative technicals are resting at support and are likely to consolidate first before rising up. And the removal of a clause barring MSFT from using OpenAI's AGI-level technology for commercial purposes is a key upside risk to monitor. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746189-microsoft-backdated-azure-growth-and-pricing-discounts-make-the-stock-less-attractive?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Google Says Don't Underestimate Me (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/google-says-dont-underestimate-me-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T07:04:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Google's latest 6th generation TPUs can boost Cloud revenues and lower costs of training AI models, lifting gross margins and Cloud EBIT growth. - Gemini 2.0 and AI Mode in Google Search features can recover lost market share and be a tailwind for the Advertising business via improved ads targeting. - Valuations are at a discount vs historical multiples, even with earnings growth expectations ticking upward regularly. - Technically relative to the S&P500, buyers are pushing up strongly but are in a zone of strong resistances. - The quantum computing opportunity could be worth trillions of dollars. Google's Willow quantum chip just achieved a major milestone in the long road toward commercialization. This growth wildcard is a key monitorable that may not be priced in. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746106-google-says-dont-underestimate-me?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia: Supplier-Led Blackwell Delays Can Push Out Production Timelines (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-supplier-led-blackwell-delays-can-push-out-production-timelines-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T06:02:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Blackwell chips are expected to make up 80% of total deployments in 2025\. But complex specifications are leading to supplier-led delays, likely extending production timelines. - The revenue outlook is still strong. But I am not sure if the recent news on Blackwell delays have been fully reflected in consensus revenue estimates. - NVDA stock valuations have gotten cheaper, whilst earnings expectations have remained stable; a good sign for bullish arguments. - The bulls are holding up well on the technical charts vs S&P 500\. The charts suggest the potential for outperformance. - Expansions of NVIDIA's TAM via a foray into the CPU market is an upside risk that is a key monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745954-nvidia-stock-supplier-led-blackwell-delays-can-push-out-production-timelines-reiterate-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Dollar General: Margin Erosion Continues, Reiterate Sell (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dollar-general-margin-erosion-continues-reiterate-sell-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T06:02:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My 'Sell' view on Dollar General has been accurate so far, as the stock has underperformed the S&P 500. - Recent revenue delivery in Q3 FY25 has been adequate, posting a mild surprise vs consensus expectations. But the core consumer is still facing an affordability crisis. - Dollar General's usage of promotions to sustain business with consumers is impairing gross and EBIT margins. This trend is expected to continue so long as the consumer's budget remains weak. - Valuations are heavily discounted, but perhaps justifiably so given weak earnings expectations and EPS downgrades well into next year. Technically, the charts show no signs of bulls. - As a silver lining, leading indicators such as the Nov'24 preliminary Consumer Surveys point to an improved consumer outlook ahead. But I want to see the proof in DG's financials before revising my stance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745891-dollar-general-stock-q3-margin-erosion-continues-reiterate-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Quantum Computing: Irrational Exuberance (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/quantum-computing-irrational-exuberance-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:59:39.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I am usually positive on Seeking Alpha stocks rated a 'Strong Buy', given the Quant Rating system's long term record in beating the S&P500\. But I thinkQUBT is an exception. - Despite a $3 billion market capitalization, TTM revenues are tiny at only $400,000\. The hype around the NASA deal is unjustified as it is only worth $26,163. - QUBT is bleeding money and has been saved by a $90 million raise in the last 2 months, management has made questionable capital allocation choices and directors seem overpaid. - Valuations indicate irrational exuberance at MCAP/TBV of 32x. Technicals look bullish but the hype-based euphoria is likely to reverse sharply. - Amusingly, the company's origins are in a completely different industry; it made a huge pivot from beverages to quantum computing back in 2018. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745860-quantum-computing-irrational-exuberance?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### JEPI: Good Hedge Vs Tech-Heavy S&P500 In Current Rates Environment (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/jepi-good-hedge-vs-tech-heavy-s-p500-in-current-rates-environment-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:58:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - JEPI is a more defensive ETF vs SPY, due to underexposure in the high-beta tech sector and overexposure to equity-linked-notes, which do well in a weak to sideways market environment. - The Fed's expectations of a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025 impairs long duration technology growth stocks more, making JEPI's underexposure a favorable trait. - The tech-heavy mix of SPY also chances of a correction (sideways or downward) due to the Fed rate policy moves, making JEPI's ELN exposure favorable. - JEPI valuations are at a mild 9% discount vs SPY. But the relative technicals have not shown a strong bullish signal yet, despite reaching a key support level. - As a counterpoint, a tech spending boom by enterprises is expected in 2025\. This bottom-up driver will probably put some points in favor of SPY over JEPI. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745823-jepi-good-hedge-vs-tech-heavy-sp500-in-current-rates-environment?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Carnival: Smooth Sailing Ahead (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/carnival-smooth-sailing-ahead-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:56:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Peak occupancy, higher pricing and increasing onboard spend is leading to upgrades in the earnings outlook. - There are indications of greater fuel consumption efficiency. Investments in new ships over the next 10 years can drive long-term gross margin improvement via energy efficiency. - Valuations are at an attractive 11.5% discount vs comps. - Technicals vs the S&P500 point toward an early bullish reversal sign in-the-making. - Customer deposit levels are a key monitorable as it is a leading indicator of revenues and a mostly coincident indicator of bookings. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745762-carnival-smooth-sailing-ahead?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Uber: Navigating A Changing World (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/uber-navigating-a-changing-world-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:53:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - UBER has done a good job transitioning toward positive GAAP EBIT over the past 3 years. I believe there is ample scope for margin expansion to \~35% over the longer term. - Will autonomous vehicle makers price Uber out of the market? Or collaborate to achieve faster scalability? I am tracking gross bookings to assess the risk scenarios. - The Company's valuations are at a deserved premium vs. peers given its market-leading position. However, the extent of the premium is lower than normal, which is good for bullish arguments. - Relative technicals vs. S&P 500 are in a bearish flow but near monthly support levels. I anticipate sideward price action ahead. - Another wildcard is how Uber's bargaining power will evolve with competitors and with business partners. To assess this in concrete terms, I am tracking take rate/commission rate dynamics. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745523-uber-navigating-a-changing-world?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Rigetti Computing: Be Wary Of The Overhyped Catalyst (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/rigetti-computing-be-wary-of-the-overhyped-catalyst-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:50:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rigetti Computing is unlikely to benefit materially from the $2.7 billion funding from the National Quantum Initiative, which seems to be the catalyst for the stock's sharp rise up recently. - RGTI management has a patchy record in revenue and margins execution vs consensus expectations. - At current quarterly FCF burn levels, the unprofitable Rigetti Computing has enough liquidity to last just over 2.5 years, due to a recent $100 million equity raise. - RGTI's valuation drivers suggest the stock is in an unreasonable hype mode, as forward revenue estimates remain unchanged despite the stocks' sharp climb up. - Technicals show strong bullish momentum but is nearing a major resistance area. Overall, I believe it is wise to steer clear of RGTI, but also not to be bearish on it as the market's bullish momentum is hard to fight. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745487-rigetti-computing-stock-be-wary-of-overhyped-catalyst-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron Q1: Riddled With A Challenging Outlook (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-q1-riddled-with-a-challenging-outlook-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:49:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - In my fiscal Q1 FY25 preview note on Micron Technology, Inc., I had expressed a cautious stance, which correctly anticipated a weak NAND market ahead (NAND makes up 26% of Micron's revenues). - The NAND demand cycle seems to be at a local peak as it faces volume and pricing headwinds due to slower growth and inventory corrections at the customers' level. - NAND weakness has impacted fiscal Q2 FY25 revenue and gross margin guidance and caused it to miss expectations, and the outlook is expected to remain weak for at least a couple more quarters. - I expect a valuation multiple de-rating to follow almost unanimous downgrades in EPS, revenue and gross margins over the next 4 quarters. Technicals vs. the S&P 500 are also bearish. - HBM demand is expected to grow handsomely at a 36% CAGR until 2030\. As a market leader, Micron is a key beneficiary of this industry trend. This is a key upside risk monitorable for my bearish view. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745387-micron-q1-riddled-with-a-challenging-outlook-rating-downgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla: Time To Take A Breather (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-time-to-take-a-breather-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:47:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My “Strong Buy” rating on Tesla, Inc. has outperformed the S&P 500 Index by +78.45%, but recent developments prompt a re-evaluation of bullish views. - A slower pace of rate cuts implied by the Fed's latest Dot Plot can pose a heavier penalty on long-duration growth stocks such as TSLA. - Tesla has started to cut prices again on the Model 3 in the US. Further pricing cuts to combat volume pressures arising from buyer affordability challenges are a key risk. - TSLA stock is 75% pricier now than it was in early Nov '24\. The recent rally is driven almost exclusively by a re-rating hype at flattish earnings expectations. - Technicals relative to the S&P 500 have reached a key zone of resistance and shown an initial rejection, thus curbing the chances of continued upside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745329-tesla-time-to-take-a-breather-rating-downgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Apple: Insourcing Can Structurally Lift Gross Margins (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-insourcing-can-structurally-lift-gross-margins-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:45:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My last 'Buy' view on Apple has been playing out, and recent developments have increased my confidence in the stock, prompting me to upgrade my stance to a 'Strong Buy'. - In-house manufacturing of networking components can reduce reliance on suppliers such as Broadcom and Qualcomm and boost long-term gross margins. - AAPL trades at a premium vs comps but after 2 years of stagnant earnings expectations, it is seeing upgraded estimates in recent times. - Relative technicals signal a breakout above previous highs following a period of consolidation/re-accumulation. - iPhone sales have been broadly stagnant over the past 3 years. Apple plans to reinfuse growth via a launch of a premium foldable iPhone. However, I am a bit skeptical given higher adoption rates for lower-priced models in recent iPhone Series. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745238-apple-insourcing-can-structurally-lift-gross-margins?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Costco: Hard To Be Bearish But Also Too Expensive For Buys (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/costco-hard-to-be-bearish-but-also-too-expensive-for-buys-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:44:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Price hikes are only partially offsetting volume declines, but a rise in membership fees can lift overall comps in the future as customers' membership renewal periods trigger. - Warehouse expansion-led growth is performing better than I expected, as productivity and return metrics such as fixed asset turnover and pre-tax ROICs have shown no signs of deterioration. - Valuations are even higher vs median comps than last time but COST stock is still ticking along, supported by the fundamental tailwind of earnings growth expectations. - Buyer momentum is slowing down at key resistance levels on COST vs SPX500, reducing the chances of continued outperformance. - Costco is piloting retail media campaigns, with initially promising results. The scale-up of these campaigns are a key monitorable that can lead to upside risk via volume surprises. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4745022-costco-hard-to-be-bearish-but-also-too-expensive-for-buys?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CrowdStrike: High Visibility And Longer Term Growth Acceleration (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/crowdstrike-high-visibility-and-longer-term-growth-acceleration-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:41:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - There is sequential growth acceleration in RPOs; a leading indicator of revenues, driven by customers' adoption of the Falcon Flex subscription. - High visibility of a large pipeline is leading to upgrades in longer term revenue and earnings estimates by Wall St. - Valuations are rich but acceptable given CrowdStrike's 'leader-of-leaders' market leadership and longer term visibility. - Technicals indicate some room for upside vs S&P500 as the ratio prices move up toward the top of the trading range. - GAAP profitability is still in unprofitable territory, due to a persistent 20% of revenues SBC intensity that has not reduced despite revenues multiplying almost 3x over the past 3 years. This is a key risk as such a scenario benefits employees at the expense of minority shareholders. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744952-crowdstrike-stock-high-visibility-and-longer-term-growth-acceleration?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Expectations Are Finally Getting Priced In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-expectations-are-finally-getting-priced-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:28:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Despite positive fundamental developments such as a $38 million deal win and qualifications to do work with more sensitive government data, there are no consensus EPS estimate upgrades. - Palantir will be joining the Nasdaq 100 index. But I think the trade opportunity for this has already played out since PLTR initially switched from a NYSE to Nasdaq listing. - PLTR's recent price appreciation is led more by multiple expansion than earnings growth expectations, which have remained flat. - Relative technicals are at a key resistance level albeit without any slowdown of bullish momentum. - Overall, I believe PLTR stock's expectations are finally getting priced in. Missing out on a positive revenue guidance surprise in the next quarter is a key risk to my 'Neutral/Hold' view. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744809-palantir-expectations-are-finally-getting-priced-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CVS Health: Insurance Business Challenges Continue (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/cvs-health-insurance-business-challenges-continue-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:27:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My 'Sell' rating on CVS Health has performed well so far, as the stock is down more than 20% on a total shareholder return basis. - There's no end in sight for margin contraction in the healthcare benefits business, which is plagued by higher loss ratios as a result of unfavorable policy terms for the insurer. - Earnings expectation downgrades counter CVS' low valuation vs peers. - Bears dominate the long-term technical charts on CVS relative to the S&P 500. - A potential breakup of CVS Caremark may unlock value, but could also result in more leadership attrition in an already-troubled company. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744718-cvs-health-stock-insurance-business-challenges-continue?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Broadcom: Keep Calm And Let Profits Ride (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-keep-calm-and-let-profits-ride-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:26:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AI-led growth acceleration has a long runway in Broadcom's semiconductor solutions business, driven by shipment volume increases. - VMware is driving strong margin expansion at a faster-than-expected rate. - Broad-based upgrades to revenue, gross margins, and operating profit estimates by Wall St. analysts are bullish fundamental signs. - Valuations are at a premium vs. comps but deservedly so, given strong expected earnings growth upgrades. Technicals relative to the S&P 500 show zero bearish signs. - The customer concentration risk is abating as new hyperscalers are expected to be onboarded. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744477-broadcom-stock-keep-calm-let-profits-ride?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pitney Bowes: Too Late To Buy Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pitney-bowes-too-late-to-buy-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:25:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My margin improvement thesis has played out, driven by GEC's exit and better-than-expected cost-saving initiatives. - Weak revenue growth is the main risk for continued bullish views, as declining mail volumes and higher cancellation rates are headwinds. - Valuations are cheap vs. peers, but implied earnings growth fundamentals are weak. - Relative to the S&P 500, PBI bulls are losing momentum near key resistance levels, suggesting potential sideways to downward price action ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4744087-pitney-bowes-too-late-to-buy-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why SCHD May Lag SPY (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-schd-may-lag-spy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:23:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SCHD has a significant underweight in technology and overexposure to banks. - A dovish rate outlook is beneficial for long-duration tech growth stocks, but is a headwind for banks due to higher deposit costs weighing down on NIMs. - Industry commentary suggests the tech spending is expected to rebound in 2025\. Due to omission of this exposure, SCHD is vulnerable to lag the S&P500. - Although elevated valuations of the Mag 7 stocks in SPY pose a risk, SCHD's valuation discount vs. SPY has reduced from 40.5% to 16.5%, making the former ETF less attractive. - The SCHD vs. SPY charts show a lack of bullish follow-through following an initial sharp reaction from a 12-monthly support level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4743709-why-schd-may-lag-spy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron Q1 Preview: Mixed Signals Going Into Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-q1-preview-mixed-signals-going-into-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:22:20.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Growth and market share gains are expected in Micron's DRAM business, driven by both price and volume tailwinds. - Although data suggests that Sep 2024 has been good for Micron's NAND business, the outlook is more challenging with pricing cuts and a slowdown in order demand. - MU valuations are at a premium relative to both its peers and the broader historical P/B valuation band, reducing the attractiveness of buys. - There are no bullish signs on the MU vs SPX charts as the ratio prices are stuck in a range. - Anti-China chip policies inhibit Micron via limitations on its sale of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips. This risk may also become more meaningful under the incoming Trump administration. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4743214-micron-q1-preview-mixed-signals-going-into-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Hewlett Packard Enterprise: Positioned Well For Multi-Year Outperformance (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/hewlett-packard-enterprise-positioned-well-for-multi-year-outperformance-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T04:55:27.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Hewlett Packard Enterprise has strong growth prospects, enabled by customers' adoption of its GreenLake and AI solutions. Revenue quality is also increasing with greater annualized revenue streams. - HPE is trading at an attractive 30.6% discount to its peers. A higher annuity portion of revenues is a catalyst for multiple re-rating. - A strong, multi-year breakout is imminent on the relative technicals after more than 2 years of consolidation after a sharp V-shaped recovery from support levels. - An explosion in net working capital suggests that growth is enabled via the provisioning of financing solutions. Worsening cash flow conversion metrics and credit quality are key risks to monitor. - My thesis is focused on the operating business of HPE. Hence, my bullish view is applicable to both the equity share class and the convertible preferred equity share class. I am invested in the equity shares as I believe that has more upside potential, albeit at a higher risk. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4743141-hewlett-packard-enterprise-stock-q4-positioned-well-for-multi-year-outperformance?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: Examining The Track Records Of The New CEOs In Consideration (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-examining-the-track-records-of-the-new-ceos-in-consideration-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T04:54:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The ousting of Patrick Gelsinger as CEO is my opinion an admission of a failed turnaround strategy with Intel missing the AI bet and losing market share in the traditional CPU business. - Prospective new CEO Lip-Bu Tan has a stellar track record at Cadence Design and intimate knowledge of Intel, with a clear idea of what different things ought to be done. - Matt Murphy's successful turnaround at Marvell also makes him a candidate for Intel's CEO position, but he is committed to Marvell, making his Intel appointment unlikely. - Lip-Bu Tan is my base case for most likely CEO. I expect his appointment to lead to operating margin improvement driven by cuts to bloated middle management personnel at Intel. - I expect the new CEO's compensation to be generous, potentially exceeding Gelsinger's 2021 package. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4742684-intel-examining-the-track-records-of-the-new-ceos-in-consideration?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Amazon: Multiple Margin Levers Drive Earnings Growth (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-multiple-margin-levers-drive-earnings-growth-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T04:52:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pricing discounts to drive volume growth in Q3 FY24's discounts season have masked the benefits of lower freight costs. However, I expect this to improve gross margins in future quarters. - AWS is enjoying strong operating leverage effects driven by prudent hiring practices, cost efficiencies and the combination of growth and high incremental EBIT margins. - Amazon stock is attractively valued, and its run up is wholly due to EPS upgrades. This makes it an ideal GARP stock. - Technicals relative to the market point toward continued outperformance ahead vs. the S&P 500 as the ratio prices look ready to march upwards following a false downside breakout and consolidation. - Robotics in fulfillment centers are a key monitorable for meaningful gross margin accretion of 25%. To gauge whether there is edge or alpha in this thesis, I am tracking margin surprises vs. consensus expectations. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4742302-amazon-multiple-margin-levers-drive-earnings-growth?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### AMD: Strong Fundamentals Are Fully Priced In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amd-strong-fundamentals-are-fully-priced-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:22:34.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Advanced Micro Devices' data center product adoption is driving strong growth and margin expansion. This is likely to continue with the acquisition of ZT Systems. - Data on guidance surprises vs consensus and normalized EPS estimate revisions suggests that the stock's growth prospects are fully priced in. - Valuations are also near fair value levels, both relative to AMD's historical valuation multiples band and its sectoral peers. - Relative technicals too suggest a pause to the uptrend as the stock is starting to range at a key 12-monthly resistance vs the S&P 500. - A look at the net working capital intensity reveals that the EBIT margin growth over the past year is purely optical as the operating cash flow margins have been stable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4741743-amd-strong-fundamentals-are-fully-priced-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Solid Power: Testing Investors' Patience (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/solid-power-testing-investors-patience-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:21:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Solid Power's A-2 cell delivery timelines are delayed to early 2025, indicating R&D progress is slower than expected. - Q4 FY24 FCF burn is expected to be $48.6 million, and ongoing high capital outlay is expected as the company transitions from batch to continuous flow electrolyte production. - Liquidity is eroding, with only 5 quarters of short-term funding remaining. - Relative to the S&P500, SLDP's underperformance downtrend is still intact, with no signs of a pause or a reversal. - An incoming Trump administration may reduce EV-related grant subsidies, posing additional risks to Solid Power's funding and commercialization efforts. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4741623-solid-power-earnings-underperformance-downtrend-still-intact?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal: There Are Reasons To Be Optimistic, But It's Too Early To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-there-are-reasons-to-be-optimistic-but-its-too-early-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:20:26.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PayPal's revenue quality is improving with increased value-added services, growth in active accounts, and better credit quality of merchant loans. - PYPL's outlook for transaction margins is positive, driven by better monetization of Braintree and expanded service offerings. - Valuation is at a 15.5% discount to the median comps, which is attractive given the context of improving operational metrics. - I'm waiting for proof of revenue growth acceleration under new CEO Alex Chriss. - CEO Alex Chriss has a good track record of delivering on growth, as evidenced by how he helped Intuit's Quickbooks grow at a 25% CAGR. However, a similar revenue growth acceleration in PayPal is yet to materialize. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4741406-paypal-stock-reasons-to-be-optimisic-too-early-to-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ali Baba: Favorable Retail Sales Data Vs Moderated Stimulus Impacts (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ali-baba-favorable-retail-sales-data-vs-moderated-stimulus-impacts-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:19:15.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Chinese Retail Sales growth data is a leading macroeconomic indicator of Alibaba's domestic ecommerce business. Oct 2024's reading suggests upside potential in Q3 FY25. - The integration of ecommerce businesses into one reporting unit will lead to lower visibility of individual domestic vs international drivers of revenue and margins. - At a 1-yr fwd PE of 9.4x, Alibaba is fairly valued vs Chinese comps. - Relative technicals vs the S&P500 are bearish but sellers are losing steam, increasing chances of upside and hence outperformance. - I overestimated the impact of Chinese fiscal stimulus measures on BABA stock. In reality, it looks like the stimulus does not benefit businesses or household consumption as much, which is what matters most for Alibaba's fundamentals. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4741183-ali-baba-favorable-retail-sales-data-vs-moderated-stimulus-impacts?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: Still Likely To Underperform (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-still-likely-to-underperform-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:17:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The market is more confident on Intel's earnings than revenues due to headcount reductions and slower-than-expected uptake of Gaudi 3. - Management has promised positive adjusted FCF by 2025\. However, I am more concerned with GAAP positive FCF, which is not expected to occur over the next 3 years. - Intel's Valuation multiples are still above longer term median levels. Due to its worse competitive position, I don't believe Intel deserves a premium over its historical valuation range. - Relative technicals show no signs of multi-quarter bullishness. The incumbent downtrend is still strong and intact. - Biden's government has reduced the direct funding to Intel under the CHIPs Act. And the incoming Trump administration may curtail this further as a result of preferring tariffs over subsidies to support the US semiconductor industry. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740974-intel-still-likely-to-underperform?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### GigaCloud Technology: Disappointing On Growth Expectations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/gigacloud-technology-disappointing-on-growth-expectations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:16:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - GCT has been a high growth stock. However, its recent revenue guidance vs consensus trends has started to miss expectations. - Management warned of margin compression ahead due to higher freight costs. However, freight rates have so far reduced, making margin delivery an area of potential positive surprise next quarter. - GCT is trading at a single digit 1-yr fwd PE. But it is also showing exhaustion of earnings growth momentum, undermining fundamental reasons to be bullish. - Relative technicals vs the S&P500 show consolidation but in an incumbent downtrend, increasing the chances of a continuation downward and hence underperformance vs the market. - The probability of financial statement manipulation according to the statistical Beneish M-score model is still high, but has reduced drastically from 29% to 5%. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740833-gigacloud-technology-stock-disappointing-on-growth-expectations-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway: Cash Hoard Likely To Be Underutilized For Longer (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-cash-hoard-likely-to-be-underutilized-for-longer-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:15:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Berkshire Hathaway missed EPS estimates in Q3 FY24 due to losses in the insurance segment. However, I believe the bigger picture ought to focus on the conglomerate's capital allocation. - Cash buildup is occurring but opportunities to deploy may not come soon as the S&P 500 is rising driven by sustainable EPS growth not overhyped multiple expansion. - Valuations are elevated for Berkshire at 1.62x P/B levels; a historical peak vs the median P/B of 1.46x. - There is some upside potential amid broader range-bound relative technicals. However, I think this is too short-term to justify a longer multi-quarter or multi-year bullish view. - I am cautious about the next innings of Berkshire Hathaway, specifically, its ability to make good, meaningful capital allocation decisions. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740639-berkshire-hathaway-cash-hoard-likely-to-be-underutilized-for-longer?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### NVIDIA: Getting Some Mixed Signals (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-getting-some-mixed-signals-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:14:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - For the first time in NVIDIA's upcycle, there are broad downward revisions in expected capex from key customers. This, along with emerging in-sourcing trends are brewing headwinds. - The impact of insourcing on pricing and a margin dip as Blackwell production ramps up may dampen margins for at least a year, and likely more. - Valuations are more appealing now at a 1-yr fwd PE level of 36.0x. NVDA stock is still seeing strong fundamental earnings growth. - Relative technicals vs. the S&P500 remain in bullish flow, but new buy entries may be riskier as the ratio prices are currently at a key weekly resistance level. - The extent of revenue guidance beats vs. consensus has been falling over the past 6 quarters, indicating that NVDA stock is increasingly getting more 'priced in'. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4740104-nvidia-getting-some-mixed-signals?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir's Powerful Productivity Boosts Are Yet To See Mass Adoption (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantirs-powerful-productivity-boosts-are-yet-to-see-mass-adoption-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:12:49.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Palantir has outperformed the S&P500 by +47.59% since my last 'Buy' rating on the stock. After Q3 FY24 results, I am retaining my bullish view. - Palantir's AIP drastically improves enterprise productivity, making it essential for business survival in a winner-take-all AI economy, with mass adoption still far off. - Strong execution with significant revenue and EBIT margin beats, coupled with robust remaining performance obligations, signals continued growth momentum in the short to medium term. - Despite a high 123x 1-yr forward PE, PLTR's stock rise is driven by genuine earnings growth, not irrational exuberance or overhype. - Technically, PLTR is in a powerful uptrend relative to the S&P500, with no signs of bearishness, reaffirming my 'Buy' rating. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4735460-palantirs-powerful-productivity-boosts-are-yet-to-see-mass-adoption?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla Stock: Why I Remain A Buyer (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-stock-why-i-remain-a-buyer-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:11:35.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Tesla, Inc.'s automotive sales are resilient vs. amidst a challenging backdrop in the industry. The rollout of affordable models in H1 FY25 are a key volumes catalyst. - Margin performance is at local highs but is likely to revert a bit, driven by fluctuations in the nature of energy business projects and lower average selling price pressures. - Valuations are at a premium, driven by full self-drive and Optimus expectations. I believe this is acceptable, contingent on the timelines of robotaxis and FSD rollout being intact in FY25. - The relative technicals vs. the S&P 500 point bullish after a false breakout down. The ratio prices are basing and forming a support, indicating readiness to move up over the coming months ahead. - Prepaid expenses have been creeping up over the past few quarters, eroding cash flow conversion. This is something I am monitoring; a common oversight is for investors to focus on margin movements but ignore erosion in working capital intensity. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4732731-tesla-stock-why-i-remain-a-buyer?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Dollar General: Promotions Can Lead To A Structurally Lower Margin Profile (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dollar-general-promotions-can-lead-to-a-structurally-lower-margin-profile-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:10:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - An affordability crisis with Dollar General's core customer segment of lower income customers is pressuring revenues across the board. - The company is resorting to promotions to improve affordability in order to simply maintain existing customers' spends. Along with other labor and SG&A pressures, this erodes margins. - DG is trading at a larger-than-usual discount vs peers, but I doubt the chances of a multiples reversion as the stock is also facing earnings downgrades. - There are zero signs of buyers on DG vs SPX on the annual, multi-quarter, monthly and weekly charts. - Online shopping trends dampen the defensive qualities of DG stock. And persistent promotions are a key risk that can impair margins over the longer term. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4725152-dollar-general-promotions-can-lead-to-a-structurally-lower-margin-profile?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CVS Health: Insurance Business Is Facing Profitability Pressures (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/cvs-health-insurance-business-is-facing-profitability-pressures-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:08:07.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Profitability pressures are expected to continue, driven by CVS Health's Insurance business. The evolution of management's commentary QoQ contains downgraded expectations of margin improvement in FY25. - CVS trades at a 31% discount vs its comps; the average discount level over the past 6 years. But the stock's fall this year is driven more by earnings downgrades. - Relative technicals say expect underperformance ahead since the 4-monthly bearish trend is still intact without any signs of a bottoming. - Medicare membership declines arising from revised bids to improve pricing in 2025 are a key risk monitorable. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724935-cvs-health-stock-insurance-business-facing-profitability-pressures?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Walgreens: No Catalysts To Drive A Turnaround (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/walgreens-no-catalysts-to-drive-a-turnaround-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:06:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - In addition to weak consumer behavior and retail pharmacy industry headwinds, app downloads data suggests Walgreens is lagging vs. competition such as CVS. - WBA has missed on margin expectations for multiple quarters now, and these pressures are expected to continue due to a tough pricing environment. - Despite trough discount valuations vs. comps, WBA stock is in a value trap as the stock falls primarily due to earnings downgrades in the absence of catalysts. - It's not worth fighting a clearly bearish trend on the 12-monthly, 4-monthly, monthly and weekly charts. - A turnaround is unlikely, but even if it occurs, it needs multiple quarters and there are balance sheet and dividend cut risks. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724789-walgreens-no-catalysts-to-drive-a-turnaround?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Conagra: Keeping My Expectations Low Ahead Of Earnings (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/conagra-keeping-my-expectations-low-ahead-of-earnings-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:03:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Conagra Brands, Inc.'s Grocery & Snacks and Refrigerated & Frozen segments are the main drivers of revenue and adjusted EBIT performance. My analysis focuses mainly on the revenue dynamics of these units. - Revenues are pressured by volume and pricing pressures, present across all major segments. Volume growth in Frozen is driven by pricing reductions, which contradicts management's pricing outlook for FY25. - Conagra's execution is patchy; the company has missed on revenue results and also lowered guidance expectations. Management has warned that Q1 FY25 is seasonally weak. I'm looking for optimism in Q2. - 1-yr fwd P/Es are discounted vs. history and are also trading at a larger than usual discount vs. comps, making a case for multiple reversions and upside. - Relative to the S&P500, CAG is in a broader monthly and quarterly downtrend. There may be some incremental upside, but I anticipate eventual underperformance to continue. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724278-conagra-keeping-my-expectations-low-ahead-of-earnings?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia Is Likely To Have A Time Correction Vs The Broader Market (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-is-likely-to-have-a-time-correction-vs-the-broader-market-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:02:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I am correcting my last 'Sell' view on NVIDIA; despite Q2 FY25's result and guidance playing out as per expectations, the stock has not moved down materially as expected. - Capex spending expectations from NVIDIA's top customers such as MSFT, META, AMZN, GOOGL and TSLA are broadly stable, unlike a few months ago when there were broad downward revisions. - Chinese players are reducing reliance on NVIDIA by developing their own chips in response to government's moves to reduce US chip reliance and save costs. - The recent correction in NVDA stock is driven by valuation multiple contraction as earnings growth expectations are still present. I expect this contraction to revert given easing of rates. - Relative technicals of NVDA vs SPX point to a pause amid a broader uptrend, suggesting a period of ranging action ahead (i.e. a time correction). Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724122-nvidia-stock-likely-have-time-correction-vs-broader-market-upgrade-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Dell: Shrinking Backlog And Margin Pressures (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/dell-shrinking-backlog-and-margin-pressures-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T03:01:14.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Backlog indicators as seen in the remaining performance obligations are shrinking and high-growth products such as AI-servers are expected to see QoQ revenue declines next quarter, with a flat backlog. - Competitive intensity is increasing, and industry data shows that Dell is losing share in global PC shipments and mainstream servers. - A revenue mix shift toward lower-margin AI-servers and pricing pressures are headwinds to gross margins going ahead. - Dell is trading at a slight premium to sectoral peers, which I think reduces the margin of safety for buys given a tough competitive environment. - Relative technicals show a monthly bullish trend, which is a silver lining. However, there are weekly obstacles ahead that, I think, will inhibit upside vs the S&P 500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4724069-dell-shrinking-backlog-and-margin-pressures?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alibaba: Re-Rating Catalysts Finally Kick In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alibaba-re-rating-catalysts-finally-kick-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T02:52:25.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Chinese monetary stimulus is a strong re-rating catalyst. Dovish surprises and continued rate cuts and measures to encourage stock pledges and buybacks can support BABA stock and other Chinese equities. - There are signs of a paradigm shift in market sentiment. Alibaba investor David Tepper is 'buying everything' China-related. The last time he said this was in 2010 for US equities. - BABA stock valuation is still heavily discounted and attractive and is no longer in a value trap. There is a catalyst for a material re-rating. - Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 is bullish, with further room for upside and hence outperformance. - A rebound in Chinese retail sales data is something that I expect going forward. I am also watching the US Fed's policy decisions for clues on Chinese rate decisions. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723991-alibaba-re-rating-catalysts-finally-kick-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron: Why Q4 Results Didn't Get Me Excited (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-why-q4-results-didnt-get-me-excited-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T02:47:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron is seeing growth in the HBM market but management's market share outlook of \~20% has negatively surprised me; I expected it to be higher given Samsung's lagging position. - I believe the main positive surprise in Q4 was better gross margins delivery due to cost savings in DRAM production and better HBM yields. This is expected to continue. - Micron still trades at a modest 32% premium vs its memory peers. I am not sure if this is justified as I doubt overall outperformance vs its competition. - Despite a positive earnings reaction, the longer-term relative technicals vs the S&P500 point to a range-bound scenario with no clear bullish direction. - HBM market share dynamics, capex intensity and FCF margins are key monitorables to track. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723935-micron-q4-results-didnt-get-me-excited?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Follow The Bull Trail And Don't Be Fazed By High Valuations Alone (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-follow-the-bull-trail-and-dont-be-fazed-by-high-valuations-alone-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T02:45:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - S&P500 inclusion benefits PLTR as the stock benefits from a decadal trend of growth in passive investment strategies and S&P500 ETF inflows. - I believe PLTR's multiple expansion is acceptable given the long-term growth potential to be as big as Microsoft, rates cut tailwind and improving business quality. - Much of the rally in the stock is backed by strong earnings growth, which is a good sign for long term stock performance. - Relative technicals vs the S&P500 remain bullish; despite reaching a key 4-monthly resistance level, the approach is strong on the monthly, so it would be premature to exit bullish views. - Operating performance in revenues and margin performance is the key thesis-changing monitorable and so far, Palantir is meeting and exceeding expectations here. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723724-palantir-follow-bull-trail-dont-be-fazed-by-high-valuations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla: A Worthy Buy Ahead Of Robotaxi Unveil (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-a-worthy-buy-ahead-of-robotaxi-unveil-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T02:44:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Rate cuts can boost demand as previous headwinds impacting affordability in a rate hike or higher-for-longer rates environment are put behind. Rate cuts also help long-duration equities such as Tesla. - Wall St analysts seem to be banking on China's deliveries strength, but I am not as gung ho on this bullish driver, as I don't see meaningful outlier performance here. - Tesla's valuations are high as investors are more confidently baking in growth optionalities from Robotaxis amid a rates-easing environment. - I think Tesla has a business model edge to capture and keep a dominant share of the robotaxis market for a long time. - Encouraged by the presence of a technical buy trigger in TSLA vs. the S&P 500, I have added the stock to my portfolio. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723392-tesla-stock-worthy-buy-ahead-of-robotaxi-unveil?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TSMC: 2nm Wafers Can Outperform The Already Strong Ramp In 3nm Wafers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tsmc-2nm-wafers-can-outperform-the-already-strong-ramp-in-3nm-wafers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T17:42:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The 2nm wafer technology ramp-up can potentially accelerate revenues and gross margins even more than what was seen in the 3nm ramp-up. - TSMC is capacity-constrained. Capex investments to alleviate these constraints are positive for long-term growth that is likely to maintain and extend technological and market share leadership. - Valuations are at a deserved premium vs. historical levels and peers. TSMC has better revenue and earnings growth prospects than before and is increasing its edge as a market leader. - Relative technicals vs. the S&P500 are bullish as a sharp reaction off weekly support followed by a basing pattern is a recipe for further upside and outperformance. - Despite the bullish drivers, let's not forget that the semiconductor market is still cyclical. Currently, TSMC's growth is at the upper end of longer-term cyclical growth averages. But the bottom-up drivers are constructive. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723304-tsmc-2nm-wafers-can-outperform-the-already-strong-ramp-in-3nm-wafers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### NextEra Energy And NextEra Energy Partners: The Weather Blows Favorable Tailwinds (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nextera-energy-and-nextera-energy-partners-the-weather-blows-favorable-tailwinds-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:31:26.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - NextEra Energy is the leading US Wind Energy player. NextEra Energy Partners' generation portfolio is also heavily geared toward wind power, making fundamental drivers of wind energy highly relevant. - A 71% chance of entering La Niña climate conditions in the next 2-3 months is likely to lead to increased wind speeds for NextEra's wind farms, boosting generation. - Valuations are near fair value for both NEE and NEP, leaving little margin of safety for buys. Relative technicals also do not inspire much confidence. - Key thesis monitorables include weather and climate. Distribution coverage is an additional key risk to track for NEP. - From a ranking perspective, I prefer NEE, then NEP, NEEPRS, and NEP.PR.R, in that order. I believe equity exposure is needed to benefit from the weather- and climate-related catalyst. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723128-nextera-energy-and-nextera-energy-partners-the-weather-blows-favorable-tailwinds?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CrowdStrike: Not Comfortable With Margins Growth And Managements' Performance Incentives (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/crowdstrike-not-comfortable-with-margins-growth-and-managements-performance-incentives-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:29:45.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I am disappointed by the slow rate of CrowdStrike's margin expansion. Management's performance incentives do not inspire confidence for responsible growth of both the revenues and the P&L. - CRWD's prospects may be getting priced in as revenue guidance has started missing consensus expectations and Wall St. analysts have almost unanimously downgraded revenue and EPS growth ahead. - Valuation multiples do not give comfort for buys as the stock is trading at a bit of premium to prior 1-yr fwd P/E levels despite revenue growth moderation. - Relative technical analysis vs the S&P500 indicates potential underperformance or neutral performance compared to the S&P500 in the coming months and quarters ahead. - Proof of the company's investment ROI in SG&A and R&D via growth acceleration would cause me to review my thesis. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4723004-crowdstrike-not-comfortable-with-margins-growth-and-managements-performance-incentives?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Canadian Natural Resources: Almost All The Signs Point To A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/canadian-natural-resources-almost-all-the-signs-point-to-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:28:17.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - There's been disappointments in margins delivery for Canadian Natural Resources, partly driven by higher conversion costs. This has led to downgraded earnings expectations by Wall St analysts. - Synthetic crude prices are stable and natural gas prices have positive tailwinds. CNQ is set to benefit from this via increased production at more favorable economics. - Total equivalent production of crude oil and natural gas is currently steady. Gross profit unit economics are improving. I anticipate further upside in both these variables. - Valuations indicate fair value to slightly expensive as CNQ stock trades near its longer term 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA and at a modest 11.5% premium vs peers. - Relative technicals are bullish, posting a bull flag on the monthly chart. But there's no ideal buy trigger yet in the form of a false breakout to the downside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722835-canadian-natural-resources-stock-almost-all-signs-point-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Costco: Value For Customers But Not For Investors (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/costco-value-for-customers-but-not-for-investors-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:27:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Costco's incremental growth acceleration is driven only by new warehouse expansions as same-warehouse-sales growth is constant. This can lead to an erosion in return profiles. - Stock price appreciation over the last 2 years has been driven mostly by a 42% multiple expansion with minimal earnings growth. Yet, the growth profile now is weaker. - Costco deserves a premium valuation vs its peers. However, I believe a 168% premium to the median 1-yr fwd PE is excessive. - Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 show a false breakout of a weekly resistance level. Thus, I anticipate further downside and hence underperformance vs the broader market. - COST has a track record of delivering results mostly in line with expectations. Hence, I do not anticipate major surprises in the upcoming Q4 earnings report. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722631-costco-value-for-customers-but-not-for-investors-cost-stock?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pitney Bowes: Margin Tailwinds Are A Temporary Catalyst (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pitney-bowes-margin-tailwinds-are-a-temporary-catalyst-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:25:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pitney Bowes' new activist board and management are creating a special situation in the stock. - Margin improvements are anticipated as Pitney Bowes exits its unprofitable Global Ecommerce segment and continues cost-saving measures in SendTech Solutions and Presort Services. - There is a sharp earnings upgrade in the stock after a long time. Coupled with a large 1-yr fwd PE discount vs comparables, this makes PBI a candidate for buys. - Relative to the S&P500, the technicals look favorable for outperformance vs the index over the next few quarters. - I still see PBI as a temporary bullish play, as the company is still plagued by weak revenue growth drivers due to its exposure to a secularly declining industry with high competition. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4722446-pitney-bowes-margin-tailwinds-are-a-temporary-catalyst?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### WESCO: Weak Demand Outlook (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/wesco-weak-demand-outlook-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:24:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - WESCO International's results have consistently missed expectations, driven by weak demand and significant headwinds in its business portfolio, particularly in the utilities segment. - Valuations are near long-term averages, but shrinking earnings growth expectations pose downside risks, despite slightly re-rated 1-year fwd P/E multiples. - Technical analysis suggests further downside, albeit slowly, before bullish reversals. - Manufacturing PMIs have been contracting for many months now, but they are a key thing to monitor and are a source of upside risk should they rebound as this suggests an improved business environment for WESCO. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721868-wesco-weak-demand-outlook?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Micron: Industry Tailwinds Vs. Tough Competition (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/micron-industry-tailwinds-vs-tough-competition-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:22:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Micron is coming out of a tough period of oversupply-led inventory corrections. The business is facing brighter times ahead as industry demand is strong. - The DRAM market outlook, which comprises the majority of Micron's revenues, is healthy, but the company's market share is under pressure. - Micron has stable market share in the SSD and NAND Flash markets, which also have a healthy to flat demand outlook. - Micron's valuations relative to its memory semiconductor peers is expensive, especially after considering the tough competition. Relative technicals vs. the S&P500 also point bearish to neutral. - NVIDIA's Blackwell demand could be a key upside catalyst for Micron, as it has been a first mover to qualify for the required memory products. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721392-micron-industry-tailwinds-vs-tough-competition?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway: Expecting More Stock Sales And Cash Buildup (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-expecting-more-stock-sales-and-cash-buildup-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:21:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Contrary to my expectations, Berkshire Hathaway has been very resilient, outperforming the S&P500 by more than 12%. - I anticipate further sales of Bank of America stock, as Berkshire's holding of BAC has not settled in at a round figure yet. - Berkshire's cash buildup positions it well in a protracted downturn. - The chances of an economic and stock market downturn are higher given the recession warnings flashed by the convergence of leading economic indicators, overall recession probabilities and S&P500's high valuations. - Berkshire stock's valuations are at a premium, but given the likelihood of a downturn and the conglomerate's resiliency, I believe this premium is deserved. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4718494-solid-power-stock-long-and-winding-road-for-investors-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Solid Power: A Long And Winding Road For Investors (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/solid-power-a-long-and-winding-road-for-investors-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:20:18.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Solid Power's stock has underperformed since my last 'Buy' update, lagging the S&P 500 by 26.52%. I believe it is a tough stock to hold for investors looking to maximize IRR. - Revenue guidance for FY24 has been downgraded due to execution hiccups in electrolyte production and solid-state battery design efforts. - Electrolyte trials are expected to continue for the balance of FY24\. And automotive qualification progress is also occurring at a much more glacial pace than what I'd expected. - The stock trades at a 29% discount to balance sheet liquidity, but the lack of a sustainable business model, ongoing FCF burn and buybacks pose risks to investors. - Technically, SLDP stock seems poised for continued underperformance vs. the S&P 500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4718494-solid-power-stock-long-and-winding-road-for-investors-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia Stock: Near Term Growth Is Getting Priced In (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-stock-near-term-growth-is-getting-priced-in-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:19:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As feared in my Q2 FY25 preview note, Nvidia Corporation failed to deliver a meaningful revenue guidance beat, which led to a 7% after-hours fall post yesterday's earnings release. - In-line Q3 revenue guidance and in-line revenue results vs. the Wall Street whisper numbers indicate that Nvidia's high growth is being priced in, at least over the couple of quarters. - A dip in the gross margins and a flattish outlook for the rest of FY25 puts a spanner in the works for my earlier margin expansion thesis. - Nvidia's 1-yr forward P/E ratio remains high and mostly unchanged for now at more than 40x and technically vs. the S&P500, there are signs of exhaustion on the monthly upward momentum. - I recognize that there are early signs of strong uptake in Blackwell orders. I believe this can lead to growth surprises again from 2025 onwards. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717961-nvidia-stock-near-term-growth-is-getting-priced-in-rating-downgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Apple: Unsaturated Market, Improving Business Quality And AI-Growth Catalysts (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/apple-unsaturated-market-improving-business-quality-and-ai-growth-catalysts-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T05:46:05.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Apple's structural increase in service revenue, driven by market penetration, customer loyalty, and pricing growth, enhances business quality and justifies a premium valuation. - Staggered release of Apple Intelligence AI features will boost marketing engagement and open up capex-light AI monetization opportunities. - Relative technical analysis vs the S&P500 indicates room for AAPL stock outperformance relative to the S&P500 as there is still room to go before monthly resistance is hit. - The last 2 iPhone Series have seen greater adoption of the lower-end Mini models, which have coincided with weak consumer sentiment. This is a key risk monitorable for future models. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717844-apple-unsaturated-market-improving-business-quality-and-ai-growth-catalysts?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Brookfield Infrastructure Partners: Delay In Intel Project Is A Key Risk (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/brookfield-infrastructure-partners-delay-in-intel-project-is-a-key-risk-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:16:51.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Brookfield Infrastructure Partners is positioned well to grow capital deployments, upon which it earns solid returns of 12-14% IRR. This is driven mostly by Data Transmission & Storage activity. - But its project with Intel corresponding to 38% of BIP's incremental capital to be commissioned has already suffered a 2-3 year delay and I believe further postponements are a risk. - Further delays would not bode well for BIP investors, as it would elongate the payback period on the investments. - Valuations are attractive as the stock is trading near decadal 1-yr fwd P/AFFO lows. - Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 signal caution as the ratio prices are near a key weekly resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717532-brookfield-infrastructure-partners-delay-in-intel-project-is-a-key-risk?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Medical Properties Trust: Weak Fundamentals And Bearish Technicals Vs. Low Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/medical-properties-trust-weak-fundamentals-and-bearish-technicals-vs-low-valuations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:15:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My analysis was correct in my last update on Medical Properties Trust, which warned of asset quality risks before the blowup in the stock. But the 'Neutral/Hold' rating was wrong. - Impairments in MPW have become too regular of a phenomenon. - The company is bleeding cash with negative FFOs and limited cash reserves. - Leverage levels are high and unlikely to benefit much from rate cuts due to a high and increased fixed interest rate proportion of total debt. - There are signs of operational weakness in the broader tenants portfolio, as evidenced by declining revenues. Given this and bearish technicals, I don't think the low valuations are enough to offset these fundamental headwinds. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717240-medical-properties-trust-weak-fundamentals-and-bearish-technicals-vs-low-valuations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia Q2 FY25 Preview: Top Clients' Capex Spend Expectations Signal Caution (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-q2-fy25-preview-top-clients-capex-spend-expectations-signal-caution-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:14:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Nvidia Corporation will probably post a result beat in revenues and margins, simply because it has a phenomenal track record of doing so over the past 78 quarters. - Instead, I expect the market's focus to be on the revenue guidance beat/miss. The market's expectations are sky-high here, as other semi stocks have been punished for in-line guidance. - Downward revisions in Nvidia's top clients' capex spend expectations lead me to have low expectations for Nvidia's revenue guidance, and a cautious stance for a potential post-earnings stock dip. - I still think a 43x 1-yr fwd P/E is not excessive for Nvidia, given its rapid growth at high margins. - Technically, vs. the S&P 500, there are very few reasons to be bearish on Nvidia. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717175-nvidia-q2-fy25-preview-top-clients-capex-spend-expectations-signal-caution?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Oxford Lane Capital: Why I Think This Is A Yield Trap (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/oxford-lane-capital-why-i-think-this-is-a-yield-trap-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:12:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Oxford Lane Capital has outperformed the S&P 500 by +1.94% since my last 'Sell' view on this closed-ended fund in February 2024\. But I am retaining my stance. - Distributions continue to be funded by capital raises instead of operational cash flow. I don't see how this is sustainable long term. - Oxford Lane Capital investments' fair value is below cost, which means the sale of investments would also lead to a loss. This does not help recoup negative operating cash flows. - The company's net asset value has been falling to stagnant due to these headwinds. Still, OXLC is trading at an 8.8% premium to NAV, making buys less appealing. - Relative to the S&P 500, my technicals read shows scope for OXLC to underperform, as the ratio prices are currently rejecting off a key monthly resistance level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4717024-oxford-lane-capital-why-i-think-this-is-yield-trap?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Broadcom: VMWare Is Driving An Upgrade In Business Quality (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/broadcom-vmware-is-driving-an-upgrade-in-business-quality-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:11:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Growth is healthy, both organically and inorganically. Upselling and an improved go-to-market strategy are leading to higher organic growth with great near-term revenue visibility. - A revenue mix shift toward the software business makes a compelling case for margin expansion and a transition to a negative working capital profile. - AVGO is valued at a small discount vs peers. Given growth and margin catalysts, I believe there is a case for margin expansion and a premium multiple. - Relative technicals vs the S&P 500 point bullish, indicating a resumption of the alpha-generating trend. - Apple and customer concentration is a key risk monitorable, although the acquisition of VMWare is likely to reduce the extent of this risk. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4716152-broadcom-vmware-is-driving-an-upgrade-in-business-quality?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why JEPI Is Likely A Worse Bet Than SPY (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-jepi-is-likely-a-worse-bet-than-spy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:07:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As I had expected, JEPI has underperformed the S&P500 since my last update at the start of the year. - Despite a volatile start to August, I remain bullish on the S&P500 due to positive EPS growth, which does not indicate chances of a recession or a prolonged market downturn. - A bullish market outlook is unfavorable for JEPI due to its 13.5% allocation to a covered call strategy, which is effective mostly in flat to falling markets. - With a 16.8% technology underweight vs the S&P500, JEPI may be on the wrong side of expected rate cuts, which would benefit longer-duration technology stocks. - JEPI also trades at a premium to SPY and technicals vs the S&P500 point bearish. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715981-why-jepi-is-a-worse-bet-than-spy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: Positioned Well For Future Growth (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-positioned-well-for-future-growth-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:05:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Energy Transfer is growing its EBITDA at a healthy clip, both organically and from prudent inorganic additions. - As ET gradually expands its footprint, it is well-poised to benefit from increased electricity demand, particularly from data centers. - ET stock's valuations are at a slight premium to a rather well-defined long-term trading range. But arguably, this premium is deserved due to the growth catalysts ahead. - Relative technical analysis vs the S&P 500 shows the ratio prices in an ascending wedge. I think waiting for a correction and a sharp rebound can give a better buy entry. - Prediction markets' views of the US Presidential election is a key monitorable for Energy Transfer's performance, since the two leading candidates' O&G energy policies can materially impact midstream volumes. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715789-energy-transfer-positioned-well-for-future-growth?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Celestica: Fundamentally Attractive But Priced Dearly (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/celestica-fundamentally-attractive-but-priced-dearly-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:04:55.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Celestica's fundamental growth is strong and above expectations. This is driven by a strong outlook from hyperscaler customers. - A revenue mix shift toward hyperscaler customers would be accretive for EBIT margins going forward. - At a 51% premium to its longer term 1-yr fwd P/E, I think valuations are high, with little margin of safety, given product mix volatility and high customer concentration. - Relative technicals vs. the S&P500 signal caution near the 12-monthly (yearly) resistance level. - As lead times normalize from their currently still elevated levels, there is scope for further improvement in inventory turnover. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715661-celestica-bullish-expectations-may-be-priced-in?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alibaba: Bullish On Cloud, International Digital Commerce And Margin Expansion (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alibaba-bullish-on-cloud-international-digital-commerce-and-margin-expansion-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:03:57.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I have stayed on the sidelines for Alibaba. But now despite Q1FY25's lackluster revenue growth and no margin improvement, I am joining Wall St and Michael Burry as a bull. - There are some growth shoots in Cloud and AIDC, driven by customers' increased budgets for AI-related cloud computing spends and an improved platform experience, respectively. - My confidence in margin expansion is higher now as management has indicated a greater focus on monetization with a clearer timeline of 1-2 years to achieve breakeven in unprofitable businesses. - With these growth and margin catalysts, I believe it is an opportune time to capitalize on the discounted valuations, especially since the technical signals also point bullish. - Chinese Retail Sales are a key macroeconomic monitorable to adjudge the health of BABA's largest but currently stagnant China Commerce segment. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715548-alibaba-stock-bullish-on-cloud-international-digital-cmmerce-margin-expansion?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Amazon: Time To Buy The Dip (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-time-to-buy-the-dip-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:02:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Revenue growth is mostly steady; the favorable growth outlook in AWS is balanced a bit by lower growth acceleration in ecommerce due to a weaker consumer environment. - Amazon posted a rare EBIT margin guidance disappointment for Q3 FY24\. However, an easing of global container freight rates and internal initiatives to lower cost of sales are margin levers. - After a strong period of earnings-driven growth, I believe structural margin growth can lead to multiple expansion in the stock. - The technical pullback I was waiting for on Amazon has come in, which, I think, makes this an ideal moment for buys. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715445-amazon-time-to-buy-the-dip?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### B. Riley: Asset Write-Downs Confirm Balance Sheet Weakness? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/b-riley-asset-write-downs-confirm-balance-sheet-weakness-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:01:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Since my 'Strong Sell' view on B Riley and all its related securities, the common stock has fallen 64% and other security classes too have fallen more than 20%. - The hierarchy of returns across B Riley's security classes has also played out as per my expectations, with shorter maturity duration, lower yield securities doing better. - B Riley's balance sheet has gotten far worse due to large asset writedowns that according to my calculations have eradicated 7% of asset value. - With dwindling liquidity, a negative net asset value as per my estimates and unprofitable normalized earnings, B Riley is bleeding cash and eroding its assets. - Upon release of full financial results for Q2 FY24, I will be tracking core operating earnings to assess debt and interest coverage. Currently, the shorts are a crowded play, but I believe it is wise to stay away from longs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4714729-b-riley-earnings-does-asset-write-downs-confirm-balance-sheet-weakness?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Growth Is Great, Margin Pressure May Last A Bit Longer (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-growth-is-great-margin-pressure-may-last-a-bit-longer-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T13:00:44.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Boosted by a rapid increase in penetration of direct liquid cooling and a dominant market leadership, Super Micro Computer is on an impressive growth track. - Gross margins seem to still be a bit volatile and unpredictable, as Q4 FY24 delivery was meaningfully below management's guidance despite accounting for some of the higher supply-side costs. - The company's gross margin guidance for Q1 FY25 seems to indicate a slower ramp up to the longer-term target range. - Valuation multiples have moderated sharply after a parabolic run-up. Now, the stock trades at a modest (arguably partly deserved) premium to its historical trading range. - Technically, relative to the S&P 500, I see scope for further downside and hence underperformance vs. the market. However, I expect a few relief rallies (moments of outperformance) along the way. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4714339-super-micro-computer-stock-q4-great-growth-margins-pressure-may-last-longer-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### GigaCloud Technology: Strong Operating Results Vs. Potential Forensic Red Flags (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/gigacloud-technology-strong-operating-results-vs-potential-forensic-red-flags-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T12:59:43.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - GigaCloud has underperformed the S&P 500 by 19.02% since my last update on the stock, wherein I had a 'Neutral/Hold' rating to reflect performance in line with the S&P 500. - Q2 FY24's results show operating performance that is supposedly strong; remarkably, the company is growing at 50% YoY organically (estimated) amid industry-wide sales de-growth. - However, forensic tests signal potential red flags. The statistical Beneish M-Score model suggests a 28.6% chance of manipulation in the financial statements. - Valuation hardly matters if there are doubts about a company's governance, as valuation inputs principally assume integrity in the financial reporting, for which I am uncertain in this case. - Relative technical analysis vs the S&P 500 suggests ranging action going forward even in bullish scenarios. This corresponds to performance in line with the S&P 500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4713915-gigacloud-technology-strong-operating-results-vs-potential-forensic-red-flags?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: Why A Turnaround Seems Unlikely (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-why-a-turnaround-seems-unlikely-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T12:58:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - After an active return of almost +31% on my previous 'Sell' view on Intel, I am maintaining my bearish stance post Q2 FY24 results. - Intel investors face a potential long-term FCF bleed, as the company is not expected to be FCF positive for the next 4 years. - I believe investors should skip management's turnaround and transformation pitch and instead focus on evaluating the results. - Notwithstanding the recent guidance shockers, I believe proactive and transparent communication is lacking since the company did not issue a timely profit warning to inform of a drastic EPS downgrade. - Valuations seem to bake in a bit of an undeserved semi + AI-theme in my view, as the stock still trades above its long-term average multiple. The technicals suggest a multi-year lag vs the S&P 500 going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4713697-intel-why-a-turnaround-seems-unlikely?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: I Was Wrong And Now I'm A Bull (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-i-was-wrong-and-now-im-a-bull-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T12:56:52.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My earlier 'Sell' view on Palantir was wrong. I should have placed more weight on the strong operational results in my assessment. Now I am bullish. - Insider sales have dramatically decreased during the last 3 months, quelling some of my earlier concerns here. - More importantly, PLTR shows signs of continued strong growth and margin expansion. The quality of growth is also improving, and there is more room for margins to sustainably grow. - The market is pricing in two increments of rate cuts with an 85% probability in September's Fed meeting, which is another tailwind. - The stock trades at a small premium relative to its historical averages; however, I believe this is warranted as there is a case for multiple expansions and the presence of earnings-led growth. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4711926-palantir-technologies-earnings-signs-continued-strong-growth-margin-expansion?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: The Pros And Cons After Q2 FY24 Results (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-the-pros-and-cons-after-q2-fy24-results-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T12:57:21.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As the signs indicated last quarter, investment activity has been strong. However, on a run-rate basis, I believe it is slowing down in Q3 FY24. - As expected, Ares Capital's yields seem to be peaking. Yields on incremental deals signed in July 2024 have been 40bps lower than company average levels. - The chances of a rate cut have dramatically increased in recent days. Ares Capital, with its higher floating rate debt exposure, is well positioned to benefit. - Valuation multiples are near the long term average, making it harder to take a directional view on the stock. - Relative technicals vs S&P500 suggest a neutral outlook as the ratio prices are resting on top of monthly support, but in the vicinity of major 12-monthly resistance. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4710745-ares-capital-the-pros-and-cons-after-q2-fy24-results?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Playing Defense With SCHD (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/playing-defense-with-schd-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:42:58.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - SCHD's net exposure vs the S&P 500 has turned more defensive after 2024's Portfolio Reconstitution. - SCHD's relative underweight in technology and semiconductors is favorable in the current environment of heightened recession risks and waning enthusiasm for AI-themed plays. - The ETF's relative overweight in banks is favorable, as this sector's growth prospects are attractive as credit quality concerns ease amid strong Q2 FY24 earnings. - SCHD's valuation discount vs the S&P 500 has widened from 28% at the start of this year to 41%, making the ETF more attractive. - The technicals relative to the S&P 500 look very attractive as SCHD prints a strong V-shaped recovery off a major 12-monthly support level. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4710417-schd-playing-defense-with-this-etf?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla: Gross Margins May Have Bottomed Out (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-gross-margins-may-have-bottomed-out-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:40:38.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Tesla, Inc. has outperformed the market since my last “Neutral/Hold” update. However, I believe this is temporary. I maintain my earlier stance: - The input commodities outlook is favorable. Many of Tesla's raw material markets such as lithium, nickel, cobalt, and graphite are in a state of oversupply with a dampened price outlook. - Tesla's revenue mix shift away from automotive and toward the energy business is another accretive factor to gross margins. - The recent run-up in prices seems to be driven by multiple expansion rather than expectations of earnings growth. I doubt the sustainability of this amid the higher-for-longer rates narrative. - The relative technicals also point toward a negative to neutral outlook for Tesla vs. the S&P 500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4709739-tesla-gross-margins-may-have-bottomed-out?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### GigaCloud Technology: Don't Look At Headline Growth Numbers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/gigacloud-technology-dont-look-at-headline-growth-numbers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:39:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Bulls on GigaCloud Technology like the growth story in the company, as it is ticking at nearly 100% YoY growth on a headline basis. - However, I believe organic growth, not headline growth, should be the key metric to focus upon. Unfortunately, management does not transparently disclose this figure. - However, I have derived an estimate of organic growth after triangulating some data point clues to realize that organic growth is half that of headline growth. - This affects my valuation assessment from bullish to one of 'fair value'. - Technically, relative to the S&P500, I lean neutral with a bearish tilt, suggesting performance will be slightly worse or in-line with the S&P500 going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4707202-gigacloud-technology-stock-dont-look-at-headline-growth-numbers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Google: APAC Retail Weakness May Flow Through In Q3 FY24 Financials (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/google-apac-retail-weakness-may-flow-through-in-q3-fy24-financials-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:36:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Search advertising revenues make up the bulk of Alphabet's top line. As I had anticipated last year, growth has been strong. This is driven by strength in APAC Retail. - But now, I see a slowdown in APAC Consumer Sentiment and weaker than expected Retail Sales activity in the US too. I expect this to affect Alphabet's Q3 FY24 financials. - Consolidation of team structures has led to headcount and office space efficiencies and hence higher operating margins. But I expect FCF margins to be lower due to AI tech spend. - At a 22.6x 1-yr fwd P/E, valuations don't show a discount to make buys compelling. The technicals vs S&P 500 show a bull trend encountering 4-monthly resistance. - I recognize upside risks if Other Bets' EBIT margins breakeven, as this may sidestep FCF margin erosion. Also, the stock's upside has so far been driven mostly by earnings growth. Multiple expansion in the stock is an upside risk. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4700343-google-apac-retail-weakness-may-flow-through-in-q3-fy24-financials?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla: Betting On The Future With A Weak Present Is Risky (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-betting-on-the-future-with-a-weak-present-is-risky-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:35:56.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Tesla's continued price cuts despite flat interest rates indicate microeconomic demand issues rather than macroeconomic customer affordability needs. - Competitive threats in the EV OEM market are mounting and Tesla is losing market share in all major geographies. - Tesla's energy business is a small silver lining that is expected to grow handsomely and have margin expansion. But it is not enough to offset the weakness in automotive sales. - Tesla's 84.5x 1-yr fwd PE is at precarious levels. Investors are banking a lot on immaterialized growth multipliers of FSD and Optimus, which I view as too risky. - I'm holding off on a 'Sell' view as the technicals vs the S&P500 show limited runway for bearish moves as prices trade closer to the support of a monthly range. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4700136-tesla-betting-on-the-future-with-a-weak-present-is-risky?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Amazon: Why I'm Bullish But Uncomfortable Buying Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-why-im-bullish-but-uncomfortable-buying-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:34:56.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I had rated Amazon a 'Neutral/Hold' last June but upgraded it to a 'Buy' at the end of Jan this year, capturing +3.96% in active return. - Now, I'm revising that to a 'Neutral/Hold' again as I note merely adequate growth in its E-commerce segment and reasons to be cautious given the proximity to 4-monthly resistance levels. - This is balanced by my bullish outlook on AWS, which I think is well-poised for growth reacceleration as enterprises increase their tech spend allocations. - I also think we will see further margin expansion in the stock as the company implements a host of improvements in logistics and advertising, benefiting e-commerce EBIT margins. - On the risks side, higher capex and equipment lease expenses are expected to generate AWS growth. I am watching the AWS margin and overall FCF figures for signs of downside surprises. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699861-amazon-why-im-bullish-but-uncomfortable-buying-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why I Wouldn't Buy Berkshire Hathaway's Portfolio (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-i-wouldnt-buy-berkshire-hathaways-portfolio-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:33:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Since my last 'Sell' rating reflecting my view of Berkshire's underperformance vs the S&P 500, Berkshire has underperformed the S&P 500 by 6.49%. - I am downgrading my rating to a 'Strong Sell' as I am more confident of further underperformance ahead. - Despite trading at the same valuation as the S&P 500, I believe most of Berkshire Hathaway's business has an underwhelming earnings growth past and future outlook relative to the S&P500. - Berkshire is also priced the same as the S&P500, but with a worse growth expectation, indicating what I believe is a mispricing and overvaluation of Berkshire's stock. - The technicals also paint a bearish outlook, suggesting Berkshire would lag the SPY for multiple quarters and years ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699716-why-i-wouldnt-buy-berkshire-hathaway-portfolio?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel Continues To Lose To Competition (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-continues-to-lose-to-competition-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:32:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I correctly had issued a 'Sell' view for Intel last time, but prematurely changed this, leading to a foregone chance to capture 40.05% of alpha. - Now I am reinstating my bearish stance on the stock as I notice that Intel continues to see falling revenues due to loss of share to competition. - The company's margins are also likely to be depressed for the rest of FY24 and beyond as their catchup plans on Foundry Technology incurs high costs. - I am skeptical of management's optimism and bullish commentary given their track record of disappointments on revenue guidance. Intel also seems overvalued given an unwarranted premium to its historical valuations. - Even if one believes in the turnaround, I think the best time to invest is after significant investments are done and before much of the return is realized. Till then, I continue to follow the bearish trend vs. the S&P500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699703-intel-continues-to-lose-to-competition?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal: Unattractive Given Far Better Opportunities (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-unattractive-given-far-better-opportunities-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:31:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I had a 'Neutral/Hold' view on PayPal stock, but was able to capture +2.57% of alpha from a tactical bullish play since my update. Now, I am downgrading my stance. - PayPal's quality of growth continues to be weak as it fails to grow active accounts. Consumer surveys suggest loss of user share. - Q1 FY24 gross margins saw a 100bps decline, but I expect future quarters to be worse in the absence of certain tailwinds. - There have been a couple of notable insiders, each selling \~25% of their stake in PayPal. - PayPal needs to grow 4x faster to match the attractiveness of NVIDIA, considering a combination of valuation and growth expectations. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699539-paypal-stock-unattractive-given-far-better-opportunities-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### B. Riley: Unsustainable Profitability And Eroding Net Asset Value (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/b-riley-unsustainable-profitability-and-eroding-net-asset-value-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:30:28.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My last assessments on B. Riley (initially Strong Sell, then 'Neutral/Hold' to protect against a short squeeze) were accurate, generating +6.42% of value. - Two quarters later, B. Riley's core operating profitability has worsened, leading to an erosion of ROIC. It has a negative net interest coverage and its debt coverage ratios have spiked. - All this is leading to a bleed of excess liquidity in the company, which has fallen 25% over the last 2 quarters. - Despite a negative net asset value after, in my opinion, rightly excluding goodwill, the company's equities are trading at 2.7x P/B, indicating a mispricing. - The common stock is a crowded short, so I'm hesitant to bet against it. My thesis focuses mostly on line items including and above EBIT, so it is valid for the other security classes too; where I prefer RILYM the most if forced to choose. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699477-b-riley-unsustainable-profitability-eroding-net-asset-value?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### British American Tobacco: Fighting An Uphill Battle (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/british-american-tobacco-fighting-an-uphill-battle-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:29:13.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - After a brief pause in which British American Tobacco performed largely in-line with the S&P500, I believe the stock is due to lag behind again. - In the H1 FY24 Pre-Close update, management attributed a host of macroeconomic variables to explain weaker than expected performance in the largest segment of US Combustibles. - I think these explanations distract and fail to focus on the root drivers; a secular decline due to changing consumer habits and loss of market share within the sector. - It looks like the FDA is trying a bit harder to counter illicit vapes supply, which proliferate more than 60% of the market. But I believe this is an uphill battle that is hard to win. - There is no meaningful catalyst to stop the bleed of alpha erosion in BTI and I'd rather not fight the bearish trend. For income-focused investors, it would be wise to monitor for capital and total return erosion. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699380-british-american-tobacco-fighting-an-uphill-battle?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alibaba: Nothing Has Changed To Make Buys Compelling (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alibaba-nothing-has-changed-to-make-buys-compelling-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:28:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I have been skeptical of buys on Alibaba. It looks like this view has been accurate so far; since my last update, BABA has lagged the SPY by 12.13%. - Revenue growth is still lackluster, particularly in the most relevant segment of China Commerce, due to a reduction in take rates and customers' preferences for lower-priced items. - I had mentioned margin expansion upside as a key upside risk in my last update. But this is not playing out so far, except in the Cloud Business. - Valuations, of course, continue to be low, but I believe this is insufficient as I require a strong sales rebound catalyst to justify fresh buys. - Major investors continue to be bullish on Alibaba, including David Tepper's fund, which now has the stock as its largest holding. But I prefer to not fight the bearish trend until it starts to turn. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699260-alibaba-nothing-has-changed-to-make-buys-compelling?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: Competition Weighs Down On Yields And Margins (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-competition-weighs-down-on-yields-and-margins-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:27:13.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Ares Capital has played out as per my expectation since my last update, as it has underperformed the S&P500 by 3.61%. I continue to be bearish on the BDC. - On the plus side, deal activity is improving. Fundings, commitments and backlog + pipeline figures all show a healthy rebound. - But Ares Capital's yields and net investment income margins are under stress. Increased competition is making it difficult for the BDC to get its fair share of high-yield investments. - Valuations are on the premium end, reducing the margin of safety for buys. Technical analysis vs the S&P500 suggests continued underperformance ahead for multiple quarters to years. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699183-ares-capital-competition-weighs-down-on-yields-and-margins?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: Less Attractive For Fresh Buyers (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-less-attractive-for-fresh-buyers-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:26:11.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Energy Transfer has outperformed the S&P 500 since my last 'Buy' upgrade on the security. However, I am now downgrading my stance to a 'Neutral/Hold': - Operating performance continues to be stable and healthy, especially in the crude oil pipelines business. - ET's acquisition of WTG Midstream is at a good price, and I am optimistic about management's ability to make more reasonable midstream M&A deals. - Valuation discounts have shrunk since my last update in January 2024; today, Energy Transfer trades closer to its long-term median valuation multiples. - Relative technical analysis vs the S&P 500 suggests increased chances of sideways movement followed by a breakdown. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4699027-energy-transfer-less-attractive-for-fresh-buyers?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why NVIDIA Is Not Yet In Its Hype Cycle (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-nvidia-is-not-yet-in-its-hype-cycle-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:25:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Given some recent events, I see many investors get cautious about NVIDIA as some public signs of a bubble emerge. - But looking at the growth and margin numbers and the valuation ranges that have historically coincided with unsustainable euphoric hype rallies, I believe there is upside in NVIDIA yet. - Some analysts have compared NVIDIA to Cisco in 2000\. Based on the fundamentals and valuations, I discuss why I believe NVIDIA is not the 2020's Cisco (at least for now). Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4698876-why-nvidia-is-not-yet-in-its-hype-cycle?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: The Time Correction Is Not Yet Over (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-the-time-correction-is-not-yet-over-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:50:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - As expected in my last article on the stock, SMCI has had a time correction. I believe this is not yet over: - Growth continues to be very strong and it is heartening to see leading revenue indicators grow at 40% YoY, with record high backlog levels. - Increased competitive intensity and management's commentary on margin guidance and pricing strategy make me believe there is a risk to undershooting long-term gross margin targets. - Together with lower expected margins, increased working capital intensity via higher inventories and lower payable days are a recipe for mild ROIC erosion. - SMCI trades at a deserved premium to its peers due to a better growth profile, but I believe a 40% premium is too much for comfort. Technically, the time correction continues as there are no signs of strong buyers to resume an uptrend. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4698365-super-micro-computer-stock-time-correction-not-yet-over?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pfizer: Too Early For A Turnaround (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizer-too-early-for-a-turnaround-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:49:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I had a 'Hold/Neutral' stance on Pfizer in my last update, but the stock has performed worse than my expectations; lagging the S&P 500 by 8.46%. Yet, I maintain my stance. - I've been skeptical of Pfizer's expensive acquisition of Seagen. I believe the short-term performance incentives of the CEO are not well-aligned to value creation. - Pfizer's business has seen stagnant sales over the last few years besides the one-off of COVID vaccines. The oncology drugs pipeline shows us that the key catalysts are in 2025-2026. - Hence, I believe it is too early for a turnaround case to be made, especially since there is no compelling valuation discount for buyers. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697702-pfizer-stock-too-early-for-a-turnaround-maintain-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Insider Sales And High Valuations Vs. Strong Operational Performance (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-insider-sales-and-high-valuations-vs-strong-operational-performance-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:47:57.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I expected Palantir to underperform the S&P 500, and indeed, it has done so by 18.58% overall since my last update on the stock. I think this will continue. - Revenues are growing well along with the backlog; customer counts and concentration are increasingly broadening out; higher quality recurring revenues are increasing; and margins have room to grow further. - But despite this impressive operational performance, I am deterred by record high levels of insider sales, including large >25% of overall stake exits by 3 insiders. - Valuations are also on the higher side vs historical levels and a higher-for-longer rates environment poses additional risk in this regard. - My read of the technicals suggests continued underperformance vs the S&P 500 going ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697339-palantir-insider-sales-and-high-valuations-vs-strong-operational-performance?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft: Superior Focus On Azure And ARPU Growth To Drive Outperformance (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-superior-focus-on-azure-and-arpu-growth-to-drive-outperformance-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T11:37:52.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Microsoft's Azure, Google's GCP and Amazon's AWS make up 67% of the cloud infrastructure services market. As a mix of overall revenues, Microsoft has the highest gearing to cloud. - This greater focus on the Cloud business can continue market share gains and strong customer adoption. Azure may be the leader in the cloud vendor market in 3–5 years. - Copilot-driven ARPU growth can pave the way for multiple expansion as investors raise long-term growth expectations due to the sticky nature of Microsoft's enterprise productivity software. - Cloud gross margins are a key monitorable as a higher Azure sales mix can offset some of the pricing gains in the Office 365 products. - Relative technicals of MSFT vs S&P500 suggests a breakout of the weekly range, leading to a positive active return expectation. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4701587-microsoft-superior-focus-on-azure-and-arpu-growth-to-drive-outperformance?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway: Why I Still Think It Will Likely Underperform The Market (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-why-i-still-think-it-will-likely-underperform-the-market-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:46:55.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Berkshire Hathaway has outperformed the S&P 500 by 6.75% since my last article's "Strong Sell" view. However, I am retaining my bearish view on the stock. - The numbers show that Apple is a key needle-mover for the Company. Stagnating iPhone sales and uncompelling valuations are material headwinds. - The US manufacturing sector has been contracting for many consecutive months, and this is an overhang for Berkshire's largest operating EBIT contributing business segment. - An updated P/B calculation taking stock of equity investments' movements says Berkshire is trading near the fair value range, which is a risk to the bear case. - Relative technical analysis of BRK.A vs. the S&P 500 points towards negative alpha ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4678812-berkshire-hathaway-stock-still-think-it-will-likely-underperform-market?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### British American Tobacco: It's Still A Value Trap, But I'm Lifting My 'Sell' View (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/british-american-tobacco-its-still-a-value-trap-but-im-lifting-my-sell-view-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:45:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My latest third 'Sell' view on British American Tobacco generated alpha of +4.40% once again vs the S&P 500\. But now I am changing my stance to a 'Neutral/Hold'. - BTI's combustibles' volume performance woes continue, particularly in the US, driven by a secular demand decline, weak US consumer spending and loss of share from illicit substitute vapor products. - However, a V-shaped rebound in consumer sentiment can abate some of the combustibles' volume decline. - I acknowledge that the transition to non-combustibles is occurring faster than expected. As that segment hits profitability, the company is also creating a leaner and more productive workforce. Yet, margins delivery has been below expectations. - Valuations continue to be cheap, but I still don't see a meaningful catalyst to drive a sustained turnaround in stock performance. I am awaiting a retest on the technical to resume a 'Sell' bias. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4675569-british-american-tobacco-value-trap-lifting-my-sell-view?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Oxford Lane Capital: Fundamental Issues Aside, Rate Cuts Are A Tailwind (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/oxford-lane-capital-fundamental-issues-aside-rate-cuts-are-a-tailwind-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-28T08:02:31.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - OXLC's operating cash flow profile has worsened and equity raises continue. I am skeptical about the above-NAV raise, below-par CLO investment strategy as investment fair values are still below cost. - Long term, OXLC returns have been poor; eroding 11% of NAV value and 4% of dividends value every year from 2011-2024. - OXLC's NAV is steady over the past few quarters, but OXLC is trading at a premium to it, which makes it difficult for me to have a constructive view. - Relative technicals vs SPX500 are at a key monthly support, which is a small bullish development. - OXLC's fee rates are high, but its reduction driven by lower interest costs is an improvement. I expect this tailwind to continue in a dovish rates environment in 2025. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4746682-oxford-lane-capital-fundamental-issues-aside-rate-cuts-are-a-tailwind?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Super Micro Computer: Due For A Time Correction (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/super-micro-computer-due-for-a-time-correction-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:44:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Super Micro Computer has delivered a total shareholder return of almost 2050% since the start of the company's FY23\. I believe the stock is now due for a time-correction/consolidation. - The fundamental growth engine remains strong, with healthy backlog growth as evidenced by growing remaining performance obligations. Management's reliable narrative confirms what we see in the numbers. - Unlike NVIDIA last week before earnings, SMCI today trades at near-peak valuation multiples, reducing the margin of safety for buys. - The technicals also suggest signs of a local top as Wyckoff phase analysis points towards consolidation vs. the S&P 500, a performance outlook in line with the broader market. - In addition to tracking key revenue indicators, I am keeping an eye on gross margin deterioration as the company prioritizes market share. A negative surprise here can lead to downside. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4673626-super-micro-computer-smci-stock-due-for-a-time-correction?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### U.S. Preferred Stocks Look Attractive And PFFA Is A Top-Performing Preferred Stocks ETF (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/u-s-preferred-stocks-look-attractive-and-pffa-is-a-top-performing-preferred-stocks-etf-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:43:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - PFFA is a well-diversified and consistently top-performing preferred stock ETF, enabled by management's bold allocation strategy. - The current rates backdrop is favorable for the preferred equity share class as the chances of a 'higher-for-longer' narrative for the Fed's March 2024 meeting has increased; from 45% to 90%. - Preferred stocks are trading at an attractive discount to par value, far below historical norms, making mean-reversion buys attractive. - PFFA's NAV premium has reduced and the technicals relative to the S&P500 also suggest signs of accumulation, suggesting alpha potential ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4672357-us-preferred-stocks-look-attractive-and-pffa-is-a-top-performing-preferred-stocks-etf?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Oxford Lane Capital Is In A Slump With No Signs Of Recovery (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/oxford-lane-capital-is-in-a-slump-with-no-signs-of-recovery-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T09:05:01.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - With an 18.86% forward dividend yield, Oxford Lane Capital may attract the interest of many income-focused investors. However, on a total shareholder return basis, I think it's poised to underperform: - The company has been generating negative operating cash flows far in excess of its available cash and equivalent balances. This has forced it to raise funds, leading to a dilution of stakeholders. - CLO warehouse investments are a leading indicator of future CLO issuances and investment activity. This has fallen sharply in recent quarters. - OXLC's return profiles have shrunk as the fair value of its investments is underwater; 20% below cost value. Hence, NAVs have also shrunk. - OXLC trades at a small premium to NAV. Given the weaker operational health, this reduces the margin of safety for buys. Technical analysis also indicates bearishness vs S&P500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4671805-oxford-lane-capital-is-in-a-slump-with-no-signs-of-recovery?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### B. Riley's Balance Sheet Is In Bad Shape With A Risky Solvency Position (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/b-rileys-balance-sheet-is-in-bad-shape-with-a-risky-solvency-position-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:48:22.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - This article exposes balance sheet risks to B. Riley which occur before the claims of equity investors, preferred equity investors and lenders. - RILY's core business is in a risky solvency position; excluding the impact of highly volatile trading revenue streams, RILY has negative EBIT levels, so net interest expense is not covered. - The company has a negative net assets positions excluding goodwill. Yet, the stock trades above book value. This implies further downside ahead. - Short interest is high, but there was already a short squeeze in late January 2024, which I believe reduces the chances of another short squeeze until new lows are made. However, the short borrow fees are too high to initiate fresh short sells. - The balance sheet problems in B. Riley are structural. Hence, I believe it is highly unlikely that Q4 earnings would lead to any kind of sustained reversal. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4671253-b-riley-balance-sheet-bad-shape-risky-solvency-position?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Nvidia Q4 Preview: A Post-Earnings Correction Can Be A Buy Opportunity (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/nvidia-q4-preview-a-post-earnings-correction-can-be-a-buy-opportunity-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:47:08.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - NVIDIA broadly performed in-line with the S&P 500 since my last update in May 2023 until January 2024, when it made a large alpha run that I missed. - Backlog growth indicates strong unrealized revenue growth potential ahead as RPO numbers are accelerating strongly, providing growth visibility beyond 2025. - Due to a favorable top-line mix shift toward the Compute & Networking segment, I expect further gross margin expansion in Q4 FY24 and beyond. - Despite a record-high market capitalization, NVIDIA's valuations are near 5-yr trough levels, presenting an opportunity to buy. - Technical analysis is bullish, but I would prefer to wait for a pullback to join in on the buys, especially since I am wary of pre-earning rallies in the stock as it may lead to a sell-off upon earnings release. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4671155-nvidia-q4-preview-post-earnings-correction-buy-opportunity?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Strong Momentum But Likely Still Below Market's Expectations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-strong-momentum-but-likely-still-below-markets-expectations-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:46:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My latest 'Sell' view on Palantir was premature; Q4 FY23 results have disproved my previous thesis on the stock. But, for a new host of reasons, I retain a 'Sell'. - I recognize Palantir's exceptionally strong operating momentum on both revenues and margin growth, driven by bootcamps with commercial enterprises. - However, an analysis of management's guidance vs consensus estimates suggests that a lot of the optimism is already 'priced in' - Valuations are near their historical peak levels, leaving minimal margin of safety. - Technical analysis also makes the case for a bearish view on Palantir vs the S&P500; however, I am flexible on this view and may change my mind if there is any technical sign of view invalidation. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4670999-palantir-strong-momentum-but-still-below-markets-expectations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Charles Schwab: Mr. Market Says Actions Speak Louder Than Words (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/charles-schwab-mr-market-says-actions-speak-louder-than-words-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:45:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My last bullish stance in Charles Schwab did not work out; -5.39% alpha vs. S&P 500). But my 'Sell' view in Jan. 2024 made +6.45% alpha, leading to +1.06% alpha overall. - Now, due to more discounted valuations, I am revising my stance to a Neutral/Hold. - Management's flagged 2024 to be a 'transitional year' in the latest earnings call. That doesn't inspire prospects of outperformance when the market is going full speed ahead. - SCHW has been forced to rely on more expensive funding sources to replenish the reduced funding pool of clients' transactional cash balances. - A sustained reduction in the supplemental funding sources is a key trigger for the stock, and I believe the stock will remain range-bound vs. the S&P 500 until this happens. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4670052-charles-schwab-mr-market-says-actions-speak-louder-than-words?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### M/I Homes Is Not A Good Buy Now (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/m-i-homes-is-not-a-good-buy-now-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:42:56.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - M/I Homes was one of my top performing picks in 2023, generating almost 120% alpha over the S&P500\. But I think the alpha bull run has run its course: - The homebuilding backlog is shrinking, which warns of a slowdown in future revenues. - There are downside risks to both gross margins and EBIT margins due to material and labor cost pressures and higher opex cost intensity. - Technical analysis also suggests that there is powerful resistance, halting progress of a continued alpha move in the stock vs the S&P500. - However, M/I Homes trades at a 32% discount to its peer group median multiples, which is what keeps me from expressing a clear bearish view on the stock. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4669239-mi-homes-not-good-buy-now?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Intel: Don't Bet On It Catching Up To TSMC (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/intel-dont-bet-on-it-catching-up-to-tsmc-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:39:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I believe the longer term bull case on Intel's outperformance requires Intel to close its technological gap with TSMC. - But TSMC's CEO has very unambiguously stated an informed opinion that they will remain a step ahead of Intel and I find this narrative more credible. - Intel is facing inventory-correction and demand related headwinds in at least 36% of its business heading into FY24. - Given the lackluster outlook, the stock seems expensive with little margin of safety for value buys. - Technical analysis also suggests negative alpha ahead for Intel vs the S&P500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4665932-intel-stock-q4-earnings-dont-bet-on-catching-up-to-tsmc?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Solid Power: Time To Start Accumulating (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/solid-power-time-to-start-accumulating-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:41:55.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Solid Power is making promising progress toward automotive qualification. It has 3 marquee EV OEM partnerships with BMW, Ford and SK Innovation and is on-track to sign on more. - The company is well-positioned to scale electrolyte production and commercialization, as it has invested proactively in capacity to meet expected demand and improved sourcing stability. - There are signs of strong operational execution, as the company has been able to save costs on both opex and capex. - The management team and board of directors have many years of domain-specific experience, which positions the company well during the challenging commercialization scale up process. - Valuations are attractive as the MCAP is at a 27% discount to the total liquidity in the balance sheet, giving at least 2 years of cash burn buffer. Technical analysis also suggests a bottom vs the S&P500, indicating alpha potential ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4666238-solid-power-time-to-start-accumulating?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Brookfield Infrastructure: This Is A Fat Pitch (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/brookfield-infrastructure-this-is-a-fat-pitch-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:38:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Brookfield Infrastructure Partners has a very strong pipeline to fuel AFFO growth, driven by an explosion in data center related demand. - Valuations are attractive as the company trades below decadal averages for its 1-yr fwd P/AFFO multiples. - Technical analysis of BIP vs. the S&P 500 suggests a bullish V-shaped reversal in the making, implying alpha potential ahead vs. the S&P 500. - The market has spoken loud and clear that it does not believe in the recent 78-page short report as the market has bottomed since then, there has been no spike in short interest and none of Wall St has a sell rating on the stock. - I defer to the market's intelligence in the analysis of the short report as I practically believe it is highly unlikely that I would be able to come to a different conclusion refuting the market's disbelief in the short report. Instead, risk is managed via prudent position sizing. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4665739-brookfield-infrastructure-this-is-a-fat-pitch-dont-believe-the-shorts?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### JEPI Doesn't Fare Well In Rising Markets (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/jepi-doesnt-fare-well-in-rising-markets-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:36:52.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Earlier last year, I thought JEPI was a good ETF option compared to SCHD. This view mostly played out, but the relative alpha made here got neutralized in December 2023. - Now, I have a more bearish outlook on JEPI as I do not like its underexposure to key names in the Information Technology sector, which I think will do well. - JEPI has 13% of its portfolio allocated to a covered call strategy. Such a strategy does not fare well in rising markets. - I believe we are in a rising market, as my technical analysis suggests that the SPY's breakout of all-time highs is a genuine one. - Overall, I note that JEPI has the same valuation as SPY but with more unfavorable portfolio exposures. Hence, I anticipate it to underperform. I prefer VOO, and for yield-focused investors, I think private equity plays are a better option. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4665571-jepi-doesnt-fare-well-in-rising-markets?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft Q4 Preview: Winning From AI-Led Product Supremacy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-q4-preview-winning-from-ai-led-product-supremacy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:15:59.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Oracle database integration is a growth catalyst for Azure adoption and usage growth; this is likely to offset cloud optimization trends. - AI- and Copilot-related uptakes by customers can increase recurring revenues and provide Microsoft with greater pricing power, leading to an overall improvement in revenue quality and gross margin expansion. - An analysis of guidance vs consensus estimates, the historical track record of beats/misses and commentary suggesting faster-than-expected new product commercialization suggests there is scope for beats in Q2FY24. - A simple and conservatively-expressed DCF valuation baking in these views suggests at least 12% further upside in the stock. - Technical analysis also paints bullish signals with no major signs of seller pressure, indicating further outperformance of Microsoft vs S&P 500 ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4665251-microsoft-q4-preview-winning-from-ai-led-product-supremacy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### AT&T Q4 Preview: Staying On The Sidelines Until We Get Closer To Growth (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/at-t-q4-preview-staying-on-the-sidelines-until-we-get-closer-to-growth-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T08:14:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - AT&T has a few growth engines such as Fiber and Mexico operations, but they are too small to impact the overall growth profile of the company. - Fiber-related growth has mostly come from pricing improvements and increased fiber-penetration of broadband rollouts. However, volume growth is needed for a longer growth runway and here, broadband connections are decreasing. - Margin improvement of $2 billion over the next 3 years is expected, but given the EBIT margin surprise record, there is potential of falling under the guide. - The US Broadband Equity Access and Deployment Program (BEAD) is the key growth catalyst; this is so far not expected to kick in until 2025, making mid-late 2024 a better time for entry into AT&T. - AT&T trades at a 36% discount to peers; it may be a good value buy right now. But for investors who prefer to accompany value with growth catalysts, I believe the stock is a 'neutral/hold' for a few more months still. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4664555-att-stock-q4-preview-staying-on-sidelines-until-get-closer-growth-catalysts?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Energy Transfer: Prepare To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/energy-transfer-prepare-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:22:50.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - In my last note on Energy Transfer, I had a 'Neutral/Hold' stance, missing out on +5.83% alpha over the S&P 500\. Now I am more bullish but maintain my stance: - Crestwood is a good acquisition to bolster ET's portfolio as it solidifies the latter's existing market position and enables entry into new basins. The purchase is also not pricey. - ET is well-set to capitalize on US NGL exports, which are expected to increase in 2024\. ET is a beneficiary here as it has a 40% market share. - Currently, ET is trading near its 5-yr median 1-yr fwd price to cash flow per unit multiple; I prefer a valuation discount to become a buyer. - Technical analysis also suggests there may be an opportunity to accumulate at lower prices to have a better chance of maximizing total shareholder return. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4663208-british-american-tobacco-why-do-the-bulls-keep-getting-this-wrong?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### British American Tobacco: Why Do The Bulls Keep Getting This Wrong? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/british-american-tobacco-why-do-the-bulls-keep-getting-this-wrong-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:21:10.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I have been the only Seeking Alpha analyst who has been right on British American Tobacco. Since my last article, the stock has generated -2.97% compared to the S&P 500's +6.32%. - I retain my bearish bias as US Combustibles continues to post disappointments prompting lower-end guidance revisions along with loss of value market share. - The illicit supply of e-cigarettes is a major headwind for BTI's New Categories. Here, the company is at the mercy of slow-moving and unaligned regulators. - BTI's diversification strategy into other nicotine products is poor as it forces the company to continually encounter resistance and fight regulatory bodies every step of the way. - As I had predicted, the stock continues to be a value trap. There are better dividend opportunities out there. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4663208-british-american-tobacco-why-do-the-bulls-keep-getting-this-wrong?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla Q4 Earnings Preview: Growth Stalling, Margins Eroding, And Too Expensive (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-q4-earnings-preview-growth-stalling-margins-eroding-and-too-expensive-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:20:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My earlier 'Buy' rating on Tesla has not worked out as I placed too much weight on the long-term growth potential without adequate visibility, and interpreted valuations wrongly. - Now, I have a 'Sell' view as I note that Tesla is having a stall in its automotive sales with no new model launch and delayed Cybertruck ramp-up. - I believe Tesla's continued pricing cuts are unlikely to be undone, which suggests a more sticky erosion in the margins profile. - Valuations are also hefty even when compared to the Magnificent 7 as Tesla trades at a 122% premium to the median 1-yr fwd PEs. - Relative technical analysis of Tesla vs the S&P 500 also suggests there is more downside and hence alpha erosion ahead. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4663199-tesla-stock-q4-earnings-preview-growth-stalling-margins-eroding-expensive-downgrade-sell?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Google: Time To Start Scaling Out (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/google-time-to-start-scaling-out-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:18:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My earlier 'Strong Buy' stance on Google has played out, generating an alpha of +4.11% over the S&P 500\. Now, I am changing my stance to a Neutral/Hold: - I believe the earlier thesis about a rebound in Search advertising is already playing out and hence a bull thesis based on the same catalyst is less compelling. - On the positive side, the revenue backlog particularly in the Cloud business is showing an acceleration after 10 consecutive quarters of decline. - Higher data center costs continue to inhibit margin expansion in the Cloud segment. - Given the mixed fundamental signals, I don't see a strong margin of safety in the valuations, or in the technical read of GOOGL vs. the S&P 500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4663020-google-stock-time-to-start-scaling-out-downgrade-hold?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Brookfield Asset Management Is In My Top 3 Alt Asset Managers For 2024 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/brookfield-asset-management-is-in-my-top-3-alt-asset-managers-for-2024-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:17:40.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - KKR and Blackstone were my top alt asset manager picks in 2023 and Brookfield Asset Management was a neutral/hold. - My previous assessments have been accurate; KKR was the absolute best-performing alternative asset manager, Blackstone was in the leadership group, and finished in the top 5\. BAM did mediocre. - Now, I am bullish on BAM as it is part of the top 3 alternative asset managers for 2024. - I expect BAM's fee-bearing capital and fee-related earnings to accelerate, augmented by eligibility to earn carry interest on new funds going forward. Industry consolidation is also a tailwind given BAM's scale and specialist positioning in real assets. - Valuations are a bit pricey as it trades at a 19% premium to the median group, however, I think this risk is acceptable given the bright growth outlook and bullish technicals suggesting alpha over the S&P500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4662924-brookfield-asset-management-my-top-3-alt-asset-managers-2024?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### TC Energy: May Be A Value Trap (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tc-energy-may-be-a-value-trap-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:16:26.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - TC Energy looks enticing with a high 7.00% dividend yield and 10-yr low valuations. But I believe it is a value trap. - The company is an FCF bleeder, and this is expected to continue. Its dividends are funded by net debt issuances and its ROIC is below its cost of capital. - TC Energy's debt portfolio is locked in at near all-time high interest rates heading into 2024 when rate cuts are expected. High debt servicing costs may be forcing asset sales. - The company is pursuing asset sales as part of an aggressive deleveraging goal, but there may be some desperation in the selling, elevating value destruction risks. - The value creation rationale for the spinoff of their Liquids business is unclear. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4662283-tc-energy-may-be-a-value-trap?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Changing My Stance And Loading Up On SCHD (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/changing-my-stance-and-loading-up-on-schd-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:15:17.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Early last year, I thought SCHD would underperform the S&P500\. This has played out as SCHD made negative alpha vs S&P500 of 8.53%. But now I am bullish SCHD. - I like SCHD's relative underweights vs SPY in: a) Technology due to its premium valuations b) Payment Processing due to decelerating growth c) Retail as that is yet to rebound. - I like SCHD's relative overweights vs SPY in: a) Asset Management & Custody Banks as I anticipate higher activity b) Soft Drinks & Beverages due to strong growth prospects. - Valuations wise, SCHD is trading at a 28% discount to the S&P500, providing a good margin of safety. - Risks wise, SCHD has no exposure to Microsoft, Apple or NVIDIA and positive earnings surprises in these companies can hinder SCHD's alpha vs S&P500. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4661801-changing-my-stance-and-loading-up-on-schd?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Block: Can Management Execute On A Good Plan? (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/block-can-management-execute-on-a-good-plan-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:13:47.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Block's transaction revenues have seen a sharp decline, attributed to a fall in gross payment volumes, which is geared toward consumer activity in the retail sector. - The macros indicate mixed signals for top-line growth acceleration recovery in gross payment volumes, with Consumer Sentiment rebounding well but Retail Sales data underwhelming expectations. - Block has a good plan to lay off 1000 employees and improve workforce efficiency. My calculations reveal that this can right-size their employee productivity metrics vs. peers and boost margins meaningfully. - However can Dorsey's decentralized, non-hands-on leadership style engender the required employee productivity changes? I believe some proof of execution is required to gain confidence on this catalyst. - Given that context, Block's 22% premium 1-yr fwd P/E valuations vs. its peers leave little margin of safety. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4661625-block-stock-can-management-execute-on-good-plan?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Pfizer: Paying Too Much To Boost Revenues (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/pfizer-paying-too-much-to-boost-revenues-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:12:37.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Pfizer has generally paid high prices for M&A, above industry norms (20x vs 10x EV/Revenue deal multiples). - Oncology has been a lagging business for Pfizer despite being a hot growth area (1.5% 3-yr CAGR for Oncology vs 4.5% 3-yr CAGR for non-COVID related revenues). - Seagen may boost Oncology sales but the price paid is hefty (22.7x EV/Revenue, implied \~15x PE; 44% premium to sectoral 1-yr fwd PEs). - Management's execution record has been patchy; multiple guidance cuts and margin misses in FY23 due to overestimations of COVID-related sales. - Pfizer is relatively more expensive vs its peers (19.9x 1-yr fwd PE vs 14.5x 1-yr fwd PE of peers), reducing the margin of safety for buys. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4661458-pfizer-paying-too-much-to-boost-revenues?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### PayPal: Too Many Issues To Reckon With (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/paypal-too-many-issues-to-reckon-with-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:11:33.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The Seeking Alpha Analyst Community seems to be broadly bullish on PayPal. Wall St is split between Neutral to Bullish. I belong to the Neutral camp. - PayPal's revenue is showing some signs of a growth rebound. However, I believe the quality of this growth is poor and unsustainable. - Transaction take rates are falling and the most important growth driver - active accounts - is showing signs of saturation amid signs of user-share loss. - On the margins side, management's efforts in controlling opex have been undermined by gross margin weakness driven by a dilutive revenue mix shift and hits due to credit losses on merchant loans, which are expected to continue. - Valuations are undemanding, but I believe that alone is insufficient to make a compelling buy case. I prefer to wait and demand evidence of healthy growth turnaround and gross margin resiliency first. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660938-paypal-too-many-issues-to-reckon-with?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Annaly Capital: Set To Rise From Falling Rates (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/annaly-capital-set-to-rise-from-falling-rates-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:10:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Annaly Capital Management has been hit hard by rising interest rates as this has caused net interest margins and ultimately book value per share to fall. - Management has placed hedges to position the company for an end to the rate hiking cycle, and has managed to gain market share in key segments amid a challenging environment. - Now, Annaly is expected to benefit from potential rate cuts, leading to a revival in net interest income yields and increased activity in the agency mortgage-backed security business. - Annaly is trading at fair P/B multiples. I believe upside can come from upticks in book value per share. - Besides the Fed's interest rate decisions, mortgage prepayment rates are a key risk to watch out for as this may increase as rates fall. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660778-annaly-capitalset-to-rise-from-falling-rates?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Alibaba: Still Not A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/alibaba-still-not-a-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T06:08:48.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Seeking Alpha Analysts and Wall St have been mostly bullish on Alibaba. But I am not as enthusiastic yet. - Overall sales growth have been slow. This has been mostly due to underwhelming growth in two-thirds of the business; the China Commerce and Cloud segments, which have lagged China GDP. - Leading indicators such as Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence and Business Activity PMIs don't support a case for a growth rebound in the key segments. - The stock is still plagued by uncertainty and negative surprises, as evidenced by the cancellation of the value-creating Cloud business spinoff and resignation of the to-be head of the Cloud business. - Valuations are undemanding, but I assert that that is insufficient; a turnaround in business momentum is required to support the buys. I believe the margin expansion story is not enough; a growth revival is needed. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660776-alibaba-stock-still-not-a-buy?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway: Do As Buffett Says Not As He Does (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-do-as-buffett-says-not-as-he-does-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:44:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - An updated calculation of Berkshire's current P/B shows that it is trading in the fair valuation range. - Leading manufacturing activity indicators warn of a slowdown, which could adversely impact Berkshire's earnings performance for its operating business. - Cash flow conversion has worsened again over the last 2 quarters and the deterioration is not a miniscule amount. - Technical analysis of Berkshire relative to the S&P500 also suggests mean-reversion possibilities back down towards the longer-term 15-year trading range, implying negative alpha potential vs the broad market index. - I have my eye on the rebounding consumer sentiment indicators as a key risk monitorable. If this translates to earnings surprises in Berkshire's equity investments, it could play spoilsport to my 'Strong Sell' thesis. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660490-berkshire-hathaway-stock-do-as-buffett-says-not-as-he-does?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### CompX International: A Solid Company On The Cusp Of A Growth Recovery (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/compx-international-a-solid-company-on-the-cusp-of-a-growth-recovery-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:42:17.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Security product (lock) sales are rebounding and is expected to continue. Rate cuts are likely to propel real estate construction and renewal activity, which may trigger new lock sales. - There are green shoots for recovery in the Marine Components segment, supported by the prospect of falling rates leading to more discretionary boat spending, and the rising popularity of wakeboarding. - Valuation is not excessive as the stock is still trading well below peak levels as we enter a burgeoning upcycle. - The balance sheet is in excellent condition. Consumer sentiment indicators are an important monitorable to gauge the Marine Components rebound in particular; so far all signs are positive. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660440-compx-international-solid-cusp-of-growth-recovery?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tenable Holdings: An Attractive Play In The Growing Cybersecurity Sector (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tenable-holdings-an-attractive-play-in-the-growing-cybersecurity-sector-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:41:06.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Enterprises' willingness to spend and upgrade cybersecurity is increasing, and vendor consolidation is a growing theme in a historically fragmented market. - Tenable is well-positioned as a market leader with pricing power in the cloud security market, and is the outright leader in the Vulnerability Management category. - Tenable's management has a strong track record of outperforming on both revenue and margins, instilling confidence in their growth targets. - Given the bullish growth context, Tenable appears undervalued at current EV/Sales valuation multiples. - On the risks side, Ermetic acquisition was an expensive one and management is yet to prove their capital allocation capabilities. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660272-tenable-holdings-stock-attractive-play-growing-cybersecurity-sector?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### KCE: Why I'm Very Bullish On This Capital Markets ETF (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/kce-why-im-very-bullish-on-this-capital-markets-etf-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:39:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The market expected rates to be 'higher for longer' and capital market companies have guided based on this assumption. - But the latest Fed's commentary suggests rate cut possibilities in 2024 and the market has started to respond accordingly. - Rate cuts are expected to boost activity in the capital markets sector, via higher M&A, IPO, and trading activity. - The equally weighted KCE ETF is recommended as a better way to play the sectoral tailwind compared to the concentrated IAI ETF. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660197-kce-why-im-very-bullish-on-this-capital-markets-etf?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### MACOM: Buy As Growth Turns Around (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/mtsi-macom-buy-as-growth-turns-around-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:35:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - MACOM is ready to capitalize on better growth prospects, with improving demand in 70% of the current revenue mix and a potential bottom in the lagging telecom segment. - An accelerated rate of new product launches is expected to fuel market share gains. Geographic diversification away from China and into new European accounts can improve the revenue profile. - Inventory efficiencies can lead to superior cash flow conversion for the company as the recent acquisition of the Wolfspeed RF business scales up. - It is trading at a premium to its historical trading range, however I think this is acceptable as I anticipate higher multiples in the next, potentially stronger semiconductor upcycle. - Management has cautioned that there may still be gross margin pressures; this is a key risk to monitor. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660180-macom-buy-as-growth-turns-around?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Why Ares Capital Is Likely To Underperform The BDC Sector (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/why-ares-capital-is-likely-to-underperform-the-bdc-sector-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:37:27.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I missed 1.48% of alpha creation in my last article on Ares Capital when I had downgraded it to a hold. Yet, I still downgrade ARCC to a 'Strong Sell': - The chances of a rate reduction by the Federal Reserve are increasing, which could benefit the BDC sector, particularly BDCs with greater cyclical exposure. - Ares Capital is not well-positioned to benefit from easing rates due to its defensive orientation and predominantly floating investment yields. - The relative performance outlook of ARCC vs the BDC sector via the VanEck BDC Income ETF confirms the fundamental view. - Overall, I have a strong relative bearish view on ARCC vs BIZD primarily and also the S&P 500\. This is not a strong bearish view of the absolute return prospects of ARCC. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4659828-ares-capital-likely-underperform-bdc-sector?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: Not A Clear Alpha Play Anymore (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-not-a-clear-alpha-play-anymore-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:35:53.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My earlier bullish thesis on Palantir has generated alpha but now I struggle to find a clear bullish thesis: - A fall in RPO numbers increases top-line risk as revenue visibility is reduced. - The S&P 500 inclusion catalyst is likely priced in as Palantir now meets all the criteria for inclusion into the index. - H2 FY23 net insider selling activity has picked up in H2 FY23, signaling caution for the bulls. - Valuations do not offer a sufficient discount as Palantir is trading marginally at a premium to its longer term 1-yr fwd P/E multiple. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4659648-palantir-not-a-clear-alpha-play-anymore?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### British American Tobacco: Consensus Bulls May Be Wrong Again (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/british-american-tobacco-consensus-bulls-may-be-wrong-again-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:34:00.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The market has proved my earlier 'Strong Sell' rating correct. I maintain my stance as I am skeptical of the bullish arguments based on low-valuation and non-combustibles product growth: - Combustibles still matter most above all else; more than new growth products, more than the new CEO and more than ESG. - New categories do not move the needle; they are too small and growing too slowly to make a difference. - The secular decline in combustibles may be stronger than it seems as volume declines continue even as alternative data shows inflationary pressures to have reduced. - As expected earlier, the stock has de-rated even further. I believe it will continues to be a value trap unless there is a radical business diversification. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4625244-british-american-tobacco-consensus-bulls-may-be-wrong-again?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: It's Tough To Justify A Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-its-tough-to-justify-a-buy-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:32:41.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Investment activity is yet to rebound materially. The Q2 FY23 improvement in gross commitments was small and not very broad-based. - The argument that rising rates would benefit Ares Capital's net investment income is fading, as the chances of another rate hike are low. - Sectoral headwinds on portfolio quality and degrading portfolio interest coverage metrics make me more cautious of Ares Capital's portfolio quality. - Valuations are near long-term averages, reducing the margin of safety required to justify a buy. - US M&A announcements is a key datapoint to watch as this would be a leading indicator of investment flows. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4622003-ares-capital-q2-earnings-tough-to-justify-buy-rating-downgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Google: Undervalued With A Rosy Outlook After Q2 (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/google-undervalued-with-a-rosy-outlook-after-q2-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:31:19.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Since my last update, Google has generated 13-14% alpha over the S&P500\. Q2 FY23's results make me even more confident of continued outperformance. - The Google Search's resiliency thesis is playing out as it is leading the advertising recovery. - Margin expansion in Google Cloud is also playing out as it has posted genuine margin improvement, even after removing the benefits of lower depreciation recognition. Further margin levers exist. - I am optimistic on Ruth Porat's appointment into the Chief Investment Officer position as it can reduce the bleeding in Other Bets' profitability. - Valuations are attractive as the company trades at a 13.6% discount to the longer-term 1-yr fwd PEs. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4621805-google-undervalued-with-a-rosy-outlook-after-q2-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Microsoft: Business Gets Better But Watch The Valuations (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/microsoft-business-gets-better-but-watch-the-valuations-archive-copy/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:30:04.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Microsoft beat consensus estimates on both revenues and margins, albeit by a lower degree than the median average. But the guidance outlook has disappointed. - Q4 FY23's earnings call set a bullish tone for Microsoft's relative strength as it continued gaining share in multiple product categories. - From an absolute growth perspective, MSFT stock is facing headwinds in Azure, ad-spending, and gaming. It is not the same as the high growth times of 2020-2021. - The stock is still trading at valuations near the 2020-2021 period. One can argue it is due to the promising AI opportunity. However, management indicated that material monetization is still a while away. - Whilst I am a long-term Microsoft bull, I believe the valuations demand a neutral/hold stance as I anticipate the stock to perform in line with the market. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4621662-microsoft-business-gets-better-but-watch-the-valuations?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Charles Schwab: Get Ready For Multiple Quarters Of Margin Expansion (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/charles-schwab-get-ready-for-multiple-quarters-of-margin-expansion-archive-2/ Last updated: 2026-02-27T05:28:29.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Charles Schwab's Q2 FY23 results have compelled me to do a 180-degree turn in my stance on the stock; from a 'sell' to a 'strong buy'. - Cash sorting issues are no more as there has been a sharp reduction in net new purchased money market fund flows. - There are multiple levers for margin expansion. Reduction in high cost short-term borrowings is expected to boost NIMs, and expense reduction is another margin lever. - Valuations are attractive as the stock trades at a 12.2% discount to its long-term PE. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4620998-charles-schwab-multiple-quarters-of-margin-expansion-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Tesla: Margins Story Is Not As Bad As It Seems (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/tesla-margins-story-is-not-as-bad-as-it-seems-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:03.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I missed an opportunity for alpha in Tesla, Inc. stock, as I had a neutral/hold rating on the stock earlier. - But now, whilst some investors have concerns about Tesla's margins and profitability, I am becoming more confident of buys. - Pricing reductions have masked genuine margin tailwinds in COGs that will become more visible. - Investments such as humanoid robot Optimus and full-self-driving have great multiplier potential for the stock. - Valuations are attractive, as Tesla trades at a 35% discount to the average PE since 2020. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4620213-tesla-margins-story-is-not-as-bad-as-it-seems-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Berkshire Hathaway: Look At Consumers And Cash Flows (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/berkshire-hathaway-look-at-consumers-and-cash-flows-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:09.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Berkshire Hathaway is a large conglomerate with detailed disclosures of more than a dozen businesses, but only 2 things really matter; investments and cash flow conversion. - Within the company's investment portfolio, consumer product businesses make up the bulk of the exposure. On this parameter, leading consumer sentiment indicators highlight earning tailwinds. - However, the operating cash flow conversion profile is worsening due to a drop in deferred tax benefits, and management commentary suggests no rebound. - P/B valuations show Berkshire Hathaway to be trading near its long-term average multiples since 2000, thus giving no reason to sway the case toward either a bull or bear. - Hence, I initiate my analysis of Berkshire Hathaway with a neutral/hold as I believe the stock will perform broadly in line with the market. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4619350-berkshire-hathaway-stock-look-consumers-cash-flows?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Ares Capital: Rising Rates Make Up For Activity Slowdown (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/ares-capital-rising-rates-make-up-for-activity-slowdown-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:16.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - The BDC sector is not in the most upbeat shape, but Ares Capital is well positioned. - Investment activity is slowing down as evidenced by falling gross funding and gross commitment data along with management commentary indicating a dearth of investment opportunities. - But rising rates are a more powerful tailwind for Ares Capital's floating-rate-dominated investment portfolio. Further rate hikes are likely to provide further propulsion, increasing investment yields. - The quality of the portfolio is steadily improving as the mix and incidence of the highest investment grade companies increase. An increasing weighted average EBITDA also signals portfolio resiliency. - I anticipate increasing net investment income to lead to a jump in NAVs in Q2 FY23, driving upsides in the valuations and stock prices. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4616001-ares-capital-rising-rates-make-up-for-activity-slowdown-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Charles Schwab: Get Ready For Multiple Quarters Of Margin Expansion (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/charles-schwab-get-ready-for-multiple-quarters-of-margin-expansion-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T17:29:24.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Charles Schwab's Q2 FY23 results have compelled me to do a 180-degree turn in my stance on the stock; from a 'sell' to a 'strong buy'. - Cash sorting issues are no more as there has been a sharp reduction in net new purchased money market fund flows. - There are multiple levers for margin expansion. Reduction in high cost short-term borrowings is expected to boost NIMs, and expense reduction is another margin lever. - Valuations are attractive as the stock trades at a 12.2% discount to its long-term PE. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4620998-charles-schwab-multiple-quarters-of-margin-expansion-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Palantir: 3 Reasons To Buy (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/palantir-3-reasons-to-buy-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:23.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I missed the initial move on Palantir as I had a 'neutral/hold' rating. But after reviewing Q1 FY23 and the company's AIPCon, I am changing my stance to a 'buy'. - Palantir is poised to benefit from accelerated US Commercial adoption as customer counts and average pricing per customer metrics show sharp improvement. - 2 more quarters of GAAP net income profitability can unlock institutional and passive investor flows. - Management has a track record of beating expectations, consistently surprising on revenue guidance as well as actual revenue and margin prints. - Palantir is at a slight valuation premium relative to its historical multiples. But so long as the operating momentum and positive surprises continue, I think the stock will do well. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4614015-palantir-stock-3-reasons-to-buy-rating-upgrade?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### The Market Is Too Optimistic On Charles Schwab (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/the-market-is-too-optimistic-on-charles-schwab-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:32.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - My views on Charles Schwab have been quite balanced, and my last 'neutral/hold' rating has worked out. But now I am changing my stance based on new data. - On the positive side, cash sorting trends are improving. - But growth in core net new assets is unusually low. - Asset management business is punching below its weight. - The consensus view is set for disappointment. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4612309-charles-schwab-the-market-is-too-optimistic-on-?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Medical Properties Trust: Beware Of Further Asset Quality Risks (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/medical-properties-trust-beware-of-further-asset-quality-risks-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:46.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - Seeking Alpha analysts seem to be broadly bullish on Medical Properties Trust. But I have a different view as I believe there are hidden risks in this REIT. - I have lower confidence in asset quality due to doubts about increasing accounts receivable days. - Leverage and operators' rent coverage metrics are worsening. - The portfolio is struggling even if Prospect rebounds. - Nevertheless, I rate the REIT as a tactical 'neutral/hold' due to the historically low valuation multiples and the increased chances of a short squeeze. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4612228-medical-properties-trust-beware-of-further-asset-quality-risks?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* ### Amazon: Negative Alpha Ahead (Archive) URL: https://www.huntingalphas.com/amazon-negative-alpha-ahead-archive/ Last updated: 2026-02-26T15:36:54.000Z *This 5-Minute Pitch was originally published on Seeking Alpha before the launch of the Hunting Alphas website. It is shared here to showcase my previous work and track record. New 5-Minute Pitches published on this site will not be disseminated anywhere else.* ## Elevator Pitch - I think Amazon will generate negative alpha over the S&P 500 in the quarters ahead. - Consumer sentiment remains weak. - There is no rebound yet in AWS growth. - There are early signs of problems in AWS profitability. - I see limited re-rating risk. Read the full article [here](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4609349-amazon-negative-alpha-ahead?ref=huntingalphas.com). #### Disclosures and Disclaimers **Past performance ≠ future results. Not investment advice. See* [**full Disclaimer*](https://www.huntingalphas.com/disclaimer/)**.* _Includes the latest 500 public posts. Use `/sitemap.xml` for the complete archive of public content._